USUAL现货开盘预测

December 17 Daily Hotspot Selection

1. Elected President Trump of the Beautiful Country stated that he plans to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, a move considered a significant support for Bitcoin.

2. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December has risen to 97.1%, and the market is eagerly anticipating the upcoming FOMC meeting.

3. MicroStrategy increased its holdings by 15,350 Bitcoins through the sale of stocks and will be included in the Nasdaq 100 index on December 23.

4. SoftBank Group announced plans to invest $100 billion in the Beautiful Country to support the development of AI and infrastructure.

5. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission issued a Wells notice to the NFT project CyberKongz, indicating an increase in regulatory scrutiny.

6. The UK plans to ban public offerings of cryptocurrencies, allowing only registered crypto asset trading platforms to operate.

7. U.S. stocks closed mixed, with the Nasdaq index rising 1.24%.

8. JPMorgan reported that the Bitcoin mining economy continued to improve this month, with a 6% increase in hash rate.

9. Solana attracted over $300 million in cross-chain asset inflows in the past week, indicating rapid development of its ecosystem.

10. Former Coinbase CTO stated that the reputation gap between AI and the crypto space may gradually narrow.

11. Michael Saylor expressed that he believes Trump is serious about the plan to establish a national Bitcoin reserve.

12. Security companies reported a significant increase in password theft attacks targeting crypto wallets, particularly against macOS users.

13. FTX claims information shows that BitGo and Kraken will serve as compensation distribution partners, with payments made in stablecoins and fiat currency.

14. Crypto wallet provider Exodus announced it will be listed on the New York Stock Exchange, marking an acceleration of its entry into the traditional financial market.

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In the complex cryptocurrency market environment, the current fear index remains at a low of 87, marking a trend toward stabilization in overall market sentiment.

Bitcoin is undergoing a technical adjustment after hitting record highs, while Ethereum has firmly rebounded above 4000 points.

The Federal Reserve's stance of maintaining interest rates, coupled with Bitcoin's new milestone in its ratio to gold, has added positive momentum to the cryptocurrency market.

For investors seeking short-selling opportunities, it is crucial to remain highly alert, as Bitcoin has firmly held the 100,000 mark, demonstrating strong upward potential. Meanwhile, Ethereum is also expected to gradually initiate a new wave of upward movement based on its stability above 4000 points.

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（12.17 Tuesday midday trend analysis）He Yang clearly indicated the strategy for the morning, which was once again perfectly validated. We have a long position around 105,000 for Bitcoin, gaining over 900 points!

Yesterday, Bitcoin's daily chart displayed a small bullish candle, once again refreshing its high point, steadily relying on the MA5/10 day moving averages to climb, with the bullish pattern clearly evident.

On the four-hour chart, the price trajectory closely follows the MA5 day moving average, continuously rising and breaking new highs. In the short term, the MA5/10 day moving averages are not only solid support but also represent good opportunities for long positions. Additionally, the MA30 day moving average on the one-hour chart is also worth paying close attention to, as a timely pullback will signal another wave of long positions.

He Yang's suggestion:
Bitcoin: Long positions around 106,000-105,500 with a target near 108,000.

#LifeNotes# Gratitude is a kind act. We should be grateful to everyone who treats us well, be grateful for all things in the world, and we should also be mindful of our gratitude and repay it. Gratitude is an attitude towards life, a virtue, and a great wisdom. Only with a grateful heart can one truly cherish, respect, and give, and only then can one feel the beauty of life.
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Evening Market Analysis on December 17:

Bitcoin rose from around 106300 to around 107500 during the afternoon, currently at around 107300.

Ethereum fell back to around 3980 after reaching around 4030 in the afternoon, then rebounded to around 4023, currently at around 4010.

In the afternoon trading, Bitcoin perfectly achieved a stop profit, while Ethereum gained in sync, earning over 1000 points from Bitcoin and nearly 20 points from Ethereum.

From the current four-hour structure, Bitcoin's bullish sentiment is shrinking, with the upper limit touching the upper band; attention is on around 108100 above and around 105400 below, with a secondary focus on around 104000. From the one-hour structure, Bitcoin's bullish sentiment is increasing, touching the upper band under pressure; attention is on 107500 above and 106500 below, with a secondary focus on around 105700.

Evening Trading Suggestions:
For Bitcoin, look for a pullback to around 105500-106000, aiming for around 107800-108100.

For Ethereum, look for a pullback to around 3965-3940, aiming for around 4080-4110.

The evening strategy can first focus on short positions and then on long positions. Short positions within the range can yield profits.

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Filecoin (FIL): Hope or Bubble in Distributed Storage?

Filecoin (FIL), as a star project in the cryptocurrency field, has been highly anticipated since its inception. It aims to reshape the traditional cloud storage market through distributed storage technology while providing infrastructure for Web 3.0. However, in the past few years, Filecoin's performance has been mixed, with highlights in technology and ecosystem development, as well as controversies in the market and growth. Is it truly the future star of distributed storage or an overhyped bubble project? Let's conduct an in-depth analysis from multiple perspectives.

1. The Technical Foundation of Filecoin: The Value of Decentralized Storage

Filecoin is an incentive layer based on IPFS (InterPlanetary File System), aiming to solve the cost, security, and censorship resistance issues of data storage through distributed technology:

Distributed Storage Technology: By decentralizing data storage, Filecoin can avoid the single point of failure risks associated with traditional cloud storage, enhancing data security.

Proof of Storage and Retrieval: Utilizing Proof of Spacetime and Proof of Replication technologies ensures the authenticity and reliability of stored data.

Data Privacy and Ownership: Compared to traditional cloud storage, Filecoin returns data ownership to users, which is significant in the decentralized philosophy of the Web 3.0 era.

Although Filecoin has achieved the core functions of distributed storage on a technical level, challenges such as high hardware requirements and complex node operations still pose certain challenges to network scalability during its practical application.

2. Economic Model: A Double-Edged Sword of Incentives

Filecoin encourages miners to provide storage and retrieval services for users through its token economic system. However, this economic model, while bringing advantages, also exposes some issues:

Miner Incentives: Miners earn FIL rewards by providing storage space, which attracts a large number of hardware devices to join the network, allowing Filecoin's storage capacity to grow rapidly.

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Breaking News! 76722750358CTO has spoken, XRP is going to make waves this week!

XRP friends, pay attention! The CTO of Ripple has dropped a bombshell, saying that XRP's price may have big movements this week.

The key point is this:
The market is about to get wild: The CTO said there might be some news or changes this week that could make XRP's price fluctuate like a roller coaster, so everyone should be careful. Regulation is also a headache: Now global regulatory policies are changing, and even a slight movement within Ripple could lead investors and institutions to do a complete 180 on their attitude towards XRP. Don't act impulsively! Don't buy or sell XRP out of a moment of excitement; stay calm.

Why is this week so important?
Ripple has been making a lot of moves lately, partnering with several companies, and these new actions could either make XRP an overnight sensation or lead to a big setback. Additionally, the legal disputes between Ripple and XRP are like a ticking time bomb that could explode at any moment, with significant implications.
So what should XRP friends do?

Don't panic! Don't let rumors throw you into chaos. Do your own research! Pay attention to official news and don’t be fooled by fake information. Before buying or selling, think critically! Consider your goals and risk tolerance, and don’t follow the crowd blindly.

The CTO of Ripple is genuinely anxious this time, and everyone needs to keep a close eye on XRP this week. Is this going to be a turning point for XRP, or just a minor setback? Let's wait and see!

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There are rules in a bull market. Bitcoin consolidates at a high position, and funds subsequently overflow, leading to a surge in altcoins. So how can we accurately capture the timing of fund overflow?

There is a way! Just pay attention to the ETH/BTC exchange rate. Once it returns to around 0.04, it will break through the lower boundary of the dense trading area for the entire year of 2024, opening the door to the range of 0.04 to 0.06, and the next leg of the bull market will come roaring in!

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#USUAL现货开盘预测 points ❤️

XRP current price around 2.5u to buy long, small stop loss at 2.3u, target new high

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Analysis of the Bitcoin Market on Tuesday Afternoon, December 17!

Currently, the overall Bitcoin market is in a strong oscillation phase, with neither bulls nor bears achieving a powerful breakthrough or continuation. Therefore, it is advisable to focus on short-term strategies, adopting a high short and low long approach. The short positions established this morning were perfectly timed, with Bitcoin achieving over 600 points, while the altcoin also gained over 70 points of movement.

Bitcoin has once again been consolidating at a high level, showing no signs of falling. It has already broken through the first resistance level, and at 106,335, it has once again established a bullish stance on the hourly chart. If this position holds, the next resistance level to watch is 107,783. Observe the situation of a second peak test; if it breaks through the next resistance, we can look towards around 108,500. However, if 106,335 does not hold effectively, the hourly chart will enter a pullback again, with support levels at 105,354 - 104,720 - 103,300! This morning, the altcoin tested the four-hour support at 3,945 and then surged up again. However, overall, the retreat still appears relatively weak, so pay attention to the upper resistance at 4,022. If this level is broken, we can look towards the next resistance levels of 4,074 - 4,109. If 4,022 does not break and hold effectively, smaller time frames will still be in a pullback, with support levels at 3,955 - 3,890 - 3,822.

What is VC Coin and why should it be avoided?
In recent years, many people have grown to dislike VC Coin, but many are unaware of what VC Coin actually is and why it is disliked. $VANA is a typical example of VC Coin, characterized by the following:
1. It has seemingly advanced real projects, unlike meme coins which are worthless aside from speculation.
2. It has numerous large institutional investments, with a very impressive background.
3. The circulation volume is extremely low, while the market value is very high.

Due to these characteristics, many new investors see such impressive descriptions and visible real projects, leading them to believe the token has significant value and will rise in the future. However, after purchasing, they find that these coins make a lot of noise but have little substance; although the promotion is strong, the performance upon launch is extremely disappointing, as it tends to continuously decline after launch. This is primarily due to the low circulation rate and the large amount of tokens that are yet to be unlocked. Additionally, many large institutions participated in the financing at extremely low prices, so they typically choose to sell immediately upon each unlocking, resulting in a significant drop in the token's price every time it is unlocked. The decline continues until 80% of the tokens are unlocked, and during this time, these poor-quality coins also absorb a large amount of liquidity from the market, causing other tokens to rise slowly and fall rapidly. Therefore, VC Coins are harmful to investors and also detrimental to other tokens. However, due to the greed of exchanges, they continue to list VC Coins for listing fees and cashing out private placements, continuously harvesting new investors.
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Why do many people still not accept virtual currencies?

Whether it's Bitcoin, Tesla, Maotai, Tencent stocks, or real estate. Any opportunity that could lead ordinary people to financial freedom will attract more negative voices.

The reason is simple. Any opportunity that can make money is bound to be seized by a minority. Those who miss the opportunity would rather accept the comforting notion that "this was never an opportunity but a trap" than acknowledge their incompetence for missing it. Most people prefer a mindset of: "This thing is inherently immoral, and I am not participating because I have high moral standards." Or, "Those who participate are fools; these are all scammers that will collapse sooner or later. I am smarter by doing nothing than by being busy and running around like others."

Moreover, there is a characteristic in people called self-perception reinforcement. That is, my thoughts influence my actions, and my actions further reinforce my thoughts. This characteristic is also known by a more widely recognized name: "reverse rationalization."

People's comforting thoughts will influence their actions, keeping them further away from industries where they previously missed opportunities. And behaviors that distance themselves from these will further reinforce their negative thoughts about these opportunities.

Whether it’s "Musk is a scammer, real estate is all a bubble, or Bitcoin is tulip mania, Tencent is just a company that can only copy and has no value, and rich people started out through unsavory means," such repetitive statements are invariably meant to comfort their own feelings of missing out, which are then further rationalized in reverse.
People are stubborn, and to solidify their own views, they refuse to accept any information that contradicts their beliefs and reject learning anything new. Many middle-aged people often say, "I am past the age to learn anything new," but the next line is, "But my experience tells me that you are wrong."
People are also fragile. They cannot accept that they might make mistakes.

Hongjie will not bring fans to a breaking point, nor will she blindly open the Dan (a reference to a type of trading strategy).
It’s all about seeking victory steadily, so hurry up and keep up!
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$WIF Spot Layout

Current Price 2.8 At this stage, consider building a light position. Additional buy level 2.5 If the market further retraces, buy in batches to lower overall cost. Target position: Short-term look towards 4, and after breaking through, further acceleration in price is expected.

Market Sentiment: Recently, market enthusiasm has gradually warmed up, especially the Meme sector has started to become active again. WIF, as a popular SOL ecosystem Meme coin, is significantly influenced by market sentiment. Once funds flow back, a rebound is expected.
2.5 is a strong support level recently; if it does not break on a pullback, there is strong rebound momentum.
Currently, WIF has shown signs of stopping the decline, and there is a demand for a rebound in the short term within a small cycle.
After breaking through key resistance levels, the target is directly aimed at 4.
SOL ecosystem projects continue to attract capital attention, and WIF, as an iconic Meme coin within the ecosystem, is expected to follow the upward rhythm of SOL and welcome capital inflow.

Strictly build positions in batches and maintain flexibility in response to market fluctuations. If it breaks the key support level of 2.5, re-evaluate the market structure to avoid deep losses.

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#USUAL现货开盘预测
Can Dogecoin closely follow Bitcoin and hit a new high of $0.9?

Bitcoin's recent rebound has been incredible, soaring to a new high of $106,620. Dogecoin whales have also been following the trend, buying in large quantities. Everyone is hoping that Dogecoin can break through the $3 barrier.

As Bitcoin rises, other assets are also benefiting. Following this trend, Dogecoin, the leader among meme coins, might also create new price peaks alongside Bitcoin.

Currently, Dogecoin's price is $0.3993, having risen 2.19% in the last 24 hours and 5.5% over the past month. However, it has dropped by 8.16% in the last seven days.

Speaking of which, after Trump's election victory in November, the cryptocurrency market also experienced a surge. But now everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve's meeting, and the market has stagnated a bit. If the Federal Reserve can ease up a bit, Dogecoin and other assets might see a resurgence.

In the coming months, Dogecoin's price might fluctuate back and forth. But I think, at least by February 20, 2025, Dogecoin should be able to maintain its current level. Then by the end of February, it might start to rise, and by March 15, it could possibly reach $0.9. From the current price, that would be a 125% increase!

However, the Changelly platform is not optimistic about Dogecoin; they predict that by March 2025, Dogecoin will drop to $0.351. That would be a 13.33% decrease from the current price.

However, some technical patterns suggest that Dogecoin may be entering another bull market. The Tardigrade platform predicts that Dogecoin could rise to $8 to $10, which is great news for loyal holders!

#加密用户突破1800万
As for the upcoming strategy, I will guide everyone to aim for lucrative opportunities in altcoins, especially those with high potential projects, expecting a tenfold growth is not an issue. If you want to make big money in the bull market, like and comment, and I'll take you through the entire bull market!

#USUAL现货开盘预测
Opening Forecast
$1-2 (1-30 minutes)

After 3 hours, it will pull back to around $1 for fluctuation

Long-term view of $3.5-6 in over 3 months
Personal judgment, for reference only

Some minor pessimism about BN Alpha.

I just saw that Binance Wallet has launched the Alpha market to address the recent doubts about new listings.

Based on the recent period, it seems that the BN listing team now has two lines of action. The first line is to list VC coins, but currently, all of them are experiencing high openings followed by declines. There hasn't been any transformation in this regard, and the only happy ones are the BNB holders, who can continuously earn through mining, but it seems that the difficulty is also increasing, and future tasks need to be completed.

The second line is to list low market cap tokens that are already circulating in the market, such as the MEME on Solana not long ago, and the leading DEXs on various chains, followed by the CAT on the BNB chain. People will mostly just complain about the insider trading or not being on the vehicle.

But looking at the entire market, everyone is suffering from VC coins, which is the first route, high market cap coins that continue to decline. Because this market has not yet returned to the massive liquidity levels seen during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021, it cannot accommodate new listings with a market cap of over 2 billion.

This reform still follows the logic of a casino, primarily hoping that gamblers will not sift through other DEXs or competitive products like Bybit BG to find coins that may be listed on Binance in the future, but rather hope that everyone will come directly to my platform to gamble, which means trading on the Binance Wallet.

If from the 18th to the 20th, five projects are chosen each day for everyone to trade and guess, then it’s actually like picking 1 out of 15 or 2 out of 15, very similar to lottery at a racetrack.

In the short term, it can indeed bring a large number of users and trading volume to the Binance Wallet, but in the medium term, it will lead to market fatigue regarding this and further intensify competition among other DEXs, CEXs, and Binance.

For project parties, it will also push them to generate more trading volume or community calls to strive for the leaderboard.

Yes, the intensity of PVP competition has become higher.
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