LIVE孟晓翰
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擅长短中长线布局对行情有敏锐得分析判断逻辑清晰 微信公众号搜:孟晓翰
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Market analysis updated in the early morning. The market fluctuated and rose again as expected. The low-multiple strategy we deployed in the early morning successfully reached the 63500 first-line boarding point. The market also arrived as expected. In the morning, it went up to the 64600 line and successfully won the 1000-1100 point space of volatility profit. Unfortunately, Ethereum did not receive it. Congratulations to the friends who followed. On your way in the currency circle, every decision you make is very important. The help of a good teacher and friend can help you avoid detours. #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 25 ~ with operational ideas
Ethereum continued to fluctuate slightly during the day. In the evening, the price of the currency touched the MA5 daily moving average support and then rebounded slightly. Our idea yesterday was not able to effectively fall below the 2600 line. We maintained a low-long strategy and are currently making a small profit.
The current daily currency price is fluctuating slightly upward relying on the MA5 daily moving average. From the indicator point of view, the daily bullish volume has not been released yet. The TD indicator has come to TD6 and is calculated according to the normal indicator without considering the lag. This round of TD indicator should not have any problems going out of TD789 this week. The high point suppression reference is at 2701-2820, and the low point support is at 2592. If the retracement cannot effectively break through the daily line, it is still necessary to maintain a low-long view.
The current daily currency price is fluctuating slightly upward relying on the MA5 daily moving average. From the indicator point of view, the daily bullish volume has not been released yet. The TD indicator has come to TD6 and is calculated according to the normal indicator without considering the lag. This round of TD indicator should not have any problems going out of TD789 this week. The high point suppression reference is at 2701-2820, and the low point support is at 2592. If the retracement cannot effectively break through the daily line, it is still necessary to maintain a low-long view.
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 24 ~ with operational ideas
Everything, just keep up and you will earn. Updated market analysis for intraday advance layout. As expected, after a small pullback, it just reached our entry point of 2630. Currently, the first profit stop point has been reached, with a space of nearly 50-70 points. Those who are prudent can collect the profits and go to bed, while those who are aggressive can continue to hold until the 2720-2760 line. The overall trend of the bitcoin is relatively lagging, and you can collect the profits near 64000 first.
In the early morning, the market still maintained yesterday's view, and Ethereum mainly kept falling back to buy. In terms of the daily line, the price of the currency relied on the MA5 daily moving average to rise. In terms of indicators, the daily bulls were extremely strong. If the MA5 daily moving average support was not broken, the low-long idea was still the main idea.
In the early morning, the market still maintained yesterday's view, and Ethereum mainly kept falling back to buy. In terms of the daily line, the price of the currency relied on the MA5 daily moving average to rise. In terms of indicators, the daily bulls were extremely strong. If the MA5 daily moving average support was not broken, the low-long idea was still the main idea.
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Analysis of Ethereum market on September 23 ~ Retracement and long positions are the main focus
After the early morning correction, Ethereum quickly rose after the up and down pin touched the 2522 line in the morning. (Our early morning layout strategy also successfully made money) The gap of yesterday's daily line has been partially filled. After the current weekly K update, the currency price is running near the MA10 daily moving average. The MA10 daily moving average has not adjusted well. MACD is below the zero axis and the short position is shrinking. The KDJ three lines diverge upward. This week, the MA5 daily moving average belongs to the lower support. If the MA5 daily moving average support is not broken, it is determined that the weekly K trend will be reversed. The currency price will continue to rebound to fill the gap between the monthly K MA5 daily moving average. The reference price of the currency is at the 3000 line. Of course, the weekly K update is more focused on daily analysis at the beginning.
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Market analysis updated in the early morning. The market fluctuated and pulled back again as expected. The low-long strategy we deployed yesterday notified to sell at a profit and then reversed to a short position. The market also successfully reached the target position after the morning up and down pins as expected. Short-term wave. Bitcoin took 500-1000 points of space. Ethereum took 45-65 points of profit. Congratulations to friends who followed. On your way to the currency circle, every decision you make is very important. The help of a good mentor and friend can help you avoid detours. #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 23 ~ with operational ideas
After Ethereum closed at 8:00 in the evening, from the perspective of 4-hour technical indicators, the three KDJ lines diverged downward, and MACD moved downward. At the same time, the MA5 10-day moving average showed signs of easing upward sentiment and began to flatten (the TD indicator we mentioned earlier continued to lag behind and the current retracement sentiment has appeared), indicating that short-term bears have the desire to step back. Combined with the hourly line, the current short-term Ethereum price is expected to test the daily MA5 daily moving average support price reference at 2510. Due to the small volume of the weekend, the market will not fluctuate too much, and our intraday layout of low-multiple ideas can be sold to protect the principal. For early morning operations, my personal opinion is to maintain short-term bands, and you can first go high and then low. Real-time guidance is the main focus.
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Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on September 22 ~ with operational ideas
Yesterday the market tended to fluctuate slightly and adjust. The high-altitude short-term strategy Ethereum deployed yesterday had to stop rising after today's daily update. Bitcoin is still making a small profit. Those who are prudent can stop while they are ahead.
The current overall trend of Ethereum deviates from Bitcoin. After the daily update, the price of the currency is running slowly along the upper track. From the daily perspective, the bullish indicators are still rising strongly. The weekly K TD indicator has stabilized at TD9. Once the currency price stabilizes at the MA10 daily moving average next week, it can be determined that the weekly K trend will reverse. In the near future, it is still a retracement to long. If the short-term retracement at the daily level does not break the MA5 daily moving average support, it is still a low-low-long view.
The current overall trend of Ethereum deviates from Bitcoin. After the daily update, the price of the currency is running slowly along the upper track. From the daily perspective, the bullish indicators are still rising strongly. The weekly K TD indicator has stabilized at TD9. Once the currency price stabilizes at the MA10 daily moving average next week, it can be determined that the weekly K trend will reverse. In the near future, it is still a retracement to long. If the short-term retracement at the daily level does not break the MA5 daily moving average support, it is still a low-low-long view.
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 21 ~ with operational ideas
Yesterday afternoon, the main institution of Ethereum suddenly controlled the market to make up for the rise, and the high-altitude strategy deployed during the day was helpless. At present, the price of the currency continues to run near the upper track of the BOLL band. Although the daily indicator is rising in a long resonance, the opening of the upper track is not large. In addition, the gap between the currency price and the MA5 daily moving average has not been repaired after the K column 4 positives. This is also a hidden danger. At present, the big cake has taken the lead in stepping back. The short-term trend of Ethereum is slightly stronger. Once the big cake increases the stepping back, Ethereum may step back to consolidate the gap of the MA5 daily moving average. Combined with the 12-hour line, this round of stepping back in the early morning cannot effectively fall below the short-term support of 2470. After the daily line is updated tomorrow, the currency price will rise again. Its high point suppression reference is 2620-2690. The daily line is used as a reference, and the 4-hour line is mainly used.
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Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on September 20 ~ with operational ideas
After the Federal Reserve announced the interest rate yesterday, the price of Ethereum continued to fluctuate slightly upward from the day to the evening (the low-long strategy deployed during the day was too conservative and was not accepted), and in the early morning it touched the middle track of the 2-day line and experienced a slight correction.
After the current daily line update, the coin price is running near the MA30-day moving average. The MACD and KDJ indicators maintain a bullish sentiment, and the MA5 10-day moving average also sticks together and begins to show signs of a slight turn. However, due to the positive closing of the K-column in the previous three days, there is a gap of dozens of points between the current coin price and the MA5-day moving average. In addition, there is no obvious opening sentiment on the upper track of the BOLL band, indicating that the Ethereum coin price will still need to fluctuate and adjust in the next two days. In the short term, the coin price will stabilize on the middle track of the daily line. Therefore, for the daily level, if the retracement does not break the middle track support, it can be viewed as a low long.
After the current daily line update, the coin price is running near the MA30-day moving average. The MACD and KDJ indicators maintain a bullish sentiment, and the MA5 10-day moving average also sticks together and begins to show signs of a slight turn. However, due to the positive closing of the K-column in the previous three days, there is a gap of dozens of points between the current coin price and the MA5-day moving average. In addition, there is no obvious opening sentiment on the upper track of the BOLL band, indicating that the Ethereum coin price will still need to fluctuate and adjust in the next two days. In the short term, the coin price will stabilize on the middle track of the daily line. Therefore, for the daily level, if the retracement does not break the middle track support, it can be viewed as a low long.
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Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on September 19 ~ with operational ideas
As expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points in the early morning, which was a positive for the market. The bitcoin price rose by nearly 3,000 points, and Ethereum also rebounded by more than 100 points. After the current daily update, the indicators were repaired again, and the currency price was running above the middle track. However, the MA5 30-day moving average showed signs of flattening. The MACD and KDJ indicators showed a small resonance rebound sentiment in the short term. Combined with the 12-hour line, the current Ethereum price has stabilized at 2,350. Due to the gap between the currency price and the MA5-day moving average, it is expected that it will fall back to adjust and then rise again. The high point suppression reference is the daily MA30-day moving average and the weekly K MA5-day moving average suppression. The currency price reference is around 2,460. The daily line is mainly based on 4 hours.
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 19
Yesterday morning, Bitcoin led the mainstream currency to pull back. At present, the overall trend of Bitcoin is to suppress Ethereum. After the current Ethereum daily line is updated, the MACD fast and slow lines adhere to the MA5 30-day moving average to resonate and suppress the currency price. From the perspective of indicators, the overall daily line is still biased towards a volatile downward arrangement trend. Since Ethereum touched the daily middle track pressure yesterday, it was under pressure again and fell back. The current middle track suppresses the currency price reference at 2383. This position is also the watershed that determines the current daily long and short. Only when the currency price stands firm can there be room for rebound to test the MA30 daily moving average pressure. On the contrary, if it cannot effectively break through the 2383 line pressure, then this week will most likely maintain a volatile downward trend. After all, the weekly K and monthly K indicators are still dominated by shorts. Since the Federal Reserve is about to announce the interest rate, if the interest rate cut is 50 basis points, it will definitely be good for the market. If it is 25 basis points, it is equivalent to a soft landing. It will not affect the market trend. There will only be pins up and down. Therefore, the current market is tending to fluctuate slightly. I personally suggest that you should wait and see with empty positions first. When the data is released and the market stabilizes, I will give you precise operation suggestions.
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 18 ~ with operational ideas
I wish you all a happy Mid-Autumn Festival.
After the weekend shock, the daily indicator of Ethereum was destroyed again. After the current weekly K update, the price of the currency is still under pressure below the MA5-day moving average, and the TD indicator has reached TD9 again. This week, at 2 a.m. on September 19, the Fed announced whether to cut interest rates. If the positive news and the main institutions enter the market, the currency price will stabilize the weekly K MA 5-day moving average, and the TD9 will turn red and TD1 will be reversed. On the contrary, if the currency price goes up and touches the MA5-day moving average and falls under pressure again, the Ethereum TD indicator will lag to TD13, and the market will continue to fluctuate and fall. From the weekly K indicator, the K column is still arranged downward in a short position, so this week's MA5-day moving average is also a watershed that determines the long and short positions. The weekly K is more based on the daily line.
After the weekend shock, the daily indicator of Ethereum was destroyed again. After the current weekly K update, the price of the currency is still under pressure below the MA5-day moving average, and the TD indicator has reached TD9 again. This week, at 2 a.m. on September 19, the Fed announced whether to cut interest rates. If the positive news and the main institutions enter the market, the currency price will stabilize the weekly K MA 5-day moving average, and the TD9 will turn red and TD1 will be reversed. On the contrary, if the currency price goes up and touches the MA5-day moving average and falls under pressure again, the Ethereum TD indicator will lag to TD13, and the market will continue to fluctuate and fall. From the weekly K indicator, the K column is still arranged downward in a short position, so this week's MA5-day moving average is also a watershed that determines the long and short positions. The weekly K is more based on the daily line.
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Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on September 15 ~ with operational ideas
Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on September 15 ~ with operation ideas
After the market rose from Friday night to early morning, Ethereum once again stabilized at the 2400 line in the short term. The low-long strategy we deployed earlier successfully took profit on the big cake, but Ethereum did not receive it.
After the current daily update, Ethereum is running above the middle track of the BOLL band. MACD and KDJ indicators tend to have a small bullish resonance upward trend in the short term. MA5 10-day moving average slightly turns upward, and TD indicator comes to TD 6. Because the market is facing weak trading volume on weekends, the short-term market is falling in a sideways manner. Once the bulls continue to pull back after the weekly K update tomorrow, the Ethereum price will once again test the daily MA30 daily moving average suppression (the price reference is at 2500). Due to the small market volatility during the holidays, it is recommended to focus on short-term bands for intraday operations.
After the market rose from Friday night to early morning, Ethereum once again stabilized at the 2400 line in the short term. The low-long strategy we deployed earlier successfully took profit on the big cake, but Ethereum did not receive it.
After the current daily update, Ethereum is running above the middle track of the BOLL band. MACD and KDJ indicators tend to have a small bullish resonance upward trend in the short term. MA5 10-day moving average slightly turns upward, and TD indicator comes to TD 6. Because the market is facing weak trading volume on weekends, the short-term market is falling in a sideways manner. Once the bulls continue to pull back after the weekly K update tomorrow, the Ethereum price will once again test the daily MA30 daily moving average suppression (the price reference is at 2500). Due to the small market volatility during the holidays, it is recommended to focus on short-term bands for intraday operations.
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The market analysis updated at noon yesterday, the market fluctuated and rose again as expected, and we deployed a low-multiple strategy. In the evening, the big bitcoin inserted a pin downward and successfully reached our 57600 entry point. Ethereum did not receive it. The big bitcoin took 1400-2000 points of space. Congratulations to the friends who followed. On your way in the cryptocurrency circle, every decision you make is very important. The help of a good mentor and friend can help you avoid detours #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期
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Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on September 13 ~ Attached with operation ideas
From yesterday to today, Ethereum continued to fluctuate slightly and adjust the trend. The market is really boring. The current daily level currency price K column is in a long-short sideways arrangement. Although the MACD and KDJ indicators have a small rebound sentiment in the short term, the continuous suppression of the BOLL band middle track and the daily MA30 daily moving average also hindered the rise of Ethereum. From the perspective of indicators, the daily level is still in a box-shaped oscillation adjustment trend. The high point suppresses the 2380-2410 line and the low point supports the 2280-2250 line. Only when the pressure or support is effectively broken through will the market fluctuate a little. At present, the market lacks funds to enter the market and the market is relatively sluggish (most of the main institutions are waiting for the announcement of the Fed’s policy on September 18). From the current weekly K monthly line, the general trend is that the short-term currency price cannot break through the pressure level and still needs to be viewed from a high altitude. The only risk is that the overall trend of the big cake is slightly stronger and it is easy to link Ethereum to pull back. When the daily line is used as a reference and the market volatility is not large, it is recommended to operate in a short-term band.
The current coin price on the 4-hour line is running above the MA30 daily average line, MACD continues to shrink and fluctuate, and the KDJ three lines are running in a bearish mood. From the indicator, the current coin price tends to fluctuate slightly. For intraday operations, my personal opinion is to maintain the idea of short-term high-sell and low-buy. The specific guidance is mainly based on real-time guidance.
Operation suggestion: Ethereum 2330-10 to connect more Target: 2360-80 can be inserted to 2400 Stop: 2290
Short-selling point reference near the pressure level
Big cake synchronous long point reference: 57600-57300 Target: 58000-59000 can be stopped: 57000
For the short term, let's see here first, let's take it step by step and make a detailed analysis later ~#美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #美国经济软着陆？
From yesterday to today, Ethereum continued to fluctuate slightly and adjust the trend. The market is really boring. The current daily level currency price K column is in a long-short sideways arrangement. Although the MACD and KDJ indicators have a small rebound sentiment in the short term, the continuous suppression of the BOLL band middle track and the daily MA30 daily moving average also hindered the rise of Ethereum. From the perspective of indicators, the daily level is still in a box-shaped oscillation adjustment trend. The high point suppresses the 2380-2410 line and the low point supports the 2280-2250 line. Only when the pressure or support is effectively broken through will the market fluctuate a little. At present, the market lacks funds to enter the market and the market is relatively sluggish (most of the main institutions are waiting for the announcement of the Fed’s policy on September 18). From the current weekly K monthly line, the general trend is that the short-term currency price cannot break through the pressure level and still needs to be viewed from a high altitude. The only risk is that the overall trend of the big cake is slightly stronger and it is easy to link Ethereum to pull back. When the daily line is used as a reference and the market volatility is not large, it is recommended to operate in a short-term band.
The current coin price on the 4-hour line is running above the MA30 daily average line, MACD continues to shrink and fluctuate, and the KDJ three lines are running in a bearish mood. From the indicator, the current coin price tends to fluctuate slightly. For intraday operations, my personal opinion is to maintain the idea of short-term high-sell and low-buy. The specific guidance is mainly based on real-time guidance.
Operation suggestion: Ethereum 2330-10 to connect more Target: 2360-80 can be inserted to 2400 Stop: 2290
Short-selling point reference near the pressure level
Big cake synchronous long point reference: 57600-57300 Target: 58000-59000 can be stopped: 57000
For the short term, let's see here first, let's take it step by step and make a detailed analysis later ~#美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #美国经济软着陆？
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Analysis of the bad market of Ethereum in the early morning of September 12 ~ with operational ideas
Yesterday morning, Ethereum fluctuated upward again and touched the 2400 line of pressure, then fluctuated and adjusted during the day. After the CPI data was released in the evening, the data was lower than expected, which was a good thing, but the market moved up and down slightly again. After reaching our entry point, there is currently a good profit margin. Steady friends, Ethereum can make money at 2345-60, and Bitcoin can make money around 57500-58000.
The overall trend of Ethereum on the current daily line is weaker than that of Bitcoin. Although the MACD and KDJ indicators and the MA5 daily moving average tend to fluctuate upward, the continuous downward pressure of the BOLL band middle track and the MA30 daily moving average brings strong resistance to the rebound of the currency price. Combined with the 12-hour line, the current currency price continues to run below the middle track. The three KDJ lines show signs of turning, and MACD is in a bullish trend. Once the currency price rebounds and cannot stand firmly at the key pressure of 2380 in the early morning, the subsequent currency price will still have the risk of falling. After all, the weekly K and monthly line trends have not reversed, so in the short term, we can only operate with short-term bands and close them when they are built.
The overall trend of Ethereum on the current daily line is weaker than that of Bitcoin. Although the MACD and KDJ indicators and the MA5 daily moving average tend to fluctuate upward, the continuous downward pressure of the BOLL band middle track and the MA30 daily moving average brings strong resistance to the rebound of the currency price. Combined with the 12-hour line, the current currency price continues to run below the middle track. The three KDJ lines show signs of turning, and MACD is in a bullish trend. Once the currency price rebounds and cannot stand firmly at the key pressure of 2380 in the early morning, the subsequent currency price will still have the risk of falling. After all, the weekly K and monthly line trends have not reversed, so in the short term, we can only operate with short-term bands and close them when they are built.
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Analysis of Ethereum's early morning market on September 11 ~ with operational ideas
Yesterday morning, the market trend was as expected. Bitcoin once again led Ethereum to rise. In the early morning, it touched the daily MA10 daily moving average and began to fall under pressure. Our layout of low-multiple ideas also successfully grasped good profits.
At the current daily level, the price of Ethereum is fluctuating between MA5 and the 10-day moving average. From the indicator point of view, MACD is in a state of short-term shrinkage, and KDJ three lines are slightly up. At the daily level, the US CPI data will be released at 8:30 tomorrow night, which will determine whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points or 25 basis points on September 18. If the data meets expectations, then the probability of a rate cut on September 18 will increase in the short term. On the contrary, if it is higher than expected, the market will again carry out up and down needle wash to wash out the recent long leverage (after all, the current large-scale monthly K and weekly K are still dominated by short positions). At present, the overall trend of the market is extremely easy to be affected by the news. From a technical perspective, Ethereum cannot effectively stand firm in the short term, and the key pressure of 2380-2410 still needs to be kept high. At present, the market trading volume is not large and the market tends to fluctuate slightly. The daily line is mainly based on 4 hours.
At the current daily level, the price of Ethereum is fluctuating between MA5 and the 10-day moving average. From the indicator point of view, MACD is in a state of short-term shrinkage, and KDJ three lines are slightly up. At the daily level, the US CPI data will be released at 8:30 tomorrow night, which will determine whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points or 25 basis points on September 18. If the data meets expectations, then the probability of a rate cut on September 18 will increase in the short term. On the contrary, if it is higher than expected, the market will again carry out up and down needle wash to wash out the recent long leverage (after all, the current large-scale monthly K and weekly K are still dominated by short positions). At present, the overall trend of the market is extremely easy to be affected by the news. From a technical perspective, Ethereum cannot effectively stand firm in the short term, and the key pressure of 2380-2410 still needs to be kept high. At present, the market trading volume is not large and the market tends to fluctuate slightly. The daily line is mainly based on 4 hours.
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The market analysis updated at noon yesterday, the market fluctuated and rose again as expected, and the low-multiple strategy we deployed successfully boarded the big bitcoin Ethereum. Big bitcoin took 1700-2000 points of space. Ethereum successfully grasped 40-70 points of profit. Congratulations to friends who followed. Conservative friends can collect rice near 2350, and aggressive friends can see the 2380-2400 line. On your way in the currency circle, every decision you make is very important. The help of a good mentor and friend can help you avoid detours#美国经济软着陆？ #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？
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Analysis of Ethereum intraday market on 9.9, with operation ideas
As expected, the weekend market price rebounded and recovered after a downward spike. The strategy I gave was too conservative and I had to be eliminated.
After the current weekly K update, the pressure of MA5 daily moving average has eased, and the TD indicator has reached TD8, and there is a space of nearly 200 points between the Ethereum price and the MA5 daily moving average. It is expected that the price will rebound and repair the gap this week, and then test the suppression strength of the weekly K MA5 daily moving average before fluctuating and falling. At present, the weekly and monthly K levels are dominated by shorts, so the rebound cannot break through the pressure or high-altitude operations are still the main theme. Of course, the weekly K can only be used as a reference and is mainly analyzed on a daily basis.
After the current weekly K update, the pressure of MA5 daily moving average has eased, and the TD indicator has reached TD8, and there is a space of nearly 200 points between the Ethereum price and the MA5 daily moving average. It is expected that the price will rebound and repair the gap this week, and then test the suppression strength of the weekly K MA5 daily moving average before fluctuating and falling. At present, the weekly and monthly K levels are dominated by shorts, so the rebound cannot break through the pressure or high-altitude operations are still the main theme. Of course, the weekly K can only be used as a reference and is mainly analyzed on a daily basis.
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Analysis of Ethereum market in the early morning of September 7 ~ with operational ideas
As I expected, Ethereum continued to fluctuate slightly in the early morning of yesterday. The rebound failed to break through the 2415 line of suppression. It retreated at noon. After the release of non-agricultural data in the evening, the market rebounded slightly to lure more buyers, and then quickly fell unilaterally. It reached our pin target of 2250 in the early morning. Those who hold the mid-term layout will basically earn about 140-150 points. There is a space of 2000-3000 points for the big cake.
The current daily line still continues yesterday's view. The MA5 10-day moving average resonates to suppress the currency price. The MACD and KDJ indicators also tend to run in a bearish sentiment. In addition, the BOLL band continues to open downward and the TD indicator comes to TD4. Ethereum continues to run near the lower track. From the indicator, whether it is the monthly K or weekly K, the general direction is bearish. The rebound cannot stand firm on the daily MA5 daily moving average, so just keep it high.
The current daily line still continues yesterday's view. The MA5 10-day moving average resonates to suppress the currency price. The MACD and KDJ indicators also tend to run in a bearish sentiment. In addition, the BOLL band continues to open downward and the TD indicator comes to TD4. Ethereum continues to run near the lower track. From the indicator, whether it is the monthly K or weekly K, the general direction is bearish. The rebound cannot stand firm on the daily MA5 daily moving average, so just keep it high.
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