It was mentioned a long time ago that you can intervene in the long orders of the June reversal, but the original expectation was that it would go south first to remove liquidity and then go north, but the outcome was to go north.
This pull-up was also ignited by two positive factors. One is the positive CPI data that strengthened the Fed's interest rate cut in September, and the other is the sudden Trump shooting incident, which is also closely related to the US election in November. But no matter what the news is, it is always news, and it will always be in line with the market movement. The improvement of market sentiment has appeased more and more people's hearts, and the market can be effectively and steadily promoted.
For the short term, I started with the Heyue order from 55,000 to 57,000. I will consider selling or profiting near the high point of the previous structure (63,800). There must be a point of reaction at this position, because the market sentiment has not reached a very hot point, and no more people are willing to pay the cost to take over the chips realized by the big sellers, so they can only be thrown to lower people to take on the subsequent risks. To put it simply, the first obvious correction of this rally can be roughly around 63,800. Since the market's confidence and enthusiasm have not yet fully recovered, more positive factors need to be implemented to completely inspire the market.
From a long-term perspective, it seems that everyone is sure of a rate cut in September and Trump's inauguration in November, but for some big buyers, even if these are potential positive factors, they are ultimately debatable. No one will pay for the risk, and they will have to wait for further positive factors to be implemented before they can make a decision. But no matter what, this potential positive factor cannot be ignored in driving the market to improve. As long as confidence is growing, long-term highs are not a big problem. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #特朗普遇袭 #美联储降息