On the first day of the congressional hearing on monetary policy, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated that the labor market is solid, inflation remains above the 2% target, and there is no rush to cut interest rates. The likelihood of a rate cut in June by the Federal Reserve has further diminished, and the cryptocurrency market continues to remain sluggish under its influence.

The supply of stablecoins has been increasing, but BTC has not shown a corresponding rise, still hovering below $100,000.

Historically, most Februarys have ended with gains, especially during bull markets. Now that February is nearly half over, BTC remains in a downtrend. In this cycle, every time BTC experiences a slight pullback, the altcoin market encounters a catastrophic decline. If BTC cannot rebound and surpass $100,000 by the end of the month, the situation in the altcoin market may further deteriorate.

Now everyone is mocking ETH, but I still have confidence in ETH's future trends. The arrival of altcoin season requires ETH; without BTC's rise, there will be no bull market, and similarly, without ETH's rise, there will be no altcoin season. Without the wealth creation myths of altcoin season, it will be impossible to attract a large number of new users. Relying solely on imitating ETH's existing ecosystem without any innovation, SOL's rise is merely a battle among existing users, at most, as seen now, where only a few coins can keep up with BTC, while the majority of other coins languish. I believe in the vitality of the crypto space, I believe 2025 will be a year of explosive bull markets, and I believe there will still be an altcoin season in this cycle, so I also believe that ETH's spring will eventually come. 🥳

11652021562
38769032259
#比特币后市
#ETH走势分析
#山寨季到来

Brothers, guess a wave #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储降息 #Federal Reserve

#BNX强势进击 #美联储降息 No interest rate cut, strong fundamentals, interest rate cut, good liquidity

👀Next week's market outlook: Trump's tariff policy and Fed dynamics may become the main focus of the investment market

Next week, global investors will face a week full of uncertainty and key economic data. The Trump administration's tariff policy will continue to be the focus of market attention, and its impact on the market cannot be ignored. At the same time, the upcoming US inflation data and speeches by Fed officials will be key factors affecting expectations of interest rate cuts.

In the coming week, the market will pay close attention to the following important events:

· Monday: ECB President Lagarde will participate in the debate on the 2023 annual report.

· Tuesday: The New York Fed will release annual inflation expectations; Cleveland Fed President Hammack discusses the economic outlook; Fed Chairman Powell presents monetary policy at a Senate hearing.

· Wednesday: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech; the United States will release January CPI and core CPI data; Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the House Financial Services Committee.

· Thursday: 2027 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending February 8; U.S. PPI annual and monthly rates in January.

· Friday: U.S. retail sales monthly rate in January; U.S. industrial output monthly rate in January.

Several Wall Street analysts warned that due to seasonal factors, forecasting CPI data in January is usually more challenging, which may increase market volatility when the data is released.

According to the Cleveland Fed's inflation Nowcasting indicator, the overall CPI is expected to grow by 2.85% year-on-year in January, and the core CPI is expected to grow by 3.13% year-on-year, only slightly slower than the previous month. These data may strengthen the market's expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates stable at the March meeting.

In summary, next week's economic data and official speeches will provide investors with important market guidance, especially in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty. Investors need to remain vigilant and pay close attention to relevant market developments.

💬Finally, what impact do you think these factors will have on the direction of the cryptocurrency market? Leave your insights and predictions in the comments section!

#市场前瞻 #特朗普关税 #美联储降息 #经济数据

The price of Bitcoin continues to experience fluctuations. Tonight at 9:30, the U.S. will announce January's non-farm payrolls, with a previous value of 25.6 and an expectation of 17. Currently, the focus in the U.S. is on the progress of Bitcoin's strategic reserves, as well as tonight's unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data. If there are positive expectations for interest rate cuts, it could stimulate emotions and drive a wave of price increases. Additionally, since tomorrow is the weekend, in a low liquidity environment, positive sentiment should lead to some price increases. We just hope that the U.S. does not create a situation like last Friday's tariffs that could negatively affect sentiment.

Conversely, if tonight's data does not present positive expectations for interest rate cuts, the market will likely continue to fluctuate. Unless the data is unfavorable, it is unlikely to drop below $90,000. If it were to drop below $90,000, I personally believe it would only be due to low liquidity conditions combined with negative news creating panic sentiment that triggers a significant decline. Low liquidity is typical for weekends, and negative sentiment is related to upcoming interest rate cut expectations. That's all there is to it.

The Shanzhai stock obviously cannot fall any more. Brothers and sisters from all over the world, hold on to the currency in your hands. As long as we don’t ship it ourselves, no one can cut us off! Let these dog dealers see the power of retail investors! Let’s get rich together in September! #sol
#美联储降息

📈 Financial market is changing: Fed rate cut is imminent, global market volatility intensifies📉

Recent financial market dynamics have attracted widespread attention, especially about the Fed's possible rate cut decision. The market expects that the Fed may take early rate cut measures to appease market sentiment before the FOMC meeting on September 18.

Therefore, August may be a volatile month, and investors need to be prepared for various market trends to cope with the last opportunity to enter the market in this cycle!

In addition, the plunge in global financial markets and cryptocurrency markets has triggered a variety of speculations:

1. First, some people believe that the conflict between Israel and Hamas, coupled with the assassination of Hamas leaders in Iran, triggered panic selling in financial markets. But some people disagree with this view because conflicts in the Middle East have always had a long history, and this incident is not enough to trigger World War III.

2. Secondly, the unexpected interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan may also be one of the reasons for the market turmoil. Although Japan has long implemented a zero interest rate policy to combat deflation, the Bank of Japan recently decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which has caused a certain impact on global financial markets. However, there are also views that although this move has a certain impact on the market, it is not enough to trigger a global economic panic or collapse.

3. In addition, given the poor performance of US labor data last Friday, the rise in unemployment is also considered to be one of the factors leading to financial market turmoil.

However, mainstream media and large institutions will use this series of events to hype, combined with a sharp correction in the financial market, so that the global financial market is shrouded in panic. This view is verified by the recent performance of the US and Japanese stock markets.

Viewpoint:

Given the large increase in US stocks in the past one or two years, this round of 10% to 20% correction may be a healthy market adjustment in the long run.

At the same time, Bitcoin hit a record high of $74,000 before the fourth halving, and the current correction is just a normal correction phenomenon of the bull market outlook.

However, for those investors who have accumulated enough chips, the next time the market explodes, it will be the time to reap the benefits!

#美联储降息 #全球市场动态 #加密货币趋势

[Bitcoin is facing a direction decision, whether it can break through 69,000, or whether it will be inserted again, tonight! ★Non-farm night, the data has been released, employment is higher than expected, the unemployment rate is higher than expected, the market predicts an interest rate cut in May-June, waiting for the Fed's speech]

In the past two days, in addition to the trend of Bitcoin in the blockchain market spreading throughout the financial world, the trend of gold has also extremely affected people's hearts. After rising for many consecutive days, gold has exceeded US$2,165 per ounce and reached a record high, effectively holding above US$2,000.

U.S. stocks hit new highs again, while U.S. bonds continued to soar. The employment and economic situation caused by high interest rates continues to deteriorate, especially the employment situation, and the US unemployment benefit data increased again. At the same time, the trade account data, which is an important economic indicator, also fell short of expectations, and employment and the economy faced a double decline.

Moreover, the Fed's attitude is constantly changing, and its attitude towards interest rate cuts is becoming increasingly clear. Although there are still internal differences, there are still concerns among officials about cutting interest rates prematurely. However, Powell's statements in the past few days have clearly shown the overall attitude of the Federal Reserve, once again releasing dovish remarks. Based on concerns about the economy, the first interest rate cut will soon be ushered in.

★Look at the data released tonight

U.S. non-farm payroll employment increased by 275,000 in February, compared with an expected increase of 200,000, compared with the previous increase of 353,000.

The U.S. unemployment rate was 3.9% in February, compared with the estimate of 3.7% and the previous value of 3.7%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield rose sharply after the release of non-farm payrolls data, and was last at 4.108%.

Employment is higher than expected, but not as good as the previous value, and the unemployment rate is higher than expected, which is a mix of good news and bad news. However, the market generally predicts an interest rate cut in May or June, the U.S. dollar index falls, non-U.S. currencies rise, gold continues to rise, and Bitcoin is expected to have a breakthrough.

#热门话题 #美联储降息 #非农数据 $BTC #BTC

Arthur Hayes: The U.S. Treasury will release a quarterly refinancing announcement next week, which is expected to re-accelerate the crypto bull market

On April 26, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes wrote on the X platform: "As expected, tax revenue increased by about $200 billion to the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA). Forget the Fed meeting in May. The refinancing announcement for the second quarter of 2024 will be announced next week. What strategy will Yellen adopt?
Here are a few options:
1. Stop issuing Treasury bonds by draining TGA to zero, which will inject $1 trillion of liquidity into the market.
2. Shift more borrowing to short-term Treasury bills, which will withdraw funds from reverse repurchase (RRP), equivalent to injecting $400 billion of liquidity into the market.
3. Combine options 1 and 2, do not issue long-term bonds, only issue short-term Treasury bills, and drain TGA and RRP at the same time, which will inject $1.4 trillion of liquidity into the market.
The impact of the Fed is negligible, and Yellen is a powerful character.
If any of the above three options occurs, the stock market is expected to rise, and most importantly, the cryptocurrency bull market will re-accelerate."
#美联储降息 $BTC

🌟Discussion on the relationship between the U.S. dollar index and Bitcoin trends🌟

Let’s focus on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), an indicator that essentially reflects the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to five other major currencies. Next, we want to analyze the trend relationship between DXY and Bitcoin price.

Historically, we have observed a significant phenomenon: when DXY rises, Bitcoin often performs poorly, usually either sideways or in a downward trend.

Taking 2020 as an example, before the last bull market started, DXY quickly fell back to around 90 after reaching a high of 102. However, during this time period, Bitcoin ushered in a strong rise. This can be verified from several arrow marks in the screenshot provided below.

This pattern shows that during periods of rising DXY, the Bitcoin price side tends to fall and vice versa. Therefore, some people believe that DXY can be regarded as a reverse indicator of Bitcoin.

🔍 But recently, things are a little different. Bitcoin has soared from US$24,000 to US$74,000, while DXY has made little movement and is still fluctuating sideways between 100 and 107. Looking back at the end of 2022, DXY is also 105, and Bitcoin is only about $16,000. What now? DXY is also 105, and Bitcoin has reached $60,000! Therefore, this change is definitely a positive sign for Bitcoin’s long-term trend.

💸 As the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in the second half of this year, if the DXY trend falls as predicted, Bitcoin may usher in a strong rise. Although the impact of DXY on Bitcoin is a long-term trend, judging from the current situation, the trend of Bitcoin is still quite stable.

At the same time, facing the fact that Bitcoin is currently at around 60,000, there is still a support level of 60,000, coupled with the strong support in the 58,000-60,000 range, and the support of the last Bitcoin low of more than 56,000, investment Investors should not panic at the current position.

Finally, when it comes to investing, everyone must always maintain a calm mind and make investment analysis and judgments based on data and past historical trends. This will definitely allow you to develop a good investment strategy in the investment market. and habits.

#美元指数 #比特币走势 #市场分析 #投资策略 #美联储降息

🕵️‍♂️ The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is imminent: A rate cut in November has become a foregone conclusion, and expectations for a rate cut in December are rising!

According to the latest data from CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in November is as high as 98.1%, while the likelihood of no rate cut is only 1.9%. It seems almost certain that there will be a rate cut in November.

Now let's take a look at December, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 29.5%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is even higher at 69.9%; the probability of no rate cut is only 0.5%, indicating that the possibility of no rate cut is extremely low. Therefore, it can be inferred that the Federal Reserve may implement two rate cuts before the end of the year.

🗣 Conclusion:

In summary, the rate cut in November seems to be a foregone conclusion, and the cumulative probability of rate cuts in December also indicates the Federal Reserve's determination to cut rates at least twice before the end of the year.

At the same time, adjustments in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy are expected to have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the stock market, bond market, and cryptocurrency market.

In this broader context, investors need to closely monitor policy trends to make more informed investment decisions.

💬 What are your views on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut measures? Will your investment strategy change in response to the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments?

#美联储降息 #货币政策 #CME美联储观察 #投资策略

Two interest rate decisions to watch in the next 12 hours:

◓ The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision between 1-2 AM Beijing time on the 19th

◓ The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision between 12-1 PM Beijing time on the 19th

#美联储降息 ，#日本央行降息

December 18th Cryptocurrency Market Important News Overview:

1. #BTC☀ Continues to Break New Highs: Bitcoin has risen for three consecutive days, reaching a peak of $108,353, very close to the $110,000 mark. Bitcoin is leading the market, while altcoins are performing weakly. Ethereum has dropped to around $3,870, Dogecoin has fallen to $3.88, and XRP has corrected to $2.56. However, HSk remains strong, reaching a new high of $2.2.

2. Bloomberg Analysts Predict: A wave of cryptocurrency ETFs is expected to be launched next year, with XRP and SOL likely following LTC and HBAR ETFs, becoming #重点关注 objects.

3. #MicroStrategy Market Cap Surge: If Bitcoin rises to $138,000, MicroStrategy's market cap will surpass that of Starbucks and Nike. MicroStrategy currently holds 439,000 Bitcoins, making it the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.

4. #BVNK Completes Financing: Stablecoin infrastructure platform BVNK successfully completed a $50 million Series B financing round, led by Haun Ventures.

5. #美联储降息 High Probability: The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is as high as 95.4%.

#合约挑战 5000u to 50000u The third day ended, and the current account has 6308.59u.

I was first taught a lesson by $ETH in the past two days, and then I got some back on various copycats! I have posted all the order-making processes on the square to tell everyone, if you can't keep up, think about why!

To be honest, this weekend's market is really boring, everyone should take a rest and have some fun, and if there is a chance, I will give you some benefits!

#美联储降息

$BTC

BTC plunged straight down, plunging 25% in 7 days, is the bull market still there?

Why did the Fed start to cut interest rates next month, and then it started to plummet wildly?

What is the essence behind it?

Is it an economic crisis caused by the recession? Or is it to buy high-quality assets at the bottom?

ETH SOL GFT PEPE WIF OP
Where can I buy at the bottom?

#美联储降息 #暴跌抄底

#美联储降息 can wait and observe. Cryptocurrency concept stocks have slightly declined.