The RWA sector is also not idle. #Ondo floated 40% on the day. This will be an unprecedented market.

The fire in the currency circle is burning faster and faster. At the same time, lightning will come sooner or later. After the lightning, there will be a downpour. Are you ready for the lifebuoy?

As a web3.0 sector currency, KAIA is the most likely to become a leading currency in this wave of market trends. It has shown considerable strength in recent movements, and its future development can be worth paying attention to.

As #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 progresses towards 4000,
it's plate effect has also heated up,
I wonder if everyone has noticed,
that this market's residual heat is being driven upward by #xrp , #ADA , and the Ethereum sector,
while ETH serves as the main force this time, so the corresponding coins in its sector reaching new highs is just a matter of time.

A few years ago, a student kept shouting that the third wave of EOS was over, and then it would go up...; as a result, this time the third wave at the bottom is over, but no one is looking at it anymore. Such currencies tend to have long tail effects in their market trends.

XRP broke 2.4 and continued to rise, triggering the resurgence of old coins.

A few days ago, it was mentioned that this would be a fierce confrontation between new and old coins, and in the end, the winner was the old coins.

The long-stagnant #EOS also went up to 1, Litecoin #LTC📈 returned to 120, and even #狗狗币 rode the wave of old coins to rise!

Ripple #XRP seized the crown in one fell swoop, sparking a boom in old coins!

BTC has always been hanging between 92,000 and 100,000. This period is mainly reserved for #山寨币 's performance, so let's not disappoint the goodwill of the counterfeit market. Where there is yin, there is yang; from extreme yang comes yin, and from extreme yin comes yang; yin and yang coexist. Where there is sunlight, there must be darkness; where there is darkness, there must be sunlight. This is how the hexagram of Tai corresponds to the earth and heaven. Continuous darkness would not allow for the revival of all things, while continuous sunlight would cause all things to wither.

It is difficult for ordinary people to understand such a simple truth. Ordinary people always seek perfection, but this itself is a misunderstanding. Perfect things are not tolerated by the way, and reaching perfection signifies the beginning of decline. Therefore, those who follow the way only seek a state of nine perfection, which will never lead to decline; of course, the cyclical nature of things means that nothing can avoid decline. What people need to do is to slow down the cycle of decline.

BTC 96000, Is there something big happening in December?

#BTC is hovering around 96000, and the entire market is destined for another extraordinary weather in the next 24 hours, it could be good weather, or it could be extremely bad weather, let's witness it at this time tomorrow. If we cannot witness it tomorrow, then let's witness the new weather around December 8.

#ACT

After two weeks of operation, today we have returned to the previous high point,

Prices usually surge upwards quickly when they reach this level,

Yesterday's super bullish candlestick is a bullish engulfing of ten bearish ones,

We need to keep a close watch on the market rhythm going forward.

With the approach of #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 to 4000, the most restless belongs to #ENS among other ecological sectors.

Currently moving to 37, heading towards 50.

But for this coin, I have been deeply tormented by it in the past; its trend reflects its coin nature, and looking at its current trend, I see it as just putting on a show.

Similar to it, there is another #APT , which is also a torment.

In the current market, time is money.

And APT is always on a tightrope, making it jump out during the market washout; most of the time it is just grinding, all kinds of coins that are just putting on a show.

Overall, its subsequent potential is not as good as #LDO , op, and #ENA .

The quality of coins reflects the quality of people; if the coin's nature is not good, it reflects that the team behind it is also not good, just like many projects in the crypto space—some projects end up in a mess after a wave, while others are still running continuously. Enough said, not much more to comment!

The recent temperament of #XRP has been highlighted, and it has been tied to #马斯克 on the same battle vehicle.

Although the price has risen 2.6 times from the bottom,

it is approaching the high point of 2021,

but this is definitely not its endpoint.

More topics have yet to be explored,

it will not reach its peak.

Bitcoin Bubble and Cycle

Soros said: "The history of world economy is a series based on illusions and lies. The interpretation of economic history is never based on real scripts, but it paves the way for accumulating huge wealth. The way is to recognize the illusion, invest in it, and quit the game before the illusion is recognized by the public."

Any game has nothing to do with truth or falsehood, but only the length of the four life cycles. Some end at the beginning, and most of these are losses as soon as they enter; some end after a period of existence, like the snowball product that broke out before the New Year; and some end after a long time, similar to the three major bubbles that affected the world economy, the tulip bubble, the South China Sea bubble and the Mississippi bubble.

Human nature is like this. Bad things are devalued again and again, and good things are praised again and again. When talking about "bubbles", they open their fangs of hatred, but they forget that just before the tulip bubble, the people who participated in the tulips did not feel that way at the time. Their worth kept rising. Who would hate the bubble at that time? Everyone has plenty of time to leave, but in the end, the "tulip" took everything.

Everything in the world is an illusion. What you know may not be true, and what you have may not be true. It is just the length of the time cycle. So don’t be obsessed with the truth or falsehood of finance. What you are obsessed with is the length of the cycle. What you need to do is to identify the length of the cycle. For example, a few days ago I saw a description of a coin called mew, "A cat in the dog world, it wants to save the world from other dog coins." It doesn’t even want to make a description. Do you still expect its cycle to last long?

Similarly, on the other hand, you should have your own ideas about things with long cycles. The whole world is talking about the Dutch tulip bubble, but who would think about the overwhelming opportunity when a tulip was fried to 1668 guilders (equivalent to a worker’s annual salary)? According to the law of conservation of funds in the market, no matter what is changing, the total value of funds will not change. If someone loses, someone must make money. The winner is the person who throws out the most crazy market, and the last one is the person who is caught by the devil.

In our minds, we should pay more attention to cycles and opportunities. As the saying goes, the bigger the storm, the more expensive the fish. We should not promote the bubble everywhere, which is just air. We should think more about the short cycle and we may not be able to get out of it in time. This is what a person should think about. We should not talk about the Florida real estate bubble and the Kuwait oil bubble every day......

What I admire most are those who pulled out before the big bubble, not those who muttered: "Look how smart I am, I knew it would burst..." In this market, you can't just rely on bragging, success is made, so we must be able to examine the cycle and look at crises with a dialectical eye. Most crises are the beginning of opportunities. We must seize the opportunity and dare to act. In the words of Churchill: "Never waste a crisis."

Today's article is a supplement to what I wanted to say a few days ago but didn't say it due to some accidents. I also want to say "Why panic" to those who are "panicking, panicking, panicking", and to those who want to speculate every day: "Thank you for your greatness, your failure in speculation is paving the way for our next success."

Finally: To be more ruthless, unsuccessful trading is a lack of cognition and thinking. Some people are destined to be sheep and cannot change. Which currency that can be at the top of the market for a long time is a big fool? If you can't compare your intelligence with them, you can only compare your stupidity the other way around.

BTC consolidates, the trend shows the principle of failure

There is such an anecdote - King Wei asked Sun Bin many questions about military tactics, Tian Ji also asked some questions, and Sun Bin answered them one by one. Later, someone asked Sun Bin what were the questions asked by the king and the general?

Sun Bin said: "King Wei asked me nine questions, and Tian Ji asked me seven questions. From their questions, it seems that they almost know how to use troops, but they have not fully mastered the fundamental laws of using troops. I heard that only countries that strictly keep their promises will prosper; countries that focus on upholding justice will be strong; wars without preparation will inevitably be hurt, and war will inevitably lead to destruction. They lack sufficient attention to this. From now on to the third generation, the fate of Qi is probably worrying."

Lao Tzu said: "If there is Tao but no skills, the skills can still be sought; if there is skills but no Tao, it stops at the skills." For a country, using troops to fight is only the level of skills, while improving politics, ensuring the rule of law, and making the upper and lower levels united are the level of Tao. On the other hand, for trading, constantly buying at the buying point and selling at the selling point is only a technical level. When a fundamental of the market changes suddenly, the buying point is not the original buying point, and the selling point is no longer the original selling point.

We have also said in the past that once the market enters a period of volatility, there are two modes, one is to leave the market, and the other is to hold, but there is absolutely no third mode of intervention, because rise + consolidation + rise = rise, up + consolidation + fall = fall, first of all, we must ensure the end of consolidation, only when the consolidation ends is the time to intervene, and holding becomes the time to leave the market, so naturally there is no rhythm of consolidation equals leaving the market.

The Book of Changes is a great way to observe the rise and fall of things. The Bo Gua foreshadows the possibility of the Fu Gua, and the gentleman feels happy and hopeful; the Gou Gua means the beginning of the Gou Gua, and the gentleman believes that it hides a crisis and turns from good to bad; and the Wei Ji Gua means the end of the Ji Ji Gua, and also means a new beginning. Now the current market should be viewed with the fire and water Wei Ji.

Ji means complete success, while Wei Ji means a new beginning. Li is on Kan and is useless, so the matter is not accomplished. Wei Ji also has the principle of Ji, so it means prosperity. The beginning means good, so the market will fall first and then rise, and then start a new journey with the momentum of spreading like wildfire. We must seize such opportunities.

Did Japan's interest rate hike cause a surge in the cryptocurrency market?

I should have talked about it on the 18th. The specific data and ideas are still in my mind. It's not too late to talk about it today. Today, let's talk about the impact of the yen's interest rate hike on the world.

Those who understand the Japanese economy or have studied finance will not be surprised by Japan's "negative interest rate", and Japan has finally ended the 30-year era of negative interest rates. Although it is only a small step forward, it has taken a big step in history.

In the past, we often talked about positive interest rates, and there is also the saying of negative interest rates. How to understand it? Simply put, if you borrow money from a bank, the positive interest rate is one thousandth. If you borrow 1,000, you have to pay back 1,001, while the negative interest rate is that if you borrow 1,000, you only need to exchange 999. It is not good for banks, but good for borrowing. Many of us will think this is a good thing, but it's a pity that this is a matter between the Bank of Japan and the bank, and ordinary people can't get this benefit.

Why does this phenomenon occur? It is mainly because of Japan's rapid development in the past 30 years. Prices have gone from inflation to deflation. Those who have studied the Book of Changes know that things will turn to the opposite extreme, and the negative pole will return to the positive pole, and the positive pole will return to the negative pole. When inflation reaches a certain point, prices are too expensive, purchasing power will decrease, and finally cause deflation. Japan's negative interest rate growth is to end this deflation and enter inflation, which is beneficial to the economy.

This is exactly what I told you about interest rate cuts and interest rate hikes last night. We must maintain that degree. Exceeding that degree is a bad thing. We need to talk about the impact of Japan's interest rate hike on the world. First of all, let's talk about a concept and a set of data.

Japan is a small country economy with limited domestic space and development opportunities, which makes most of the funds flow overseas. Softbank and Sony have poured funds into overseas markets. According to a set of data in 2023, Japan's overseas investment funds are 3.5 trillion US dollars, while Japan's annual GDP is 4.2 trillion US dollars. This amount of funds accounts for 83% of Japan's GDP, which also makes Japan the largest overseas asset country in Asia.

The principles of economy and stocks are the same. Wherever these hot money flows to, the economy will rise, and wherever they flow out, the economy will decline. Japan is the largest bond country of the United States, and most of its funds are in the United States. When we see how the hot money flows back, we will know what impact it will have on the US economy.

Back to the concept of negative interest rates, this has led domestic institutions to borrow a lot of money for arbitrage transactions. The funds borrowed from China are invested in the European and American markets, and then transferred to their own country, making Japan the largest arbitrage trading body. Now it has become positive. Although the amplitude is not large, only one thousandth, and the volume has little impact, this slight increase will naturally attract foreign investment. The funds that have flowed out of the country in the past have returned to make up for the profits, which is also called capital repatriation.

This kind of capital repatriation has increased Japanese funds and economic growth, while the United States has seen a significant withdrawal of funds, which is a shock to the US stock market. The US dollar is tied to the world, and this is also a disguised impact on the global economic ship, so we have to consider the impact of Japan's interest rate hike, but because the rate hike is too small, the yen has not risen but fallen, which has also become a joke in the capital market.

It is still the most important sentence I said to everyone last night. Interest rate hikes and interest rate cuts are not the fundamental factor affecting the overall market of the currency circle. It is the economic instability that provides an arbitrage space for the currency circle.

As for the trend of BTC, it will not go down at this level. It does not even want to give up 54,000. From the whole picture, even if there is a third bottom, it will be limited to around 58,000 at most.

BTC rebounded at the bottom of the baffle, is this the story of the coming wolf?

BTC is at such a high level of shock, and still has no intention to go down. It does not want to go up in the short term, nor does it want to go down. It will form a shock range in this large range. Once the shock is formed, it will take at least 3 months and at most half a year to complete the exchange of chips in the market and find other minimum resistance points, and move forward in the direction of minimum resistance.

As for the current altcoins, they should make more noise and shout the wolf a few more times to scare people. Some of the vanguard troops in the past should return to the origin, otherwise they will not scare people and will not be able to achieve the means of harvesting. If the existing troops cannot go back in three days, they will at least need a few weeks of shock washing.

The Eastern market in this market is too powerful. They are all masters who do not admit defeat. They also know that the washing cannot occur in the daytime in the East Eighth District. They can only move at night, otherwise the game players can consume the dealer. This is the potential from the big A, otherwise there will really be an old lady from 60 to 90 years old.

This is the most leisurely time. Pay more attention to whether the price can go up in the short term. If it cannot go up quickly, then it will fluctuate slowly. The dealer will not give people the opportunity to quickly buy the bottom and make a profit. If there are currencies that have not been paid attention to in the market in the short term, look for unfamiliar currencies at this time. There will be fewer opportunities for familiar currencies.

Is the appreciation of the US dollar a suppression of gold and Bitcoin?

BTC is still fluctuating in the range. The correction from the high this time is close to 12%. For a sub-level correction of 33%, it is normal. Now the main consideration is the oversold situation of the altcoin. As for the Fed's rate cut from three times to one, it is only a major macro-control. The final result is the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, which is a suppression of gold (I said yesterday that the most effective way for the United States to depreciate the dollar is to let gold appreciate. On the contrary, the appreciation of the dollar is a suppression of gold). It has little impact on the entire BTC market.

If there is an impact, it is also an impact on time-sensitive funds. Many altcoins are not free funds. The source of funds is loan sharks. There is a time limit. The operation must be completed at the corresponding time, and then the gap is filled. This will cause some altcoins to have some irrational market conditions, skyrocketing and plummeting. The past EOS is a good example. It is not operated by its own funds. After a wave of market conditions, shareholders are paid dividends, and there is no follow-up.

In general, the currencies that led the decline of the entire market are ETH and the currencies of its corresponding sectors. The subsequent market trend will stop or fall depending on its pace. If it stops, the altcoins will stop as well. For altcoins, it has reached an oversold state at this moment. Oversold is an irrational state. This is not the time to look at key points, but to see is to believe.

The longer you are in this market, the deeper you will find the water here. I don’t know if it is because my thoughts have become rigid, or I have become conservative, or I have begun to respect the market. All operations are based on the first profit, and there will be subsequent 2/3/4/5. There are fewer and fewer things to do about bottom-fishing and picking up bargains. Only things within the system are done. Whether the waterfall is hyped or not depends on luck. The current market does not favor the Eastern market. Every wash occurs between 1-5 am, so don’t expect to pick it up.

When it comes to trading, do your own part and don't worry about a market shakeout. For example, your maximum investment in a currency should not exceed 20%, and you should also choose strong currencies. Then, you can just ignore the ups and downs and watch the market go up and down.To do this, first of all, don't put your emotions into it. When you see such a big rebound, you regret not speculating to the bottom; when you see such a big drop, you regret not stopping loss and leaving the market earlier. This is digging a hole for yourself. Imagine the Luna incident that year. How many greedy people were buried?

Think about the current BTC and Sol that have been breaking highs. In the past, how many people stopped loss and left the market because they felt that it was falling. Many people stopped loss and left the market and never got on this high-speed train again. Everything is within the system, so don't waver. People should not be too greedy, nor too short-sighted. After all, you still have to have character. After all, there is no coin in the market that is too high to buy; there is also no coin that is too low to sell. What you deal with is character, and what the market ultimately competes on is character.

Finally: No matter what the market is, if you sell your chips in a big wash, you must sell them at the cheapest price. Waiting for it will never be this price. It may be more expensive in the future. This is just a short process.

The altcoins are diving, and there will be heavy rain after the lightning?

BTC has fallen to 66,000. Generally speaking, the exchange of chips in the market and the time period are not enough. It was washed down by the altcoins, and the impact is still not large enough. The altcoins are obviously not enough to force the palace. The arm cannot twist the thigh. The market trend still depends on the big cake.

Although we have always been pessimistic about ETH, it does not hinder our view on its subsequent trend; if it cannot hold at this position, it means that there will be heavy rain after the lightning; if it starts to rise again at this position, there will be another wave of decline, and when it rises up again, it will be the confirmation button of the bottom. This still needs to be determined based on the performance of the subsequent trend. For the altcoins, it is more of an aerial refueling.

How big the subsequent impact of the market is still depends on the mainstream currencies in front. Although there is a divergence from BTC in the short term, their range is only the maximum limit of the altcoins. The bottom line of the altcoins must be the bottom line of currencies such as SOL.

Finally: When the market is at the positive pole, the negative pole will give birth to the negative pole, and when the market is at the negative pole, the positive pole will give birth to the positive pole. The positive pole is the starting point of the four poles, and the four poles are the starting point of the birth (now the inspection is strict, and you are not allowed to say the four poles). This is just a process. Are you afraid? Investing is like jumping into the sea or putting out a fire. It is particularly important to face it calmly.

BTC70000 mark fluctuates, the story of Zhuge Liang and Sima Yi tells us that sometimes the market is not a battle of strategy, but a battle of time

Different visions determine different achievements. If you can see the vision of the next 30 years, you have the potential of a leader; if you see the vision of 3 years, you are a figure; if you only see the current 3 weeks of market conditions, you are just a talent; if you only see the market conditions of the day, you are purely a gambler.

Different visions determine that people naturally have different views on things. If you look at investment with a lifetime vision, you see the changes of the times and the hopes and fears of human nature; if you look at investment with a decade, you see the common sense and changes in rules of trading; if you look at investment with three years, you see vision and courage; when you look at investment with a year, what determines success is ability; if you narrow it down to one day, what determines success or failure is probability and luck.

Although BTC is hovering around the 70000 mark in the current market, it is obviously looking for the direction of the least resistance point, that is, to find a direction that is favorable to itself, and to sell high and buy low in the box. Don't be impatient, time determines everything. The story of Zhuge Liang and Sima Yi tells us that market transactions are not just a battle of strategy, but more of a battle of life and time. Whoever can wait will win in the end.

Let's throw out a question. If Sima Yi and Zhuge Liang trade stocks together, who will win?

Funds are soldiers. If the general is overwhelmed with anger and ants follow him, and if one-third of the soldiers are killed but the city is not taken, this is a disaster of siege. Therefore, "How should we live? We should subdue our hearts like this, so that all living beings have no more self-image, human image, sentient beings image, life image, no law image, and no illegal image." Make them not impatient, if the enemy does not move, I will not move, what can the enemy do to me!

Trading is a hunting, which requires not only patience, but also an assessment of the strength of oneself and the opponent, rather than jumping on a prey when seeing it. If the opponent is a lion that has been hungry for three days, then who is the prey is another matter. Always doing things beyond your own strength. Sometimes you may be lucky enough to defeat the lion, but if it is not good, the ending will be different. It is a moment of light and heat.

Luck only favors the strong, not the weak. The probability theory of lottery tells us that the probability of winning is often the fundamental reason why we lose our principal. We lose 99 times, but there must be one success that can make you win 99 times. It is much better to win back 99 losses than to win 99 times. One failure ruins 99 successes. However, in reality, the maximum number of failures a person can handle is also limited, which requires more certainty. If you are unsure about the market situation, don’t do anything you’re not sure about.

at last:

There are two emotions in speculation. Hope is a prominent feature of everyone, and fear is another prominent feature. If these two emotions are confused in the entire speculation career, an extremely terrible situation will arise, because Reversing their positions, they are full of hope when they should be afraid, and they are fearful and uneasy when they should be full of hope.

BTC is hovering around the 70,000 mark, and the altcoins are refueling in the middle. Is there another wave?

BTC continues to hover around 70,000. It is not time for its real breakthrough yet. At least it has to wait until the 22nd. This time factor has nothing to do with halving or any good news. It is just a simple cyclical factor. The breakthrough at that time may be a bull trap. First, the price will be raised by 10% to approach the 80,000 mark, and then it will drop back to form a kind of oscillation potential energy, thus completing a wave of washing, thereby reducing the pressure of washing in May. The altcoins have also successfully completed the middle refueling. This is just one of the short-term patterns.

I have observed ORDI for more than 10 days. This time it is expected to be a real breakthrough after returning to 81. At that time, when it breaks through 100, it will be a real gift. At least it can slide up more than 10 points. The plate should be almost washed. If it doesn’t run again, there will be no chance. It’s rare that other currencies in the market are sluggish now.

meme This wave of trend did not show much increase, but it was a downward trend all the way. Recently, it has formed a small oscillation range. The trend is a bit ready to move, and it is expected to complete a wave of raids.

There are two kinds of people in the world, one is a wolf and the other is a sheep. In essence, it is the relationship between hunters and prey, but the strange thing is that wolves always pretend to be sheep, and sheep always pretend to be wolves; wolves pretend to be sheep just to get close to prey; and sheep pretend to be wolves just to show off to their companions.

This market can really transform people. Some sheep pretend to be wolves because they want to eat sheep. A person who quit the circle in 2021 because of fil losses found me to help her operate at that time, "I posted a gloomy certificate again, and occasionally wanted to jump off the building, I suffered from insomnia, and I was in a bad mood." I decisively refused at the time, and now I have started to dress myself up as a wolf.

From a biological point of view, both wolves and sheep are part of the species. In the long run, it is not impossible to achieve the transformation of species genes, just like sex reassignment surgery, which involves a process of cognition and psychological acceptance. However, it is unrealistic to complete the genetic transformation in just one year, because the sheep is still a sheep, but it just pretends to be a wolf. We will not go into details.

Add some knowledge about life. For people who come to this world, whether they are businessmen, travelers, guests, Confucianists, Taoists or monks, they are all passing by in a hurry. Only when the heart is at peace is it the hometown. Don't be obsessed with where you come from or where you go. What is important is the process rather than the result.

The same is true for doing things. Only by enjoying the process and doing your best in the process, no matter what the final result is, there is nothing to regret. Joy is on the way to the result rather than the moment of achieving the result.

People's unhappiness comes from desires, and there are too many false needs in desires. If you just realize that dream and pursue new ideals, wouldn't it be tiring?