Trump wins, beware of traps to lure more investors, how will the market decide on the night of rate cuts?

1. News

1. Institutional changes
From a historical perspective, the market has been pulling up for three consecutive days after Trump's victory and the market's expectation of rate cuts. However, our big money sponsor BlackRock has started to sell stocks in the past two days, and it has been selling stocks for two consecutive days, which means that the market may experience a round of correction. Don't chase more stocks at high levels

2. Time of rate hike decision
Starting at 3 a.m. on November 8, focus on Powell's speech, and explain the overall situation of market economic expectations at the end of the year and next year, and the expectation of rate cuts. Focus here

3. Market reaction
A 25 basis point rate cut is basically confirmed. The probability of a rate cut in December is reduced and there may be no rate cut. The frequency of rate cuts next year may start from March, and the number of rate cuts may be rate cut-pause-rate cut, and the interest rate will eventually be maintained at around 3%. #CHZ翻倍潜力 $BNB #币安BNSOL超级质押

2. Market analysis

1. Big cake operation suggestion: 2896 short

2. Auntie operation suggestion: 76800 short

Trump won, where will the market have the next chance?

1. What we think

1. Fundamentals

1. Good news: From the K-line trend of the big cake, the market has broken the historical high, and the support below has stabilized. The news of Trump's victory, the bullish stimulus, and the superposition of positive factors have basically determined the bull market trend, but the market has not yet fully exploded.

2. Bad news: From the two-day market pull from November 5 to November 6, the market big cake broke through the 75,000 position, so the announcement of Trump's victory is the result of the exhaustion of positive factors.

3. Bad news: After Trump takes office, he will weaken the interest rate cut in December, or suspend the interest rate cut.
2. Coins with potential to rise
1. ETH
The first one: re-staking has not passed (SEC)
After passing, the market will definitely have a big rise
The second one: political factors (Trump and the emperor have a good relationship)
Beneficial factors
2. Sol
The first one: the functions on the basic chain are the same as the aunt, the fees are lower than the aunt, the number of active people on the chain exceeds the aunt, the transaction volume of cex on the chain ranks first, and the meme sector is mainly exploded on the sol chain.
The second one: Capital Jewish Capital
The third one: ETF (submitted)
Summary: From November to early December, our operation ideas must be low-multiple positions, and we will find positions to do low-multiples when the callback is made, rather than chasing longs. Remember not to chase longs. If you are trapped in a short position, you must find time to untie it. #内容挖矿 #美国大选后涨或跌？ $BNB $SOL

The US election has concluded, Trump wins, the big pie skyrockets by 10%, an 80,000 big pie is about to appear, the subsequent market trend, everyone can publicly discuss

【Six states in the US have completed presidential election voting】Jin Ten Data, November 6, report: As of November 5, 7 PM Eastern Time, the voting stations in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia have closed. At 7:30 PM Eastern Time, the voting stations in North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia will close. #11月市场预测 #CKBUSDT #内容挖矿 $SOL $BTC

Election Trading Day, Market Volatility Has Become Normal

1. News

1. Election Day Timing
Trump: 219
Currently, based on market votes, Harris has a higher probability of winning than Trump. If Trump wins, we will definitely be bullish in the short term. If the results on election day show Trump winning and there are signs of market decline, then everyone can buy the dip, but we should not chase the highs. However, after Trump wins, some policy factors announced during the selection might lead to an early stop of interest rate cuts by December at the earliest. In the long term, the market's US stock performance may continue to decline. We will be bullish before the end of the year, but there might be adjustments at the beginning of next year, and the rise will be delayed until mid-April to start, extending the bull market.
Harris: 226
Harris winning in Pennsylvania, the state with the most swing votes, increases the probability of a Democratic victory. If Harris wins, the market is likely to rise, and we can short the highs. If it declines, we cannot buy the dip; in the short term, Harris's victory is bearish, but in the long term, it is bullish and will not impact interest rate cuts, rather it will promote the continuation of rate cuts. However, the bull market in the cryptocurrency space will continue, as regardless of which president takes office, they will support our circle, just with varying degrees of intensity.

2. November 5 Election
On election day, it is recommended: Try to stay out of position after 9:30 PM for short trades, and continue holding long positions with leverage; it is best to operate 1-2 hours after the election.
3. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision

November 8

Market predictions indicate a high probability of interest rate cuts in November, with a forecast of 25 basis points, which is a positive factor.
2. Market Analysis

1. Bitcoin Trading Suggestion: Buy low around 68000

2. Ethereum Trading Suggestion: Buy low around 2400 #11月市场预测 $SOL #你问我答 #BNB季度销毁 $BNB $WIF

While the world is intoxicated, I remain sober. How will you respond if the market crashes again? The storm of the election has arrived, and violent market fluctuations are about to begin. Will everyone continue to be bullish or bearish? Reply in the comments, and I will randomly select a lucky follower to reward with a Bnb#你问我答 #BinanceBlockchainWeek $SOL .

Major event occurred

Get up, seize the day and take action today, opportunities like this are rare and missing this chance will be hard to come by again. #AI概念币走弱 $SOL

Today this wave precisely captures the sol. Ethereum market trend, who else #
#特斯拉股价大涨 $
$SOL

This round of correction before November will be your last opportunity to enter, what are you hesitating for? Go for it and seize this bull market, the chance to turn things around has arrived #以太坊Pectra升级如何影响生態？ $SOL $BNB

Sui will collapse soon, run quickly, the dealer continues to ship at a high position and exposes secret information, and now it is not allowed to rush to withdraw the single machine, those who should run should run quickly #LUMIA #DOGE飙升 $BNB

The recent pullback is just as I predicted. The final pullback after this wave of rise will eventually make many retail investors get off the bus#币安上线EIGEN #非农就业数据即将公布 $SOL $BTC

The last round of correction after the surge is coming

The market is currently at the 3rd wave stage at the daily level, and the upper pressure is in the 2700-2800 area. If the market produces a correction trend at the 2700 pressure position, then the market can further step back to the 2530-2550 area to consider low-long operations, and the rebound knife 2630-2680 area continues to be short. Looking at the 4-hour c wave trend, it will step back to the 2300-2400 area and take the last bottom 3 exploration trend at the daily level, and then start the upward trend in mid-to-late October. (Reference trend 2023 August-October regional trend) #DODO助力Meme发行 #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 #币安上线CATI $BTC $SOL

Now we start the second round of predictions. If you think the market will continue to rise and break 70,000, please do the q1 task. If you think it will be adjusted back to 60,000, please do q2. A lucky person will be randomly selected and given 1bnb😜#DODO助力Meme发行 #DoDo $BTC $SOL

The interest rate cut will be implemented tonight, and the day of long and short double kill is coming again. Focus on the evening at 2 am and see you there #币安上线NEIRO $SOL

Today we also make a prediction. It is expected that the price of Bitcoin will reach 65,000-68,000 tonight. In Q1, it is believed that it will reach 55,000-50,000 in Q2. If the prediction is successful, a random person will be drawn from the comment area today to follow and receive a bnb #加密市场反弹 $BNB $SOL

On September 16, Matrixport released its latest chart report, pointing out that although Bitcoin rebounded 10% in the past week, the funding rate has turned negative, indicating that the rally was mainly driven by buying in the spot market rather than leveraged trading in the futures market. #美联储利率决议公布在即 $BTC $SOL

If prices continue to rise, futures traders may turn bullish and push the funding rate to positive, which may push prices higher. At present, it seems that short-term futures traders are not ready for a market breakthrough, but the steady increase in spot buying may force them to change their stance and turn bullish.

Friends, institutions have completely given up on Ethereum. Just wish you the best.

BlockBeats reported that on September 14, according to Farside Investors data, the US Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of $1.5 million yesterday. Among them:

ETHA: 3.7
FETH: 0
ETHW: 5.2
CETH: 0
ETHV: 0
QETH: 0
EZET: 0
ETHE: -7.4
ETH: 0#灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 $ETH $SOL

The market rose for three consecutive days, and the bull market returned quickly.

1. News situation

1. ETF trend

From the data, yesterday's market was a double trend under the bullish sentiment and the bearish sentiment of interest rate cuts. Finally, the bullish sentiment was digested, and the market double kill occurred when the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The subsequent trend is still bullish, and the callback is as low as possible.

2. CPI follow-up analysis trend, PPI data

If the PPI data and unemployment benefit data tonight are consistent with the expected values, then it is a neutral data, and the data reference is not very meaningful. The fluctuation may be around 1%

3. Market situation

The medium and long-term positions in the market continue to increase, and are transferred to cold wallets or hot wallets. A large amount of fiat currency has increased in the short and medium term, which has increased the market's buying, and the medium and long-term withdrawal of currency has reduced the selling pressure from above. The subsequent bullish trend of the market is relatively strong.
2. Explanation of macd indicator

Main rising trend
In the process of a rapid rise, the market makes a horizontal adjustment (price), and the macd indicator below shows a dead cross trend above the zero track, then the subsequent price increase space exceeds 80%.

3. Market analysis

1. Auntie operation suggestion: make a low-long operation near 2340-2330.

2. Big cake operation suggestion: make a low-long operation near 57600-57300. #美降息25个基点预期升温 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高 $BNB $SOL $BTC

CPI data is positive, the market fell first and then rose, what does it mean for the future market?

Welcome to discuss again #美国8月CPI数据高于预期 #特朗普与哈里斯辩论，特朗普概念币普跌 $BTC $SOL