In 2023, the increase was over 120%. In 2024, the increase was even greater: over 160%.
In 2025, the year started out more chaotic than the previous ones, with the spotlight on ācryptoā for bad reasons, which promotes greater pessimism and this is reflected in the stagnation of prices.
But don't be fooled. Bullish years are not bullish years every month. On the contrary. The rise is sudden and, most of the time, the price goes sideways or suffers long falls, in a stagnation that drives many beginner investors away from the market.
After a 20/30% increase, euphoria returns and with it the engineers ready for work.
Don't be fooled. Don't perpetuate the short term. Always focus on the long-term history to understand the behavior of an asset.
I have no idea how much 1 $BTC will be worth by the end of 2025. What I do know is that it makes much more sense for me to be exposed than to be left out at this time.
This is one of the most important data about the crypto market ā¬ļø
Below we have a picture of the market movement (image):
Notice that, in the last 30 days, investors increased cash (stable coins) and continued to increase BTC.
But what about altcoins?
Altcoins have entered a downward trend. This is a first sign of risk aversion.
ETH and other altcoins have lost more than 15% of their capitalization.
Does this mean that we won't have the famous altcoin bull season?
No. The data continues to point to an altseason. But... This is just another reminder that you should never depend on a single scenario.
Contrary to what most crypto YouTubers say, you need to:
1 - DIVERSIFY, by investing in other asset classes;
2 - In crypto, don't stray too far from the rule of at least 60% in BTC, with the other 40% prioritizing more solid projects and only a small percentage for riskier projects;
3 - Always have a percentage in cash (I leave mine in USDC) to take advantage of big drops.
By doing this, you will have much more security and peace of mind so you don't panic when drops occur, but do what needs to be done.
WORLD IN SHOCK WITH CHINA'S NEW LOW-COST AI šØš³
But what about the AI āāGAMING narrative that so many people started talking about?
Taking this exact narrative, today the pre-sale of @Astra__Nova's $RVV token started and there will be a video explaining everything on the channel soon. Watch it š
DID TRUMP CREATE OR NOT CREATE THE ORDER FOR A STRATEGIC RESERVE IN $BTC
Yesterday, Trump signed an executive order that refers to the creation of a āStrategic Reserve in Digital Assetsā, which in practice represents an important step towards the creation of a reserve in #Bitcoin with the effective start of purchases
A strategic reserve of ādigital assetsā will be set up by the US, which, by all indications, should buy a lot of BTC over the next 5 years
The way this is arranged confuses the market, but, in my opinion, it is clear that ādigital assetsā mainly includes $BTC , given that this was a campaign promise and the project by Senator Cynthia Lummis, an ally, is precisely about this
The initial proposal covers 5% of the entire existing supply
As I have said several times here, there will not be enough for everyone
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Cover from the article on the LiveCoins portal
NOTE: the text does not allow punctuation or commas
šØ TRUMP DOES NOT MENTION BITCOIN OR CRYPTO IN HIS SPEECH OR IN THE OFFICIAL WHITE HOUSE DOCUMENT
Will the market crash now?
Keep calm at this point.
We had two scenarios: either Trump mentioned his commitment to creating a strategic reserve in Bitcoin and the market could make a significant jump, or he would not mention anything and naturally, as on other days with a lot of betting on both sides, the market would become more volatile.
What we are seeing is not the market crashing. It is just the market realizing and seeking liquidity, naturally liquidating leveraged investors.
$BTC follows the same direction for the cycle and, in my opinion, even though it is not a prominent topic to the point of being brought up in the speech, the strategic reserve remains on the agenda for the coming weeks.
It's worth remembering that in times like these, it's wise to take partials, given that the trend is to retreat after renewing the high, especially if it doesn't have enough volume/strength to climb to the next level.
Tell us in the comments how long you've been holding $SOL and how much you think it can reach in this cycle šš¼
š„ THE CRYPTO MARKET HAS 3 POSITIVE NEWS IN 2 DAYS AND REVERSES MOOD!
To begin with, according to the Washington Post, President-elect Donald Trump is expected to issue executive orders on cryptocurrencies shortly after taking office, which is just 5 days away.
There is also great expectation regarding the creation of a strategic reserve of Bitcoin $BTC for the US šŗšø
In addition, in contrast to what happened with Payroll, yesterday's inflation data came in below the forecast, which is positive for future interest rate cuts and for the market.
Today's data was in line with yesterday's, also below the market's forecast, and further encouraged the crypto market, which is already up 10% since the low 3 days ago.
ISSO VAI DITAR PRA ONDE VAI O MERCADO NOS PRĆXIMOS MESES šØ
HĆ” uma correlaĆ§Ć£o forte entre bolsa de tecnologia americana (NASDAQ) e criptomoedas.
Com os recentes dados econĆ“micos apontando aquecimento da economia e inflaĆ§Ć£o ainda nĆ£o controlada, as chances de cortes de juros ao longo de 2025 diminuem.
Se o mercado americano comeƧar a realizar (cair) de forma mais acentuada, veremos o mesmo no mercado cripto. E sim, isso pode prejudicar a altseason.
Eu sigo otimista com o $BTC para 2025, mas faƧo essa ressalva. O risco nesse comeƧo de ano, com a provƔvel venda de $6 bilhƵes em $BTC pelos EUA + dados de emprego, aumentou.