Today, Bitcoin has indeed surged significantly and broken new highs, but the overall market atmosphere still hasn't fully ignited.

Back to basics, we still have to ask ourselves a question - have you really recouped your investment?
I believe that those who are truly heavily invested in Bitcoin are in the minority; most people are still betting their funds on altcoins outside of Bitcoin, hoping to realize their dreams.

However, the reality is that the rotation of altcoins has not yet begun, and their market capitalization share is still increasing.

If you hold second-tier coins like Ethereum, don't panic.

Why not worry? Because I believe that sitting on Ethereum, my mindset will dictate my actions. If Ethereum cannot break through, other altcoins will also find it difficult to perform significantly.

This is just the first half of the market; the second half belongs to those who hold their coins firmly!

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #加密市场急升 #山寨季将至？ #特朗普宣布胜选

If Trump is elected, the most concerning figure is not Harris, but the current Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Gary Gensler.

Previously, Trump stated publicly that if he returns to the presidency, he would fire Gensler on his first day in office to relieve the SEC's high-pressure policies and frequent punitive actions against cryptocurrency.

Since taking office, Gensler has initiated lawsuits against multiple cryptocurrency projects and exchanges, and is known for his tough stance and hefty fines, being viewed by many as a 'mad dog' regulator. As the cryptocurrency industry gradually rises, the backlash from the market has been growing.

Now, many are waiting to see if Gensler can continue to maintain his hardline stance, especially in the context of Trump potentially regaining the presidency. Whether this 'revenge' from the crypto circle will succeed remains full of suspense.

#BTC创历史新高 #美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升

Several popular MEME tokens in the recent market are worth paying attention to:

1. $PNUT: The current price is around 0.08. Although it has high popularity, due to the rise in the overall market, there may be capital outflows in the primary market, so careful operation is needed.

2. $PEOPLE: If the price retraces to the range of 0.06-0.065, it may continue to rise. This token has not experienced a significant surge before, and after a washout, it may welcome a wave of upward trend.

3. $X: This token has tripled in a short period, and the current risk is high, so consider exiting at the right time.

4. $DOGE: No need for excessive explanation, influenced by the election fever, Trump's victory and Musk's support have brought a lot of positive news for Dogecoin. The current price has again hit a new high, worth paying attention to.

Each token has its own risks and potential, and operations need to be combined with market trends and personal strategies, making cautious decisions.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升 #山寨季将至？

Emergency Market Alert‼️

1. The voting network has closed, and the likelihood of Trump being elected is high. The market is expected to see another wave of growth, so shorting is not a wise move at this time.

2. Trump's administration will implement a series of favorable policies, and with a significant interest rate cut on November 8, it will be difficult for the market to decline.

3. With Trump in power for four years, the cryptocurrency market may enter a prosperous period. I hope everyone can work together sincerely and share wealth.

4. After the favorable policies are implemented, there may be a short-term correction, but if prices do not break key support during minor corrections, there is a possibility of a bullish divergence after the pullback.

5. After the U.S. stock market opens, it will again drive a surge in Bitcoin. With the election results out, sentiment will be high, and short positions will be liquidated, targeting $76,500. Currently, short positions will become a driving force.

6. Bitcoin is suitable for low-position long trades, consistently working smoothly, while other cryptocurrencies are suitable for low-position short trades, which are also easy to execute.

7. Shorting at the top of a large bullish candle, if not liquidated, is truly extremely lucky.

8. Ethereum and Dogecoin show weak trends, with their Russian backgrounds being a negative factor. The $2,600 resistance is hard to break, so don't bet on them to rebound; their short-term performance is underwhelming.

9. After Bitcoin rises, it will enter a consolidation phase, with hot money gradually flowing back into some strong altcoins.

10. Every time the Mentougou wallet acts, it represents a phase bottom, remember this.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升 #山寨季将至？

SOL will eventually return above 180, bringing us one step closer to our long-term investment target of 235.

Once this target is reached, we can consider gradually shifting positions and making reasonable adjustments to our asset allocation.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升 #山寨季将至？

Select high-quality projects from major tracks to avoid blind choices, focusing on several potential coins:

1. L1 Track: SUI, APT, SEI

2. AI Track: TAO, FET, ARKM

3. Modular: TIA, ALT, DYM

4. DeFi: AAVE, PENDLE

5. Chain Games: RONIN, IMX, SAGA

6. Bitcoin Ecosystem: SATS, DOGE

#BTC创历史新高 #美国大选后涨或跌？ #美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升

In the US presidential election, although obtaining 270 electoral votes is regarded as a sign of victory, it is not an absolute guarantee.

The US election adopts the Electoral College system, with a total of 538 electoral votes. Each state is allocated a corresponding number of electoral votes based on its population ratio.

In most states, the "winner takes all" rule is implemented, which means that the candidate who wins the majority of votes in a state will receive all the electoral votes in that state.

Candidates need to win enough electoral votes, and if their electoral votes reach or exceed 270, they will usually be elected president. However, the election results may be affected by special circumstances.

For example, in the case of extremely small vote differences, a recount may be required.

In addition, there have been cases in history where candidates won the national popular vote but lost the Electoral College vote. The 2016 election is a typical example.

In general, obtaining 270 electoral votes is the core standard for the US presidential election, but there may be exceptions in special circumstances.

#美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升 #山寨季将至？ #BTC触及7W5

Today's Market Summary:

1. Assets related to Trump performed strongly, including the US dollar, Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and DJT.

In particular, DJT surged over 30% after hours, indicating a strong chance of victory for Trump.

2. The Bitcoin market is clearly influenced by the US election; prices rise when Trump is leading and face a risk of correction when Harris is leading.

3. After a death cross appeared on the 1-hour chart, it quickly turned into a golden cross, indicating increased bullish momentum in the short term.

4. Bitcoin has completed its decline, with 70500 being a key resistance level; a breakthrough suggests considering low-position long trades.

5. There is a high probability of breaking the previous high; if the price surpasses 74500, profits can be taken in batches. Be aware of potential corrections after positive news materializes.

6. The lows of this month are mainly concentrated at the beginning of the month, serving as a reference.

7. Strong altcoins have opportunities for catching up; after the first wave of increases, subsequent oscillations may lead to continued rises, so remember to set stop-loss orders.

8. Strong altcoins include TURBO, WIF, SUI, SAGA, PEPE; consider bottom-fishing during each decline.

9. Altcoins like Pyth, Link, BB, and ARKM have positive expectations and are worth paying attention to.

#美国大选后叙事观察 #加密市场急升 #山寨季将至？ #BTC挑战历史新高

Early in the morning, everyone was eager to release various updates related to the election process, but in reality, at this stage, these numbers have little significance.

The currently confirmed electoral vote situation is Trump 105 votes, Harris 27 votes; such results are completely expected, and Trump's significant lead is also a normal phenomenon.

This is because deep blue states, like New York and California, which have a large number of ballots, have not yet been included in the counting results.

In fact, for those paying attention to the election results, just keeping an eye on the state of Pennsylvania (PA) is enough, as the results from this state are likely to determine the final outcome.

#美国大选后叙事观察 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #ETHBTC汇率新低 #美联储利率决议来袭

bn has received a lot of praise for the listing of neiro.

Very simple

First, it reflects support for the crypto community;
Second, low market cap high potential coins leave room for the secondary market.

I believe this will be a trend, and there is no issue with listing fees for such coins; the large trading volume brought by high popularity is already sufficient.

New track, low market cap, strong community, high growth.

In the ai meme space, $act is the most suitable target.

#以太坊白皮书11周年 #美联储利率决议来袭 #美国大选后叙事观察 #英国养老金计划配置BTC

Regardless of who wins the election, the short-term trend of Bitcoin remains independent and unpredictable.

If the knowledgeable king wins, Bitcoin may rise first and then fall, or it may fall first and then rise; if the laughing king wins, Bitcoin may also fall first and then rise, or rise first and then fall.

The long-term trend of Bitcoin will never be determined by external factors; the impact of external events on Bitcoin is mainly reflected in short-term fluctuations, which may lead to severe volatility in the futures market and liquidation actions in the spot market.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #以太坊白皮书11周年 #美国大选后叙事观察 #英国养老金计划配置BTC

The three glyph heroes RATS, SATS, and ORDI continue to follow Bitcoin, and signs of a phase bottom have begun to appear.

RATS: After a spike, it has started to show a rebound trend today. If today's trading volume can remain at an ideal level, further rebound space is expected, provided Bitcoin remains stable.

SATS: The price has pulled back to the range of the previous upward movement, and a rebound is expected, but compared to other glyph currencies, SATS still appears relatively weak.

ORDI: It is recommended to buy in the range of 28-31, as the downside is limited. It has currently ended a six-day downward streak and is expected to close positively today.

As long as Bitcoin does not continue to decline, ORDI is expected to start fluctuating upward in the coming days.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #英国养老金计划配置BTC #美国大选后叙事观察

In the case where a decline may continue, why only take profits on 2/3 of the position while keeping 1/3? This is a representative question that involves several key judgment points to decide whether to retain the remaining position:

1. The distance between the current level and the next target low: If today a long position is taken at a lower point (like 66850), and the next estimated low is around 66150, the two points only differ by 700 points.

Thus, even if the remaining 1/3 position does not take profits in time, adding to the position at this low point will not significantly increase the overall cost, and if the market rebounds by more than 800 points, there is still an opportunity to profit.
2. Whether the pullback space is limited

If it is judged that the short-term pullback space is limited, keeping the remaining position may allow it to become a bottom-fishing position.

After taking profits on 2/3 of the position, the remaining 1/3 can be seen as an opportunity to achieve higher targets during the European or American trading sessions if further increases occur.

A weak rebound in the morning does not mean that the subsequent market rebound will also be weak. Therefore, the remaining position can set a higher profit-taking point or close to break-even near the cost price to avoid affecting the average cost when increasing positions next.

3. Decide whether to keep the remaining position based on the capital amount: If the capital scale is small, or there is a risk of forced liquidation, it is more prudent to choose to take profits on the entire position.

#以太坊白皮书11周年 #美联储利率决议来袭 #英国养老金计划配置BTC #美国大选后叙事观察

New narratives and tracks often experience a round of explosive growth, followed closely by a process of consolidation.

During this process, time and space will be fully displayed, and the market will wash out unsteady funds through repeated fluctuations.

Many people will lose confidence during this process and choose to exit because they do not understand the underlying logic, only fixating on price fluctuations.

In fact, the price increase is not due to strong manipulation by whales, but because the new coin itself possesses strong potential and community support, which attracts the involvement of whales.

If one were to casually issue a coin and control 90% of the chips, wouldn't that be easier?

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #11月市场预测

BTC will reach new highs in the future, and rise to over 120,000+ in one or two years. No need to predict in the short term, it will continue to rise over the long term for several months. Defeat the false self within you (greed and fear), and let your true self emerge (calm and steady).

Here are some optimistic conclusions:

1. Assuming Trump is elected, Doge will surge, and the big whales are only rushing for this.

2. If Doge surges, funds will aggressively flow into the meme sector.

3. The leading companies in the meme sector.

Large funds are focusing on: Pepe, Bome, Wif, and other major leaders.

Medium-sized funds are focusing on on-chain cats and dogs, AI, religion, etc. The smaller the market value, the easier it is to absorb external overflow.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #11月市场预测

The current MOODENG price is approximately 0.140 USDT, it is recommended to consider opening a long position within this price range.

The stop loss can be set at 0.124 USDT, and the take profit target is 0.160 USDT. Investors should closely monitor market trends and ensure proper risk management.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #BANANA、ADA、ENA大额解锁

$SUI has experienced more than two months of a one-sided upward trend, with an increase of 412%, more than quadrupling!

However, very few have been able to actually make money from it, while countless short sellers have incurred losses! To this day, there are still shorts holding their positions, with many starting to short from the 0.9-1 range and holding all the way to 2.368, completely exhausting their liquidity.

Currently, the support levels are at 1.525, 1.32, 1.12, and 0.865, with a resistance level at 2.18.

The current key point is 1.815, and the market is temporarily stabilizing around this price level.

In the short term, the market may experience some volatility and fluctuations, while from a medium to long-term perspective, it is still possible to retrace to the levels of 1.525, 1.32, or even 1.12.

If planning to position for the medium to long term, it is recommended to consider entering near 1.32 or 1.12.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #11月市场预测

The current market feels like a dull knife slowly cutting flesh.

The main players' approach is very simple:

They first give you a signal: "Are you selling or not?"

If you don't sell, the main players continue to drop a little more and ask again: "Still not selling?"

Then they drop a little more: "Are you sure you’re not selling?"

In the end, they push you to panic, and you start cutting losses to exit.

Some people haven't exited yet; seeing the current price has dropped to this extent, they start to regret, but are also unwilling to let go. They think to themselves, if only I had another chance, once the market rebounds to the previous high, I would sell immediately.

This is precisely human nature at play. When the account is continuously losing, the initial boastful words—like "I will hold until the bull market ends"—have long been forgotten.

The fluctuations in the account keep you wandering in losses; over time, your determination begins to waver, fear gradually increases, and eventually, under the pressure of the market, you cut losses to exit.

#美联储利率决议来袭 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #11月市场预测

Bad news: From the daily chart, a price breakout above 70,000 is likely a false breakout. Unless the price returns above this trend line, it is not advisable to set up long positions in this range.

Good news: Despite the false breakout and six consecutive bearish candles on the daily chart, the price has not made a lower low.

In other words, as long as 65,000 is not broken, the market still has the potential to recover its original bullish trend, although this possibility is low.

Therefore, the two key points to focus on right now are: first, the long-term declining trend line, and second, the secondary support level at 65,000.

If the price remains above 65,000, it is still in a high-level consolidation range; once it breaks below 65,000, it may begin to enter a bearish trend.

As for the election results, I am no longer paying much attention and will let the situation develop.

What I am more concerned about now is the FOMC meeting on Thursday, whether a 25 basis point rate cut will materialize as expected, and whether the Federal Reserve will respond to the rising long-term bond yields.

What is more noteworthy is whether the Federal Reserve might choose to pause rate cuts in this situation, as this unexpected decision could bring new market volatility.

#美联储利率决议来袭 #以太坊白皮书11周年 #11月市场预测 #美国选情僵持

From November 4 to November 8, 2024, the "Super Week" will take place, during which three significant events will occur:

1. U.S. Presidential Election: On November 5, the U.S. presidential election will officially begin, with preliminary results expected to be announced around noon on November 6, which will have a significant impact on global assets.

2. China National People's Congress Standing Committee Meeting: Between November 4 and 8, the 14th National People's Congress Standing Committee of China will review the details of fiscal stimulus policies, and the market generally speculates that strong stimulus measures will be introduced.

3. Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting: On November 8, the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting to decide whether to further lower interest rates to stimulate the economy.

These three major events will have a profound impact on the movements of the U.S. stock market, A-shares, and the cryptocurrency market, and it is expected that the market will experience significant volatility. Let us wait and see!

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #美联储利率决议来袭 #11月市场预测 #BANANA、ADA、ENA大额解锁