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Finally, respond: First, let’s talk about my personal trading situation in the past week: Mark the daily rise and fall, and the current accuracy is 100%. As for the accuracy of the strategy, yesterday I stepped back to 60300, and finally stepped back to the position of 60060, which is considered a mistake. It was correct in the past few days, and the points were basically accurate, and the strategy accuracy rate was 80%. For three consecutive times, the news data was analyzed in advance, and the prediction success rate was 100%. This is the situation in the past week. But what I want to express is that this does not mean anything, nor is it something I want to use to create a personal image for myself. It can only show that my recent grasp of market trends is pretty good and I have adapted to the rhythm of the market. But I always believe that there is no permanent profit master in the market, and my accuracy rate was very high in June. But when the market rhythm suddenly changed in July, I even had doubts about myself. So why are there no traders who make money forever? The market conditions have certain rules, but the rhythm is not static. Sometimes there is a sudden change from shock to unilateral rhythm, and it is easy to change from stable profit to stable loss without reacting for a while. Therefore, my current habit is to make as much profit as possible when I can grasp the market. When the market changes its rhythm, adapt in time. If you really can't adapt, give up the unfamiliar rhythm. Trading is not just a matter of time. It doesn't hurt to take a break for a while. The most important point, I said before: My points are for reference only. Comments from traders who have their own market views and trading logic are welcome. We can communicate together. But there is no logic, I haven't read the article in detail, I just come up with it for my own bad taste, and I just post it without thinking. I do not recognize his character, nor do I think he has the qualities a trader should have. So from now on, I will be directly blocked from this kind of meeting, and I will not respond to such comments anymore, which is also a waste of my time.
Finally, respond:

First, let’s talk about my personal trading situation in the past week:

Mark the daily rise and fall, and the current accuracy is 100%.

As for the accuracy of the strategy, yesterday I stepped back to 60300, and finally stepped back to the position of 60060, which is considered a mistake. It was correct in the past few days, and the points were basically accurate, and the strategy accuracy rate was 80%.

For three consecutive times, the news data was analyzed in advance, and the prediction success rate was 100%.

This is the situation in the past week.

But what I want to express is that this does not mean anything, nor is it something I want to use to create a personal image for myself.

It can only show that my recent grasp of market trends is pretty good and I have adapted to the rhythm of the market.

But I always believe that there is no permanent profit master in the market, and my accuracy rate was very high in June.

But when the market rhythm suddenly changed in July, I even had doubts about myself.

So why are there no traders who make money forever? The market conditions have certain rules, but the rhythm is not static.

Sometimes there is a sudden change from shock to unilateral rhythm, and it is easy to change from stable profit to stable loss without reacting for a while.

Therefore, my current habit is to make as much profit as possible when I can grasp the market.

When the market changes its rhythm, adapt in time. If you really can't adapt, give up the unfamiliar rhythm. Trading is not just a matter of time. It doesn't hurt to take a break for a while.

The most important point, I said before:

My points are for reference only. Comments from traders who have their own market views and trading logic are welcome. We can communicate together.

But there is no logic, I haven't read the article in detail, I just come up with it for my own bad taste, and I just post it without thinking.

I do not recognize his character, nor do I think he has the qualities a trader should have.

So from now on, I will be directly blocked from this kind of meeting, and I will not respond to such comments anymore, which is also a waste of my time.
--
Bullish
See original
Predicted that altcoins will have a 10-20% drop after interest rate cuts, once again validated! The previous article just reminded that altcoins will still experience a 10-20% drop. A few hours later, it was validated through a sharp decline. Personal orders were almost all accurately matched, and currently, I have 80% of my holdings in long positions. If you believe this market trend is a bull market, then the current price-performance ratio of altcoins is very high, and losses will not be significant. If you still want to use the altcoin prices from August 5 as a reference, claiming that this is not a low point, then subconsciously, you do not consider this a bull market. The situation with Bitcoin was discussed in the previous article. As for altcoins, most have already reached their weekly correction positions. If there is a further significant drop from the current level, it may lead to unpredictable black swan risks. Regarding whether to adopt a bull market mindset to seek high price-performance ratio levels, or to be cautious and engage in right-side trading, that is subjective. Lastly, this opinion is a personal subjective view and is for reference only! #币安Alpha项目公布 #加密市场盘整 #山寨季何时到来?
Predicted that altcoins will have a 10-20% drop after interest rate cuts, once again validated!

The previous article just reminded that altcoins will still experience a 10-20% drop. A few hours later, it was validated through a sharp decline.

Personal orders were almost all accurately matched, and currently, I have 80% of my holdings in long positions.

If you believe this market trend is a bull market, then the current price-performance ratio of altcoins is very high, and losses will not be significant.

If you still want to use the altcoin prices from August 5 as a reference, claiming that this is not a low point, then subconsciously, you do not consider this a bull market.

The situation with Bitcoin was discussed in the previous article.

As for altcoins, most have already reached their weekly correction positions.

If there is a further significant drop from the current level, it may lead to unpredictable black swan risks.

Regarding whether to adopt a bull market mindset to seek high price-performance ratio levels, or to be cautious and engage in right-side trading, that is subjective.

Lastly, this opinion is a personal subjective view and is for reference only!

#币安Alpha项目公布 #加密市场盘整 #山寨季何时到来?
See original
Altcoins continue to decline, while Bitcoin keeps breaking new highs. Where are the opportunities for retail investors in this market?Recently, the market conditions in the crypto space have been particularly difficult for most retail investors. As the representative cryptocurrency of the market—Bitcoin continues to hit new highs, most retail-held altcoins not only fail to surge explosively but also continue to decline. The divergence trend between Bitcoin and altcoins is becoming increasingly obvious. So, is this round of the crypto market really just a bull market for Bitcoin? Do altcoins really have no future? Before the significant drop in the altcoin market, I published an article on the evening of December 7, warning that the market might soon face a major pullback!

Altcoins continue to decline, while Bitcoin keeps breaking new highs. Where are the opportunities for retail investors in this market?

Recently, the market conditions in the crypto space have been particularly difficult for most retail investors.
As the representative cryptocurrency of the market—Bitcoin continues to hit new highs, most retail-held altcoins not only fail to surge explosively but also continue to decline.
The divergence trend between Bitcoin and altcoins is becoming increasingly obvious.
So, is this round of the crypto market really just a bull market for Bitcoin? Do altcoins really have no future?
Before the significant drop in the altcoin market, I published an article on the evening of December 7, warning that the market might soon face a major pullback!
--
Bearish
See original
After Bitcoin broke 100,000, it experienced a short-term sharp drop of 10,000 points. Does this indicate a major correction or is it a need to clear contracts? Long time no see, it has been over two months since the last update. The RWA concept, Hong Kong concept, and some memes, especially SLERF, mentioned before the hiatus. Almost all have seen a 3-4 times increase in value. A few days ago, Bitcoin broke through 100,000 USD after a long daily consolidation. Soon after, there was a sharp short-term drop to around 89,000. Despite the dual positive influence of unemployment data and non-farm payrolls, it did not break the new high. Instead, it formed a resistance level. Also, from today's cryptocurrency market performance, meme coins are in the first echelon of the bull market, after being handed over by so-called value coins and VC coins, with sector rotation. Some coins have already begun their second wave of market trends. Moreover, the first wave increase of value coins is basically in place. In summary, Bitcoin may see a pullback of around 10,000 points tonight. After this pullback, observe strong meme coins for a second wave layout. Specific operation: Personally, I will short Bitcoin around 100,400, with take profit at 91,600 and stop loss set at about 1,000 points. This will also be my first short position during this bull market since September. Do not short in a bull market. Keep your hands steady, but under clear trend indications, exchanging small losses for larger profit potential is reasonable. The premise is that if you realize your judgment is wrong, you must stop loss in time. Never hold onto losing positions!! $ETH and $SOL are relatively strong, so I do not recommend shorting. This view is a personal subjective opinion and is for reference only. Lastly, we still welcome the classic segment, placing a poll at the bottom of the article. Let's see everyone's views on the current market trend. Data will be revealed tomorrow. #BTC能站稳10W吗? #山寨季怎么布局? {future}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(SOLUSDT) {future}(SLERFUSDT)
After Bitcoin broke 100,000, it experienced a short-term sharp drop of 10,000 points. Does this indicate a major correction or is it a need to clear contracts?

Long time no see, it has been over two months since the last update.

The RWA concept, Hong Kong concept, and some memes, especially SLERF, mentioned before the hiatus.

Almost all have seen a 3-4 times increase in value.

A few days ago, Bitcoin broke through 100,000 USD after a long daily consolidation.

Soon after, there was a sharp short-term drop to around 89,000.

Despite the dual positive influence of unemployment data and non-farm payrolls, it did not break the new high.

Instead, it formed a resistance level.

Also, from today's cryptocurrency market performance, meme coins are in the first echelon of the bull market, after being handed over by so-called value coins and VC coins, with sector rotation.

Some coins have already begun their second wave of market trends.

Moreover, the first wave increase of value coins is basically in place.

In summary, Bitcoin may see a pullback of around 10,000 points tonight.

After this pullback, observe strong meme coins for a second wave layout.

Specific operation: Personally, I will short Bitcoin around 100,400, with take profit at 91,600 and stop loss set at about 1,000 points.

This will also be my first short position during this bull market since September.

Do not short in a bull market. Keep your hands steady, but under clear trend indications, exchanging small losses for larger profit potential is reasonable.

The premise is that if you realize your judgment is wrong, you must stop loss in time. Never hold onto losing positions!!

$ETH and $SOL are relatively strong, so I do not recommend shorting.

This view is a personal subjective opinion and is for reference only.

Lastly, we still welcome the classic segment, placing a poll at the bottom of the article. Let's see everyone's views on the current market trend.

Data will be revealed tomorrow.

#BTC能站稳10W吗? #山寨季怎么布局?
底部满仓布局,继续拿长线
45%
半仓,大回调补仓
22%
空仓,怕随时有大回调
25%
底部空仓,追高满仓被套中
8%
229 votes • Voting closed
See original
$BTC Is it to sell coins and buy A-shares? Or stick to the faith of people in the coin circle? The price of Bitcoin fell as expected. Is it that funds temporarily flowed to A-shares, or is it a technical correction, or is it the emergence of a crypto black swan? The article mentioned a few days ago that there will be a correction of more than 3,000 points before breaking through 68,000. The correction is not essentially caused by the news. The market has already had a technical correction demand. The news only catalyzed the rapidity of the correction and gave retail investors a reasonable reason. In addition, there are also the effects of safe-haven funds and A-shares absorbing liquidity in the short term. Even as mentioned in the article before, crypto will usher in a real bull market after the black swan. It may also happen during this period. But if the black swan arrives as expected, don't panic too much. Buy spot in batches and keep idle money for the long term. Let me talk about my long-term view on the future financial market, which I have repeatedly mentioned in previous articles: The US stock market is not optimistic, and the A-share market is optimistic in the long term. Cryptocurrency will take over part of the liquidity of the US stock market and usher in the first wave of bulls after being accepted by traditional funds. In addition, cryptocurrencies can pay attention to the Hong Kong sector and the RWA sector. Such as CFX, OM, ONDO, etc. The above are all long-term layouts. In addition, I have played less contracts recently and I am cautious about taking more. Finally, during the recent National Day holiday, I traveled and rested, and inspected new projects, so I had less time to watch the market. The article may be suspended for a few days. If there is an emergency on the market, just read the recent articles repeatedly. #大A香还是大饼香 #加密市场急跌 #伊朗导弹袭击以色列 {future}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(OMUSDT) {spot}(CFXUSDT)
$BTC Is it to sell coins and buy A-shares? Or stick to the faith of people in the coin circle?

The price of Bitcoin fell as expected. Is it that funds temporarily flowed to A-shares, or is it a technical correction, or is it the emergence of a crypto black swan?

The article mentioned a few days ago that there will be a correction of more than 3,000 points before breaking through 68,000.

The correction is not essentially caused by the news. The market has already had a technical correction demand.

The news only catalyzed the rapidity of the correction and gave retail investors a reasonable reason.

In addition, there are also the effects of safe-haven funds and A-shares absorbing liquidity in the short term.

Even as mentioned in the article before, crypto will usher in a real bull market after the black swan.

It may also happen during this period.

But if the black swan arrives as expected, don't panic too much. Buy spot in batches and keep idle money for the long term.

Let me talk about my long-term view on the future financial market, which I have repeatedly mentioned in previous articles:

The US stock market is not optimistic, and the A-share market is optimistic in the long term. Cryptocurrency will take over part of the liquidity of the US stock market and usher in the first wave of bulls after being accepted by traditional funds.

In addition, cryptocurrencies can pay attention to the Hong Kong sector and the RWA sector. Such as CFX, OM, ONDO, etc.

The above are all long-term layouts. In addition, I have played less contracts recently and I am cautious about taking more.

Finally, during the recent National Day holiday, I traveled and rested, and inspected new projects, so I had less time to watch the market.

The article may be suspended for a few days. If there is an emergency on the market, just read the recent articles repeatedly.

#大A香还是大饼香 #加密市场急跌 #伊朗导弹袭击以色列
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牛市1000倍
--
Bearish
$BTC

Big cake breaks through 65,000, panic?

At present, big cake breaks through the consolidation range of 62,700-64,700, and the highest reaches 65,800.

The market has begun to look for new highs.

But I personally think that a wave of callbacks of more than 3,000 points is brewing.

At least before breaking through 68,000, this callback will happen.

It is very common to lure more people to break through the consolidation zone.

In recent days, the consolidation in the range of 627-647 has made longs accustomed to the band and made shorts develop a habit.

The breakthrough of the consolidation zone has strengthened the confidence of the long army, and hesitation has become chasing more, or fomo.

Let the air force start to panic, and the band has become a loss or fear.

Observing the trading volume, the volume has risen sharply. At present, the positive line is still relatively solid.

The end of a rising market is often accompanied by an accelerated rise after high consolidation.

Lure more, scare shorts.

But it is only on the left side at present. I am holding short orders at 65700. So I want to verify my strategy.

Last night's article mentioned that if it does not break 63000, look at 65700 first. Look at unemployment benefits after the callback.

It is not recommended to follow, the risk is high. You can see how the closing line will be at 8 o'clock tomorrow.

The view is a personal subjective view and is for reference only.

#HMSTR开盘 #你有多少HMSTR? #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期



See original
$BTC A-shares and US stocks are two extremes. A-shares have risen sharply. Will Bitcoin follow US stocks or A-shares in the future? Let's analyze the above title: A-shares are almost the only market that has not actively spawned a stock market bubble during the entire interest rate hike cycle in the United States, but has continued to fall. On the other hand, Japan, South Korea, India, etc., have seen their stock markets break new highs against the backdrop of the US interest rate hike. But this rising cycle in the peripheral markets is passive, and they have no choice but to compromise with the US interest rate hike. With the US interest rate cut, the RMB exchange rate has risen sharply, and the tension in the domestic market has eased. At the same time, the rapid rise in the exchange rate means that a large amount of funds are flowing back to China, and there is a trend for foreign capital to transfer to China. This is definitely not a good thing for US stocks. But Bitcoin is currently slightly stronger than US stocks. I also mentioned in my previous article that after the interest rate cut, I am not optimistic about US stocks relative to Bitcoin. If a financial crisis caused by the United States occurs in the next few months, the crypto market is likely to usher in a real bull market after the black swan. The current crypto market is very strange. Although the copycat rotation has increased, it is not very strong. It is also accompanied by the rhythm of callback suppression. The slogan of "One day in the currency circle is a year in the world" is not so loud in the background of A-shares in the past two days. Next, return to the market: Last night's short order of 657 was eventually lost. The daily line also closed relatively solid. In this case, I will no longer forcefully short. Due to this round of market and liquidity reasons, I don't think it is a bull market. The final rising position is around 68,000-the top of the daily downward trend. But there are too many voices in the market looking at 68,000 to prevent the situation from being in place. I will make a last short order in the range of 66,700-67,200-the support and resistance conversion point at the end of July. Regarding shorting at 65,700, it is necessary to see the need for callback to kill more. The current accumulated long order liquidation volume has reached more than 10 billion. And this is bound to create many obstacles for further rises. Before breaking through 68,000, if there is a deep correction and the mid-term market, I will intervene and go long around 61,700 - a strong resistance level before breaking through 65,000 in mid-August. #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #美联储11月降息预期升温 #谷歌云与Solana合作 {future}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(BNBUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
$BTC

A-shares and US stocks are two extremes. A-shares have risen sharply. Will Bitcoin follow US stocks or A-shares in the future?

Let's analyze the above title:

A-shares are almost the only market that has not actively spawned a stock market bubble during the entire interest rate hike cycle in the United States, but has continued to fall.

On the other hand, Japan, South Korea, India, etc., have seen their stock markets break new highs against the backdrop of the US interest rate hike.

But this rising cycle in the peripheral markets is passive, and they have no choice but to compromise with the US interest rate hike.

With the US interest rate cut, the RMB exchange rate has risen sharply, and the tension in the domestic market has eased.

At the same time, the rapid rise in the exchange rate means that a large amount of funds are flowing back to China, and there is a trend for foreign capital to transfer to China.

This is definitely not a good thing for US stocks. But Bitcoin is currently slightly stronger than US stocks.

I also mentioned in my previous article that after the interest rate cut, I am not optimistic about US stocks relative to Bitcoin.

If a financial crisis caused by the United States occurs in the next few months, the crypto market is likely to usher in a real bull market after the black swan.

The current crypto market is very strange. Although the copycat rotation has increased, it is not very strong. It is also accompanied by the rhythm of callback suppression.

The slogan of "One day in the currency circle is a year in the world" is not so loud in the background of A-shares in the past two days.

Next, return to the market:

Last night's short order of 657 was eventually lost.

The daily line also closed relatively solid. In this case, I will no longer forcefully short.

Due to this round of market and liquidity reasons, I don't think it is a bull market. The final rising position is around 68,000-the top of the daily downward trend.

But there are too many voices in the market looking at 68,000 to prevent the situation from being in place.

I will make a last short order in the range of 66,700-67,200-the support and resistance conversion point at the end of July.

Regarding shorting at 65,700, it is necessary to see the need for callback to kill more. The current accumulated long order liquidation volume has reached more than 10 billion.

And this is bound to create many obstacles for further rises.

Before breaking through 68,000, if there is a deep correction and the mid-term market, I will intervene and go long around 61,700 - a strong resistance level before breaking through 65,000 in mid-August.

#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #美联储11月降息预期升温 #谷歌云与Solana合作
--
Bearish
See original
$BTC Big cake breaks through 65,000, panic? At present, big cake breaks through the consolidation range of 62,700-64,700, and the highest reaches 65,800. The market has begun to look for new highs. But I personally think that a wave of callbacks of more than 3,000 points is brewing. At least before breaking through 68,000, this callback will happen. It is very common to lure more people to break through the consolidation zone. In recent days, the consolidation in the range of 627-647 has made longs accustomed to the band and made shorts develop a habit. The breakthrough of the consolidation zone has strengthened the confidence of the long army, and hesitation has become chasing more, or fomo. Let the air force start to panic, and the band has become a loss or fear. Observing the trading volume, the volume has risen sharply. At present, the positive line is still relatively solid. The end of a rising market is often accompanied by an accelerated rise after high consolidation. Lure more, scare shorts. But it is only on the left side at present. I am holding short orders at 65700. So I want to verify my strategy. Last night's article mentioned that if it does not break 63000, look at 65700 first. Look at unemployment benefits after the callback. It is not recommended to follow, the risk is high. You can see how the closing line will be at 8 o'clock tomorrow. The view is a personal subjective view and is for reference only. #HMSTR开盘 #你有多少HMSTR? #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT)
$BTC

Big cake breaks through 65,000, panic?

At present, big cake breaks through the consolidation range of 62,700-64,700, and the highest reaches 65,800.

The market has begun to look for new highs.

But I personally think that a wave of callbacks of more than 3,000 points is brewing.

At least before breaking through 68,000, this callback will happen.

It is very common to lure more people to break through the consolidation zone.

In recent days, the consolidation in the range of 627-647 has made longs accustomed to the band and made shorts develop a habit.

The breakthrough of the consolidation zone has strengthened the confidence of the long army, and hesitation has become chasing more, or fomo.

Let the air force start to panic, and the band has become a loss or fear.

Observing the trading volume, the volume has risen sharply. At present, the positive line is still relatively solid.

The end of a rising market is often accompanied by an accelerated rise after high consolidation.

Lure more, scare shorts.

But it is only on the left side at present. I am holding short orders at 65700. So I want to verify my strategy.

Last night's article mentioned that if it does not break 63000, look at 65700 first. Look at unemployment benefits after the callback.

It is not recommended to follow, the risk is high. You can see how the closing line will be at 8 o'clock tomorrow.

The view is a personal subjective view and is for reference only.

#HMSTR开盘 #你有多少HMSTR? #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
--
Bearish
See original
$BTC Has the Bitcoin bull market arrived? Will there be a crazy bull market this year? In the mid-term market, Bitcoin will pull back to around 60,000, and the high point is still around 68,000. A market vote is attached at the end of the article. Bitcoin has been in a scorching trend recently, and continues to consolidate at a high level of around 2,000 points. Many friends may also be hesitating whether to chase high or leave the market. Then relative to Bitcoin, I would like to talk about cottages first. I don’t know if you have paid attention to the cottage market in recent times. Take some relatively strong cottages to see that the trend can be roughly divided into several stages: The first stage: daily line pin breakout-suppression and retracement of support levels. The second stage: daily line entity breakout-suppression and support conversion. The third stage: accelerated rise-pressured July support level fall. So far, this round of rebound market has basically ended, and the next high consolidation will wait for Bitcoin to catch up. The commonality of the above-mentioned altcoins is that they actively pulled up, took on the selling pressure, and broke through the highs in July and August. Let's observe the high point in July again. The strong altcoins also reached the top before the big cake. After that, the big cake reached 70,000 at the end of July, and the weak altcoins simultaneously made up for the rise and reached the high point, and the rebound ended. Now let's look at the big cake. Taking the strong altcoins as a reference, the big cake is in the second stage, and the next step is very likely to suppress the support and resistance conversion. For the callback position, I personally prefer to hit back to around 60,000-60,500, the Fibonacci retracement 0.618 position. Rather than 61,300, because this support level is too obvious. When the big cake callback, you can also find some weak altcoins and hold positions to wait for the rebound. After the callback, for the big cake, the high point is still around 68,000, the top of the daily downward trend, and the strong pressure position. In the long run, I still don't see the factors of the big bull in the current liquidity. I prefer 25 years to see the progress of the bull market. This process may be accompanied by the accelerated depreciation of the US dollar or the collapse of US banks. A large amount of incremental funds and liquidity are injected into the crypto market to promote it. Finally, put a vote at the bottom of the article to see what everyone thinks of the market at the moment, and the data will be announced tomorrow. #AI概念币普涨 #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 #谷歌云与Solana合作 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
$BTC Has the Bitcoin bull market arrived? Will there be a crazy bull market this year?

In the mid-term market, Bitcoin will pull back to around 60,000, and the high point is still around 68,000. A market vote is attached at the end of the article.

Bitcoin has been in a scorching trend recently, and continues to consolidate at a high level of around 2,000 points.

Many friends may also be hesitating whether to chase high or leave the market.

Then relative to Bitcoin, I would like to talk about cottages first. I don’t know if you have paid attention to the cottage market in recent times.

Take some relatively strong cottages to see that the trend can be roughly divided into several stages:

The first stage: daily line pin breakout-suppression and retracement of support levels.

The second stage: daily line entity breakout-suppression and support conversion.

The third stage: accelerated rise-pressured July support level fall.

So far, this round of rebound market has basically ended, and the next high consolidation will wait for Bitcoin to catch up.

The commonality of the above-mentioned altcoins is that they actively pulled up, took on the selling pressure, and broke through the highs in July and August.

Let's observe the high point in July again. The strong altcoins also reached the top before the big cake.

After that, the big cake reached 70,000 at the end of July, and the weak altcoins simultaneously made up for the rise and reached the high point, and the rebound ended.

Now let's look at the big cake. Taking the strong altcoins as a reference, the big cake is in the second stage, and the next step is very likely to suppress the support and resistance conversion.

For the callback position, I personally prefer to hit back to around 60,000-60,500, the Fibonacci retracement 0.618 position.

Rather than 61,300, because this support level is too obvious.

When the big cake callback, you can also find some weak altcoins and hold positions to wait for the rebound.

After the callback, for the big cake, the high point is still around 68,000, the top of the daily downward trend, and the strong pressure position.

In the long run, I still don't see the factors of the big bull in the current liquidity.

I prefer 25 years to see the progress of the bull market. This process may be accompanied by the accelerated depreciation of the US dollar or the collapse of US banks.

A large amount of incremental funds and liquidity are injected into the crypto market to promote it.

Finally, put a vote at the bottom of the article to see what everyone thinks of the market at the moment, and the data will be announced tomorrow.

#AI概念币普涨 #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 #谷歌云与Solana合作
已闻到小牛淡淡的香味,已满仓
19%
年内会有大牛,已半仓
24%
年内没有牛市,6w8大回调,轻仓
23%
即将大回调,空仓或已割肉离场
34%
47 votes • Voting closed
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$NEIRO Let's talk about the coin Neiro. Why did I miss the 3x increase? I'm posting an entertainment post. Actually, I recently found that it's fun to use the altcoin to do T. The key is to save worry. Then why did Neiro rise 3 times after it was launched on the secondary market, and I didn't catch it? At that time, my personal altcoin position was holding FTM, out of the inertial view that the new coin will peak when it is launched. At that time, I didn't pay much attention to Neiro. But Neiro is different. What's the reason? Let's analyze it next. This requires some knowledge of trading psychology. Regarding uppercase and lowercase Neiro, each had a group of believers before it was launched on the secondary market. But when uppercase Neiro was launched on Binance, it seemed to have made a conclusion about Neiro-lowercase was abandoned. Due to the conclusion that has already occurred and the panic factor, most of the firm believers who originally held a large number of lowercase Neiro could not see the hope of continuing to hold. And chose to throw it away or cut losses. But what's interesting is that a few days later, Binance launched lowercase neiro again. At this time, most of the original retail investors or heavy holders had already sold their lowercase neiro chips, and the car became very light. So when Binance released the launch announcement of lowercase neiro, traders who are sensitive to the market took a little time to analyze it. It can be basically determined that lowercase neiro has been highly controlled. On the first day of the launch, it took on the selling pressure of a very small amount of bottom chips, as well as the profit-makers who chased high after the news came out. After the selling pressure was eliminated, it began to pull up to create an effect. But it was only after the fact that I recalled the whole process and realized the reason for the original miss. I was still not sensitive enough to the cottage market and did not spend time to analyze it. So on the first day of the launch of lowercase neiro, I was able to realize it and hold a heavy position, which is indeed admirable. The market always rewards the prophets and pioneers the most. This is quite correct. #币安上线NEIRO #美联储利率决议公布在即 {spot}(NEIROUSDT)
$NEIRO

Let's talk about the coin Neiro. Why did I miss the 3x increase?

I'm posting an entertainment post. Actually, I recently found that it's fun to use the altcoin to do T. The key is to save worry.

Then why did Neiro rise 3 times after it was launched on the secondary market, and I didn't catch it?

At that time, my personal altcoin position was holding FTM, out of the inertial view that the new coin will peak when it is launched.

At that time, I didn't pay much attention to Neiro.

But Neiro is different. What's the reason? Let's analyze it next.

This requires some knowledge of trading psychology.

Regarding uppercase and lowercase Neiro, each had a group of believers before it was launched on the secondary market.

But when uppercase Neiro was launched on Binance, it seemed to have made a conclusion about Neiro-lowercase was abandoned.

Due to the conclusion that has already occurred and the panic factor, most of the firm believers who originally held a large number of lowercase Neiro could not see the hope of continuing to hold.

And chose to throw it away or cut losses.

But what's interesting is that a few days later, Binance launched lowercase neiro again.

At this time, most of the original retail investors or heavy holders had already sold their lowercase neiro chips, and the car became very light.

So when Binance released the launch announcement of lowercase neiro, traders who are sensitive to the market took a little time to analyze it.

It can be basically determined that lowercase neiro has been highly controlled.

On the first day of the launch, it took on the selling pressure of a very small amount of bottom chips, as well as the profit-makers who chased high after the news came out.

After the selling pressure was eliminated, it began to pull up to create an effect.

But it was only after the fact that I recalled the whole process and realized the reason for the original miss.

I was still not sensitive enough to the cottage market and did not spend time to analyze it.

So on the first day of the launch of lowercase neiro, I was able to realize it and hold a heavy position, which is indeed admirable.

The market always rewards the prophets and pioneers the most. This is quite correct.

#币安上线NEIRO #美联储利率决议公布在即
--
Bullish
See original
$BTC The most important thing this year is the Fed's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. How will it affect the trend of Bitcoin? Will there be a bull market for Bitcoin this year? In the article published on September 9, quoted below, it was mentioned in the article at that time that there was not much surprise before the interest rate cut. The high point is probably in the range of 60,200-61,300. Last night, it was stuck at the last time point, and it just reached 61,300. Regarding Bitcoin short-term trading, I have rarely done it recently. I haven't updated it in the past few days. I have studied the copycat targets. On CKB, FIDA, Turbo, Polydoge, FTM and some spot, each profit is about 15-20 points. It's a pity that I didn't pay much attention to the new neiro coin. In summary, it is much less troublesome than Bitcoin short-term contracts. The strategy is similar to the A-share hitting the board, and the daily line breakthrough-suppression and retracement. Back to the point, Bitcoin broke through the downward trend line of 70000-49000 and 65000-52500 yesterday. Whether it is the market expectation or the real breakthrough, it is not known for the time being. In tonight's market, it is not recommended to participate in the short-term, and I will wait and see. But from a structural point of view, with a 25 or 50 basis point interest rate cut, Bitcoin's long-term rise from 49000 has not ended, and it is likely to move upward after the interest rate cut. At that time, there will be several key positions above, 63200-63800, and around 68000. If the news falls, pay attention to the 55000-54500 range below. I will follow up with spot. In addition, many people currently believe that Bitcoin will usher in a crazy bull market from October to the end of the year. But the crazy bull market requires a large amount of incremental funds to be injected. At present, within a few months of the interest rate cut, the factors of the crazy bull market are not seen for the time being. At present, it is more inclined to hit around 68,000 at the end of September. After that, it will accelerate downward and consolidate at the bottom for 3-4 months. Waiting for an opportunity for a crisis to really emerge, the big cake is defined as a safe-haven asset to take over. The above will probably be adjusted in place in December or the end of January 25. In March-June, the bull market will rise. The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only. #token2049 #币安上线NEIRO #加密市场反弹
$BTC

The most important thing this year is the Fed's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. How will it affect the trend of Bitcoin? Will there be a bull market for Bitcoin this year?

In the article published on September 9, quoted below, it was mentioned in the article at that time that there was not much surprise before the interest rate cut.

The high point is probably in the range of 60,200-61,300.

Last night, it was stuck at the last time point, and it just reached 61,300.

Regarding Bitcoin short-term trading, I have rarely done it recently. I haven't updated it in the past few days. I have studied the copycat targets.

On CKB, FIDA, Turbo, Polydoge, FTM and some spot, each profit is about 15-20 points. It's a pity that I didn't pay much attention to the new neiro coin.

In summary, it is much less troublesome than Bitcoin short-term contracts. The strategy is similar to the A-share hitting the board, and the daily line breakthrough-suppression and retracement.

Back to the point, Bitcoin broke through the downward trend line of 70000-49000 and 65000-52500 yesterday.

Whether it is the market expectation or the real breakthrough, it is not known for the time being.

In tonight's market, it is not recommended to participate in the short-term, and I will wait and see.

But from a structural point of view, with a 25 or 50 basis point interest rate cut, Bitcoin's long-term rise from 49000 has not ended, and it is likely to move upward after the interest rate cut.

At that time, there will be several key positions above, 63200-63800, and around 68000.

If the news falls, pay attention to the 55000-54500 range below. I will follow up with spot.

In addition, many people currently believe that Bitcoin will usher in a crazy bull market from October to the end of the year.

But the crazy bull market requires a large amount of incremental funds to be injected. At present, within a few months of the interest rate cut, the factors of the crazy bull market are not seen for the time being.

At present, it is more inclined to hit around 68,000 at the end of September. After that, it will accelerate downward and consolidate at the bottom for 3-4 months.

Waiting for an opportunity for a crisis to really emerge, the big cake is defined as a safe-haven asset to take over.

The above will probably be adjusted in place in December or the end of January 25. In March-June, the bull market will rise.

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

#token2049 #币安上线NEIRO #加密市场反弹
LIVE
牛市1000倍
--
Bullish
$BTC

With only 10 days left before the rate cut, will Bitcoin continue to hype the final rate cut expectations?

In the previous article, when Bitcoin was around 56,000, it was mentioned that Bitcoin would hit around 53,700 before and after the non-agricultural data.

And I personally believe that Bitcoin will continue to hype the rate cut expectations, the last support level.

At present, Bitcoin's lowest pin is around 52,500. Then the bottom consolidation is probably around 53,500.

In fact, it also conforms to the second exploration from 49,000. And it is likely to belong to the bottom range before the rate cut.

But there is no surprise in the current rate cut expectations, and there is no time. And there are too many uncertainties.

At present, my personal strategy is about 60,200-61,300 for the highs seen before the rate cut.

The low will be defensive and covered at around 51,000.

For today's market, Bitcoin has broken through the downward trend line of 598-525. And it runs along the upper edge of the trend after the breakthrough.

I am optimistic that after the opening of the US stock market, the entity will break through the 555-560 range and touch around 57400 in the early morning to the morning.

Alternative strategy: After the opening of the US stock market, the 1-hour K entity fell below 54700. That is, a false breakthrough and loss, and fell back into the channel again, looking at around 53000.

In extreme cases, 50700-51600 is used for defense.

A few days ago, an article analyzed that interest rate cuts are basically certain events.

But to prevent profitable investment or speculative funds from flowing out in large quantities, there is a high probability that disputes and unstable factors will be frequently created after the interest rate cut.

Then according to the interest rate cut, will the big cake first pull up and then fall, or fall directly after the interest rate cut. They all have to fall again, and the extreme high point is difficult to touch 69000.

But the extreme low will depend on the situation. I think it is likely to break 5w, and will consolidate at the bottom for about 3-4 months.

I mentioned it once before. This round of market is likely to be different from the historical cycle. It can only be used as a reference, not as a guarantee.

#美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会 #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期


--
Bearish
See original
$BTC Today's market, pay attention to 57000 on the top and 55300 on the bottom. Yesterday, the first strategy that I personally favored was still used for the big cake. After the opening of the US stock market, the bottom hit 56500, and then continued to rise, but the highest point did not hit the target of 58800. It fell back in the morning. In fact, during this period, for short-term trading, I personally do not recommend retail investors with little experience to do it. Try to wait and see as much as possible. The internal structure of the short-term is still relatively complicated. And entering the market from the left and right sides may not reach the target, or often hit losses. For today's market, I am bearish after the data is released, and there is a certain probability that it will fall sharply. Pay attention to the 57000-57400 area on the top. Pay attention to the bottom near 55300, the bottom of the four-hour rising channel. If the entity falls below the 55300-55000 range, from a structural perspective, the rising channel is broken, and there is a high probability of a deep fall. At that time, pay attention to the 53100-53500 area below. In addition, let me mention it again, the news will only be used by the market to affect the short-term trend and achieve its purpose, and will not change the original trend. For example, the non-agricultural data a few days ago, the upward trend induced long-term clearing, and then continued the downward trend. The views are personal views and are for reference only. {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT) #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #CPI数据
$BTC

Today's market, pay attention to 57000 on the top and 55300 on the bottom.

Yesterday, the first strategy that I personally favored was still used for the big cake.

After the opening of the US stock market, the bottom hit 56500, and then continued to rise, but the highest point did not hit the target of 58800.

It fell back in the morning. In fact, during this period, for short-term trading, I personally do not recommend retail investors with little experience to do it.

Try to wait and see as much as possible. The internal structure of the short-term is still relatively complicated.

And entering the market from the left and right sides may not reach the target, or often hit losses.

For today's market, I am bearish after the data is released, and there is a certain probability that it will fall sharply.

Pay attention to the 57000-57400 area on the top.

Pay attention to the bottom near 55300, the bottom of the four-hour rising channel.

If the entity falls below the 55300-55000 range, from a structural perspective, the rising channel is broken, and there is a high probability of a deep fall.

At that time, pay attention to the 53100-53500 area below.

In addition, let me mention it again, the news will only be used by the market to affect the short-term trend and achieve its purpose, and will not change the original trend.

For example, the non-agricultural data a few days ago, the upward trend induced long-term clearing, and then continued the downward trend.

The views are personal views and are for reference only.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #CPI数据
--
Bullish
See original
$BTC Today's market, pay attention to the 58800 area above the big cake, and pay attention to the 54800 area below. Yesterday's article said that the big cake is bullish, which is 574-576 from early morning to morning. The highest pin is around 581. Slightly above the trend line, and then fell. For today's market, the big cake is currently running in the four-hour rising channel. But the short-term is temporarily unclear. I personally provide two strategies. From the market, after the pin hits the top, the four-hour K did not show continuous negative K or deep decline, and there is a certain trend of continuing to attack. 1. After the opening of the US stock market, pay attention to the 56600-56200 range below. If the pin hits it, it will look at the 58800 area from early morning to morning. 2. After the opening of the US stock market, pay attention to the 573-577 area above. It is mainly based on the unreal breaking of the previous high. If the pin is touched, pay attention to 56800 below. If 568 does not provide support, the bottom of the rising channel is 54800. Based on the current market, I prefer the first strategy in the short term. The second strategy is more concerned with clearing the accumulated long orders below. It will be determined based on the real-time market conditions. The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only. #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
$BTC

Today's market, pay attention to the 58800 area above the big cake, and pay attention to the 54800 area below.

Yesterday's article said that the big cake is bullish, which is 574-576 from early morning to morning.

The highest pin is around 581. Slightly above the trend line, and then fell.

For today's market, the big cake is currently running in the four-hour rising channel.

But the short-term is temporarily unclear. I personally provide two strategies.

From the market, after the pin hits the top, the four-hour K did not show continuous negative K or deep decline, and there is a certain trend of continuing to attack.

1. After the opening of the US stock market, pay attention to the 56600-56200 range below. If the pin hits it, it will look at the 58800 area from early morning to morning.

2. After the opening of the US stock market, pay attention to the 573-577 area above. It is mainly based on the unreal breaking of the previous high. If the pin is touched, pay attention to 56800 below.

If 568 does not provide support, the bottom of the rising channel is 54800.

Based on the current market, I prefer the first strategy in the short term.

The second strategy is more concerned with clearing the accumulated long orders below.

It will be determined based on the real-time market conditions.

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会
--
Bullish
See original
$BTC With only 10 days left before the rate cut, will Bitcoin continue to hype the final rate cut expectations? In the previous article, when Bitcoin was around 56,000, it was mentioned that Bitcoin would hit around 53,700 before and after the non-agricultural data. And I personally believe that Bitcoin will continue to hype the rate cut expectations, the last support level. At present, Bitcoin's lowest pin is around 52,500. Then the bottom consolidation is probably around 53,500. In fact, it also conforms to the second exploration from 49,000. And it is likely to belong to the bottom range before the rate cut. But there is no surprise in the current rate cut expectations, and there is no time. And there are too many uncertainties. At present, my personal strategy is about 60,200-61,300 for the highs seen before the rate cut. The low will be defensive and covered at around 51,000. For today's market, Bitcoin has broken through the downward trend line of 598-525. And it runs along the upper edge of the trend after the breakthrough. I am optimistic that after the opening of the US stock market, the entity will break through the 555-560 range and touch around 57400 in the early morning to the morning. Alternative strategy: After the opening of the US stock market, the 1-hour K entity fell below 54700. That is, a false breakthrough and loss, and fell back into the channel again, looking at around 53000. In extreme cases, 50700-51600 is used for defense. A few days ago, an article analyzed that interest rate cuts are basically certain events. But to prevent profitable investment or speculative funds from flowing out in large quantities, there is a high probability that disputes and unstable factors will be frequently created after the interest rate cut. Then according to the interest rate cut, will the big cake first pull up and then fall, or fall directly after the interest rate cut. They all have to fall again, and the extreme high point is difficult to touch 69000. But the extreme low will depend on the situation. I think it is likely to break 5w, and will consolidate at the bottom for about 3-4 months. I mentioned it once before. This round of market is likely to be different from the historical cycle. It can only be used as a reference, not as a guarantee. #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会 #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
$BTC

With only 10 days left before the rate cut, will Bitcoin continue to hype the final rate cut expectations?

In the previous article, when Bitcoin was around 56,000, it was mentioned that Bitcoin would hit around 53,700 before and after the non-agricultural data.

And I personally believe that Bitcoin will continue to hype the rate cut expectations, the last support level.

At present, Bitcoin's lowest pin is around 52,500. Then the bottom consolidation is probably around 53,500.

In fact, it also conforms to the second exploration from 49,000. And it is likely to belong to the bottom range before the rate cut.

But there is no surprise in the current rate cut expectations, and there is no time. And there are too many uncertainties.

At present, my personal strategy is about 60,200-61,300 for the highs seen before the rate cut.

The low will be defensive and covered at around 51,000.

For today's market, Bitcoin has broken through the downward trend line of 598-525. And it runs along the upper edge of the trend after the breakthrough.

I am optimistic that after the opening of the US stock market, the entity will break through the 555-560 range and touch around 57400 in the early morning to the morning.

Alternative strategy: After the opening of the US stock market, the 1-hour K entity fell below 54700. That is, a false breakthrough and loss, and fell back into the channel again, looking at around 53000.

In extreme cases, 50700-51600 is used for defense.

A few days ago, an article analyzed that interest rate cuts are basically certain events.

But to prevent profitable investment or speculative funds from flowing out in large quantities, there is a high probability that disputes and unstable factors will be frequently created after the interest rate cut.

Then according to the interest rate cut, will the big cake first pull up and then fall, or fall directly after the interest rate cut. They all have to fall again, and the extreme high point is difficult to touch 69000.

But the extreme low will depend on the situation. I think it is likely to break 5w, and will consolidate at the bottom for about 3-4 months.

I mentioned it once before. This round of market is likely to be different from the historical cycle. It can only be used as a reference, not as a guarantee.

#美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会 #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期
--
Bullish
See original
$BTC Today's market, pay attention to the 58800 area above the big cake, and pay attention to the 53700 area below. Let's talk about yesterday's situation first. Yesterday's article said that the big cake was under pressure around 579, and then hit the 53700 position before and after the non-agricultural data came out. But yesterday the big cake hit the highest position around 58500. It broke through the falling channel from 59800 to 55000. But it fell again in the morning. It has once again gone out of the V reverse V trend, so the short-term confusion is still quite strong recently. At present, the big cake is consolidating around 56600. This position is relatively important. If it falls below 56100 again. In terms of personal strategy, the big cake may usher in a continuous deep decline in the short-term hourly K, and finally provide support around 53700 in the evening. And this position is also the last support level for individuals who will speculate on the expectation before the interest rate cut. Once the real price falls below 53,000 again, the speculation on interest rate cuts is highly likely to disappear, and there is no time. And the possibility of breaking the previous low and going to 45,000 is also increasing. If the current consolidation range can be successfully supported, the four-hour K does not fall below 56,100. Then after the opening of the US stock market, it is expected to rise, and the position is temporarily around 58,800. If 58,800 still fails to withstand pressure, it may touch above 60,000 in the early morning or tomorrow. #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT) {future}(IOUSDT)
$BTC

Today's market, pay attention to the 58800 area above the big cake, and pay attention to the 53700 area below.

Let's talk about yesterday's situation first. Yesterday's article said that the big cake was under pressure around 579, and then hit the 53700 position before and after the non-agricultural data came out.

But yesterday the big cake hit the highest position around 58500. It broke through the falling channel from 59800 to 55000. But it fell again in the morning.

It has once again gone out of the V reverse V trend, so the short-term confusion is still quite strong recently.

At present, the big cake is consolidating around 56600. This position is relatively important. If it falls below 56100 again.

In terms of personal strategy, the big cake may usher in a continuous deep decline in the short-term hourly K, and finally provide support around 53700 in the evening.

And this position is also the last support level for individuals who will speculate on the expectation before the interest rate cut.

Once the real price falls below 53,000 again, the speculation on interest rate cuts is highly likely to disappear, and there is no time.

And the possibility of breaking the previous low and going to 45,000 is also increasing.

If the current consolidation range can be successfully supported, the four-hour K does not fall below 56,100.

Then after the opening of the US stock market, it is expected to rise, and the position is temporarily around 58,800.

If 58,800 still fails to withstand pressure, it may touch above 60,000 in the early morning or tomorrow.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin
--
Bearish
See original
$BTC Today's market, the upper side of Bitcoin is around 57,900. The lower side is around 54,900 and 53,700. The previous article said that my recent long-term strategy for Bitcoin is either not to break below 55,000 or to break the previous low. So when Bitcoin hit 55,500 in the morning, I also traded my own strategy plan from the left side. Added 60% of the spot position. But the current situation is that Bitcoin's rebound is very weak, even worse than Ethereum. From the four-hour K-line, Bitcoin also conforms to the falling relay pattern. So I will formulate a new strategy based on the current market trend. Specifically, when Bitcoin falls below 56,000 again, the added chips will be sold, and when it reaches around 53,700, 50% of the position will be added again. In the subsequent four-hour K-line, if the real price does not fall below 53,000, it is highly likely that the position will be held until September 18, and the price will be around 68,000. For today's upper pressure point, it is still optimistic about the pressure around 57,900. Before and after the release of non-agricultural data on September 6, it hit around 53,700. In addition, if the black swan situation appears again before the interest rate cut, the extreme drop position, I will be around 45,000, full of spot. As for breaking 4w, I don't see it below 4w before this round of big market does not break the new high. Although there will be a big drop after the interest rate cut, the big cake may not return to this position. In addition, I would like to mention why I am more optimistic about the future market of the big cake compared to the US stock market after the interest rate cut. I personally think that the US economic recession is a certain event. After the interest rate cut, if the US dollar continues to weaken, there is a certain probability that the liquidity withdrawn from the US stock market will be injected into the big cake pool. Try to replace the dominant position of the US dollar with the big cake. Moreover, in the current direction, with the passing of the ETF of the big cake and the layout of the Hong Kong stable currency, the big cake gradually began to enter the public eye. In the first round of market conditions of new things, it has left the wild growth period and moved towards standardization. Although it is not as good as the previous benefit effect. But there are often greater opportunities. And it will be the last important opportunity that retail investors can grasp after the big cake moves towards standardization. #加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(IOUSDT)
$BTC

Today's market, the upper side of Bitcoin is around 57,900. The lower side is around 54,900 and 53,700.

The previous article said that my recent long-term strategy for Bitcoin is either not to break below 55,000 or to break the previous low.

So when Bitcoin hit 55,500 in the morning, I also traded my own strategy plan from the left side.

Added 60% of the spot position.

But the current situation is that Bitcoin's rebound is very weak, even worse than Ethereum.

From the four-hour K-line, Bitcoin also conforms to the falling relay pattern.

So I will formulate a new strategy based on the current market trend.

Specifically, when Bitcoin falls below 56,000 again, the added chips will be sold, and when it reaches around 53,700, 50% of the position will be added again.

In the subsequent four-hour K-line, if the real price does not fall below 53,000, it is highly likely that the position will be held until September 18, and the price will be around 68,000.

For today's upper pressure point, it is still optimistic about the pressure around 57,900.

Before and after the release of non-agricultural data on September 6, it hit around 53,700.

In addition, if the black swan situation appears again before the interest rate cut, the extreme drop position, I will be around 45,000, full of spot.

As for breaking 4w, I don't see it below 4w before this round of big market does not break the new high.

Although there will be a big drop after the interest rate cut, the big cake may not return to this position.

In addition, I would like to mention why I am more optimistic about the future market of the big cake compared to the US stock market after the interest rate cut.

I personally think that the US economic recession is a certain event.

After the interest rate cut, if the US dollar continues to weaken, there is a certain probability that the liquidity withdrawn from the US stock market will be injected into the big cake pool.

Try to replace the dominant position of the US dollar with the big cake.

Moreover, in the current direction, with the passing of the ETF of the big cake and the layout of the Hong Kong stable currency, the big cake gradually began to enter the public eye.

In the first round of market conditions of new things, it has left the wild growth period and moved towards standardization.

Although it is not as good as the previous benefit effect. But there are often greater opportunities.

And it will be the last important opportunity that retail investors can grasp after the big cake moves towards standardization.

#加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析
See original
I have already entered 60% of my spot positions, and there may be a brief second test in the evening. The main goal is not to break the previous low. The specific market conditions will be updated in the evening.
I have already entered 60% of my spot positions, and there may be a brief second test in the evening. The main goal is not to break the previous low.

The specific market conditions will be updated in the evening.
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$BTC Let me tell you my overall opinion on Bitcoin. Either it doesn't test below 55,000, or it tests a big one - temporarily looking at 45,000. I haven't updated in the past few days. After a rough reflection, I feel that short-term trading is meaningless. In the garbage market, I get one or two points a day, and I am tired of watching the market. It's better to take a good rest, relax and learn. At present, I personally think that the crypto market has basically reached a critical point, and I will gradually turn to long-term spot layout. A few days ago, I updated a long article on the fundamentals of interest rate cuts, but I found that most retail investors on the square don't seem to pay much attention to this kind of thing. As the article said, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates in September, and it is in line with expectations, with a high probability of 25 basis points. But it will create disputes to cover up the passive situation of having to cut interest rates. Recently, frequent disputes have begun to emerge. In addition, why do I say in the title that if you don't test below 55,000, you may test a big one and break the previous low. Because everyone has been looking forward to the second test from 49,000. It's because when it was 49,000, most people didn't buy the bottom due to panic, and then the speed of the pull-up was too fast, which led to missing out. If most people have bought the bottom, they don't care about your second test, they just want you to go one-way quickly and not pull back. Including voting data, retail investors with empty or light positions account for the vast majority. If the second test is in place for you, it just happens to take most retail investors on board, and then directly pull up. It's unlikely. The trading rhythm in recent months, the main force is not so stupid that it will reverse and take retail investors on. So if you are easily given a chip position, and most people dare to buy the bottom at this position, it is generally a trap, and there is a high probability that it will fall sharply below. So this is why I personally hold 30% of the spot and don't move. Because since July, I personally have always believed that Bitcoin's control rate is actually very strong. In this case, no one can say whether it will test the lower point or not. If it really doesn't test it, it won't miss the opportunity. If it really falls to the previous low, there are bullets to cover the position. Including after the interest rate cut, compared with the US stock market, I personally am more optimistic about the potential of the crypto market. #非农就业数据即将公布 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(XRPUSDT)
$BTC

Let me tell you my overall opinion on Bitcoin. Either it doesn't test below 55,000, or it tests a big one - temporarily looking at 45,000.

I haven't updated in the past few days. After a rough reflection, I feel that short-term trading is meaningless.

In the garbage market, I get one or two points a day, and I am tired of watching the market.

It's better to take a good rest, relax and learn.

At present, I personally think that the crypto market has basically reached a critical point, and I will gradually turn to long-term spot layout.

A few days ago, I updated a long article on the fundamentals of interest rate cuts, but I found that most retail investors on the square don't seem to pay much attention to this kind of thing.

As the article said, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates in September, and it is in line with expectations, with a high probability of 25 basis points.

But it will create disputes to cover up the passive situation of having to cut interest rates.

Recently, frequent disputes have begun to emerge.

In addition, why do I say in the title that if you don't test below 55,000, you may test a big one and break the previous low.

Because everyone has been looking forward to the second test from 49,000.

It's because when it was 49,000, most people didn't buy the bottom due to panic, and then the speed of the pull-up was too fast, which led to missing out.

If most people have bought the bottom, they don't care about your second test, they just want you to go one-way quickly and not pull back.

Including voting data, retail investors with empty or light positions account for the vast majority. If the second test is in place for you, it just happens to take most retail investors on board, and then directly pull up.

It's unlikely. The trading rhythm in recent months, the main force is not so stupid that it will reverse and take retail investors on.

So if you are easily given a chip position, and most people dare to buy the bottom at this position, it is generally a trap, and there is a high probability that it will fall sharply below.

So this is why I personally hold 30% of the spot and don't move.

Because since July, I personally have always believed that Bitcoin's control rate is actually very strong.

In this case, no one can say whether it will test the lower point or not. If it really doesn't test it, it won't miss the opportunity. If it really falls to the previous low, there are bullets to cover the position.

Including after the interest rate cut, compared with the US stock market, I personally am more optimistic about the potential of the crypto market.

#非农就业数据即将公布
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Continue from the previous article. Therefore, the first rate cut is likely to be consistent with market expectations, 25 basis points, and at most 50 basis points. Under this high probability event, the longest-lasting interest rate cut in the financial market has finally landed. There is no doubt that the financial market will see a sharp drop when the news comes out. But it does not mean that there will be no turn back. Because the rate cut is in line with market expectations, the market will not panic about the authenticity of the US economic recession. Therefore, the financial market is a soft landing. In this case, the US stock market will fall sharply and consolidate for a period of time. There is a probability that it will continue to rise in October, or even break a new high. But there is no doubt that the rise is to cover up the chips that the US financial capital has thrown away and has not been sold out, and it is also to lure more retail investors who speculate or invest in US stocks. Judging from the historical interest rate cuts of the Federal Reserve, after the interest rate hike cycle, the first two interest rate cuts are usually small adjustments, and finally a large interest rate cut begins. The cycle corresponds to the end of the year or the beginning of 2025. When retail investors realize that the risk has passed. It is not ruled out that the Federal Reserve will suddenly cut interest rates sharply. The financial crisis has officially swept in. The financial market has ushered in a plunge. So at present, we use the interest rate cut node to look at the big cake. If the bull market goes crazy before the interest rate cut and breaks the new high, the time may not be too urgent. Before the final bull market arrives, it is likely that the interest rate cut will be implemented and the market will fall sharply and consolidate for a period of time. The last wave of crazy bull and copycat market will start before September to the end of the year. As a retail investor, you need to grasp this period of time. The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only. #Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #以太坊基金会 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
Continue from the previous article.

Therefore, the first rate cut is likely to be consistent with market expectations, 25 basis points, and at most 50 basis points.

Under this high probability event, the longest-lasting interest rate cut in the financial market has finally landed.

There is no doubt that the financial market will see a sharp drop when the news comes out. But it does not mean that there will be no turn back.

Because the rate cut is in line with market expectations, the market will not panic about the authenticity of the US economic recession.

Therefore, the financial market is a soft landing. In this case, the US stock market will fall sharply and consolidate for a period of time.

There is a probability that it will continue to rise in October, or even break a new high.

But there is no doubt that the rise is to cover up the chips that the US financial capital has thrown away and has not been sold out, and it is also to lure more retail investors who speculate or invest in US stocks.

Judging from the historical interest rate cuts of the Federal Reserve, after the interest rate hike cycle, the first two interest rate cuts are usually small adjustments, and finally a large interest rate cut begins.

The cycle corresponds to the end of the year or the beginning of 2025.

When retail investors realize that the risk has passed. It is not ruled out that the Federal Reserve will suddenly cut interest rates sharply.

The financial crisis has officially swept in. The financial market has ushered in a plunge.

So at present, we use the interest rate cut node to look at the big cake. If the bull market goes crazy before the interest rate cut and breaks the new high, the time may not be too urgent.

Before the final bull market arrives, it is likely that the interest rate cut will be implemented and the market will fall sharply and consolidate for a period of time.

The last wave of crazy bull and copycat market will start before September to the end of the year.

As a retail investor, you need to grasp this period of time.

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #以太坊基金会
See original
The September interest rate cut window is approaching. Will the interest rate be cut as scheduled? Will there be a bull market in the futures market this year? The market trend of the futures market since July can be called garbage time. It requires traders to adjust their rhythm quickly and have high adaptability during the trading session. It is also a market trend that is not suitable for most retail investors to gamble. There is no need to play it as a krypton gold game and fantasize about the tiny possibility of getting rich in the short term. For retail investors, all they need to do is wait for the opportunity and improve their trading awareness. Keep sufficient cash flow and seize certain opportunities. This article will specifically describe my personal views on the September interest rate cut and the market analysis before and after the interest rate cut of the futures market. The September interest rate cut window is very close, and there are only about 20 days left. First of all, consider whether the United States will cut interest rates as scheduled in September. 1. Raise or lower interest rates? This round of interest rate hikes in the United States did not achieve the purpose of harvesting, so the market also has a certain response to the possibility of interest rate hikes. But the main point is that it is not a question of whether the Federal Reserve wants to cut interest rates, but that it has reached the time point when it has to cut interest rates. The United States is now burdened with huge debts. If interest rates are raised again, how will the debts be dealt with? Will it default on its debts or start a hot war, with both sides dying? Personally, raising interest rates again is tantamount to a suicidal act of risking everything. The probability is extremely low. The high probability is to cut interest rates and create disputes. So we should consider the specific cuts and the extent of the cuts. The authenticity of the news data released by the United States before is unknown until the non-agricultural data is revised down. It has been revealed that most of the news is false data. The market is controlled to rise and fall only through the words of Powell of the Federal Reserve. Release expectation management for the financial market. That is, as mentioned in the previous article, squeezing water into the sponge, but the sponge will always break. Therefore, judging from the news released before, modifying the data means that the United States does not want to and will not admit that its economy is facing difficulties. Then, if the interest rate cut is larger than market expectations in September, it is tantamount to announcing to the international community that its economy is indeed in recession and can no longer hold on. But judging from the modification of the news and the concealment of the recession, the US is unlikely to cut interest rates significantly. Word limit... more in the next article #Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
The September interest rate cut window is approaching. Will the interest rate be cut as scheduled? Will there be a bull market in the futures market this year?

The market trend of the futures market since July can be called garbage time.

It requires traders to adjust their rhythm quickly and have high adaptability during the trading session.

It is also a market trend that is not suitable for most retail investors to gamble. There is no need to play it as a krypton gold game and fantasize about the tiny possibility of getting rich in the short term.

For retail investors, all they need to do is wait for the opportunity and improve their trading awareness. Keep sufficient cash flow and seize certain opportunities.

This article will specifically describe my personal views on the September interest rate cut and the market analysis before and after the interest rate cut of the futures market.

The September interest rate cut window is very close, and there are only about 20 days left.

First of all, consider whether the United States will cut interest rates as scheduled in September.

1. Raise or lower interest rates?

This round of interest rate hikes in the United States did not achieve the purpose of harvesting, so the market also has a certain response to the possibility of interest rate hikes.

But the main point is that it is not a question of whether the Federal Reserve wants to cut interest rates, but that it has reached the time point when it has to cut interest rates.

The United States is now burdened with huge debts. If interest rates are raised again, how will the debts be dealt with? Will it default on its debts or start a hot war, with both sides dying?

Personally, raising interest rates again is tantamount to a suicidal act of risking everything. The probability is extremely low. The high probability is to cut interest rates and create disputes.

So we should consider the specific cuts and the extent of the cuts.

The authenticity of the news data released by the United States before is unknown until the non-agricultural data is revised down.

It has been revealed that most of the news is false data. The market is controlled to rise and fall only through the words of Powell of the Federal Reserve.

Release expectation management for the financial market. That is, as mentioned in the previous article, squeezing water into the sponge, but the sponge will always break.

Therefore, judging from the news released before, modifying the data means that the United States does not want to and will not admit that its economy is facing difficulties.

Then, if the interest rate cut is larger than market expectations in September, it is tantamount to announcing to the international community that its economy is indeed in recession and can no longer hold on.

But judging from the modification of the news and the concealment of the recession, the US is unlikely to cut interest rates significantly.

Word limit... more in the next article

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报
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