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薛定谔的猫叔
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Just when I was about to start today's daily update, the market fell directly below the key support, and it was an effective break. Since the Bitcoin halving, the support is really paper-thin, and the bullish sentiment has really weakened a lot. Pay attention to the situation of the integer level below, #减半后的资金流向

Just when I was about to start today's daily update, the market fell directly below the key support, and it was an effective break.

Since the Bitcoin halving, the support is really paper-thin, and the bullish sentiment has really weakened a lot.

Pay attention to the situation of the integer level below,

#减半后的资金流向

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宏观经济与消息面: 从24年开始,大家对于美联储以及鲍威尔的态度基本是已经处于懵的状态,其实这很正常,美联储的动作,何时降息,各国央行都在盯着进行调控,就连日本(可能是提前知道)跟瑞士的央行都被会有做出了“错误”的调控动作,更别提机构跟民间散户了,不过鲍威尔一会鹰,一会鸽,其实不难理解,我们看美元与美债的情况。 前段时间,鲍威尔鹰派,基本让美元102直接到了105.5的高位,美元的强势得到巩固。 这段时间开始小小的鸽一下,美元指数小幅度回落,美债开始走高。 美元,美债可是美国针对全球经济与金融市场的大杀器,也是美国最锋利的两把镰刀。 而且随着近期的鸽派态度,也同时带动了一下美股,防止美股在降息之前提前市场信心不足而破裂下跌。 如果通过目的去看动作,好像这一切不难理解。 目前市场对于降息预期开始乐观,但是不要过热,不然本周美联储官员讲话的“稿子”可能会变成降温的稿子。 大家都在关心何时降息,但是好像很多人都忽略了一个致命的问题,一旦降息或者美联储准备降息,美国自身的经济与金融风险,会不会爆?美国经济着陆是否会成功?如果不成功,或者成功,对于全球经济会带来何种正/负影响。这也是近期准备要写的一个素材,算是分享讨论吧。 #BTC走势分析
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