Is Bitcoin about to break through the 80,000 mark? 3 cryptocurrencies will explode 100 times in the future!
1. Pepecoin (PEPE) - $3.511 million market value
Pepecoin, a rising star in international exchanges, has become the focus of the world! As the representative of meme coins, it has achieved an astonishing increase of more than 500% in just three months, and its performance in 2024 is even more remarkable.
With the advancement of the Bitcoin halving event, Pepe's upward momentum may accelerate again, and setting a new record high is not an empty talk!
2. Dog Hat Coin (WIF) - $2.901 million market value
Looking back to December 2023, the dog hat coin was only worth $0.004. After entering 2024, it rose rapidly like a wild horse, investors' enthusiasm increased day by day, and the market was bullish.
It is predicted that the value of the dog hat coin is about to usher in explosive growth, and breaking through the $5 mark is just around the corner!
3. Frogcoin (BOME) - $738 million market value (lowest)
Speaking of Frogcoin, we have to mention its leading position in the SOL ecosystem. With the strong rise of SOL, many projects in the ecosystem have also ushered in spring, and Bome is one of the best, and is expected to become the next Ordi, leading the market to achieve greater success. What is even more exciting is that Bome's recent wash seems to be coming to an end, which means that it is about to usher in an explosive period. In the upcoming bull market, Bome is expected to achieve an amazing increase of 10 times or even 100 times! In addition, future artist auctions will use Bome as a means of payment and destroy it. This innovative application will undoubtedly add more imagination.
Brothers, this is incredible. The inverted U.S. Treasury savings rate has been inverted since July 2022 and has lasted for more than 2 years, becoming the longest record in history. This week, the savings rate was finally officially lifted, but the market began to worry. According to historical experience, there will be a high probability of substantial economic growth. Will history repeat itself at this time?
Here Xiaolong will explain in detail what is going on. Yanzu and Reba should all know that under normal circumstances, the longer the bond, the longer it takes to get the principal back. In the process, due to the risk of the benchmark (for example: inflation, war), the interest rate is usually higher. However, if the short-term bond yield > long-term bond yield due to economic expectations, central bank policies (this time the FED quickly raised short-term interest rates in a short period of time to curb deflation after the epidemic), liquidity demand and other reasons, it is called the central bank interest rate inversion.
According to WGB data, the US 2-year Treasury savings rate is 3.654% and the 10-year Treasury savings rate is 3.716%. This is the first time since July 2022 that the 10-year Treasury savings rate has closed at the 2-year Treasury savings rate, which means that after 793 days of the longest inversion in history, the savings rate has officially been lifted.
It is worth noting that from the historical data chart, it can be seen that the United States has experienced a total of five economic and foreign exchange crises since the 1980s, and interest rate inversions have occurred before. This inevitably makes the market begin to worry whether history will repeat itself this time, such as the AI bubble burst?
1981-1982: The outbreak of the second oil crisis caused inflation to rise again, and the strong monetary tightening of the US central bank caused the economy to enter recession again.
1990-1991: Monetary policy tightening, coupled with the revenue shock caused by the Persian Gulf War, pushed up inflation again.
2001: The Internet technology bubble, coupled with the impact of the 9/11 incident. 2008~2009: US real estate credit collapsed and financial crisis broke out 2020: COVID-19 spreads and global lockdown So, Yan Zu and Reba, the crisis is getting closer but the opportunity is also getting closer. Everyone should protect their wallets, otherwise they will be left without a chance to fight.
At present, the general market expectation at the macro level is a 25 basis point rate cut
According to CME "Fed Watch", after the Bureau of Labor Statistics released unemployment data this week, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 70%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 30%.
Is it bottoming out or will it continue to fall? Don't guess, just wait until September 18th to know. It is not recommended to move during this period. At most, you can make short-term intraday orders and wait and see conservatively. September is a trend guided by news and policies!
Whales are adding to these coins!
$AAVE As Aave's trading price reached $130, Aave's founder sold $6 million worth of Aave tokens, and Aave's huge investors began to buy frantically.
In a series of recent events, two Aave whales ignored the market noise and boldly bought up to $2.2 million worth of Aave tokens.
$WIF Now let's talk about the second token. Shockingly, whales are frantically buying WIF meme tokens. The largest holder of WIF spent $1.54 million USDC to buy 800,556 WIF tokens at $1.92. There is always a chance for a surge in the cryptocurrency market. The key is whether you still have USDT when the market comes. Treat it rationally and refuse FOMO!
How long does it usually take to rise after a rate cut? The duration of the rise depends on market sentiment
The rise of Bitcoin in the rate cut cycle can often last from a few months to a year. How long it lasts depends on the market's liquidity, investors' risk appetite, and economic fundamentals. For example, in 2020, Bitcoin rebounded from its low point in March and rose to its high point in April 2021, with an increase of more than 1,500% during this period.
If the interest rate is cut in 2024, how might Bitcoin perform?
Looking back at the previous two rate cut cycles, Bitcoin's price performance has exceeded that of US stocks. The market usually begins to show an upward trend within 1 to 3 months after the rate cut, and this upward cycle can last for several months to nearly a year.
In the previous two rate cut cycles, Bitcoin's increase reached 240% and 400% respectively. If this trend is followed, the increase after this rate cut may exceed 100%, that is, the price of Bitcoin has the opportunity to exceed $100,000.
Of course, the price of Bitcoin is very volatile, and the specific increase and duration will be affected by market sentiment and the macroeconomic environment. Therefore, even if the interest rate cut may drive up the price of Bitcoin, everyone still needs to seize the opportunity, formulate their own investment strategy, and pay close attention to the dynamics of the global economy.
In addition, 80% of the selling pressure in Mentougou has been digested, and now there are only more than 30,000 Bitcoins left in the Mentougou wallet. If the market fluctuates for a few more days, it may usher in a wave of rebound.
Next, pay special attention to the CPI data released at 8:30 pm on Wednesday, which will be the last important data before the Federal Reserve's September interest rate meeting. Before the release of CPI data, big funds are unlikely to make big moves. If the CPI data is in line with expectations or stronger, the currency circle may still fall; on the contrary, if the data is not as expected, the currency circle may start to rebound.
Musk is stirring up trouble again? Trump is also joining in the fun. Dogecoin surges 0.12%. Is it a bull market trap or a rebound?
The weekend market was not very volatile, with Dogecoin's price rising slightly by 0.12% to $0.095. Recently, due to a post shared by Musk on the X platform, the abbreviation of this department happens to be DOGE, so Dogecoin rebounded from the previous $0.09. However, facing the long-term resistance level, it is hard to say whether this rebound can be sustained. Trump and Musk team up to boost Dogecoin's rise
Former President Trump mentioned in a speech at the Economic Club of New York that if he is re-elected, he will work with Tesla founder Musk to form a "Government Efficiency Commission." Musk then stood up for the proposal on X and sent a tweet with an AI picture of him and the DOGE abbreviation.
CPI is about to be released, and Bitcoin's rally is underway
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which will be released the day after the US presidential debate, is becoming the focus of the market. The current expectation is that the CPI will drop sharply from 2.9% to 2.6%, which may provide a reasonable basis for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Given that the Fed's current interest rate range is 5.25%-5.50%, any interest rate above 3% is considered to be tightening policy, and the expected interest rate adjustment may be as high as 200 basis points. This view is also supported by the expected downward adjustment of the two-year Treasury yield, which is expected to fall by 160 basis points. Unless the CPI data remains above 2.9%, a 50 basis point rate cut is almost certain.
Previously, the market predicted that there would be as many as six rate cuts in 2024, but at the March FOMC meeting, Fed Chairman Powell emphasized that given the complex situation of inflation and economic growth, rate cuts require a more flexible strategy.
At the same time, he also admitted that it is becoming more difficult to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation target. Bitcoin hit an all-time high when the March CPI data exceeded expectations, but then fell sharply after the FOMC meeting, highlighting the critical importance of the next 10 days for the market.
Since the March meeting, inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have slowed. Although inflows have recovered in May and July, the average entry price of ETFs is still close to $60,000.
Currently, about $17 billion in inflows are facing a loss of $2 billion as Bitcoin's current price fluctuates around $53,000. This week's presidential debate may alleviate some of the uncertainty related to the election, but the upcoming FOMC meeting may further increase market volatility, and the Fed's concerns about downside risks to the economy are unsettling.
After a sharp drop last week, Bitcoin prices are looking for signs of a rebound. Currently, two of the three reversal indicators have recovered from oversold conditions, indicating that a rebound is expected in the short term.
Historical data shows that the stochastic indicator has reached similar levels when Bitcoin approached lows in the past three times, and this rebound may be inevitable.
The three altcoins with the most potential for 100x growth in this bull market!
There are still ten days before the interest rate cut, and a reversal seems basically impossible. A new low may be hit before or during the interest rate cut, causing the funds after the interest rate cut to fall out of cost-effectiveness. In particular, the U.S. stock market also has this trend. The cost-effectiveness is too low. If it does not fall out of cost-effectiveness, funds will surely flee. Therefore, it is best to operate with caution in this week or so, keep the principal, and don't let the bull market come and you lose everything and sigh in despair!
HIM Uniswap Labs recently reached a settlement with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), agreeing to pay a $175,000 fine as part of a settlement. The platform was accused of allowing illegal leveraged trading of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Today, September 9, if BTC falls below 5.2W in volume, the situation will be somewhat dangerous. At present, the weekly line closes at around 5.4, which is still above a key support level, indicating that the bulls still have a strong backing force.
Many people in the market are now looking at the big cake below 4.5W, which reminds me of September-October 2023, when everyone was shouting for a second bottoming out and returning to 1.9W, but in the end there was a wave of crazy rise. History may not be exactly the same, but it will be surprisingly similar. At present, many people are very panicked, no one dares to buy the cottage, and the long orders continue to be liquidated in large amounts. These are consistent, so my personal opinion is: the market will continue to rise. So, if you really want to hoard the big cake, 5.4W is worth starting with, and the cottage is the same. It has been cut in half and cut in half again. It is absolutely worthwhile to take out some small money to lay out. This week is a very critical week. Last week's weekly closing was not beautiful, but it was not bad. It was stable at 5.4W. It is still worth looking forward to mid-September.
Today, let's talk about the basic logic of holding this coin and why this rate of return is sufficient.
1. It comes from the recognition of public chain projects in the past few years. So far, the public chain projects I have participated in have returned at least a dozen times and at most hundreds of times. SUI has already returned ten times, and the probability of holding it at 0 cost is very high!
2. A round of financing of 300 million US dollars, this data beats all previous hot projects, the financing background is extremely strong, and the probability of eventually going out of the circle is very high.
3. The content narrative range is broad, and combined with the previous financing, the pattern is directly opened. As a public chain project, it is currently almost tailor-made for the 100-fold series in terms of configuration! (Of course, the 100-fold I said is from the lowest point to the highest point in the secondary market, don't get me wrong.)
4. The team lineup is extremely luxurious, and the core members are real professionals + professionals, which is in sharp contrast to the wild chicken projects on Twitter that can be seen through at a glance.
5. Technological leadership, the extremely high performance on the chain directly creates a generation gap compared to the current computing. Simply put, it is like entering the 5G era from the 4G era overnight.
6. Total value locked, that is, TVL data, can be simply understood as the amount of funds in the liquidity pool. It has now exceeded 600 million US dollars and is growing. Those who are interested can understand what this data means when it occurs in a new project.
On the eve of the interest rate cut, are there new opportunities for public chain projects?
The blockchain industry is ever-changing, and the public chain sector has always been the focus. Think about it, since the birth of blockchain, who doesn't want to get a piece of the pie in the hot land of public chain? A successful public chain not only has a good harvest of funds and popularity, but also can lead the market trend.
Back then, when the Ethereum chain came out, smart contracts blossomed everywhere, and issuing coins became commonplace. Binance Chain became popular, and thousands of projects were launched a day. Up-and-coming companies such as SOL have made Layer2 technology flourish, and low fees and high speed have become the new trend. Behind these projects are countless wealth myths, small investments and big returns, which have attracted many people to invest in blockchain.
But since the FTX incident, SOL has been in a slump, and other new public chain projects have also suffered. APT, ARB, CORE, etc., sound high-end, but the prices have been falling all the way, and retail investors are saying that they don't understand. Why? The market is short of money, and high-market-value projects can no longer hold on; institutions hold many positions, and retail investors have no chance to pick up bargains, so their enthusiasm naturally dissipates. To learn more about the logic of cryptocurrency investment, please visit my homepage! 🌟
So now, are we retail investors out of luck? Don't worry, there are still opportunities. Although there are few projects in the primary market, there is still hope. Don't always think about the wool-pulling things like zero-cost mining. You have to use your spare money, study the market carefully, find the right projects, and invest and hold them. Don't expect to get rich overnight, but in the long run, financial freedom is not a dream. Think about how ETH, BNB, SOL and other big guys rose up, technology and ecology are the key. We also have to find such projects, with potential and prospects. The interest rate cut is coming, maybe it's a good time to lay out. Don't hesitate, take action, maybe the next wealth legend is you!
There has not been a big rise after the halving. There will definitely be a bull market after the halving. Hold the spot and ship it next year. All the declines are for higher rises.
$ONDO ONDO occupies an important position in the RWA track and can attract a large amount of compliant funds. As one of the few compliant projects, it is favored by Wall Street investment institutions. The current price is 0.59u. It is still in the early stages and has huge growth potential.
$JASMY At present, there is really gold everywhere. This Japanese Bitcoin is very cheap now. It is a currency supported by the country legally and compliantly. A policy of Japan is like saying that it supports it. It is no problem for it to increase by 10 times or 100 times. In the future bull market, it will rise sharply and can be increased in batches. The fundamentals are very good.
$PEOPLE Now all the altcoins are really full of gold, the most psychedelic meme coin, and the recent sharp decline is its biggest advantage. If you hold people for a long time, you will have made a fortune. Buy now and hold until the end of next year, there will be a surprise. After the interest rate cut and the election at the end of the year, the future will be a big year. Others are afraid and we are greedy. Remember to buy in batches, don't all in.
Crazy drop last night! Why did it fall when the non-agricultural data was good?
Why did the non-agricultural data last night look good, but the US stocks and BTC were falling? To be honest, I looked for a lot of channels and information, and spent a lot of time to find it, but I can say something more intuitive. It's not just the US stocks and BTC that fell, but the US bonds also fell across the board, with the one-year, two-year, and three-year US bonds falling by more than 2%.
The US dollar index is rising, and gold and oil are falling. Seeing these data, my direct feeling is two words "safe haven". The decline of US bonds shows that a large amount of funds have begun to enter US bonds. From this perspective, investors should be extremely panicked about the interest rate cut, and they should think that the interest rate cut is the key to open the risk market to fall. Therefore, funds have withdrawn from US stocks, cryptocurrencies, and even gold, and directly bought US bonds with higher value preservation. The current return can still be maintained at more than 3.5%, and the one-year period can still have a return of 4%. Why are users so pessimistic? The first is that interest rate cuts are indeed accompanied by the decline of risk markets in the history of the United States. Therefore, investors no longer try to distinguish between defensive and last-ditch efforts. As long as the probability of a rate cut increases, they will run. It is hard to say that this is wrong, but often in the early stages of a rate cut, if the economy does not decline, the risk market can still perform well. The second is that Nvidia's performance has made investors as a whole doubtful about their faith in AI. It is very likely that they are not just killing high valuations, but panic. After all, AI has been rising for too long as a defensive asset. Therefore, although Nvidia's financial report is still good this time, it is difficult to escape the market's high expectations.
Good afternoon, brothers. After the non-agricultural data was released last night and was lower than expected, there was a surge.
As the market interprets the data more, and the holders of Mentougou currency take advantage of the good news to sell.
Another wave of losses, the lowest was $52550, and now it has rebounded to $54175.
Now the market has fallen into an extreme panic state, with a greed panic index of 23.
If you sell in panic, you will find that it rebounds after you sell.
Then you chase it again for fear of missing out, but it falls again, and the cost of holding is not so low.
What to do now
Hold on, brothers, if you don’t buy high inflation tokens,
After the market recovers, some strong coins will pull back in a few days,
Some weak coins will pull back in a few weeks.
If you still have bullets, continue to buy the bottom in batches,
Remember to diversify your investments, don’t hold a heavy position and bet on one.
Optional targets:
FTM, with expectations of currency exchange, founders with great influence and strong orders.
CHR, a potential public chain, with low market value and strong fundamentals.
BNB, the platform currency of the strongest dealer in the currency circle.
STX, currently at a very strong support level, started upgrading on August 28 and completed the upgrade at the end of September, with a 100-fold performance improvement.
The market is cyclical. Bitcoin rose from 4.2W to 7.3W, ushering in a wave of madness from the bulls; after the positive pole and the negative pole, from April to early September, the air force was crazy.
Ups and downs, repeating over and over again; after the air force is full, the bulls will rise, this is the law
In this law, short-term and contracts are not suitable, only long-term can withstand the test. This year, long-term is difficult to do, but with the entry of capital, ordinary people have less and less room for choice
Let's talk about the market trend
In my opinion, Bitcoin at 54,000 US dollars can be bought, and Ethereum at 2,200 is also worth buying
Copyright, as long as you have conducted in-depth research and analysis and think it is a promising value coin, you can also start
Bitcoin halving has been over for half a year, and After three relatively large single-day declines, the Shanzhai stock market has been cut in half again and again. In terms of time and space, it is not a loss to buy now.
But there is a biggest test: from the perspective of human nature, people always want to buy at the lowest price and the safest position.
It is said that big drops lead to big purchases, and small drops lead to small purchases. Now is the best time to verify this statement; after the big drop on August 5, it is one of the few good opportunities.
Of course, the above are just personal opinions, but those who dare to buy at the bottom at this time are more rational, at least compared to those who bought in March and April.
If you think the market has bottomed out now, how can you operate efficiently?
Since March 14, the market has been adjusting for almost six months. The fluctuations during this period are not unfamiliar, but there is a key point that you cannot ignore: The market tends to fall in September every year, and often rises in October! So, although the decline in September looks frustrating, it may also be the best time for you to buy. The cottage can't fall anymore: It is obvious that the decline of Bitcoin in the past two days has not effectively led to panic selling of cottages, so as long as Bitcoin has a big positive line next, the market and confidence of cottages will come back. Pessimists will say that September will fall again, but optimists believe that this is the time to enter the market at a low price and prepare for the upcoming rise! You have to know that with limited funds, how to choose the target and manage the position is directly related to your profit and loss ratio. This is the key.
How long will the impact of non-agricultural data last?
First, this impact will not last for a long time. Generally, the market will gradually recover within one or two hours after the data is released. Second, although the impact of non-agricultural data on foreign exchange trends, especially the trend of the US dollar, is large, the causal relationship is not absolute. Traders need to consider other factors, such as market expectations, when making orders. Third, due to the large market fluctuations and high risks before and after the release of non-agricultural data, for prudent and conservative traders, they can choose to exit and wait and see when non-agricultural data is released. There is an old Chinese saying that goes, "Buy in disagreement and sell in agreement." There is also an old Chinese saying that says, "Don't release the eagle without seeing the rabbit." Therefore, the point of view expressed above is that when the endogenous narrative of the currency circle is exhausted, BTC ETH is a stock narrative of US technology stocks; without fundamentals, they can only go with the flow and fluctuate weakly. Because the current market game environment is very twisted. The bulls and the bears are like two wild dogs fighting to the death. In my opinion, both dogs are exhausted. If someone gives them some stimulants, the chance of winning will be greater. The full text of the sentence above is: "Buy when divergence turns to consensus, sell when consensus turns to divergence". If you can't catch that point, catching that range is also good.
The data and news in September are frequent, the market is volatile, and the opportunity for a second bottom is high. Especially after the non-agricultural data is released, it may be a good time to deploy spot stocks. According to experience, there may be a wave of rise in October. BTC’s market share has peaked, and funds are flowing to altcoins. When this wave of adjustments is over, the fourth quarter may become an explosion period for small altcoins.
ADA
It is currently down 61.03% from the year's high, and needs to rise more than 206% to return to $1. Although the price is down about 20% in the past two weeks, it is still holding above key support, showing that this level is a strong buying point. ADA formed a falling wedge pattern on the 1D time frame and has been trading within this range since mid-April, indicating a bearish long-term market. However, technical indicators RSI and MACD suggest bearish sentiment is waning. As volatility increases, ADA has the potential to stage a strong bullish reversal. It is expected that in the fourth quarter, with the completion of the largest upgrade in Cardano’s history, the price of its native token ADA will increase significantly. If it holds above key support, ADA will test resistance at $0.50.
AAVE
After the trading price reached $130, huge investors flocked in. The Aave founder sold $6 million worth of tokens, while two whales ignored market fluctuations and purchased $2.2 million worth of AAVE tokens and withdrew 50,605 AAVE tokens worth $6.8 million respectively. Another whale “0xa92” currently holds 125,605 AAVE tokens worth $16.7 million. Driven by the bullish trend, the cryptocurrency price may break through the $142 resistance and further challenge the psychological $150 mark. The next target of the Fibonacci level is $182.
WIF
meme tokens, whales are actively buying. The largest holder purchased 800,556 WIF tokens for $1.54 million USDC and currently holds 28 million WIF tokens worth a total of $53.23 million, with a profit of more than $77 million. Another whale also purchased 9.57 million WIF tokens worth $13.59 million. WIF price traded at $1.59 after rising 9.95% yesterday, but fell 2.5% intraday as bullish sentiment faded. A death cross appears between the 50-day and 200-day EMA. Based on the Fibonacci levels, the next resistance is $2.00, while the 61.80% Fibonacci level targets 3.$31.
Summary and strategies for memes and inscriptions:
Insufficient grasp of the rhythm: Poor grasp of the market rhythm of Meme currency, which is not suitable for medium and long-term holdings, resulting in large fluctuations in profits and losses. Future Outlook: We are still optimistic about the current Meme currency sector, believing that the highest peak has not yet arrived, and it is expected that there will be another surge. Therefore, it is planned to partially reduce the position before the Bitcoin price reaches 73777, retain the positions of Pepe and Ordi, and sell other currencies to optimize the position structure. Operational suggestions: Although the Meme currency sector fluctuates greatly, it has increased significantly and is one of the highlights of this bull market. It is recommended to adopt a band operation strategy to make timely profits, and it is not suitable to hold for a long time. At the same time, the Inscription sector performed strongly, and it is recommended to focus on the band and seize the phased market. Meme Coin and Inscription Coin have high growth potential in the current market, but due to their high volatility, investors need to operate cautiously and reasonably allocate positions to ensure timely profits at high levels and reduce risks.
As whales rise and fall, can DOGS tokens replicate the path of NOT?
Well-known cryptocurrency analyst Captain Faibik recently expressed optimistic predictions for the DOGS token, pointing out that based on significant technical chart patterns, DOGS is expected to achieve a 40% increase in the short term. This prediction is mainly based on the rebound potential shown by DOGS after experiencing a sharp decline, as well as a series of positive signals in the current market. DOGS, a dog-themed meme coin built on the The Open Network (TON) blockchain, has attracted widespread attention from the cryptocurrency community with its unique creativity since its launch. Although its market performance has been ups and downs like a roller coaster, a series of recent signs indicate that DOGS may usher in a new upward cycle.
September is destined to be restless, with quarterly delivery, whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, how many basis points of interest rate cuts, etc., and even the release of the founder of the currency circle is considered a major event in the currency circle. In addition, the US non-farm data for August will be released at 8:30 tonight, which will have a direct impact on the market trend in September.
The release of non-farm data tonight will bring short-term sharp fluctuations in the market.
We must be mentally prepared for this, but it can be ignored for the long term, because we are doing long-term trends, this kind of fluctuation is really too pediatric.
But for contracts and short-term transactions, it is necessary to pay close attention to the quality of the data and the fluctuations of the market trend.
Whether the non-farm data tonight is good or bad, it will not affect the Federal Reserve's high probability of opening the interest rate cut channel in September.
In short, trends and laws will not be transferred by personal will. We must believe in cycles and cause and effect.