From a macroeconomic perspective, this week will welcome the last super central bank week of the year, especially the interest rate decisions from the United States and Japan are worth paying attention to. On the Federal Reserve side, due to the CPI inflation data meeting expectations, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at dawn on Thursday. The CME's market probability has already shown that the likelihood of a rate cut is as high as 97%. However, this rate cut has almost been priced in by the market, so the focus may be more on Powell's speech and the outlook for the January FOMC.

As for Japan, although the last interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan led to significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market, the possibility of a rate hike this time is relatively low. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's recent statements have leaned towards a dovish stance, indicating a lower likelihood of an interest rate hike. This judgment has also been widely recognized by the market, so the Bank of Japan's decision may not have a significant impact on the market.

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