As prices decline, panic has indeed emerged, with a large amount of recent bottom-fishing losses accelerating out of the market, fearing that prices will further collapse, while early investors remain in a wait-and-see mode. So although there is panic, it is limited to short-term investors, and the sentiment of earlier investors is still very stable.
From the supporting data, $95,000 remains a very good focal point, and even the highest accumulation at $97,000 has shown no signs of collapse. This is also one of the reasons I believe that most investors' sentiment remains relatively stable. The support will be revised next week and should be adjusted downwards a bit. #市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #晒交易赢奖励 #DeFAI热点

#市场调整策略

The counterfeit and meme sectors have seen significant losses today, and my positions have also pulled back quite a bit. Although it looks a bit like a head and shoulders pattern, this round is different; it won't replicate the previous cycle theory. It is more likely that BTC will alternate between pullbacks and rebounds, and it’s hard to have the same feeling of continuous decline as in the previous bear market.
The meme sector is also important, as it can bring crypto into the mainstream and will have periodic hot spots to play with. After this round of pullback, we need to watch for some hot spots to emerge.
In the future, the impressive alpha will likely not come from CEX; Binance has now become a place for unloading, and the wealth effect is gone. Shares will gradually be divided and eroded.

The price of Bitcoin has dropped, and this matter is quite hot.

Now, the status of USDT, this stablecoin, is rapidly rising, and some experts are excited, saying this is simply a great opportunity for 'buying the dip'.

Did you know that Bitcoin had previously surged to a new high, but now it has fallen below the 100,000 USD barrier, and it can't even hold 95,000 USD. Yet these experts, one after another, seem energized, saying Bitcoin will definitely rebound by 2025, and the current drop is just giving everyone free money, urging everyone to buy quickly.

Take this Crypto Rover for example; he told his 1 million followers on social media that whenever USDT's status is this high, it's a good opportunity to buy Bitcoin and altcoins. He even specially posted an update encouraging everyone to 'buy the dip', as if he feared that people would miss out on this opportunity.

Looking at the current situation, although Bitcoin still holds the majority, the status of USDT as a stablecoin cannot be underestimated, as it has already reached 4.31%. Although the market appears slightly bearish in the short term, in the long run, Bitcoin still has quite a bit of potential. Especially with the price drop in the first quarter of this year, it might just be a big gift for everyone, allowing them to earn more when the price rises again later.

Of course, the drop in Bitcoin's price has its reasons, such as the Federal Reserve's tightening monetary policy, which has made many people feel anxious. On January 7, Bitcoin even surged to 100,000 USD, only to pull back to 92,500 USD within two days.

Then there's Ali Martinez, who also said that Bitcoin has now dropped below a key area, and the selling pressure is quite significant, which could lead to further declines. However, he also mentioned that to change this bearish situation, Bitcoin needs to regain the 100,000 USD mark and set a new high.

So, whether the price of Bitcoin goes up or down, we novices still need to pay attention to the analysis of experts and not rush in blindly. After all, investing carries risks; one must be cautious when entering the market!

#市场调整策略

As for the upcoming layout direction, I will guide everyone to target the lucrative opportunities in altcoins, especially those with great potential. A projected upside of over 10 times is definitely feasible. If you want to make big money in a bull market, like and leave a comment, and I will take you through the entire bull market!

Washing your face under the waterfall every day!!! More refreshing than anything else

A friend asked, is the bull still here??

Yes, it's still here, no need to worry

The wise king will move into the White House on the 20th, and the market is also waiting for the wise king

Plus the previous surge, profit-taking has begun

Adding to that is the upcoming Eastern Spring Festival

This period is indeed a difficult time to operate

Can only make short trades, there’s no way to make trend trades

Today the AI agent sector also showed adjustments

It has changed from the strong situation of the past, it looks like everything is jumping

Bitcoin dropped 2 points, altcoins are basically in a small waterfall!

As long as we don't leave the table, we will always have a chance!

Last night I also told fans to buy near 3230, and in the early morning it directly plummeted 100 points and we got on the bus, this wave also made 4 times!!!
Woke up and directly enjoyed the profits

Today’s focus: act sonic doge
No matter what the trend is, the big beauty has a strategy to operate
Recognize the trend, find the right direction, don’t hold positions, don’t chase highs or sell lows
Achieve unity of knowledge and action, only then can you have your own profits in this market
Next, the big beauty will continue to lead fans in laying out this wave of promising doubling opportunities during this period

Survival Rules:
Carved in my mind: How do I survive in this market?

Such a drop is really child's play for the seasoned investors who have experienced the famous "3.12" and "9.14" market events. Many new investors are lamenting, saying it's too brutal, NO!

The daily drop in Bitcoin did not reach over 20%, and the average drop in altcoins did not exceed 35%, so it cannot be called brutal; it's just a small scratch.

In a bull market, 70% of funds should be used to reserve spot assets, and 30% can be used for the contract market. It's best to manage them in two separate wallets.

The biggest enemy in contracts is not the market maker, but yourself. You need to establish a trading system that constrains yourself and then strictly adhere to it. Without this, everything else is just empty talk.

First, determine the leverage and position size, and prepare fire-fighting measures (stop-loss or averaging down strategies).
From the moment you open a position, set a stop-loss level. If the direction is correct, use a trailing stop; if the direction is wrong, do not easily change the stop-loss level. If you happen to get stopped out, do not rush back in immediately. If you lose three trades in a row, stop trading for the day; it indicates that your state of mind is not right and you may be a bit too excited.
Learn to take profits in a timely manner: for example, when profits reach 100%, you can withdraw the margin and let the profits run. When it reaches 200%, reduce most of your position, leaving a small amount until the end. This part will either get stopped out or yield significant gains. Because you have withdrawn your principal, your mindset will be much more relaxed, allowing you to have the patience to hold onto the position.

Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum have touched previous lows again and rebounded, while the market remains high and volatile. Ether returning to 3500-3700 is still bearish.
$BTC $ETH
#加密市场回调 #市场调整策略

Let's briefly discuss the upcoming market. Although the current Bitcoin price hasn't returned to December's high, did you know? The supply of Bitcoin on exchanges has reached a historic low.

This indicates that large holders have been buying coins on exchanges and transferring them to their cold wallets, which is a very obvious buy signal. Large holders are still in the stage of accumulating chips, rather than transferring coins to exchanges for selling.

In fact, looking at previous instances of prolonged large-scale withdrawals, they have always signaled the start of a bull market. For instance, in early 2021, Bitcoin rose from 20,000 to 65,000 by April. At the beginning of 2023, Bitcoin climbed from 17,000 to over 30,000, each time at least doubling.

From the perspective of a more advanced options market, the open interest for Bitcoin call options is double that of put options, with the largest open interest being a 120,000 Bitcoin call option expiring in March, followed by 110,000 and 150,000.

Therefore, whether from on-chain data or Wall Street data, the cryptocurrency market is on the verge of another explosion. However, the current market has significant fluctuations, which raises the requirements for one's understanding and technical analysis of the market. No matter what you do, remember to maintain good risk control.

Don't let the price remain the same while you have lost your chips.

Are the family members very angry? I am as angry as you are. Bitcoin and Ethereum were affected by the small non-agricultural data tonight. They rose first and then fell. They made a lure to buy more. A monkey 🐒 picked peaches and stole the house in the middle of the night. It's so annoying. Now the support of Bitcoin is 92600 and 91,700. You can arrange long orders near 3200 for Ethereum. At present, the overall market is still weak and the position can be controlled. #市场调整策略

Midnight Thoughts:

Bitcoin fell to around 94500 after rebounding to around 96000 in the evening, and then continued to decline to around 94700. Currently, it is fluctuating around 95000, showing a stepped decline throughout the day.

Ethereum fell to around 3320 after rebounding to around 3384 in the evening, then dropped to around 3340. Currently, it is around 3350.

From the current four-hour structure, Bitcoin's volatility continues to increase, focusing on the lower level around 93900, and the upper level around 97100. From the one-hour structure, Bitcoin's volatility is decreasing, touching the lower boundary, with attention on the lower level around 94500 and the upper level around 96000, with secondary attention on the level around 97500. From the daily K-line perspective, Bitcoin's volatility is shrinking and moving downward, with attention on the lower level around 92000 and the upper level around 96500.

For the noon trading advice:

Bitcoin rebound around 95100-95500, look towards around 94100-93700, and if strong, aim for around 92800. Conversely, prepare to enter near the lower level of 92800-9320.

Ethereum rebound around 3365-3395, look towards around 3290-3260, and conversely, prepare to enter the lower level.

#加密市场回调 #币安Alpha上新 #DeFAI热点 #本轮牛市周期预期 #市场调整策略 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Family members:
Are you very angry? I am as angry as you are

Bitcoin and Ethereum are affected by the small non-agricultural data tonight

It rose first and then fell, and it was a trap to lure more people. Then a monkey 🐒 came to pick peaches and stole the house in the middle of the night!

Damn, it is so infuriating. Now the support of Bitcoin is 92600 and 91,700. Ethereum can be deployed near 3200. At present, the overall market is still weak and the position can be controlled. #市场调整策略 $BTC
$ETH

Are you stuck with a full position? Don't worry, let's talk about the 'roller coaster' of the stock market and cryptocurrency.

January 2025, this time is really exciting, with data pouring in like a meeting: non-farm payrolls, employment rates, CPI, plus with old Trump taking office, the market is like a roller coaster, going up and down. At the beginning of the month, both the stock market and cryptocurrency were thriving, but just a few days later, three lines were pulled down, and everything returned to normal.

The cryptocurrency market these days is simply unbearable, many people feel quite frustrated. This round of the bull market has been exhausting, completely different from before.

Now in the market, everyone is either fully stuck in positions or has given back all their profits, either standing on the mountaintop facing the cold wind, or losing everything in contract trading, or just continuously falling and averaging down, like a bottomless pit.

The yield on U.S. Treasuries has soared to 4.65, and funds are all running that way. The U.S. debt ceiling issue is something old Trump needs to find a way to resolve, so the market has been correcting recently. With old Trump taking office, policies are changing constantly, tariffs, expansions, etc., the stock market and cryptocurrency have to follow his lead, up and down, like dancing.

From a technical perspective, yesterday's drop was significant, but around 92,500, some people started to buy the dip. As long as today doesn't hit a new low, that would be considered stabilized. This short-term volatility is like ocean waves, coming in bursts. The support below is at 93,000 to 92,500, and the resistance above is at 95,400. The three-day line looks like the correction is about to end, and it may slowly start to climb up afterwards.

As for the non-farm payroll data, it is expected to be decent, but CPI might be a concern. So now is the time to buy in batches; even if you get stuck, it's only temporary. If you're feeling uncertain and confused, feel free to come chat with me. Let's analyze it together, don't ponder alone.

First, let’s state the conclusion: the strong institutional pattern is reappearing, and the behavior of the retail investors validates it!
I believe some high-energy retail investors can see the liquidation map clearly,
the recent pullback by the institutions is aimed at you, the core investors.
Tonight's market trend is indeed a thrilling psychological game.
Around nine o'clock, both bulls and bears were waiting for the U.S. stock market to open!

At nine o'clock, the bears were able to take profits, causing panic among them with a sharp rebound.
Before and after the U.S. stock market opened, the bulls were waiting for a corrective upward movement, right?
No need to think too much; you probably took profits at 96300 or 96800 after seeing the liquidation map, didn’t you? Christmas bears are defending strongly!

Why do I say it’s a strong institutional-controlled market pattern?
Because under the normal logic of the liquidation map, there should have been a rebound that would have forced out some bears, so high-energy retail investors must think this way.

The evening strategy suggested you to buy the dip at ninety-three thousand, along with the current price order.
I’ve given you my conservative take profit levels.
For the retail investors supporting the market, was this round enough consideration?
Some friends looking at minute charts should not argue about breaking down to 92500.
The two-minute plunge was just a precise breakout for those entering at ninety-five thousand; such precision in breaking out! Is it strong institutional control?
To prevent extreme situations.
Can the support at 91500 be used to set a stop loss for the bulls?

The fluctuations will continue our strategy, looking up at ninety-six thousand.
#BTC☀ #ETH #本轮牛市周期预期 #市场调整策略 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

On January 9, 2025, the happenings in the crypto world

Today, those altcoins took a significant hit and couldn't recover all day long.

But look at Bitcoin, it's still steadily swaying above 90,000. These altcoins seem to have woken up from a bull market dream, while Bitcoin remains high and lonely. This kind of market divergence was rare before, and it seems that making money in the crypto space is becoming increasingly difficult. Those newly emerged altcoins have seen their main forces flee, leaving us bag holders confused in the wind. So, in the future, one should be cautious when buying the dip on altcoins, don't buy too much, and be careful not to get stuck with them.

While the market is plummeting, news comes in: the U.S. government has been approved to sell 69,000 bitcoins seized from Silk Road, which would amount to about 6.5 billion dollars. However, this news sounds like old history; the last time the German government sold coins, it was the same story. If they really wanted to sell, would they announce it to the market loudly? They would probably quietly find market makers to handle it, right? This is likely the work of the bears.

Speaking of Trump, this guy is about to take office. Just think about it, if you were a high-ranking official in the U.S. government, would you be in a hurry to sell Bitcoin right now? Definitely not! Next, we need to keep an eye on the favorable policies after Trump takes office. This guy loves to stir things up, and he's already followed through on many of his previous promises. Who knows, he might come up with some new tricks too. If the policies are friendly, there will be more opportunities in the crypto space, and the funds will follow.

As for the market situation, I estimate that after this drop, we are nearing a temporary low point. The daily support level for Bitcoin is around 90,000, while Ethereum can hold around 3,200. This position is a good buying opportunity for a swing trade. Of course, any support can potentially be broken, but as long as we have confidence in next year's bull market, we should buy boldly! If the rebound doesn't succeed, we can just wait for next year's big bull market!

#市场调整策略

As for the upcoming layout direction, I will guide everyone to aim for the lucrative opportunities in altcoins, especially those projects with great potential, where a 10x expected return is definitely possible. If you want to make big money in a bull market, like and comment, and I'll take you through the entire bull market!

The Shanzhai and meme sectors are in a bloodbath today, and my positions have also retreated a lot. Although it looks a bit like a head and shoulders top, this round is different. It will not replicate the previous cycle theory. It is more likely that BTC will alternate between callbacks and rebounds. It is difficult to feel the continuous decline like the previous bear market.

The same is true for meme. As a sector that can bring crypto out of the circle, there will be waves of hot spots to play. After this wave of callbacks, it is necessary to ambush a wave of hot spots.

In the future, the awesome alpha will most likely not come out of CEX. Binance has now become a place for shipment. Without the get-rich-quick effect, the share will be gradually divided and eroded.

In the future, the awesome alpha will come out of the chain. These asset categories are not necessarily pure memes, but may also be application-based. Even if they do not follow the meme model, they will adopt the meme issuance method. For example, $virtual (ai agent luanchpad), $buzz (DeFi agents), and $hype (L1+perp dex), which have a market value of more than 1B recently, are not only pure meme/IP narratives, but also have certain application scenarios, but they all adopt a more native issuance method, from the chain to CEX. #加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点 #市场调整策略 #微策略持续增持BTC

U.S. Department of Justice Approves Sale of $6.5 Billion Bitcoin, Intensifying Market Volatility

According to the latest market news, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has approved the sale of $6.5 billion worth of Bitcoin seized in the Silk Road case. This decision has garnered widespread attention in the market, especially against the backdrop of a significant drop in Bitcoin's price.

Background:

Silk Road was a well-known dark web marketplace that was shut down by the U.S. government in 2013. During the investigation, the U.S. government seized a large amount of Bitcoin. The total value of the Bitcoin approved for sale amounts to $6.5 billion, making it one of the largest auctions of its kind in recent times.

Policy Shift:

This move has sparked widespread controversy, particularly since the incoming U.S. President Donald Trump had previously stated that he would not sell the Bitcoin held by the government, but rather keep it as a strategic reserve. However, the actions of the current administration seem to leave a significant impact on the market before their departure.

Market Impact:

After the news broke, the price of Bitcoin quickly fell, now dipping below the $94,000 mark. There are widespread concerns that the large-scale sale of this batch of Bitcoin could further depress prices, bringing continued negative effects to the cryptocurrency market.

Analysis and Outlook:

1. Short-term Impact: The Bitcoin market may face greater selling pressure, with price volatility intensifying.

2. Long-term Impact: If the government sells Bitcoin on a large scale, confidence in the government's holding of crypto assets may be affected, further impacting the global demand and price stability of Bitcoin.

3. Policy Implications: This move may provide a reference for future policymakers, prompting a re-evaluation of the government's policy on holding crypto assets.

As the specific details of this sale are gradually revealed, the market's reaction will need to be further observed. At the same time, this also provides an important case for how the U.S. government manages seized crypto assets.$BTC

#市场调整策略

Today the market is fluctuating downward, and caution is needed when buying at the bottom!
Today, the overall market shows a downward trend, and the downtrend remains unchanged; at this moment, do not rashly attempt to buy at the bottom!

Key Price Levels for ETH
First, looking at ETH, the first resistance level is at 3431; if it pushes up, 3540 is its second resistance level;

Conversely, when moving downward, 3205 is the primary support line, and further down, 3105 is the second support level.

Factors of Long and Short Positions
1. Bearish Factors: The unemployment rate data released last night is not optimistic, bringing a significant bearish impact; the relief fund data is at a mid-level, and overall, the data leans towards a bearish sentiment.

Moreover, the market makers are taking advantage of the Democrats' ongoing lawsuits against Trump and calls for his sentencing, amplifying negative news and further dampening market sentiment.

2. Bullish Factors: The market is not entirely gloomy, as there are several potential bullish expectations. Trump's planned visit to Shanghai on January 20 is expected to inject vitality into the cryptocurrency market;

In March next year, the Layer 2 network Prague upgrade is highly anticipated, coupled with signs of an upcoming altcoin season.

Operating Strategy
The best strategy right now is to maintain a wait-and-see approach; do not be anxious to buy at the bottom, as waiting is not just a simple method but a mature investment strategy.

According to my estimation, in this wave of market movement, the lowest price for ETH is likely to drop to around $2980.

If you want to delve deeper into the crypto space but can't find a clue, or want to quickly understand information differences, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #市场调整策略 #DeFAI热点

Tonight, the ADP employment report and initial jobless claims will be announced. If the ADP employment data performs poorly or initial jobless claims unexpectedly rise, it may intensify market concerns about the pace of economic recovery, further affecting expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Tonight is either a significant bottoming out returning to 100K or a deeper downward support near 915.
Currently, all moving averages remain below the horizontal level, continuing with a bearish trend. Yumi suggests continuing to short test in the afternoon along the Silk Road, waiting for evening signals before taking further bottoming actions.
Pay attention to key support levels 938/3300 and resistance levels 965/3400.

Will it fall next?

Many friends asked if it will continue to fall. In fact, there will be some important economic data this week, such as non-agricultural data and unemployment rate. If these data are conducive to continued interest rate cuts, the market may rebound and prices will rise; on the contrary, if the data is not good, it may aggravate the market's decline. Therefore, we can expect the impact of some data, but changes in market sentiment are difficult to predict. What we can do is to make the best trading strategy to ensure the maximum benefit of personal positions. Although this is difficult, because market sentiment is often anti-human.

#加密市场回调 #市场调整策略 #币安Alpha上新