LIVE
币需研究院
@Square-Creator-5dd416681
Following
Followers
Liked
Shared
See original
After three consecutive days of decline and countless margin calls, where is the bottom?
More than 300,000 people were liquidated again, and the amount of liquidation exceeded 7 billion. Bitmain led the entire market to plummet for three consecutive days. It was simply a meat grinder. In the first 10 videos, I should have reminded countless times of the pitfalls on December 27, and also reminded not to open contracts, reminded that it is not suitable to hoard coins, and reminded of Goubi. Those who listened should be fine. So where is the bottom next? When will it be safer? I will review it myself, and those who are interested can listen. Please note that this video is only a personal review and does not constitute any investment advice.
There are several reasons for this sharp drop. The Federal Reserve said that it is not allowed to hold BTC and has no intention of seeking to change the law. Then there is a large amount of profit taking that needs to be settled in the early stage, and it is not ruled out that big dealers will target small investors. Finally, there is the biggest pain point at the end of December that prevents the stock from rising.
There are several reasons for this sharp drop. The Federal Reserve said that it is not allowed to hold BTC and has no intention of seeking to change the law. Then there is a large amount of profit taking that needs to be settled in the early stage, and it is not ruled out that big dealers will target small investors. Finally, there is the biggest pain point at the end of December that prevents the stock from rising.
See original
Is it still going down? How to rescue contracts?
Bitcoin plummeted last night, with nearly 300,000 people getting liquidated. In yesterday's video, I already mentioned a method for initial stabilization. I also mentioned that if it could drop below 100,000, one could enter the market with spot purchases in batches. Some friends said it was impossible to fall below 100,000, but it indeed hit a low of 98,802. I have been warning against opening contracts since the day before yesterday and pointed out the funding rate issue. Those who got liquidated must be feeling terrible, and those holding positions are under more stress. Later, I will share how I generally handle being stuck in contracts. Note that this video is only my personal review and does not constitute any investment advice. Please follow me and feel free to share with your friends. Let me know if you share it, and you can join the fan group. <t-42/>#市场调整後的机会？
See original
After reaching a new high, if the stock price falls back a few points, will you go bankrupt?
After BTC reached 108353, it began to fall continuously. My video yesterday has reminded us that a slight increase will replace sideways consolidation, waiting for the direction to be chosen. Be wary of a pullback when the market is sucking blood. In fact, as long as it is not a sharp drop, the current drop of a few points is good for the development of the long bull market as a whole. After all, some profit-taking needs to be realized. If you are still liquidated after falling by these few points, you really need to think about your trading strategy. If you cannot learn from the liquidation, you will continue to be liquidated later. In addition, I also warned yesterday not to open contracts. It is not appropriate to open contracts at this point. How will the market develop next and what are the initial signals of stopping the decline? We can discuss this. Please note that this video is only a personal review and does not constitute any investment advice. Follow us and listen every day. #加密市场盘整
See original
Where is the next high point?
In the past few days, BTC has been continuously breaking new highs, and Ethereum has also been breaking new highs. The overall market is steadily moving upwards, with ETH and XRP performing relatively strong, while other mainstream coins and large altcoins are generally being drained. We need to wait for BTC to stabilize and consolidate before funds will flow into other mainstream coins and large altcoins. However, BTC has not seen significant volume increase during its rise. Currently, the trend still has the potential to continue rising, and it cannot be ruled out that it could hover around 110,000 in the short term. A friend asked me where the top is today. Actually, that is not important; what matters is whether the risk or opportunity is greater at a certain position, and just manage your positions accordingly. Many large investors and experts still cannot escape the top. In this issue, I will briefly talk about my position control thoughts.
See original
No Volume New High, Is It Dangerous?
BTC broke a new high again today. It seems I was right about two things yesterday: the new high and that after breaking the new high, it wouldn't deviate much, focusing mainly on solidifying and consolidating. Most major coins are also experiencing slight fluctuations. This kind of market is the most annoying, as it is hard to operate—positions are high and trading volumes are low. Whether altcoins will rotate is uncertain, with both bulls and bears in contention. Let's analyze the likely upcoming trends; this article is just my personal review and does not constitute any investment advice. Please follow for updates; the video is usually kept for 24 hours, and you can also watch on Xiaohongshu and other platforms where past videos are available.
See original
Breaking a high is just a shiver, and then what?
Today, the B circle mainly follows BTC’s trend. BTC has shown a blood-sucking consolidation at a high position, with most mainstream trends being weaker than BTC. BTC is just 1000 dollars away from its previous high and could break new highs at any moment. However, after breaking this high, the short-term growth may be limited, and it still needs to undergo a correction for consolidation. Analysis will follow, with explanations; this article is just a personal recap and does not constitute any investment advice. Videos are generally available for 24 hours, and related accounts like WeChat and Xiaohongshu can also be watched, where past videos are available for follow-up.
First, let’s state the conclusion, followed by news and technical analysis:
First, let’s state the conclusion, followed by news and technical analysis:
See original
Moving averages are trending up, volume is trending down, what's next?
Most mainstream daily lines in B circle continue to solidify upwards today, all consolidating at high levels. Whether the mainstream can break through still largely depends on BTC's performance, and we must be wary of the pattern where prolonged sideways movement before a breakout might lead to a drop. Friends who have watched previous issues can roughly know how to analyze this. Some videos might not be viewable, as they have been taken down. Anyway, just remember to catch up on the updates. You can also check on the public account and Xiaohongshu; feel free to follow along. #BTC重回关键位置后走势
Let's start with the conclusion, followed by news and technical analysis:
Regarding BTC: It is predicted to consolidate around 100000, the daily line continues to rise, and breaking previous highs has a low probability. Before December 27, there is a maximum pain point for options between 101000 and 102000, maintaining the hypothesis that after breaking the highs, it won't rise too high before December 27. The downside potential before this date is significantly greater than the upside.
Let's start with the conclusion, followed by news and technical analysis:
Regarding BTC: It is predicted to consolidate around 100000, the daily line continues to rise, and breaking previous highs has a low probability. Before December 27, there is a maximum pain point for options between 101000 and 102000, maintaining the hypothesis that after breaking the highs, it won't rise too high before December 27. The downside potential before this date is significantly greater than the upside.
See original
Which mainstream currency has more opportunities?
The mainstream and big copycat currencies in the cryptocurrency market today fluctuated slightly. In fact, the past 24 hours were still in a consolidation process. All currencies were repairing the recent surge, and the daily moving averages of most currencies were also rising. Consolidation and repair after a fast bull market are necessary processes. Only after consolidation can there be a possibility of continuing to move upward. If you don't have an operating idea, don't do it blindly. It is also a good choice to save FDUSD to participate in the airdrop. Come on, continue to make a comprehensive judgment from the news and technical analysis. Follow me and pay less tuition. This review is not any investment advice, but only for personal review research.
See original
Market Trends and the Eve of ETH's Explosion
Today, the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has stabilized completely, with the number of liquidations in the past 24 hours dropping back to around 100,000, which is normal. As mentioned in yesterday's review, the overall coins are continuously rebounding, with some altcoins rebounding significantly. In a bull market, there are always meme coins; do not envy them unless you are a whale. Otherwise, if you play with emotions, you will definitely die on meme coins. The most notable mainstream coins today are BNB and ETH, which have shown a pleasant upward trend, basically aligning with the direction and strategy I reviewed yesterday. We will continue to analyze the news and technical aspects comprehensively; follow me to avoid unnecessary losses. This review does not serve as any investment advice, only for personal research.
See original
After the crash, what is the trend?
Has the momentum of the crash stopped? From the data, the number of liquidations in the last 24 hours still maintains at 200,000, with the liquidation amount significantly shrinking. From last night to today, most coins have rebounded from the previous night’s bottom line. Due to the occurrence of historical-level contract liquidations, the danger of targeted liquidations against retail investors by the main forces has also significantly decreased. In this round, many main forces will find that two mainstream assets supported by ETFs are very difficult to blow up. This is also why many experts now say that this round of liquidations has, to some extent, displaced funds from altcoins to mainstream assets. So how is the market likely to move next? We need to comprehensively judge from both the news and technical analysis. Follow me, pay less tuition; this review does not constitute any investment advice, it is only for personal review and research.
See original
Multi-faceted interpretation of the plunge and subsequent operational review.
Let’s review why there was a drop yesterday. In 24 hours, 580,000 people were liquidated, with a liquidation amount exceeding 10 billion RMB. The anticipated plunge in a bull market has arrived. How can we predict a plunge as accurately as possible? What might the market look like next? And for some friends holding losing contracts, fearing liquidation, what should they do? Follow me, learn a little every day. I believe many people lost everything last night; this is what I often say, the fast bull market is the one that eats people without spitting out bones. However, those who saw my market review yesterday should also have seen my warning about this big drop. Many people actually lost money in this drop due to cognitive issues because money earned by luck will definitely be lost back through cognition. If you've lost money, you need to improve; otherwise, you will continue to lose in the future. This review is not intended as any investment advice, just a personal review. #加密市场回调
See original
Why did mainstream and copycat stocks drop so much? What’s going on?
Web3 Market Analysis$BTC $ETH $BNB
Let me talk about the analysis results first, followed by the analysis arguments and logic:
BTC is consolidating around 100,000. Below 95,000, you can open a small position. It is recommended to open a position at 80,000. The view is that you must not open a contract before December 27. Let's talk about it after December 27. Be alert to the possibility of a big drop tonight.
BNB is expected to fluctuate between 700-750. If you have positions, you can do quantitative trading and move back and forth. You can build positions in batches below 700.
ETH is expected to fluctuate around 4,000, which is suitable for regular investment and is likely to have a major breakthrough in the short term.
Let’s talk about the indicator observation and inference logic:
Let me talk about the analysis results first, followed by the analysis arguments and logic:
BTC is consolidating around 100,000. Below 95,000, you can open a small position. It is recommended to open a position at 80,000. The view is that you must not open a contract before December 27. Let's talk about it after December 27. Be alert to the possibility of a big drop tonight.
BNB is expected to fluctuate between 700-750. If you have positions, you can do quantitative trading and move back and forth. You can build positions in batches below 700.
ETH is expected to fluctuate around 4,000, which is suitable for regular investment and is likely to have a major breakthrough in the short term.
Let’s talk about the indicator observation and inference logic:
See original
How long will the consolidation last?
Web3 Market Analysis
#美财政部称BTC“数字黄金” #BTC能站稳10W吗？
First, let’s discuss the indicator observation:
1. From the technical indicators, BTC continues to consolidate around 100,000, with no new breakthroughs. However, consolidation around 100,000 is necessary to solidify the coin price. Only by firmly establishing at 100,000 can it aim for the next target.
2. Greed and Fear Index Observation: Currently 79, up 4 points. Although it belongs to greed, it seems we are approaching extreme greed again. Market enthusiasm continues to remain high, with a large number of profit-takers being very confident in the bull market this year.
3. Observation of the maximum pain point for options in the next 3 months: Currently, there is no maximum pain point exceeding 100,000, so it is expected to continue fluctuating and consolidating around 100,000.
#美财政部称BTC“数字黄金” #BTC能站稳10W吗？
First, let’s discuss the indicator observation:
1. From the technical indicators, BTC continues to consolidate around 100,000, with no new breakthroughs. However, consolidation around 100,000 is necessary to solidify the coin price. Only by firmly establishing at 100,000 can it aim for the next target.
2. Greed and Fear Index Observation: Currently 79, up 4 points. Although it belongs to greed, it seems we are approaching extreme greed again. Market enthusiasm continues to remain high, with a large number of profit-takers being very confident in the bull market this year.
3. Observation of the maximum pain point for options in the next 3 months: Currently, there is no maximum pain point exceeding 100,000, so it is expected to continue fluctuating and consolidating around 100,000.
See original
Bitcoin Consolidation, How to Operate?
Web3 Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
First, let's talk about the observation of the BTC indicators:
1. From a technical indicator perspective, it continues to consolidate around 100,000 today, with a high reaching 10898.99. Unfortunately, it was a short-term low-volume peak, with the overall trend showing a slow upward movement. Due to the spike yesterday, it quickly retraced and stabilized around 100,000, significantly reducing the short-term pressure for a drop of 10,000 points. However, the probability of breaking the high and a significant stretch remains low. The biggest concern is a sudden spike followed by a crash, so for now, the focus should still be on accumulating spot purchases at low prices.
2. Greed and Fear Index observation: currently at 75, up 3 points, which indicates greed, with market sentiment relatively stable.
First, let's talk about the observation of the BTC indicators:
1. From a technical indicator perspective, it continues to consolidate around 100,000 today, with a high reaching 10898.99. Unfortunately, it was a short-term low-volume peak, with the overall trend showing a slow upward movement. Due to the spike yesterday, it quickly retraced and stabilized around 100,000, significantly reducing the short-term pressure for a drop of 10,000 points. However, the probability of breaking the high and a significant stretch remains low. The biggest concern is a sudden spike followed by a crash, so for now, the focus should still be on accumulating spot purchases at low prices.
2. Greed and Fear Index observation: currently at 75, up 3 points, which indicates greed, with market sentiment relatively stable.
See original
Playing like this is so reckless. You'll end up losing everything sooner or later.
I've been holding on for a week and can't take it anymore! What to do!
See original
Yesterday, I accurately warned of a Bitcoin pullback. What about today?
Yesterday, it was predicted that the market would have a secondary reversal adjustment. As expected, there was a 10,000-point correction at 6 a.m. this morning. After reaching 90,500, it rebounded rapidly, and a large number of contracts were liquidated. Let's listen to the analysis and review of the 20241206 market. This review is not intended as any investment advice. #比特币回升至97K
Let’s first talk about the observation of the pancake indicator:
1. From the technical indicators, yesterday's relatively accurate prediction of a possible big correction was made, and the market did move in this way. This spike caused 200,000 people to liquidate their positions, with the amount of liquidation being US$710 million. The current price is consolidating around 98,000. Excluding this spike, the overall trend is still relatively stable. Yesterday, I also said that the intervention at this time is to buy on dips. If you had placed an order to buy on dips last night, you should have earned more than 5% today. However, since there is no clear point above 100,000, it will take some time to reach a new high.
Let’s first talk about the observation of the pancake indicator:
1. From the technical indicators, yesterday's relatively accurate prediction of a possible big correction was made, and the market did move in this way. This spike caused 200,000 people to liquidate their positions, with the amount of liquidation being US$710 million. The current price is consolidating around 98,000. Excluding this spike, the overall trend is still relatively stable. Yesterday, I also said that the intervention at this time is to buy on dips. If you had placed an order to buy on dips last night, you should have earned more than 5% today. However, since there is no clear point above 100,000, it will take some time to reach a new high.
See original
Operation ideas after Bitcoin breaks through 100,000
20241205 15:30 market trend analysis of BTC and BNB
BTC first talks about indicator observation:
1. From the technical indicators, BTC finally broke through the 100,000 mark, rushed to 104,088 US dollars, and then began to pull back slightly. Since it has broken through 100,000 US dollars, there will be no obstacles in the long run. However, it is possible to pull back in the short term. After all, it has risen by 40%, and there may be a secondary reversal adjustment. Pay attention to the institutional trends and see if there is continued buying in the next few days. After all, the increase is not that much, and there are still many profit-taking orders to understand. However, if ETFs continue to buy, the new bottom will be more solid. At this position, many retail investors are no longer willing to intervene, but the enthusiasm of the currency circle may attract more novices to participate, and the incremental funds may continue to increase. The bull market has no top, and those who want to start should buy at low prices and never open shorts.
BTC first talks about indicator observation:
1. From the technical indicators, BTC finally broke through the 100,000 mark, rushed to 104,088 US dollars, and then began to pull back slightly. Since it has broken through 100,000 US dollars, there will be no obstacles in the long run. However, it is possible to pull back in the short term. After all, it has risen by 40%, and there may be a secondary reversal adjustment. Pay attention to the institutional trends and see if there is continued buying in the next few days. After all, the increase is not that much, and there are still many profit-taking orders to understand. However, if ETFs continue to buy, the new bottom will be more solid. At this position, many retail investors are no longer willing to intervene, but the enthusiasm of the currency circle may attract more novices to participate, and the incremental funds may continue to increase. The bull market has no top, and those who want to start should buy at low prices and never open shorts.
See original
Market Trend Analysis for December 4
December 4, 2024, at 4:30 PM market analysis: Bitcoin, BNB trend analysis#bnb创历史新高
Bitcoin's indicator observation first:
1. From a technical indicator perspective, after dipping to 93,578 last night, it has currently retraced to around 96,700. It can still be viewed as fluctuating around the 95,000 level. Last night, there was some chaos in South Korea, causing the Bitcoin price on South Korean exchanges to plummet to above 60,000 for a time. Therefore, I still advise everyone not to trade on small exchanges, as it can lead to issues. It is estimated that many players on smaller platforms will shift to the major exchanges after last night. Currently, there are no good entry points; opportunities will gradually appear below 90,000. If you really want to trade, just engage in some small-scale quantitative trading.
Bitcoin's indicator observation first:
1. From a technical indicator perspective, after dipping to 93,578 last night, it has currently retraced to around 96,700. It can still be viewed as fluctuating around the 95,000 level. Last night, there was some chaos in South Korea, causing the Bitcoin price on South Korean exchanges to plummet to above 60,000 for a time. Therefore, I still advise everyone not to trade on small exchanges, as it can lead to issues. It is estimated that many players on smaller platforms will shift to the major exchanges after last night. Currently, there are no good entry points; opportunities will gradually appear below 90,000. If you really want to trade, just engage in some small-scale quantitative trading.
See original
20241203 17:30 pm market BTC, BNB, ETH trend analysis #下一个换谁涨？
BTC first talks about indicator observation:
1. From the technical indicators, the past 24 hours have basically been jumping around 95000. Yesterday's market analysis has predicted the point near 95000, and relatively accurately informed the breakthrough position and the hourly line intervention position. Next, 94776 of the 4-hour line and 90791 of the daily line are two important observation positions. If these two points are broken and there is a corresponding time callback to above these two values, you can do a small amount of long, and the quality loss is set at these two points. Note that for all operations, you must observe what line you look at. Don't use the results of hourly line analysis to speculate with daily lines.
2. Greed and panic index observation: Currently 76, -4 compared to yesterday, and a decline of 4 for two consecutive days, it still belongs to the greed range, which belongs to the slow bull range.
3. Observation of the biggest pain point of options in the next three months: The biggest pain point on December 27 was 80,000, with a large number of positions. Before December 27, the pain points were basically around 95,000. Therefore, it is inferred that the short-term deviation from 95,000 will not be very high. The option contract position ratio is 53%, which further confirms that the price will not deviate too far from 95,000.
4. ETFS continues to flow in. On December 2, institutions increased their holdings by 4,339 BTC, and most institutions continued to increase their holdings. Ethereum also continued to increase its holdings. This further consolidates the price above 90,000.
5. The BTC-MVRV Z score is currently around 3, which is in a relatively safe position, and the probability of a big crash is low
6. From the perspective of the escape top index, it is currently in the middle position, and the risk of escaping the top is at a medium level.
7. The BTC hoarding index is currently high, which is not suitable for fixed investment hoarding.
In summary, BTC is likely to fluctuate around 95,000, and the probability of breaking through 100,000 is still low. From the daily chart, it is also a narrow consolidation. Before the general direction is determined, do not hold too heavy a position. Be cautious in intervening in coins that have already exploded.
BNB can only be said to be very stable and suitable for quantitative trading. Even if BTC plummets, it is estimated that the volatility will be close to BTC. Given that ETH's ETFS continues to increase, its charm is increasing, and it can be used as one of the options for short-term coin hoarding.
BTC first talks about indicator observation:
1. From the technical indicators, the past 24 hours have basically been jumping around 95000. Yesterday's market analysis has predicted the point near 95000, and relatively accurately informed the breakthrough position and the hourly line intervention position. Next, 94776 of the 4-hour line and 90791 of the daily line are two important observation positions. If these two points are broken and there is a corresponding time callback to above these two values, you can do a small amount of long, and the quality loss is set at these two points. Note that for all operations, you must observe what line you look at. Don't use the results of hourly line analysis to speculate with daily lines.
2. Greed and panic index observation: Currently 76, -4 compared to yesterday, and a decline of 4 for two consecutive days, it still belongs to the greed range, which belongs to the slow bull range.
3. Observation of the biggest pain point of options in the next three months: The biggest pain point on December 27 was 80,000, with a large number of positions. Before December 27, the pain points were basically around 95,000. Therefore, it is inferred that the short-term deviation from 95,000 will not be very high. The option contract position ratio is 53%, which further confirms that the price will not deviate too far from 95,000.
4. ETFS continues to flow in. On December 2, institutions increased their holdings by 4,339 BTC, and most institutions continued to increase their holdings. Ethereum also continued to increase its holdings. This further consolidates the price above 90,000.
5. The BTC-MVRV Z score is currently around 3, which is in a relatively safe position, and the probability of a big crash is low
6. From the perspective of the escape top index, it is currently in the middle position, and the risk of escaping the top is at a medium level.
7. The BTC hoarding index is currently high, which is not suitable for fixed investment hoarding.
In summary, BTC is likely to fluctuate around 95,000, and the probability of breaking through 100,000 is still low. From the daily chart, it is also a narrow consolidation. Before the general direction is determined, do not hold too heavy a position. Be cautious in intervening in coins that have already exploded.
BNB can only be said to be very stable and suitable for quantitative trading. Even if BTC plummets, it is estimated that the volatility will be close to BTC. Given that ETH's ETFS continues to increase, its charm is increasing, and it can be used as one of the options for short-term coin hoarding.
Explore the latest crypto news
⚡️ Be a part of the latests discussions in crypto
💬 Interact with your favorite creators
👍 Enjoy content that interests you
Email / Phone number
Trending Topics
BTCNextMove
677,421 views
4,023 Posts
BTC Update: 12 Days Left!
We have 12 days left to maintain the narrative.
If we continue to fall, it could mark the first time in a halving cycle that $BTC doesn’t close all three months of Q4 in green.
.
For the first time, we might see a red December and a red monthly close during a halving!
.
After a long Bullish Rally and Non-Stop
Green Candles, finally BITCOIN formed
Engulfing long RED Weekly candle.
What this entails, most $BTC holders right now
FEAR - has this BULL RUN ended?
Only time will tell, however year's about to close and people will be on vacations -
indicating low volume tides and when this
happens, BTC might experience pullback
to atleast low 80K.
.
With Short term pullback in sight,
don't get me wrong because long term
BITCOIN is still bullish and 1-2 weeks into
the new year 2025 you'll start seeing
BITCOIN regaining momentum again
- targeting 120K!
What are your predictions?
Comment 'Signal' for more signals 🫡
Follow me
DYOR
$BTC $ETH
#USUALBullRun
#BTCNextMove
Daffy Boy
9 Likes
48.8k views
USUALBullRun
402,659 views
775 Posts
ElSalvadorBTCReserve
397,281 views
733 Posts
