Many investors have suffered losses due to lack of correct logic in cryptocurrency investment. There are three key points:

Coins have a lifespan: Bitcoin is no exception. Ethereum, well-known coins, and altcoins have different lifespans, but they will gradually lose value. When investing, understand the life cycle of each project and withdraw investment at the right time.

Project parties cut leeks: The cryptocurrency circle is highly competitive, and project parties are mostly profit-seeking. BTC and other projects are all cutting leeks. Be careful before investing, and don't become the target of cutting.

Making money depends on luck and strength: Although hard work is important, luck is also key to investment. Don't blindly pursue various projects, focus on those with great potential. Hold it for a long time, and good luck will reward you.

In short, cryptocurrency investment requires analysis and careful selection of timely withdrawal, and calmness, faith, luck and strength to promote success.

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Then, there will be an easy opportunity to make a profit, but it is not easy.

First, Bitcoin is about to enter a period of adjustment, and will encounter resistance at the price of 100,000. This round of adjustment may last for several months.

Second, Bitcoin is expected to finally climb to 180,000 US dollars next year.

Third, altcoins will show periodic ups and downs, and alternating ups and downs are normal.

Fourth, when selecting currencies, focus only on the following four areas: RWA, L1 (first layer public chain), AI, MEME. No need to get involved in other types.

Fifth, in these specific tracks, if you find that the price of a certain currency has been sideways for a long time, you can generally buy it without any worries.

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Key Night in the Cryptocurrency Market: The Battle Between Bulls and Bears Begins

Coinciding with Friday, the last trading day of the week, the showdown between bulls and bears will grandly unfold tonight.

In the early hours of the 18th, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's remarks were highly impactful, leading to over 200,000 people suffering significant losses, with more than 4.4 billion in contract liquidations, which undoubtedly re-locked in bottom-fishing funds.

Given the current situation, if the market hopes to regain strength in the short term, it will inevitably require strong support from new policies, and investors with similar experiences must feel deeply about this.

Therefore, it is highly likely that the market will utilize Powell's remarks to carry out a strong cleansing of altcoins before a bull market.

If you still hold funds at this moment, it may be an excellent opportunity to enter the market. It is important to understand that the bull market still persists, and all investors must grasp this accurately.

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The first phase of the current bull market has basically come to an end, and a correction in the market will provide an opportunity for a new batch of investors to enter the market.

At this moment, you only need to wait patiently for the correction to end and find the right time to buy the bottom, and you will be able to make a profit again.

The upward space of Bitcoin is relatively limited, but altcoins still contain many opportunities. If you grasp it accurately, you will have the opportunity to double your assets. On the contrary, if you operate improperly, you may be trapped in a high position and will not be able to get out of it until the next cycle comes.

I wonder if you are currently in a state of being trapped or holding a short position? #加密市场回调 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC

Dogecoin and Pepecoin support levels lost: a bargain hunting opportunity or a trap? Worth pondering!

Dogecoin and Pepecoin both suffered a drop of more than 10% this week, hitting a key point on Thursday.

After climbing to a new high of $0.48 on December 8, Dogecoin fell more than 23% in 10 days, and fell back to the 50-day moving average of $0.35 on Tuesday (this is the retracement position of 61.8% of the increase from November to December), and the current price is about $0.36.

Operational suggestions and subsequent trends: When the price is at $0.35, you can consider buying. If it can stabilize at this price, it is expected to rise by 13.5% to $0.41.

However, its daily strength index is below 50, indicating that the bearish force is strong, and it needs to rise above 50 to be conducive to rising, otherwise it may fall further to $0.31.

After reaching a new high of $0.000028 on December 9, Pepecoin fell back by 26.6% in 9 days and slipped to $0.000018 on Thursday (this is a 50% retracement from November to the new high and a key daily support point).

When the price is at $0.000018, you can consider buying it. If there is a rebound, it is expected to rise by 28% to $0.000024.

Similarly, its daily strength index is below 50, indicating that the bearish force is strong. It needs to return to above 50 to be conducive to rising, otherwise it may fall to $0.000016.

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In fact, many opinions are fundamentally based on the premise of 'this time is different'.

For example: 'This time, the altcoin season will not happen again', 'Only meme coins will see price increases', 'Some altcoins will not experience a rally in this bull market', and similar views are quite common.

However, based on my current observations, the actual situation often shows consistency:

As long as the timing is right, the altcoin season will still experience a phase of price increases;

Every type of coin, when it reaches the appropriate time for a rally, will indeed be lifted;

Once entering the bull market (BN) phase, it often means that market liquidity will reach its peak in the short term, and afterward, it will quickly enter a distribution or accumulation phase.

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The more chaotic the market becomes, the more calm one must be. Here are my personal views on the recent market trends:

1. Is the bull market over?
Starting from November 6, the market rose due to favorable expectations for cryptocurrency policies following Trump's victory. Whether this rise can continue next year depends on the related benefits after he takes office. The main trend remains unchanged, and the bull market is likely to continue, but we should pay attention to the degree of benefit realization, which may affect the direction of the bull market.

2. Why did BTC drop?
Last night, the Federal Reserve expressed a hawkish stance. However, the market had already anticipated a reduction in interest rates by 2025. The changes in the dot plot are not significant, so a major drop shouldn’t have occurred. It might be a chain reaction caused by market panic and large holders facing liquidation. Historically, panic-induced drops often lead to rebounds.

3. What is the situation and outlook for altcoins?
Recently, altcoins have been performing poorly; while Bitcoin was rising, altcoins were either stagnant or dropping. Looking back at the market in early November, Bitcoin initially surged alone, attracting capital, and only when Bitcoin broke through key levels did capital flow into altcoins. As long as Bitcoin continues to rise, the altcoin season will come; this is a rule in financial markets, and the U.S. stock market behaves similarly.

4. When will the altcoin season arrive?
After Bitcoin breaks through key levels and consolidates, altcoins will explode. Currently, the key point is around 100,000, with subsequent potential points being 110,000, 120,000, 130,000, etc. If the bull market expectation peaks at 150,000, altcoins will have four more opportunities to explode, but the risks will increase as time goes on.

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Yesterday, affected by the unemployment news, the short position in the general direction increased, and the lowest price fell to around 95700 in the early morning. It is currently fluctuating around 96000.

It should be noted that the MACD dead cross at the hourly and four-hour levels is basically close to the bottom of the zero line, so it is speculated that there may be a round of counterattack by bulls today.

In terms of today's strategy, Bitcoin can consider going long in the range of 96000-96500, with the target set at around 99000-98500! Ethereum operates synchronously in this way.

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12.20 Friday Trading Strategy Analysis:

Yesterday during the day, the market showed a V-shaped fluctuation pattern, rising to around 102800 at night before hitting a peak and falling back, continuously refreshing recent low points, with the current low reaching around 95500.

The current trend is hovering and fluctuating near the low point, and it has not yet broken through the current low again. Attention should be paid to the support strength at this low point.

Short-term support is at 94500, and the Asian market is unlikely to drop significantly, so day trading can consider 94500 as short-term bottom support for long positions.

Trading Suggestions:

Bitcoin: Long in the range of 94500 - 95500, target price 98000.

Ethereum: Long in the range of 3280 - 3340, target price 3600. #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场回调

Crypto partners, let's talk about cryptocurrency trading experiences. Xiao Ha has five practical insights to share.

1. Rapid price increases and slow declines may indicate that the market maker is accumulating. After a sharp rise in coin prices followed by a gradual drop, it could be that the market maker is secretly stockpiling, preparing for a subsequent rise. At this time, it is advisable to patiently lurk, as there may be substantial profits to be gained.

2. Rapid declines and slow recoveries may suggest that the market maker is selling off. If the coin price drops sharply followed by a gradual increase, it is highly likely that the market maker is offloading, and the market may be entering a downward phase. One should seek opportunities to exit in a timely manner.

3. Don't rush to sell when there's high volume at the top. When the coin price reaches a peak and trading volume surges, it may be due to high popularity or still have upward momentum; if the volume shrinks at the peak, it indicates weak upward movement, and one should withdraw quickly.

4. Don't rush to buy when there's high volume at the bottom. If the coin price hits the bottom and the volume suddenly spikes, it may be a continuation of the downward trend, necessitating further observation; if the volume continues to expand, it indicates capital inflow, and one may consider buying but must time it accurately.

5. Trading cryptocurrencies is essentially trading emotions, and public opinion is linked to trading volume. Price fluctuations are driven by market sentiment, and trading volume reflects public opinion and investor behavior; it is critical to closely monitor sentiment and the direction of public opinion to judge trends.

In summary, when trading cryptocurrencies, one must exercise self-control, maintain a stable mindset, avoid being swayed by price fluctuations, and not be discouraged by losses. There are ways to hedge risks; one needs to gradually comprehend and heed advice.

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Things with poor liquidity often exhibit characteristics of sharp rises and falls in price.

During the process of sector fluctuations, parts with poor liquidity are always the first to show signs of withdrawal.

Whether it was DeFi in 2020 or the inscriptions at the beginning of this year, this pattern holds true.

Generally speaking, the lower the market capitalization, the poorer the liquidity, making it easier to break down first and the decline more severe.

This time is no exception, with rif, ban, luce, etc. dropping first, followed by coins like chillguy, neiro, pnut in the market capitalization range of 600 million to 1 billion, and finally wif.

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1. Recently, I am in the process of learning about artificial intelligence-related content, but the progress is somewhat slow.

2. Every day, I am engaged in research on new cryptocurrencies in the crypto space, especially those related to AI agents. The various information is complex and overwhelming. Although it is difficult to understand thoroughly, I can sense the tremendous potential it holds.

3. Adhering to the philosophy of "sitting quietly and reflecting on my own mistakes, and not discussing others' faults in idle conversation," it is gratifying to note that my personality has significantly improved over this past year, becoming more inclusive and open-minded.

4. Recently, I have suffered a certain degree of losses, mainly due to the extreme volatility of altcoins. I am striving to self-regulate and avoid negative impacts on my mindset.

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In terms of the current situation, the depth of the pullback has generally approached a reasonable range, and the core issue is how long the consolidation will last at this point.

Naturally, considering the most extreme scenarios, there is a possibility that prices could break through the range I have defined and further decline to the blue trend line; however, this probability is relatively low.

Regarding the decline of altcoins, I have always maintained that it falls within a reasonable scope.

Ultimately, the volatility of altcoins is quite significant, and after such a large-scale adjustment, many cryptocurrencies are still in the process of correction, and market sentiment will also have an impact on their price movements.

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When playing with altcoins or meme coins, grasping trends comes with many difficulties:

First, early trends are hard to detect. Initial price increases and fluctuations can easily be masked by other sectors, and by the time one notices, the leading coin may have already multiplied several times.

Second, there is an overflow of imitators. After the leading coin appears, a large number of imitative or conceptual coins will emerge, making it difficult to study each one in depth due to their overwhelming numbers.

Third, capital flows are chaotic. Capital rushes in frantically, and those who miss the opportunity tend to cluster around chasing imitations, causing market confusion and obscuring real trends.

Fourth, trends are not linear. The development of trends is not smooth; there are often pullbacks that may lead one to mistakenly believe the market is about to collapse.

Fifth, influenced by market makers. Operations by market makers like WinterMute can easily lead one to question their own judgment, causing a psychological imbalance.

Sixth, timing is difficult. Not every emerging concept attracts capital favor; it may take a long time to enter mainstream, and if one misjudges and positions too early, they may face significant pullbacks.

Seventh, the market is complex. When the market is hot, various track traders will take action, and the overlapping fluctuations make it hard to distinguish the true trend.

Eighth, trends have strengths and weaknesses. Even if one captures a trend, it may only be a minor trend, requiring significant effort but yielding little return, leading to a perception that effort and reward are disproportionate.

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After the relevant data was released in the early morning, the Ethereum market experienced a pullback, and mainstream altcoins also faced significant pressure.

In the short term, Ethereum has shown a clear bearish trend. From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD indicator indicates that bearish strength is continuously increasing, with the DIF line and DEA line consistently spreading at high levels;

The Bollinger Bands have shown signs of contraction, and the K-line has retraced and broken below the key position of the middle band at 3815. At this time, attention can be focused on the support level below at 3540, which can serve as a reference entry point for attempting long positions.

At the same time, the KDJ indicator also shows a downward crossover and further expansion, with an overall trend characterized by a sharp decline.

In light of this, it is recommended that investors patiently wait for a signal of a stop-loss to appear and avoid blindly chasing prices in a volatile market environment to prevent being subjected to liquidation risks from major players' long and short operations.

In terms of specific operations, consider attempting long positions in the range of 3550 to 3600, setting a stop-loss at 3500, with a stop-loss range of 50 points. The target price can initially look towards 3650 to 3700. If the price can break through this range, then attention can continue to be focused on the upward space of 3750 to 3800.

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The interest rate cut has already taken effect; however, the market has experienced a widespread decline, and Powell's 'hawkish' stance has undoubtedly become the 'culprit' of this market situation.

Let's talk about the situation of going long around 104000 mentioned during last night's US market. At that time, I clearly stated that there would likely not be a significant drop before the meeting minutes were released, and before the interest rate cut news was announced, the price rebounded to a maximum of 105000.

Internally, I notified everyone to exit early, as I have never been inclined to take risks based on such data. Therefore, as investors, it is essential to prioritize risk control and strictly manage defensive measures.

Returning to the main topic, logically speaking, an interest rate cut should be a positive news. So why did the market show a downward trend? This is actually a case of 'buying the expectation and selling the fact'; the market had long been aware of the interest rate cut by early morning, and the key factor determining the trend lies in Powell’s speech content after the meeting minutes were released.

Focusing on the trend aspect, from the historical high of 108400 to breaking below 100000 this morning, a small single-sided pullback of over 8000 points has already formed.

Currently, all indicators on the four-hour and hourly charts are in an oversold state.

Therefore, regardless of how the daily level will perform subsequently, at least during this morning time frame, when the price reaches 100000, do not blindly chase a short position. It may be better to first observe whether there will be an oversold rebound.

This morning, Bitcoin can be directly bought at the current price, with a target price set at 102500 - 103000; Ethereum can also be bought simultaneously, with the upward target price being 3730 - 3750.

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12.19 The content of the crypto morning report is as follows:

Firstly, Bitcoin (BTC) is about to fall below the key price level of 100,000. This decline not only leads to the collapse of the altcoin market but is also affected by the downturn in the US stock market.

Secondly, the exchange rate of Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a sharp decline, and the seemingly strong appearance has been shattered in one go. The market sentiment for ETH has dropped to the lowest point this year, and from historical data, this could signal a turning point in the market.

Thirdly, Solana (SOL) continues to play the role of a “lever” for Bitcoin, but most investors do not seem to care, just as they do not pay much attention to the decline of the stablecoin USDT (u).

Fourthly, regarding Binance Coin (BNB), the overall operations of Binance yesterday were somewhat unfathomable, but its platform traffic indeed reached its peak. Moreover, with USUAL performing relatively well, BNB's decline is among the smallest in the top 10 declines across various cryptocurrencies.

Fifthly, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, and Powell stated that the Federal Reserve is not allowed to hold Bitcoin.

Overall, the current market is somewhat uninteresting, with very few cryptocurrencies experiencing increases. If investors are keen to buy certain cryptocurrencies, they often find the results unsatisfactory.

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According to monitoring data from Farside Investors, the funding data for the US spot Bitcoin ETF and spot Ethereum ETF on yesterday (December 18) is as follows:

For the spot Bitcoin ETF: GBTC experienced a net outflow of $35.9 million, BITB had a net outflow of $16.6 million, while BTC had no inflows or outflows.

For the spot Ethereum ETF: ETHE had a net outflow of $49.2 million, ETHW had a net outflow of $14.6 million, and ETH had a net outflow of $15.6 million.

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Coin Analysis [Quite Difficult][Quite Difficult][Quite Difficult]

1. PNUT (Squirrel Coin): Currently, it is in an adjustment phase, and there are numerous participants in the market. The probability of a short-term upward trend is relatively low.

Therefore, investors are advised to maintain sufficient patience to wait for the right opportunity and not to rush into operations.

2. CAT (Cat Coin): After experiencing a round of price increase, the price has been quickly suppressed and is expected to enter a consolidation phase when it reaches around 0.000039. Investors can wait for opportunities for a breakout trend afterwards.

3. ACT: Currently, its price trend shows a daily convergence pattern, with the support range between 0.45 and 0.43. Investors can focus on potential rebound opportunities that may occur within this range.

4. KOMA: Since its listing on BN and Yue, its price has continued to decline. It is still uncertain whether it will show a trend similar to BAN in the future.

However, it is currently in an oversold state, so attention should be paid to the strong support level at 0.082. This position has a high cost-performance ratio, and investors may consider entering operations at this position.

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The interest rate cut results will be announced at 3:00 AM on the 19th.

If there are no unexpected situations, the expected rate cut will be 25 basis points.

As for January, no further rate cuts are expected.

However, it remains uncertain whether any related actions will be taken after Trump takes office.

After the announcement of the rate cut results, everyone can appropriately clean up their contracts.

After Trump takes office, the real altcoin market season is about to arrive.

Spot investors shouldn't miss the opportunity; there may be a hundred-fold coin among them.

Make sure to hold on tight! Stay calm! #加密用户突破1800万 #市场全线看牛？