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Deividi Guedes

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4.2 Years
Economist, Investor and Youtuber Creator | Crypto and Macroeconomics
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NOTHING LIKE ONE DAY AFTER ANOTHER. Congratulations to those who bought the dip once again. While most choose despair and go with the herd, those who study go after the data and the opportunities that open in certain windows. We continue šŸ“ˆ $BTC $ETH $XRP
NOTHING LIKE ONE DAY AFTER ANOTHER.

Congratulations to those who bought the dip once again.

While most choose despair and go with the herd, those who study go after the data and the opportunities that open in certain windows.

We continue šŸ“ˆ $BTC $ETH $XRP
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What moment are we in now?
What moment are we in now?
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In 2023, the increase was over 120%. In 2024, the increase was even greater: over 160%. In 2025, the year started out more chaotic than the previous ones, with the spotlight on ā€œcryptoā€ for bad reasons, which promotes greater pessimism and this is reflected in the stagnation of prices. But don't be fooled. Bullish years are not bullish years every month. On the contrary. The rise is sudden and, most of the time, the price goes sideways or suffers long falls, in a stagnation that drives many beginner investors away from the market. After a 20/30% increase, euphoria returns and with it the engineers ready for work. Don't be fooled. Don't perpetuate the short term. Always focus on the long-term history to understand the behavior of an asset. I have no idea how much 1 $BTC will be worth by the end of 2025. What I do know is that it makes much more sense for me to be exposed than to be left out at this time. #MarketSentimentWatch
In 2023, the increase was over 120%. In 2024, the increase was even greater: over 160%.

In 2025, the year started out more chaotic than the previous ones, with the spotlight on ā€œcryptoā€ for bad reasons, which promotes greater pessimism and this is reflected in the stagnation of prices.

But don't be fooled. Bullish years are not bullish years every month. On the contrary. The rise is sudden and, most of the time, the price goes sideways or suffers long falls, in a stagnation that drives many beginner investors away from the market.

After a 20/30% increase, euphoria returns and with it the engineers ready for work.

Don't be fooled. Don't perpetuate the short term. Always focus on the long-term history to understand the behavior of an asset.

I have no idea how much 1 $BTC will be worth by the end of 2025. What I do know is that it makes much more sense for me to be exposed than to be left out at this time.

#MarketSentimentWatch
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This is one of the most important data about the crypto market ā¬‡ļø Below we have a picture of the market movement (image): Notice that, in the last 30 days, investors increased cash (stable coins) and continued to increase BTC. But what about altcoins? Altcoins have entered a downward trend. This is a first sign of risk aversion. ETH and other altcoins have lost more than 15% of their capitalization. Does this mean that we won't have the famous altcoin bull season? No. The data continues to point to an altseason. But... This is just another reminder that you should never depend on a single scenario. Contrary to what most crypto YouTubers say, you need to: 1 - DIVERSIFY, by investing in other asset classes; 2 - In crypto, don't stray too far from the rule of at least 60% in BTC, with the other 40% prioritizing more solid projects and only a small percentage for riskier projects; 3 - Always have a percentage in cash (I leave mine in USDC) to take advantage of big drops. By doing this, you will have much more security and peace of mind so you don't panic when drops occur, but do what needs to be done. {spot}(BTCUSDT) #BTC $BTC
This is one of the most important data about the crypto market ā¬‡ļø

Below we have a picture of the market movement (image):

Notice that, in the last 30 days, investors increased cash (stable coins) and continued to increase BTC.

But what about altcoins?

Altcoins have entered a downward trend. This is a first sign of risk aversion.

ETH and other altcoins have lost more than 15% of their capitalization.

Does this mean that we won't have the famous altcoin bull season?

No.
The data continues to point to an altseason. But...
This is just another reminder that you should never depend on a single scenario.

Contrary to what most crypto YouTubers say, you need to:

1 - DIVERSIFY, by investing in other asset classes;

2 - In crypto, don't stray too far from the rule of at least 60% in BTC, with the other 40% prioritizing more solid projects and only a small percentage for riskier projects;

3 - Always have a percentage in cash (I leave mine in USDC) to take advantage of big drops.

By doing this, you will have much more security and peace of mind so you don't panic when drops occur, but do what needs to be done.

#BTC $BTC
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šŸšØRecord-breaking liquidations in the crypto marketšŸšØ Here I had 3 open positions and only BTC was not liquidated. What madness.
šŸšØRecord-breaking liquidations in the crypto marketšŸšØ

Here I had 3 open positions and only BTC was not liquidated.

What madness.
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WORLD IN SHOCK WITH CHINA'S NEW LOW-COST AI šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³ But what about the AI ā€‹ā€‹GAMING narrative that so many people started talking about? Taking this exact narrative, today the pre-sale of @Astra__Nova's $RVV token started and there will be a video explaining everything on the channel soon. Watch it šŸ˜‰
WORLD IN SHOCK WITH CHINA'S NEW LOW-COST AI šŸ‡ØšŸ‡³

But what about the AI ā€‹ā€‹GAMING narrative that so many people started talking about?

Taking this exact narrative, today the pre-sale of @Astra__Nova's $RVV token started and there will be a video explaining everything on the channel soon. Watch it šŸ˜‰
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STAY WITH THE FUNDAMENTALS - DON'T FOCUS ON ā€œGEMSā€ šŸ’Ž This is what CZ just wrote on his social media, a statement that I agree with and strongly defend. There is no problem in setting aside a small portion of your capital for speculation in high-risk cryptocurrencies. They can even help increase the overall portfolio turnover, from time to time. The big problem is in leaving aside the fundamentals and focusing on cryptocurrencies that have no basis whatsoever, as many do, especially beginners. Build a robust portfolio. The reward will come and your work and exposure to risk will be infinitely smaller. $BNB $BTC $SOL
STAY WITH THE FUNDAMENTALS - DON'T FOCUS ON ā€œGEMSā€ šŸ’Ž

This is what CZ just wrote on his social media, a statement that I agree with and strongly defend.

There is no problem in setting aside a small portion of your capital for speculation in high-risk cryptocurrencies.

They can even help increase the overall portfolio turnover, from time to time.

The big problem is in leaving aside the fundamentals and focusing on cryptocurrencies that have no basis whatsoever, as many do, especially beginners.

Build a robust portfolio. The reward will come and your work and exposure to risk will be infinitely smaller.

$BNB $BTC $SOL
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Bullish
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DID TRUMP CREATE OR NOT CREATE THE ORDER FOR A STRATEGIC RESERVE IN $BTC Yesterday, Trump signed an executive order that refers to the creation of a ā€œStrategic Reserve in Digital Assetsā€, which in practice represents an important step towards the creation of a reserve in #Bitcoin with the effective start of purchases A strategic reserve of ā€œdigital assetsā€ will be set up by the US, which, by all indications, should buy a lot of BTC over the next 5 years The way this is arranged confuses the market, but, in my opinion, it is clear that ā€œdigital assetsā€ mainly includes $BTC , given that this was a campaign promise and the project by Senator Cynthia Lummis, an ally, is precisely about this The initial proposal covers 5% of the entire existing supply As I have said several times here, there will not be enough for everyone ā³ Cover from the article on the LiveCoins portal NOTE: the text does not allow punctuation or commas #TrumpCryptoOrder
DID TRUMP CREATE OR NOT CREATE THE ORDER FOR A STRATEGIC RESERVE IN $BTC

Yesterday, Trump signed an executive order that refers to the creation of a ā€œStrategic Reserve in Digital Assetsā€, which in practice represents an important step towards the creation of a reserve in #Bitcoin with the effective start of purchases

A strategic reserve of ā€œdigital assetsā€ will be set up by the US, which, by all indications, should buy a lot of BTC over the next 5 years

The way this is arranged confuses the market, but, in my opinion, it is clear that ā€œdigital assetsā€ mainly includes $BTC , given that this was a campaign promise and the project by Senator Cynthia Lummis, an ally, is precisely about this

The initial proposal covers 5% of the entire existing supply

As I have said several times here, there will not be enough for everyone

ā³

Cover from the article on the LiveCoins portal

NOTE: the text does not allow punctuation or commas

#TrumpCryptoOrder
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šŸšØ TRUMP DOES NOT MENTION BITCOIN OR CRYPTO IN HIS SPEECH OR IN THE OFFICIAL WHITE HOUSE DOCUMENT Will the market crash now? Keep calm at this point. We had two scenarios: either Trump mentioned his commitment to creating a strategic reserve in Bitcoin and the market could make a significant jump, or he would not mention anything and naturally, as on other days with a lot of betting on both sides, the market would become more volatile. What we are seeing is not the market crashing. It is just the market realizing and seeking liquidity, naturally liquidating leveraged investors. $BTC follows the same direction for the cycle and, in my opinion, even though it is not a prominent topic to the point of being brought up in the speech, the strategic reserve remains on the agenda for the coming weeks. {spot}(BTCUSDT)
šŸšØ TRUMP DOES NOT MENTION BITCOIN OR CRYPTO IN HIS SPEECH OR IN THE OFFICIAL WHITE HOUSE DOCUMENT

Will the market crash now?

Keep calm at this point.

We had two scenarios: either Trump mentioned his commitment to creating a strategic reserve in Bitcoin and the market could make a significant jump, or he would not mention anything and naturally, as on other days with a lot of betting on both sides, the market would become more volatile.

What we are seeing is not the market crashing. It is just the market realizing and seeking liquidity, naturally liquidating leveraged investors.

$BTC follows the same direction for the cycle and, in my opinion, even though it is not a prominent topic to the point of being brought up in the speech, the strategic reserve remains on the agenda for the coming weeks.
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Good morning with a new all-time high for $BTC šŸ“ˆ
Good morning with a new all-time high for $BTC šŸ“ˆ
See original
$BTC IS IT EXPENSIVE? Indicators still show no. At this moment, we have high prospects for the coming months, that is, if it continues according to history since its creation until today. In order not to continue the rise,#Bitcoinwould have to break the cycle. For now, the asymmetry looks interesting, and while there is always risk, I see no reason not to hold $BTC
$BTC IS IT EXPENSIVE?

Indicators still show no.

At this moment, we have high prospects for the coming months, that is, if it continues according to history since its creation until today.

In order not to continue the rise,#Bitcoinwould have to break the cycle.

For now, the asymmetry looks interesting, and while there is always risk, I see no reason not to hold $BTC
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$SOL JUST RENEWED A HISTORIC HIGH šŸ“ˆ Who's making a profit with SOLANA? It's worth remembering that in times like these, it's wise to take partials, given that the trend is to retreat after renewing the high, especially if it doesn't have enough volume/strength to climb to the next level. {spot}(SOLUSDT) Tell us in the comments how long you've been holding $SOL and how much you think it can reach in this cycle šŸ‘‡šŸ¼
$SOL JUST RENEWED A HISTORIC HIGH šŸ“ˆ

Who's making a profit with SOLANA?

It's worth remembering that in times like these, it's wise to take partials, given that the trend is to retreat after renewing the high, especially if it doesn't have enough volume/strength to climb to the next level.

Tell us in the comments how long you've been holding $SOL and how much you think it can reach in this cycle šŸ‘‡šŸ¼
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šŸ’„ THE CRYPTO MARKET HAS 3 POSITIVE NEWS IN 2 DAYS AND REVERSES MOOD! To begin with, according to the Washington Post, President-elect Donald Trump is expected to issue executive orders on cryptocurrencies shortly after taking office, which is just 5 days away. There is also great expectation regarding the creation of a strategic reserve of Bitcoin $BTC for the US šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø In addition, in contrast to what happened with Payroll, yesterday's inflation data came in below the forecast, which is positive for future interest rate cuts and for the market. Today's data was in line with yesterday's, also below the market's forecast, and further encouraged the crypto market, which is already up 10% since the low 3 days ago.
šŸ’„ THE CRYPTO MARKET HAS 3 POSITIVE NEWS IN 2 DAYS AND REVERSES MOOD!

To begin with, according to the Washington Post, President-elect Donald Trump is expected to issue executive orders on cryptocurrencies shortly after taking office, which is just 5 days away.

There is also great expectation regarding the creation of a strategic reserve of Bitcoin $BTC for the US šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø

In addition, in contrast to what happened with Payroll, yesterday's inflation data came in below the forecast, which is positive for future interest rate cuts and for the market.

Today's data was in line with yesterday's, also below the market's forecast, and further encouraged the crypto market, which is already up 10% since the low 3 days ago.
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Is it far from the consensus that ā€œAltseason is overā€? I can already see many people making this kind of statement.
Is it far from the consensus that ā€œAltseason is overā€?

I can already see many people making this kind of statement.
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I am amazed at the number of people who post here showing that they have no idea what they are doing in the market. My advice to them is simple: STOP šŸ›‘ Go back to a new house, study the market, respect your risk profile and, with knowledge, come back. I have seen many people lose a lot of money in the crypto market because they treat it like a lottery.
I am amazed at the number of people who post here showing that they have no idea what they are doing in the market.

My advice to them is simple: STOP šŸ›‘

Go back to a new house, study the market, respect your risk profile and, with knowledge, come back.

I have seen many people lose a lot of money in the crypto market because they treat it like a lottery.
See original
This week, I would be very surprised if the markets were to move higher. The feeling of uncertainty is significantly greater than in recent weeks. At times like these, a pullback is not only natural but also healthy. And it is part of the process. A calm sea never made a skilled sailor.
This week, I would be very surprised if the markets were to move higher.

The feeling of uncertainty is significantly greater than in recent weeks.

At times like these, a pullback is not only natural but also healthy.

And it is part of the process.

A calm sea never made a skilled sailor.
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ISSO VAI DITAR PRA ONDE VAI O MERCADO NOS PRƓXIMOS MESES šŸšØ HĆ” uma correlaĆ§Ć£o forte entre bolsa de tecnologia americana (NASDAQ) e criptomoedas. Com os recentes dados econĆ“micos apontando aquecimento da economia e inflaĆ§Ć£o ainda nĆ£o controlada, as chances de cortes de juros ao longo de 2025 diminuem. Isso somado ao fato de que a bolsa americana vem de um rally de meses de alta e recordes histĆ³ricos, com ganhos acima da mĆ©dia nos Ćŗltimos anos, deixa o mercado mais suscetĆ­vel a quedas. Investidores tendem a diminuir apetite a risco nesses cenĆ”rios. Esse, na minha opiniĆ£o, Ć© o maior risco para o mercado cripto hoje. Se o mercado americano comeƧar a realizar (cair) de forma mais acentuada, veremos o mesmo no mercado cripto. E sim, isso pode prejudicar a altseason. Eu sigo otimista com o $BTC para 2025, mas faƧo essa ressalva. O risco nesse comeƧo de ano, com a provĆ”vel venda de $6 bilhƵes em $BTC pelos EUA + dados de emprego, aumentou.
ISSO VAI DITAR PRA ONDE VAI O MERCADO NOS PRƓXIMOS MESES šŸšØ

HĆ” uma correlaĆ§Ć£o forte entre bolsa de tecnologia americana (NASDAQ) e criptomoedas.

Com os recentes dados econĆ“micos apontando aquecimento da economia e inflaĆ§Ć£o ainda nĆ£o controlada, as chances de cortes de juros ao longo de 2025 diminuem.

Isso somado ao fato de que a bolsa americana vem de um rally de meses de alta e recordes histĆ³ricos, com ganhos acima da mĆ©dia nos Ćŗltimos anos, deixa o mercado mais suscetĆ­vel a quedas.

Investidores tendem a diminuir apetite a risco nesses cenƔrios.

Esse, na minha opiniĆ£o, Ć© o maior risco para o mercado cripto hoje.

Se o mercado americano comeƧar a realizar (cair) de forma mais acentuada, veremos o mesmo no mercado cripto. E sim, isso pode prejudicar a altseason.

Eu sigo otimista com o $BTC para 2025, mas faƧo essa ressalva. O risco nesse comeƧo de ano, com a provƔvel venda de $6 bilhƵes em $BTC pelos EUA + dados de emprego, aumentou.
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Lately, all the business owners I talk to say the same thing: They have never seen such a shortage of labor. People are no longer willing to work. What are the reasons?
Lately, all the business owners I talk to say the same thing:

They have never seen such a shortage of labor.

People are no longer willing to work.

What are the reasons?
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$BTC going up the stairs and down the elevator:
$BTC going up the stairs and down the elevator:
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Keep your eyes open and your nose sharp šŸ‘€ $BTC ETFs have started to capture strong returns at the beginning of 2025. Follow the money šŸ“ˆ
Keep your eyes open and your nose sharp šŸ‘€

$BTC ETFs have started to capture strong returns at the beginning of 2025.

Follow the money šŸ“ˆ
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