On today's decline, the stop was knocked out in the NOT trade. At the moment the price reached +11.4%, but this time the asset did not go against the falling market.
Total - in the spot deal dated June 25, a noticeable stop of -14.19% was received. The support pool did not work itself out. The decision not to open other transactions on the assets of interest in the current market was correct.
As we wrote, the stop is larger than usual, but in the end we expect to take a serious movement from the asset, which, when entered again, will compensate for the possible loss.
The price still holds the volume level of $0.01192 and remains above the downward trend since June 2.
The structure on the chart is not broken by this decline, so let’s try to re-enter from the oversold zone with a pending order. If the price does not reach it and there are obvious reversal signals, we will move the entry point. 
We set the entry point with a pending order at the volume level of $0.01077. Above psychological $0.01000. If a trade is opened from this level, we will place a stop behind the global upward trend since the end of May (indicated by a dotted line).
$NOT

Important events for the crypto market on July 4th from the economic calendar.
Today is a holiday in the USA. Institutions are “overboard”; it is easier to manipulate the market. In general, in terms of macroeconomics, the day is empty. Swiss consumer inflation data has already been released this morning (important for the Swiss franc, which is included in the formula for calculating the US Dollar Index DXY). Slightly better than forecast.
Daily schedule:
- USA - Independence Day, day off.
- 14:30 Kyiv time and Moscow time / 16:30 Astana time - Publication of the minutes of the meeting of the European Central Bank on monetary policy. Important for the euro included in the formula for calculating the US Dollar Index DXY.
- 23:30 Kyiv time and Moscow time / 01:30 new day Astana time - US Federal Reserve balance sheet. They will show how things are going in the financial sector, in particular with quantitative tightening (QT). The stock and crypto markets need to see a change in trend and the beginning of an increase in the money supply.

CryptoQuant records new panic selling by short-term BTC holders. In the last three days, July 1-3, there has been a steady trend.
So far, the peak of sales at a loss was yesterday. But today’s even short-term decline in the price of#BTCunder $60,000 again instills fear in “paper hands” and forces them to sell.
$BTC

The specialized media today are again throwing FUD at the crypto market on the topic of payments to MtGox clients. #Cointelegraphpublishes an infographic from#Glassnodewith the movement recently (not today) of a huge amount of old#BTCaged 7-10 years, worth about $9 billion. With the comment: “$BTC falls 4.2% amid potential Mt. payouts. Gox. Will the $60K support hold or break?”#Decryptpublished a news story today with the headline “Bitcoin Drops Below $61,000 As Mt. Payout Approaches.” Gox."
Sounds like preparations for the final landing?
$BTC

Six previous bullish MACD crossovers on the daily BTC chart provided strong gains in its price. This is indicated by a trader and analyst at Mags (82.3 thousand subscribers in X). Focusing on the fact that the seventh intersection may occur in the coming days:
#Bitcoinis about to start growing strongly.
The MACD is poised to cross bullishly for the seventh time since $15,500.
Every time the MACD turned bullish, we saw a significant increase in the price of #BTC.
You are ready? 👀"
MACD is one of the most common and simple indicators. And it works really well on older TFs (from daily and above). The main thing is to wait for the bullish crossing of the indicator signal line. Because “just about” still doesn’t count. Yesterday it seemed that the crossing was inevitable. But today’s correction has canceled it for now and delayed the bullish signal.
$BTC

The huge gap of $60,420-$62,080 on the BTC futures chart on the CME is completely closed. Literally following the publication of the review there was another downward impulse.
Now this “magnet” has completely worked itself out. But the withdrawal of liquidity at least beyond the June 28 level is worth the wait.
On the CME chart, by the way,#BTCfutures also have the current and next four-hour candles - reversal ones. But on June 21-24, when the market was declining, sellers already broke this signal. You should not take the signal as a guarantee, but you should consider the probability.
$BTC

The “Sell in May, and go away” period for BTC trading is already over.
At least, this is what trader and cryptanalyst Ali Martinez (66.2 thousand subscribers in X) thinks. Analyzing the activity of wallets of retail#BTCinvestors according to#Glassnodedata:
“Sell in May and Go” is officially over!#Bitcoinretail investors are returning and new addresses $BTC hit a four-month high of 432,026!”
$BTC

Matrixport analysts believe that the BTC rate has already broken the downward trend.
On June 25, the top cryptocurrency hit its “lowest possible level” on the Matrixport Greed and Fear Index, a level often associated with a price recovery. 
Quote from #Matrixport:
“On June 26, we noted that#BTCwas oversold; then last weekend BTC broke the short-term downtrend.
Although there is still resistance to the continuation of the recovery, from a technical point of view the rebound has already occurred."
$BTC

The supply of ETH for long-term holders is at an all-time high.#IntoTheBlockdata shows this. 
Since 2021, this share of the asset has grown by almost 100%. Everyone is waiting for the launch of spot Ethereum ETF trading
At the same time, network fees on the#Ethereumblockchain have reached their lowest level since 2016. And 9 of the 10 lowest periods were recorded in the last week. This already reflects stagnation in the market and the lack of activity of participants.
As a result, since mid-April the supply of ETH has been growing, it has again become inflationary. Low fees - low burn. In 30 days, the blockchain produced 76,085 ETH as rewards within the PoS algorithm, and 26,289 ETH was burned in commissions. Net increase in supply for the month - 49,795 #ETH. This, however, is still significantly less than if the blockchain remained on the PoW algorithm. According to the simulation from ultrasound. money.
To summarize - blockchain and an asset “in idle time” according to the interest of users. Taking into account the protracted price range of the main assets on the market, this is not surprising. But no one is going to dump their investment positions. Everyone is waiting for a reversal of dominance and continued growth of ETH paired with BTC.
$ETH

Raoul Pal expects the market cap of altcoins (excluding ETH) to increase 10x in the current cycle. He stated this on his YouTube.
The current capitalization of TOTAL3 (capitalization of altcoins excluding #ETH) is $604.540 billion. That is, Pal expects the price of altcoins to rise to $6.045 trillion.
Let us remember that Pal is the co-founder of Real Vision and the CEO of Global Macro Investor, a former TOP manager at Goldman Sachs. He, as it became known from his joint June interview with ex-CEO of BitMEX Arthur Hayes, is 90% in#SOLand believes that this is “the right bet for the current cycle.” 
The key concept that Pal represents is the "banana zone". A term he uses to describe the explosive phase in the cryptocurrency market, where assets can experience sharp growth. He believes the market is entering this phase due to the imminent Ethereum spot ETF and subsequent capital inflows.
Pal emphasizes the importance of patience and strategic long-term thinking. Highlights typical seasonal patterns in the crypto market, noting that the months leading up to the US presidential election are historically strong for BTC. And advises investors to expect corrections and volatility, but remain focused on the broader trend.

The Trust Wallet crypto wallet released a number of updates at the end of June. While TWT pretends to be a stablecoin pegged to 1$ 😁
New updates to the#TrustWalletapp and extension include: 
- Instant connection with zkLink Nova.
- New page “Popular tokens” / Hot Token.
- Support for exchanges via 0x, Blast and SWFT.