老k日记本

The evening thoughts have approached the target position, capturing a space of 2000 points for Bitcoin and 100 points for Ethereum! Aggressive investors can buy at the current price and wait for the evening summit with Brother Chuan to take off! Looking up at 93000/2400#白宫首届加密货币峰会

There are already more than 1,000 pancakes, please order less. Personally, I think it is not the right time to buy the bottom yet, so you can continue to watch the price go down to the target position. Consider bargain hunting in the early morning! #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Later, the initial jobless claims will be announced, at two o'clock in the morning there will be a cryptocurrency summit, and Brother Chuan will make a statement. News is flying everywhere.

Evening suggestions
Short at the 91000 line of Bitcoin, target around 89000
Short at the 2284 line of ETH, target around 2150. #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #MtGox钱包动态 #美国加密战略储备 #美国2月ADP就业人数 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Recently, the market has really left me speechless, it's a roller coaster every day! It has completely overturned conventional thinking about past markets.

Afternoon Suggestion
Bitcoin at around 83500, targeting 86000-88000
Ethereum at around 2070, targeting 2200-2300 #加密市场回调 92729574554557

Short Du continues to charge, looking up at around 2400/93000. #美国加密战略储备

The big pancake and the aunt have reached the target position. The short-term has re-entered, and the target is 2360/92400#美国加密战略储备 #加密市场反弹 #币安盘前市场上线RED

Short-term shorts have entered, the big cake is expected to go down to 92100, and the aunt is expected to go down to 2330.#美国加密战略储备 #加密市场反弹 #币安盘前市场上线RED $BTC $ETH

The turning point has begun #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #比特币价格走势分析 #美联储降息预期 #美国加征关税 #币安盘前市场上线RED $BTC $ETH

The concubine has entered, aiming for 2260. Defense should be set at 2190. Personal suggestion, for reference only. #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #比特币价格走势分析 $ETH

On March 7th, the White House will host the first cryptocurrency summit! Is the counterattack about to begin? #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #美SEC：Meme币非证券 #比特币价格走势分析 #美联储降息预期 $BTC $ETH

Bitcoin market evolution, analysis of trends from $109,588 to $78,200.

Reviewing historical patterns and market cycle characteristics, the rise in 2017 went from $20,000 to $3,000, an adjustment of 85%. The rise in 2021 went from $69,000 to $29,000, an adjustment of 58%. Currently, from $109,588 to $78,200, an adjustment of 25%, still within the normal fluctuation range.

The key level of $80,000 is a dense trading area in Q1 2024. On-chain data shows that there is support from the holding cost of 420,000 BTC. If it falls below $80,000, the next strong support is between $72,000 and $75,000.

Three possible scenarios:

Scenario 1, short-term recovery (probability 45%) Trigger condition: holding the $78,000 support ➕ US stock earnings exceed expectations, recovery target first resistance at $86,000. Second resistance at $92,000.

Scenario 2, deep adjustment (probability 35%), breakdown signal: closing below $77,000 for three consecutive days, downward target first support $72,000 - CME futures gap. Second support $68,000 - institutional holding cost line. Volatility transmission: If it falls below $68,000, it will trigger concentrated operations of 150,000 to 200,000 BTC.

Scenario 3. Range consolidation (probability 20%) Pattern characteristics: continuous consolidation in the $75,000 to $85,000 range for 3 to 6 weeks. On-chain characteristics: the proportion of long-term holders' positions rises to over 76%. Exchange stablecoin reserves increase by over $5 billion.

The market is too bad now. The Montana House of Representatives of the United States rejected the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act, which led to a reduction of 1,500 US dollars. Other copycats fell again!

In addition, the bybit theft incident has just subsided, and the infini brand has been attacked again, with a loss of up to 49.5 million US dollars, causing the consolidation to fall again!

The market is in a state of panic, and everyone is trembling. The dog dealer is also cooperating in the wash. The big brothers of daily leverage must pay attention to the risks. At this time, running back and forth can easily make your mentality collapse.

A good way is to reduce the frequency of operations, or even not operate, or control the position, give more room for fault tolerance, and prevent institutions from maliciously inserting needles and harvesting chips! #开通交易实盘认证 #SBF时隔两年再发推 #加密市场回调 #bybit被盗 #Infini遭攻击 $BTC $ETH

Musk's last round of brainless promotions for Dogecoin, although this one is nowhere near as grand as before, he graciously changed the new institutional abbreviation to DOGE!

Musk equals DOGE has already taken root in people's minds. Although the institution has not officially submitted an ETF application, those analysts at Bloomberg have already made their statements. The Dogecoin ETF will eventually come to fruition. Especially recently, Tesla charging stations have started accepting Dogecoin payments.

Now the entire market is betting on whether Musk will succeed in his promotions or if regulators will strike hard. However, it should also be noted that over 90% of Dogecoin's chips are still in the hands of big players, and it could be a sudden drop at any moment. #Strategy增持比特币 #以太坊回滚争议 #ETH走势分析 #bybit被盗 #Hashdex获准在巴西推出XRPETF $BTC $ETH

Current price order - short

Crypto is currently at 98200, short target is 97000, break can be 96000. Defense 98900
Yintai is currently at 2740, short target is 2660-2610. Defense 2770.

Personal advice, for reference only. Do a good job of risk control. #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ #TradeFi革命 #FTX赔付 #SOL走势分析 #地缘政治对比特币的影响 $BTC $ETH

In the morning, there is already 30 points of room for single price. The big pie hasn't moved yet, so those who are conservative can cash in first, while those who are radical can set a break-even loss and continue to wait for the big pie to continue to fall and drive up a wave of profits. #阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #人工智能与稳定币 #加密货币普及 #XRP看涨还是看跌？

There is no problem with the judgment of Dabing. This concubine took an unusual path in the opposite direction, which was indeed unimaginable. I guess many people were beaten badly, but fortunately Luo led a wave at noon and did not call in again. Because I have been very busy today, I apologize for not having time to reply. #阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #人工智能与稳定币 #XRP看涨还是看跌？ #加密货币普及 #美国加征关税 $BTC $ETH

The morning strategy suggests that there is an 800-point space for the big pie, and the maximum for Auntie is 50 points. In the afternoon, the market weakens, so one can take profits first and look for points to enter later. #地缘政治对比特币的影响 #加密货币普及 #XRP看涨还是看跌？ #美国加征关税 #开通交易实盘认证 $BTC $ETH

Today's Strategy Insights

Currently, the price of Bitcoin is showing a series of bearish candles on the daily chart, and its rebound strength appears relatively weak, lacking clear signs of stabilization and recovery. This phenomenon reveals that bearish forces still dominate at the daily level, exerting a short-term suppressive effect on the price.

From a lower timeframe perspective, Bitcoin has entered a slow adjustment phase. This phase mainly aims to correct the overbought conditions of technical indicators accumulated due to the previous rapid rise, laying a more solid foundation for subsequent market trends.

Within the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin's price has once again touched and refreshed its low, which expands the price space below. This dynamic indicates that after a round of short-term consolidation, Bitcoin may enter a more in-depth breakdown adjustment phase, leading to a new round of price fluctuations.

Trading Suggestions
Short Bitcoin in the range of 96500-96000, targeting 94500
Short Ethereum in the range of 2660-2680, targeting 2550

Pancake Aunty is currently empty, defend 98100#加密货币普及 #XRP看涨还是看跌？ #币安Alpha上新 #市场清算 #zkLend加密盗窃事件 $BTC $ETH