#加密市场急跌

The cryptocurrency market reversed last night: US stocks fell, but Bitcoin did not follow suit. Is the bull market back?

The cryptocurrency market performed well last night. Even though US stocks fell, Bitcoin did not follow suit. Does this mean the bull market is back?

My prediction for the next market:

In the short term: Bitcoin’s highest point should not exceed 60,000, and it is expected to fluctuate between 50,000 and 60,000.

Outlook for September: There is a high probability that interest rates will be cut, and Bitcoin may fall below 45,000 or even below 40,000.

Long-term forecast: After a period of adjustment, the bull market will be officially launched.

Summary: Although the market may fluctuate or even fall in the short term, the bull market can still be expected in the long run.

This is just a personal opinion, for reference only, and not as an investment advice.

#JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓 #BTC走势分析

Daily market analysis, (leave): ww 8795356, high-quality potential currency recommendation.
(Jun Yang's early review strategy analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum from Monday to Saturday, long-term irregular recommendation of high-quality individual coins and live broadcast analysis) Focus on the main business and don't get lost

Is it possible to buy the bottom after rebounding from an oversold situation?

After Bitcoin fell below $50,000 twice yesterday, the market was originally worried that BTC would continue to fall as the US stock market opened in the evening. However, the market was always unexpected. It started to rise after 21:30 last night. Written by At that time, it reached US$55,555, and the decline in the past 24 hours narrowed to about 3%.

8.6 Several issues that need to be understood during this wave of bargain hunting

1. Rebound target: BTC will increase by at least 30% and return to above 64,000, and ETH will return to above 3,000. It will be at least a weekly rebound, and there is also a certain probability of hitting a record high and starting a new weekly main wave.

Is 2.49000 the bottom? Even if it is not the bottom, it is not far from the bottom. The bigger the market bottom, the more solid it is. It is possible to check twice or even three times, or even hit a slightly new low. If you buy the spot at the bottom yesterday, hold it safely, with a good pattern, and take profit immediately on the contract.

3. Which coins to buy? BTC/ETH/SOL, a small amount of ETH series/SOL series strong copycats, BTC had the second largest single-day liquidation since the bull market yesterday, and ETH had the largest single-day liquidation since the bull market. The more explosions, the lighter the car.

#美联储何时降息？ #BTC☀ #加密市场急跌 #Babylon主网将上线 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Elon Musk takes a hard line on the Fed's rate cut: This move is really stupid

Elon Musk, the boss of Tesla, SpaceX and X, also expressed his views on the Fed's rate cut. Yesterday, he tweeted bluntly: "The Fed should cut interest rates. It's really stupid that they're slow to do so." Musk also expressed his interest in Istanbul in another tweet.

As one of the most successful and richest people in the world, Musk has also joined the ranks of those who are dissatisfied with the Fed's failure to cut interest rates in time. He wrote on Twitter: "Warren Buffett currently has $277 billion in cash, which could have immediately gained from large-cap stocks." He further pointed out in a reply to the tweet.

"It's really stupid that they didn't act in time"

In response to the tweet, Musk said: "Buffett is obviously waiting for the market to correct, or he thinks that these funds will be more valuable in bonds than stocks. But in any case, the Fed must cut interest rates. It's really stupid that they didn't consider this move until now."

At this stage, the market basically opens a position every time it goes down! If you don't know which ones to choose, then click on my avatar and follow me! There is no need to sell, and every subsequent downturn will be replenished.

$BTC $ETH $BNB
#加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？

$BTC

The Fed may cut interest rates ahead of schedule,

The risk of economic recession is increasing

The rate cut may reach

More than 50 basis points

The Fed's core task is to block the recession feedback loop between the market

and the real economy

Market expectations are pessimistic. To avoid recession,

The Fed may cut interest rates ahead of schedule,

and the rate cut may reach more than 50 basis points,

aiming to nip the recession cycle in the bud.

#加密市场急跌
#美国7月非农就业增长放缓
#BTC走势分析
#美联储何时降息？

I don't know why, but this time the decline suddenly became easier, an unprecedented feeling. I am more confident about the end of September and October, and there is no market that keeps falling.

Everyone is looking forward to 312 and the recession. Will the market really go this way?

Before 312 in 2020, there was a halving bull market. But this time there is no halving bull market. The market has been sluggish.

#加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓

Smoke bomb,

It's been hard for leeks today, it doesn't matter if it's not important or not.

#加密市场急跌

Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) face challenges, but at the same time, market expectations for the popular meme coin’s continued growth remain high.

The two major corrections that occurred this year (respectively known as the "519" incident) showed that although Bitcoin experienced significant price fluctuations after hitting all-time highs, the overall market sentiment was not seriously affected.

Recent analysis suggests that Bitcoin may face deeper correction pressure due to massive selling activity by miners and widespread profit-taking. In addition, Ethereum's exchange rate with Bitcoin has been on a downward trend since September 2022, which has also made the market uneasy about its future performance.

However, for meme coins, such as Dogecoin, the market situation may be very different. Both BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes and Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal are optimistic about the launch of the Dogecoin ETF and predict that it will be possible by the end of the market cycle. This optimism is largely based on the high growth rates of meme coins such as Dogecoin over the years.

Therefore, although mainstream cryptocurrencies are facing adjustments and uncertainties, some observers still hold a positive attitude towards the market prospects of meme coins and look forward to their future development. (Early review strategy analysis of Bitcoin BTC and Ethereum eth every Monday to Saturday, long-term recommendation of high-quality individual coins and live broadcast analysis) K Introduction #加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓

The income is still guaranteed regardless of whether the price goes up or down, and we are not afraid even if you unplug the network cable.
$BTC #加密市场急跌

$BTC

Dreams are always out of reach

Reality is always so cruel

After today's decline, I have decided to change my car. Let's take a look at this car 👇👇👇👇👇❓

Today's decline is very rare, like a big wave that has not been seen in many years. At this time, we have to stay stable and use our smart money bags to buy at the bottom. Don't go all in. You have to do it in batches and slowly. You have to keep some surplus in your hands. Don't move about 20% of the position. This is a safety cushion.

Think about it, if $ETH really slides to 500U a piece, and you don't have a U in your pocket, you will feel bad, like you missed the ticket to become a billionaire. But we have to have confidence that in the long run, the bull market will come back, and often those sudden "black swans" are like keys that can open the door to the main rising wave of the bull market.

So, don't panic, stay calm, we can win!


#加密市场急跌
#BTC走势分析
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
#美联储何时降息？

August 5th VIP Bitcoin seventh wave:
(August 5 15:44) Bitcoin long near 52700,
Sell near 54500, close 1800 points, close 66000u
Ether 2354 synchronous long, 2450 sell, Ethereum close 100 points
Close 82000wU

When the opinions on the news are one-sided, you should calmly stand on the opposite side of them. ​​​#加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Have a good rest, sleep with empty positions, and fight again tomorrow #加密市场急跌

Can the reversal come? Bitcoin has reached a critical position. The 15-minute and 1-hour levels form a bottom pattern. Next, there may be a callback line at 52,500 points, which is also the point of reversal of long orders. If it goes up directly, there will be consolidation in the later period. This market is really extreme. #加密市场急跌

When you have experienced tears and sweat, you will understand that it is not easy to get flowers and applause. There is no success without reason in this world. Your efforts today determine your position and status tomorrow. The big cake fell in volume near 58,000 in the morning, and rebounded to 48,888 in the afternoon. In the evening, as the US stock market opened low and went high, the price ratio recovered strongly and tested the 55,000 line. The intraday volatility is nearly 10,000 points. Our layout also perfectly grasped today's market. We have been reminding everyone not to buy the bottom since the morning. The market is the same as the strategy we gave. It has been shorting all day and it has been easy to grasp the temporary change of market and long in the evening. In this market, a total of 12 orders of big cake concubines were arranged during the day, five shorts and one long, and the big cakes and concubines had a total of 11,504 points of space, and the concubines had a total of 839 points of space. Such a big market is basically grasped, and it still does not reflect strength? When it was 60,000, we reminded everyone not to buy the bottom? Who should be blamed for the helmet bamboo shoots in the end?

The four-hour line turned positive and went up to recover the intraday diving space. The current rest returned to the upper track. It was also reminded during the day that the rest would give such a market. With such a rapid dive during the day, the recovery of the bulls must not be slow. As the market gradually corrected, the current indicator line of the market also returned to normal. From the one-hour line, the continuous positive surged upward, and the K-line operation range was pulled up to the middle and upper tracks. The transformation of long and short positions will also usher in changes. The current long orders recovered slightly, and the idea at midnight can be mainly to withdraw and take long positions.

Big cake can be more at 54000-54500, with a target near 56000. More at 2380-2440, with a target near 2530. #加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

How to correctly face losses in trading?

Losses in trading are like cutting meat with a knife, and the pain is like boiling a frog in warm water. If it is not cut in half, most people will not feel pain.

In market transactions, especially contracts. Losses are an indispensable part. But what is a reasonable loss? For example, if you set a 10% loss for a transaction, it is reasonable, but if you trade frequently and the stop loss is also 10%, then your trading confidence will undoubtedly be greatly reduced. You lost 10% today, and lost three times in a day. Do you feel a little hurt? Will you be timid later? Suddenly there is a smooth market, then you will miss it.

Each loss you make is for you to summarize and improve your trading methods, rather than saying that after making a mistake, if you don’t find the mistake, you continue to make mistakes. It’s actually the same whether you make one or 100 times, just repeating the process, and vice versa.

So it’s not terrible to make losses in trading. What’s terrible is that the mentality towards losses becomes bad, which leads to deformation of trading. No one enters the trading market to lose money. Everyone wants to get rich returns in the market, but any transaction requires time to gain experience and eventually find a trading strategy that suits them.

There is no god in this market. What we have is to go through countless market baptisms to get the success we want. If we hold on to the idea that we cannot lose money when we enter the market, then exiting is the best choice.

Only when you can accept that losses are also part of trading. Think about losing before you win, and know how much loss you can accept, then you will put down your burden in the transaction, and only when you put down your burden can you travel light.

Pay attention to Lao K and make yourself improve a little bit every day. #加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

The ETH market has recently experienced a round of large-scale whale liquidation, which makes people speculate whether the giants of BTC and SOL will also face a similar fate? Market trends appear to be heading in this direction.

BTC is currently leading the overall market downward, while SOL has also fallen below the key support level on the daily chart. The two have joined hands to pull many altcoins into a downward trajectory. The situation is quite serious, and the risk of serial liquidation cannot be ignored.

This round of decline and liquidation has significantly weakened the purchasing power of bulls. Only through the acceleration effect of leveraged liquidation or the large-scale liquidation of short positions can we see a turnaround. When both of these situations will occur is still unknown.

Although some investors are trying to buy on dips, the current trading volume is not enough to support a rapid V-shaped reversal. More people choose to sell or maintain short positions out of fear, and the market has a strong wait-and-see sentiment.

Continue to observe patiently, the real bottom of the market may appear when the next sentiment changes.
#加密市场急跌 #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Technical analysis of Bitcoin
The current technical performance of Bitcoin is relatively pessimistic. The price has fallen below the important support range and may continue to fall in the short term. The following is a specific analysis:
RSI indicator
The current RSI index has fallen to around 25 and entered the oversold range. In theory, there is usually a rebound demand when the oversold range is touched, but the strength and sustainability of the rebound need to be observed whether it can return to the key range.
Key range position
US$55,000 (weekly range key position)
This is the lowest line position of the weekly oscillation range. If the price can rebound and stabilize above this position, the decline may be weakened.
US$57,355 (daily range key position)
This is the lowest line position of the daily oscillation range. If the price can rebound and stabilize above this position, the decline will be weakened to the greatest extent, and market confidence will be restored.
Monthly support
The most effective recent support level of the monthly line is currently around US$42,000. If the decline continues, the price may test this support level.
Market noise and unknown factors
Asian trading time factor: The market is currently in the Asian trading time, with high volatility and full of uncertainty. U.S. stock market opening: The performance of the U.S. stock market opening tonight may have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin. It is necessary to pay close attention to whether the U.S. stock market will bring down the crypto market. Geopolitical factors: Sudden events such as the escalation of conflicts between Iran and Israel may also affect market sentiment and capital flows.
Summary
Although the technical performance of Bitcoin is relatively pessimistic at present, some technical indicators show the potential for a rebound. If the price can rebound and stabilize above the key range, the decline may be alleviated. However, the market is still full of uncertainty, and it is necessary to pay attention to the impact of factors such as the opening of the U.S. stock market and geopolitics on the market. Investors are advised to remain cautious in the current market environment, reasonably control their positions, and do a good job of risk management.

#加密市场急跌 #BTC走势预测 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

You really don't know until you see it, and you'll be shocked when you see it!

The increase in Bitcoin (BTC) after it was approved by the ETF is highly correlated with the Nikkei Index. If there is logic behind this correlation, then the only possibility I can guess is that a large number of yen-based carry trades (Carry Trade) entered the US market and directly purchased BTC spot through ETFs. In other words, a considerable portion of the current total inflow of US$17.5 billion in ETFs may come from funds lent by Japan.

In other words, BTC's spot ETF seems to have leverage or holding costs? If the yen continues to raise interest rates, will there be net outflows from the ETF?

To verify this possibility, we can observe the net inflows of ETFs in the past week. If the ETF begins to experience unstoppable net outflows after the yen raises interest rates, it can be confirmed that a considerable proportion of the current ETF's total holdings of US$17.5 billion are from yen funds!

This is not friendly to the cryptocurrency market, because these funds will continue to increase their holding costs as the yen interest rate rises. When the spread formed by carry trades cannot cover the costs brought about by the interest rate hike, a large amount of funds will flow out of the ETF, causing the price of BTC to fall further. This is something we extremely don’t want to see.

At present, it seems more reliable to trade BTC by watching the Nikkei index than by watching the US stock market! #加密市场急跌 #JumpTrading转移资产 #美国7月非农就业增长放缓

I was on a business trip in recent days and missed the market analysis. However, I still got some benefits from this big market. As long as the students follow the market, they will have good profits. #加密市场急跌 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？