航哥的币圈闯荡
航哥观点：BTC 100万美金、DOGE 5美金
数字货币坚定持有：比特币、狗狗币、
美股：特斯拉、位策略MSTR、英伟达
实物：北京房产、黄金、茅台酒
只持有真正有价值的资产，每个周期不断上涨
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Hangge is a professor of Finance and Web3 at Peking University
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Many people often mock those who hoard pancakes, thinking they are foolish, only knowing how to hoard, frequently riding roller coasters, unable to trade through waves, buying high and selling low.
Indeed, after so many years of hoarding pancakes, I can no longer remember how many times I have ridden roller coasters, but when your vision is big enough, everything along the way is just scenery.
As a pancake hoarder, I quote the famous lines from Tang Yin's "Peach Blossom Temple Song": "The world laughs at me for being too crazy, I smile while the world cannot see through." #比特币盘整分析
Indeed, after so many years of hoarding pancakes, I can no longer remember how many times I have ridden roller coasters, but when your vision is big enough, everything along the way is just scenery.
As a pancake hoarder, I quote the famous lines from Tang Yin's "Peach Blossom Temple Song": "The world laughs at me for being too crazy, I smile while the world cannot see through." #比特币盘整分析
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After rolling for a while, you will find that your Bitcoin is becoming less and less. The more operations you perform, the fewer coins you have.
Rolling warehouse operations, everyone should have heard of it!!!
A simpler explanation of rolling warehouses is: the bold get rich, the timid starve.
Rolling warehouse method: In 2018, what I knew was just one wave of the market, two people became rich with this method, it was really just one wave of the market that made them rich, but more people lost out.
For rolling warehouses, many futures traders like to casually talk about it, without looking at the market, whether to roll or not depends on their mood...
In 2018, there were two better rolling warehouse opportunities, namely the April EOS and the subsequent BCH surge.
If a rolling warehouse fails once, it's over...
No matter how much you earned before, as long as you fail once, it's over. The key is that rolling warehouses will continuously put you in an unfavorable position.
The difficulty lies in judging the big market trends. I've said so much nonsense, so let me detail how to use the rolling warehouse method and how to make judgments.
The literal meaning of rolling warehouse is to keep rolling your position.
I personally witnessed a novice making a fortune during that BCH wave. He really knew nothing, he just simply asked me about the rolling warehouse operation.
Anyway, he opened with a negative 40% or more, didn't care, didn't look. In the end, he rolled his way from 50,000 RMB to nearly 3 million in just one week, during the time when BCH took off...
Do you think his market judgment was impressive?
No, he didn't understand anything, didn't even look at the K-line, just mindlessly rolled his warehouse until he saw a lot of money and had to settle. He withdrew money to spend, then closed his position.
Do you think anyone can always judge the market correctly?
Is it possible not to make any mistakes along the way? I don't believe there won't be times of error.
Now, with the big coins sucking blood from altcoins, altcoins only have a chance when the big coins are flat!
In this situation, it is most suitable to layout and ambush potential altcoins!
If you want to turn over your position, the host also follows my pace, the contract spot strategy is continuous every day, and the spots are limited.
#ETH市场新动向 #PCE与美联储纪要公布在即
A simpler explanation of rolling warehouses is: the bold get rich, the timid starve.
Rolling warehouse method: In 2018, what I knew was just one wave of the market, two people became rich with this method, it was really just one wave of the market that made them rich, but more people lost out.
For rolling warehouses, many futures traders like to casually talk about it, without looking at the market, whether to roll or not depends on their mood...
In 2018, there were two better rolling warehouse opportunities, namely the April EOS and the subsequent BCH surge.
If a rolling warehouse fails once, it's over...
No matter how much you earned before, as long as you fail once, it's over. The key is that rolling warehouses will continuously put you in an unfavorable position.
The difficulty lies in judging the big market trends. I've said so much nonsense, so let me detail how to use the rolling warehouse method and how to make judgments.
The literal meaning of rolling warehouse is to keep rolling your position.
I personally witnessed a novice making a fortune during that BCH wave. He really knew nothing, he just simply asked me about the rolling warehouse operation.
Anyway, he opened with a negative 40% or more, didn't care, didn't look. In the end, he rolled his way from 50,000 RMB to nearly 3 million in just one week, during the time when BCH took off...
Do you think his market judgment was impressive?
No, he didn't understand anything, didn't even look at the K-line, just mindlessly rolled his warehouse until he saw a lot of money and had to settle. He withdrew money to spend, then closed his position.
Do you think anyone can always judge the market correctly?
Is it possible not to make any mistakes along the way? I don't believe there won't be times of error.
Now, with the big coins sucking blood from altcoins, altcoins only have a chance when the big coins are flat!
In this situation, it is most suitable to layout and ambush potential altcoins!
If you want to turn over your position, the host also follows my pace, the contract spot strategy is continuous every day, and the spots are limited.
#ETH市场新动向 #PCE与美联储纪要公布在即
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The Dogecoin Foundation announced yesterday that it has been working on open-source projects for the Dogecoin ecosystem and currently employs many full-time developers responsible for a range of projects that benefit the Dogecoin community.
Since 2021, the foundation's goal has been to facilitate the adoption of Dogecoin by businesses around the world by building infrastructure and tools, and to research how to make Dogecoin more scalable and efficient, thus becoming a means of transaction for global users, which will increase the adoption rate of Dogecoin as a useful currency for everyday payments. This work has been primarily funded by the generous donations of Vitalik Buterin, along with another anonymous Dogecoin superfan's generous contribution.
As we enter 2025, the foundation is seeking to continue its ongoing open-source work, particularly through the new Dogebox decentralized infrastructure system, which serves as a tool to enable the first million grassroots retailers to accept Dogecoin as a direct payment layer.
Dogebox will allow everyday businesses to self-host their own online stores, integrate with existing systems, and enable regular node operators to participate in the decentralized payment system, providing rewards when people use Dogecoin to purchase goods and services.
#doge⚡
Since 2021, the foundation's goal has been to facilitate the adoption of Dogecoin by businesses around the world by building infrastructure and tools, and to research how to make Dogecoin more scalable and efficient, thus becoming a means of transaction for global users, which will increase the adoption rate of Dogecoin as a useful currency for everyday payments. This work has been primarily funded by the generous donations of Vitalik Buterin, along with another anonymous Dogecoin superfan's generous contribution.
As we enter 2025, the foundation is seeking to continue its ongoing open-source work, particularly through the new Dogebox decentralized infrastructure system, which serves as a tool to enable the first million grassroots retailers to accept Dogecoin as a direct payment layer.
Dogebox will allow everyday businesses to self-host their own online stores, integrate with existing systems, and enable regular node operators to participate in the decentralized payment system, providing rewards when people use Dogecoin to purchase goods and services.
#doge⚡
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Currently, there are approximately 4.43 million ASIC miners providing computational power support for the Bitcoin network. This growth has driven the total network computational power to a historical high, primarily due to the increase in the number of miners rather than improvements in chip performance. Since the beginning of this year, the number of miners has increased by 826,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 23%.
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Thirteen years like a dream, Bitcoin has achieved a 70,000 times increase]
➤ On June 12, 2011, a netizen excitedly posted on Weibo:
" $BTC
The price has reached 9.9, about to break through the 10 yuan barrier!"
➤ On November 22, 2024, the price of Bitcoin has again reached 9.9, only this time it is 99,000 US dollars.
2011, in my impression, was a year of considerable turmoil.
The major events of that year included: the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan, the death of Steve Jobs, the release of the iPhone 4, Mo Yan winning the Nobel Prize, and of course, Bitcoin reaching 9.9 yuan.
Thirteen years, not too long, not too short, Bitcoin's increase has unknowingly touched 70,000 times.
I wonder if that netizen still holds $BTC , how are the diamond hands from back then doing now, and what is everyone from 2011 up to these days?
—— If you could go back to that year, what would you do?
👀
➤ On June 12, 2011, a netizen excitedly posted on Weibo:
" $BTC
The price has reached 9.9, about to break through the 10 yuan barrier!"
➤ On November 22, 2024, the price of Bitcoin has again reached 9.9, only this time it is 99,000 US dollars.
2011, in my impression, was a year of considerable turmoil.
The major events of that year included: the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan, the death of Steve Jobs, the release of the iPhone 4, Mo Yan winning the Nobel Prize, and of course, Bitcoin reaching 9.9 yuan.
Thirteen years, not too long, not too short, Bitcoin's increase has unknowingly touched 70,000 times.
I wonder if that netizen still holds $BTC , how are the diamond hands from back then doing now, and what is everyone from 2011 up to these days?
—— If you could go back to that year, what would you do?
👀
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You look at the chart, it keeps rising, and you feel anxious and uneasy... It pulls back a little, and your mood eases slightly... But the pullback is not much, and you are reluctant to buy in... Emotions keep repeating and accumulating (key point)...
They say it will rise further;
They say there are still positive factors;
They say the target price is this much;
They say it will rise by this many times...
So, you make a bold decision, gamble it all and let it be...
Then it officially starts to drop...
Note: This is a general principle of human behavior in groups.
They say it will rise further;
They say there are still positive factors;
They say the target price is this much;
They say it will rise by this many times...
So, you make a bold decision, gamble it all and let it be...
Then it officially starts to drop...
Note: This is a general principle of human behavior in groups.
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$BTC BTC10 million USD may seem high, but that's not the case:
1 BTC = 100 million Satoshis
21 million BTC x 100 million Satoshis = 2100 trillion Satoshis
2100 trillion Satoshis / 8 billion people on Earth = 263 thousand Satoshis
If Bitcoin were evenly distributed, each person globally would have 0.00263 BTC
0.00263 × 100,000$ = 236 dollars
At this moment, if Bitcoin were divided equally, each person globally would have a total of 236 dollars in BTC
1 Satoshi = 0.001 dollars
Viewed this way, it's very cheap
Bitcoin has passed the time to buy by the piece; buying by Satoshi allows you to buy many Satoshis.
1 BTC = 100 million Satoshis
21 million BTC x 100 million Satoshis = 2100 trillion Satoshis
2100 trillion Satoshis / 8 billion people on Earth = 263 thousand Satoshis
If Bitcoin were evenly distributed, each person globally would have 0.00263 BTC
0.00263 × 100,000$ = 236 dollars
At this moment, if Bitcoin were divided equally, each person globally would have a total of 236 dollars in BTC
1 Satoshi = 0.001 dollars
Viewed this way, it's very cheap
Bitcoin has passed the time to buy by the piece; buying by Satoshi allows you to buy many Satoshis.
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The entire industry has a fragmented sense of madness, VCs are lying flat/abstract narrative, communities are speculating on memes, exchanges are anxiously drinking poison to quench their thirst, institutions only buy BTC, mainstream chains continue to be obsessed with infrastructure, or just shout slogans about applications without any output. Everyone is playing their own game, not interacting with each other.
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Master the signals of the top in this bull market and withdraw in time to avoid being trapped!
Master the signals of the top in this bull market and withdraw in time to avoid being trapped!
1. Price
Generally speaking, during a bull market, the overall market rises by more than 2 times, and Bitcoin rises by 2-3 times.
When Bitcoin has been moving sideways for an extended period, and altcoins have risen nearly the same amount, caution is warranted. The market has severely exceeded and overdrawn future value, and it is important to learn to stop appropriately.
2. On-chain Trading Volume
During a bull market, on-chain trading volume usually expands significantly, with frequent capital movement. However, it is worth noting that when prices reach new highs and on-chain trading volume begins to decline, it is an important signal of a market top.
1. Price
Generally speaking, during a bull market, the overall market rises by more than 2 times, and Bitcoin rises by 2-3 times.
When Bitcoin has been moving sideways for an extended period, and altcoins have risen nearly the same amount, caution is warranted. The market has severely exceeded and overdrawn future value, and it is important to learn to stop appropriately.
2. On-chain Trading Volume
During a bull market, on-chain trading volume usually expands significantly, with frequent capital movement. However, it is worth noting that when prices reach new highs and on-chain trading volume begins to decline, it is an important signal of a market top.
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GPT gives the following timeline for the important factors affecting MSTR and BTC in the coming months
Key time nodes:
- December 15, 2024: Crypto accounting rules take effect, MSTR meets profit requirements
- December 20, 2024: S&P500 index adjustment window, whether to join MSTR
- December 23, 2024: Listed for trading if approved
- March 21, 2025, the next index adjustment window
Key time nodes:
- December 15, 2024: Crypto accounting rules take effect, MSTR meets profit requirements
- December 20, 2024: S&P500 index adjustment window, whether to join MSTR
- December 23, 2024: Listed for trading if approved
- March 21, 2025, the next index adjustment window
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In just November, MicroStrategy raised $9.6 billion to purchase #Bitcoin. This is more than the total of all spot Bitcoin ETFs combined!
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Doge is still in its infancy stage; if you still don't understand, we will soon enter the adolescent stage. If you still don't understand, you can come back during the mid-life stage, just like BTC is now entering its mid-life stage. Most young women feel that at this age, income is stable and they seek security by marrying middle-aged men.
#doge #Dogecoin有大事即将发生
#doge #Dogecoin有大事即将发生
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DOGE is the people's BTC
doge, driven by Musk, competes with the Fed for global minting rights —
will eventually triumph, so that everyone does not have to bear the heavy burden of the minting tax
The minting tax is the dilution of everyone's assets by the excessive issuance of paper money, requiring 15 years of income to pay the minting tax over a lifetime of 40 years of work
——Captain Hang
doge, driven by Musk, competes with the Fed for global minting rights —
will eventually triumph, so that everyone does not have to bear the heavy burden of the minting tax
The minting tax is the dilution of everyone's assets by the excessive issuance of paper money, requiring 15 years of income to pay the minting tax over a lifetime of 40 years of work
——Captain Hang
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DOGE still has 10 times to go 1doge=5 USD --- Captain Hang
The biggest problem with $DOGE currently is that its market cap is not large enough.
No joke, here are my recent thoughts on $DOGE and this cycle of MEME market.
If after this cycle, $DOGE surpasses $ETH to become the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap, I would not be surprised at all.
1/ Musk's social experiment
I have always believed that the tech nouveau riche New Money represented by Musk is conducting experiments to disrupt existing sovereign currencies, or they are simply conforming to the times.
Using $BTC and $DOGE as weapons, to seize control of the dollar from the Old Money like the Federal Reserve.
No joke, here are my recent thoughts on $DOGE and this cycle of MEME market.
If after this cycle, $DOGE surpasses $ETH to become the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap, I would not be surprised at all.
1/ Musk's social experiment
I have always believed that the tech nouveau riche New Money represented by Musk is conducting experiments to disrupt existing sovereign currencies, or they are simply conforming to the times.
Using $BTC and $DOGE as weapons, to seize control of the dollar from the Old Money like the Federal Reserve.
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Truly smart people do not engage in the so-called "buy high, sell low" trading
Engaging in the so-called "buy high, sell low" trading,
after a few times will only result in having less and less of the big pie in hand, looking back it's just buy high, sell low
Engaging in the so-called "buy high, sell low" trading,
after a few times will only result in having less and less of the big pie in hand, looking back it's just buy high, sell low
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Bitcoin Deflation Principle: A large amount of Bitcoin has been lost in the past, and now a small amount is lost globally every day. If your cold wallet is accidentally lost, or if someone unexpectedly passes away, it can result in Bitcoin disappearing. Bitcoin may be permanently lost and cannot be traded again, thus, Bitcoin essentially becomes less. Many exchanges define accounts that have not been traded for over 5 years as likely belonging to individuals who have unexpectedly passed away or are incarcerated, and this portion of assets temporarily belongs to the exchange.
Understand the inflation principle of Dogecoin and its future direction in 1 minute
Dogecoin DOGE issuance mechanism, I and GPT
Dogecoin increases by 10,000 coins per minute, with an annual increase of 5 billion coins. At the current price, this year’s inflation of Dogecoin is 200 million USD, with an inflation rate of around 3% per year, which is endless and has no upper limit, but is acceptable. Bitcoin's deflation is good, and Dogecoin's inflation is good.
You said:
Is the annual issuance of 5 billion coins issued daily or concentrated?
ChatGPT says:
ChatGPT
The issuance of Dogecoin is gradually carried out through blockchain rewards every day, rather than being a one-time event.
Specifically, the block time of the Dogecoin network is approximately 1 minute, 10,000 DOGE.
Dogecoin increases by 10,000 coins per minute, with an annual increase of 5 billion coins. At the current price, this year’s inflation of Dogecoin is 200 million USD, with an inflation rate of around 3% per year, which is endless and has no upper limit, but is acceptable. Bitcoin's deflation is good, and Dogecoin's inflation is good.
You said:
Is the annual issuance of 5 billion coins issued daily or concentrated?
ChatGPT says:
ChatGPT
The issuance of Dogecoin is gradually carried out through blockchain rewards every day, rather than being a one-time event.
Specifically, the block time of the Dogecoin network is approximately 1 minute, 10,000 DOGE.