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每日宏观分析，大盘走势解读，一起把握区块链时代的红利，公众号团子财经
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How crazy can the next bull market be? How to find 100x coins?
Let’s not mention it since it was too long ago. If we only look at the last bull market (2021-2022), Bitcoin was already halved for the third time. Bitcoin rose by up to eight times. After all, Bitcoin is already the number one cryptocurrency. The market value of big coins is already very high, and it is unlikely that they will rise dozens of times again. What about other coins?
The price of Ethereum that day was 188.6. It hit a historical high price of 4878 a year and a half later. It increased by 2486% in a year and a half, about 25 times. This was not a small coin that had just started. It was already the second largest Ethereum coin at that time. currency.
If we look further down, Cardano, ADA, which was ranked thirteenth at the time, had a price of 0.04768 that day. It also hit a historical high price of 3.09 about a year and a half later. It increased by 6380%, nearly 64 times, in a year and a half.
The price of Ethereum that day was 188.6. It hit a historical high price of 4878 a year and a half later. It increased by 2486% in a year and a half, about 25 times. This was not a small coin that had just started. It was already the second largest Ethereum coin at that time. currency.
If we look further down, Cardano, ADA, which was ranked thirteenth at the time, had a price of 0.04768 that day. It also hit a historical high price of 3.09 about a year and a half later. It increased by 6380%, nearly 64 times, in a year and a half.
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How to spend the time in the cryptocurrency world? Don’t watch the market every day to see your account shrink.
In the face of the general trend, individuals are always insignificant. Buffett became the "God of Stocks" because he was born in the United States and invested in U.S. stocks; the rise of China's wealthy class is riding on the east wind of China's reform and opening up over the past 40 years; some people get dozens of times or even higher returns by investing in altcoins/MEME coins because the rise of Bitcoin has driven market sentiment and brought in incremental funds...
But if the entire market is facing headwinds, no matter how hard an individual tries, it will be of no avail.
In the investment market, "junk time" is particularly vivid.
Taking Bitcoin as an example, most of the gains are concentrated in a few months, and the gains in those months are concentrated in a few days.
But if the entire market is facing headwinds, no matter how hard an individual tries, it will be of no avail.
In the investment market, "junk time" is particularly vivid.
Taking Bitcoin as an example, most of the gains are concentrated in a few months, and the gains in those months are concentrated in a few days.
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If you can't find the real bottom, the best way for retail investors is to enter the market in batches.
Is now the time to rush to buy the dips?
Although the market implied volatility is currently at a low level, it has been on an upward trend in recent years. This shows that market sentiment is beginning to become more unstable. Although panic has not yet occurred, irrational emotions are likely to spread.
The opportunity to buy the bottom (the real bottom, but extremely difficult) comes after the real panic occurs
When there is a real panic in the market, prices tend to fall significantly below the intrinsic value of the asset. This is the best time for bargain hunters to exit, as they can buy high-value assets at very attractive prices. Investors should remain calm and wait for further developments in the market to seize the real bargain hunting opportunities.
Although the market implied volatility is currently at a low level, it has been on an upward trend in recent years. This shows that market sentiment is beginning to become more unstable. Although panic has not yet occurred, irrational emotions are likely to spread.
The opportunity to buy the bottom (the real bottom, but extremely difficult) comes after the real panic occurs
When there is a real panic in the market, prices tend to fall significantly below the intrinsic value of the asset. This is the best time for bargain hunters to exit, as they can buy high-value assets at very attractive prices. Investors should remain calm and wait for further developments in the market to seize the real bargain hunting opportunities.
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Newbies are running away with losses, while veterans are as steady as old dogs. Is there any chance for the market in the future?
As the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the key support of $60,000, a wave of panic selling began in the market. Today, Bitcoin fell below $55,000, with a low of $53,485 and a high of $54,283 at the time of writing.
Who is selling behind this wave of selling? On-chain data shows that most of the selling came from novice investors who just entered the market this year. They were forced out in this "horizontal summer" and fled at a loss.
Institutional data: Newbies flee at a loss
Since the launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF in January, new investors have sprung up like mushrooms after rain, but these investors are not stable long-term holders.
Who is selling behind this wave of selling? On-chain data shows that most of the selling came from novice investors who just entered the market this year. They were forced out in this "horizontal summer" and fled at a loss.
Institutional data: Newbies flee at a loss
Since the launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF in January, new investors have sprung up like mushrooms after rain, but these investors are not stable long-term holders.
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Bitcoin breaks down and plummets again. Will the non-farm payrolls be good or bad in the evening? Will the bull run fast?
After Bitcoin hovered above the 60,000 integer mark for several days, the market finally chose to "accelerate" downward today, falling through more than 58,000 and 57,000 integer marks in succession, and the lowest intraday price once dropped to 55,000 US dollars, hitting a new low in nearly two months. Ethereum fell below 3,000 for the first time in three months to 2,890 US dollars. Driven by the two, the crypto market ushered in a general decline. In the Binance USDT market, there were less than ten non-stable currency assets with positive gains in the past 24 hours, and most altcoins hit new lows...
In the past 12 hours, the total liquidation was US$589 million, of which US$510 million was long positions, and a large number of long positions were liquidated.
In the past 12 hours, the total liquidation was US$589 million, of which US$510 million was long positions, and a large number of long positions were liquidated.
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At present, it is still the same as what I said two days ago. Maintain your 50% position and pay attention to the data tonight. If it is good news, you can add 10% appropriately, but there is a high probability that there will be bad news along with the market. If there is a sharp drop and a big spike, boldly enter the market and add two layers of positions. If it falls slowly, then continue to stay put and look for opportunities to add more.
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Will Bitcoin continue to rise in July? Why did it suffer a setback at the beginning of the month?
Despite continued positive price action for major cryptocurrencies and U.S. stocks, confidence in altcoins appears to be at an unusually low level. Expectations instilled by previous cycles have left many investors disappointed with altcoin performance in this bull run, and portfolio returns have stagnated.
Looking at historical data, Bitcoin (BTC) has tended to perform well in July, with an average performance of +7.39%, compared to June’s average return of -6.96% over the past five years.
Although July has performed well historically, the cyclical nature of the market suggests that August and September may be weaker. Are there any opportunities for us to seize in July? Will the falling market really reverse in July?
Looking at historical data, Bitcoin (BTC) has tended to perform well in July, with an average performance of +7.39%, compared to June’s average return of -6.96% over the past five years.
Although July has performed well historically, the cyclical nature of the market suggests that August and September may be weaker. Are there any opportunities for us to seize in July? Will the falling market really reverse in July?
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In this round of bull market, the fundamentals of cottages have changed too much, but if we put cottages aside and look at the overall market, it is not very bad. It’s just that most people have cottages in their hands, and they are killed by this disgusting cottage market. Everyone is experiencing such a cottage market for the first time. Recently, big whales have started to hoard coins on a large scale at this position. This also happened when Bitcoin was around 20,000 in 2020. Then the most important stage of the bull market began.
The second half of the bull market is very important, and there will be many positives in the future. ETH’s ETF will be launched, and funds will enter the market, which will far exceed the first half. I still think that the more bloody the current washing is, the more gorgeous the fireworks will be in the future. As long as you don’t buy high-inflation tokens, don’t be afraid to hold the spot, you will be fine.
The second half of the bull market is very important, and there will be many positives in the future. ETH’s ETF will be launched, and funds will enter the market, which will far exceed the first half. I still think that the more bloody the current washing is, the more gorgeous the fireworks will be in the future. As long as you don’t buy high-inflation tokens, don’t be afraid to hold the spot, you will be fine.
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The Federal Reserve is in no hurry to cut interest rates, and the Bitcoin price has reached 58,000 again. Should we increase or reduce our positions?
The minutes of the Fed's FOMC meeting on June 11-12 showed that policymakers agreed on price stability, but there was no consensus among Fed officials on how many months of good inflation data would be needed to start cutting interest rates. Some officials believed in being patient before taking action, and some officials said that rate hikes were still under discussion.
Bitcoin lost the $62,000 support level in the early hours of Wednesday morning, hitting a low of $59,515 before bullish forces pushed it back above $60,000. However, bears continued to exert downward pressure, and this morning, Bitcoin hit the $58,000 level again, down nearly 5% in 24 hours.
Bitcoin lost the $62,000 support level in the early hours of Wednesday morning, hitting a low of $59,515 before bullish forces pushed it back above $60,000. However, bears continued to exert downward pressure, and this morning, Bitcoin hit the $58,000 level again, down nearly 5% in 24 hours.
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Hidden opportunities to get rich in July? 3 undervalued small coins
In July, although Bitcoin rebounded from its lows, the Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index remained in the neutral range, indicating that investors are uncertain about the future market trend. Even if the market performs mediocrely, there are still many altcoins with the potential to soar.
3 hidden treasure altcoins that are undervalued by the market but may bring profits in July. They are for reference only and are not intended as an investment basis.
MANTRA (OM): The RWA Token That Hasn’t Been Paying Attention Yet
MANTRA (OM) is a public chain project in the real world asset (RWA) track, providing a secure and scalable infrastructure with the goal of creating a highly liquid RWA permissioned dApp ecosystem on a permissionless chain.
3 hidden treasure altcoins that are undervalued by the market but may bring profits in July. They are for reference only and are not intended as an investment basis.
MANTRA (OM): The RWA Token That Hasn’t Been Paying Attention Yet
MANTRA (OM) is a public chain project in the real world asset (RWA) track, providing a secure and scalable infrastructure with the goal of creating a highly liquid RWA permissioned dApp ecosystem on a permissionless chain.
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If altcoins want to take off, they must wait until Bitcoin and Ethereum reach new highs
Why do I always believe that the crazy bull market has not come yet? Based on the long-term analysis of BTC and ETH/BTC trends, compared with the previous bull market.
In the comparative trend chart from 2019 to 2022, we can find that:
1. In 2020, BTC started the third wave of the main rise two months after the halving;
2. Bitcoin market share (BTC-D) peaked in December 2020, seven months after the halving, and then began to decline;
3. ETH/BTC also hit bottom in December 2020, and as the king of altcoins, ETH’s trend began to strengthen;
4. In this round of bull market, the trend is faster than that in 2021, so it is speculated that BTC-D is expected to peak in October, six months after the halving, and the range is predicted to be 57%-60%.
In the comparative trend chart from 2019 to 2022, we can find that:
1. In 2020, BTC started the third wave of the main rise two months after the halving;
2. Bitcoin market share (BTC-D) peaked in December 2020, seven months after the halving, and then began to decline;
3. ETH/BTC also hit bottom in December 2020, and as the king of altcoins, ETH’s trend began to strengthen;
4. In this round of bull market, the trend is faster than that in 2021, so it is speculated that BTC-D is expected to peak in October, six months after the halving, and the range is predicted to be 57%-60%.
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Why do some people who used to support the coin every day now start to say it is garbage? They were supporting it a lot at the high point, but now it has fallen to shit and they are starting to slander it as garbage. Next time, they will say it is garbage when it just falls. $ETHFI $WLD $ENA
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Short-term effective support? Funding pressure is the decisive factor
After BTC fell all the way to $58,400 last week, the trading volume was effectively increased and gained strong support. After a four-day rebound, it gradually approached the $64,000 mark. Coinbase's weekly trading volume increased by 31% month-on-month. The market followed the trend and formed the second largest chip accumulation point of 479,000 BTC at $61,000. The first chip accumulation point was $16,000, which is where this round of bull market started.
Once again, the short-term investor breakeven support was validated. After a short-term loss liquidation, the market is at the bottom of the mid-line. However, the market still needs to work hard to return to the latest breakeven point of $64,400.
Once again, the short-term investor breakeven support was validated. After a short-term loss liquidation, the market is at the bottom of the mid-line. However, the market still needs to work hard to return to the latest breakeven point of $64,400.
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$ETHFI This piece of shit is really rubbish. It has never gone up since I bought it. All the Ethereum ecosystem stocks have gone up, but this one is going down. Should I sell it? It’s urgent. I have the ability to sell quickly. Basically, I will sell it as soon as I sell it.
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