Trump wins, beware of traps to lure more investors, how will the market decide on the night of rate cuts?

1. News

1. Institutional changes

From a historical perspective, the market has been pulling up for three consecutive days after Trump's victory and the market's expectation of rate cuts. However, our big money sponsor BlackRock has started to sell stocks in the past two days, and it has been selling stocks for two consecutive days, which means that the market may experience a round of correction. Don't chase more stocks at high levels

2. Time of rate hike decision

Starting at 3 a.m. on November 8, focus on Powell's speech, and explain the overall situation of market economic expectations at the end of the year and next year, and the expectation of rate cuts. Focus here

3. Market reaction

A 25 basis point rate cut is basically confirmed. The probability of a rate cut in December is reduced and there may be no rate cut. The frequency of rate cuts next year may start from March, and the number of rate cuts may be rate cut-pause-rate cut, and the interest rate will eventually be maintained at around 3%. #CHZ翻倍潜力 $BNB #币安BNSOL超级质押

2. Market analysis

1. Big cake operation suggestion: 2896 short

2. Auntie operation suggestion: 76800 short