Why does the market always seem to be against you?

Have you ever felt that prices drop when you buy, and suddenly rise when you sell? Is it just bad luck, or is there a deeper reason? Let's uncover the truth.

Why does this happen?
It's not magic, and the market isn't "out to get you." Instead, it's a combination of psychology and how the market actually operates:
1️. Herd mentality
Most people buy when they see hype and sell when panic sets in. This predictable behavior often triggers market adjustments, as prices adjust based on a large number of decisions.
2️. Volatility rules
The crypto market is highly unpredictable. Even experienced traders can't consistently predict every fluctuation—so if you're caught off guard, don't worry too much.

What’s happening behind the scenes?
Big players are heavily investing to predict and influence market trends:
Data modeling: Mathematical models predict the behavior of the majority.
Investor psychology: Research reveals how emotions like fear and greed affect decision-making.
AI algorithms: Robots process real-time data to identify trends and act faster than human traders.
These tools give institutional investors an edge, allowing them to profit from the predictable behavior of retail traders.
How to outsmart the market
What's the key to success? Break the cycle of the crowd and focus on your goals.
1️. Control your emotions
Getting too caught up in charts can lead to panic and following the crowd. Step back and keep a clear head.
2️. Stick to your plan
Define your buy/sell targets in advance to avoid chasing the market.

Different thinking, different victories
The market relies on predictability—most people react emotionally. To stay ahead:
Critical thinking.
Stay patient.
Stick to your strategy.
Knowledge and discipline are your greatest assets. Stay sharp, act wisely, and remember: the game favors those who keep their cool.

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Yesterday I said that if Bitcoin does not reach a new high on Monday, then it will be very difficult to have a breakthrough in the short term, especially as it may bring altcoins down with it. The good news is that Bitcoin has broken through and pulled back, while altcoins have not followed closely. Some people keep talking about the end of the bull market. Those who have held on since 2022 should be making money, and those who got in midway should also be making small profits. We have not yet reached the kind of excitement seen in the last bull market, so there is no need to worry. There may be fluctuations and pullbacks ahead, but the bull market is definitely still on. The continuous buying by the Trump family will be a positive thing for crypto, so do not be easily persuaded to get off the train, or you may miss out on cheap chips later, which would be a loss! As a seasoned investor in the crypto world, I, Tu Fei, share my experiences and insights. Interested in crypto but don’t know where to start? Follow me, check my homepage, and join the public account group, and I will guide you to achieve freedom in this bull market.
#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 $BTC $ETH $XRP

I noticed that some people are showing impatience towards Thena, and even expressing fear and criticism because its price hasn't increased by $10 in a month. It's time to objectively analyze Thena's potential and predict the price it might reach in the future, while considering key factors such as circulating supply, weekly issuance, and possible market capitalization during alternative coin seasons.

Currently, Thena's circulating supply is 82,586,791.41 $THE. If we take into account the projected weekly issuance until the last week of April 2025, the total circulating supply will reach approximately 101.59 million $THE. However, this number is overestimated for two main reasons:

1) Decrease in weekly issuance: The weekly issuance continues to decline by 1%.
2) Locked tokens: 30% of the issued tokens are locked as they are allocated to veTHE holders (users who lock their $THE for a determined period).
For simplicity, this overestimated number will be used to calculate Thena's potential future price.

It is also worth noting that 63% of the total $THE supply is locked for 1.75 years, which means these tokens will be released around the third quarter of 2026.

Based on this data and on-chain analysis, future circulating supply and expected weekly issuance can be calculated to estimate Thena's potential price. This price will largely depend on the market capitalization Thena can achieve under favorable market conditions, especially during alternative coin seasons.

Even without planned issuance, the time to reach the target price may be sooner than expected, until 30/04/2025.

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#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Dogecoin (DOGE): Is it about to achieve a 30,000% increase again?
Do you remember 2021? Dogecoin ($DOGE) skyrocketed by 30,000%, turning pocket money into huge gains. Now, many are wondering if the dog-themed cryptocurrency is gearing up for another wild run. Let’s dive into the details and see if $DOGE is ready to make history again!

Current Price Trends
Dogecoin is trading at $0.4075, up 1% in the past 24 hours—though not exactly Lamborghini levels, steady rises often lay the groundwork for larger volatility. In the past year, $DOGE has risen an astonishing 320%, indicating it is still vibrant.

Who is Buying?
Retail investors have quietly increased their positions, accumulating 40 million DOGE since November, despite whales having sold an astonishing 290 million DOGE. Who is playing the smarter game—whales or small-scale buyers? Only time will tell, but historically, the underdogs often make a comeback in cryptocurrency.

Price Targets: Where might DOGE go next?
- $0.50: The first major resistance level of the bull market.
- $0.60: An important milestone if momentum strengthens.
- $0.73 (All-time high): Dogecoin's all-time high comes back into view.
- $1: The ultimate dream—reaching the legendary $1 mark.
But it's not all sunshine and rainbows. If a bear market takes over, $DOGE could slide down to $0.40 or lower. However, Dogecoin thrives in rebounds, so don’t underestimate it.

Will history repeat itself?
No one can predict the next 30,000% increase, but one thing is certain—Dogecoin continues to spark curiosity and FOMO. Whether you are a long-term holder or a curious newcomer, missing out could leave you wondering, ‘What if?’
What do you think?

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What is VC Coin and why should it be avoided?
In recent years, many people have grown to dislike VC Coin, but many are unaware of what VC Coin actually is and why it is disliked. $VANA is a typical example of VC Coin, characterized by the following:
1. It has seemingly advanced real projects, unlike meme coins which are worthless aside from speculation.
2. It has numerous large institutional investments, with a very impressive background.
3. The circulation volume is extremely low, while the market value is very high.

Due to these characteristics, many new investors see such impressive descriptions and visible real projects, leading them to believe the token has significant value and will rise in the future. However, after purchasing, they find that these coins make a lot of noise but have little substance; although the promotion is strong, the performance upon launch is extremely disappointing, as it tends to continuously decline after launch. This is primarily due to the low circulation rate and the large amount of tokens that are yet to be unlocked. Additionally, many large institutions participated in the financing at extremely low prices, so they typically choose to sell immediately upon each unlocking, resulting in a significant drop in the token's price every time it is unlocked. The decline continues until 80% of the tokens are unlocked, and during this time, these poor-quality coins also absorb a large amount of liquidity from the market, causing other tokens to rise slowly and fall rapidly. Therefore, VC Coins are harmful to investors and also detrimental to other tokens. However, due to the greed of exchanges, they continue to list VC Coins for listing fees and cashing out private placements, continuously harvesting new investors.
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#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 $BTC $ETH $XRP

A few hundred U were gradually added later, always thinking about relying on about 100 U to break even and make a profit. For some seasoned players in the cryptocurrency market, this shouldn't be a difficult task, but I was overthinking it. After playing for a few months, with ups and downs, small position test orders, I've almost forgotten the process. In short, it was another high followed by some incomprehensible spikes that blew up my positions.
But every time I get liquidated, I don't get high again; instead, I reflect and review the mistakes I made in my trading.
Currently, I'm still down by about seven to eight hundred U, but things have improved over the past few months because I've gradually learned various fundamental theories, candlestick patterns, technical indicators during my spare time, and then I try small positions for testing and validation without feeling bad about the losses. I really think Ethereum is great; you can trade with just about 24 U, and you can enter with a very, very small position.
Gradually, I’ve started to make a little profit, tens of U, but I’m still some distance from breaking even.
Now I feel like there’s so much to learn; in the market, there really is no end to learning. My current thought is not to keep thinking about breaking even and getting rich but to treat a very small position as a simulation account. Let’s assume the hundred U I have is like one million U. Gradually, after stabilizing and consistently making profits based on what I’ve learned, I’ll increase my capital.
I feel like I’m going to be laughed at by the big shots and brothers, saying all this as if I’ve lost millions, but since I’ve posted it, let’s give everyone a laugh. I think of myself as a financial enthusiast, but because my family has had experiences with gambling and repaying debts for a long time, I’m very cautious about investments and trading. The losses earlier are just losses, but they don’t affect my life at all.
I still want to recommend a KOL - Fat Cat, who has released a lot of free indicators and learning materials. There are also many KOLs doing similar things, and the quality of the content they release is excellent and very worth learning from. In short, I hope to continue learning with my brothers. If anyone has good techniques or methods for mindset management, etc., feel free to share.

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#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Cautious development to become stronger and make money

After entering the cryptocurrency world for a few months, to be honest, I have already forgotten how I got to know and download Binance. Like most retail investors, I came with the mindset of improving my life or getting rich quickly. Initially, I only deposited 50 USDT, and I still had a certain sense of vigilance towards a completely unfamiliar platform. Then I casually played with spot trading, but I had no clue and didn't filter through some 'teachers' in the forum, which led to blindly charging my confidence and joining some free groups. Then, some groups required that your account balance must have at least 500 USDT as capital, if I remember correctly, and you had to verify before they would let you in. I also deposited there since it was my own account. After entering, the so-called 'teachers' would share some entry strategies. The 'teachers', besides announcing messages in the free group, would also claim to have their VIP group, and the membership fee just happened to be 500 USDT, haha, the correlation is very strong, I can only say haha.
Of course, I did not join the membership fee group. I have to say that some of the trades shared at the time did have a decent win rate, but I noticed that the 'teachers' themselves seemed not to trade. After sharing the trades, those who made money were asked to screenshot and send it back to the group, and then they would repost it in the forum to continue promoting. Anyway, everyone should keep an eye on the 'teachers' in the forum; the money they earn is from your pocket.
Of course, there are all kinds of people in the forum—there are quacks, there are jokers, there are scammers, but there are also those who selflessly share their skills or ideas for this environment, from whom you can learn something. I will talk more about this later; there are indeed some KOLs that I really like, haha.
Then trading began, and I really jumped in headfirst. To be honest, if there are new retail investors coming in, it’s better to first settle down and learn for a few days before entering the market. There’s nothing wrong with playing contracts; high leverage and large positions die quickly, as everyone knows. Buying low and selling high is something everyone can do. Once you come in and see such a low price, the 'teachers' recommended this coin, so buy, buy, buy!

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Let me show everyone how big the Federal Reserve's cards really are. Let's look at a few numbers to get a sense of the magnitude:
​U.S. debt, 36 trillion, make sure you understand, that's trillion, 10,000 billion, the unit is dollars;
​U.S. stock market, over 60 trillion;
​U.S. real estate, over 40 trillion;
​Adding in other U.S. corporate bonds and various financial assets, it is heading towards 150-200 trillion dollars. So, the Federal Reserve, with a slight adjustment in interest rates, can affect the valuation of these hundreds of trillions of dollars in assets. The so-called dollar tides have the most direct impact on the fluctuations of these 100 to 200 trillion dollars in assets. A 1% fluctuation is 1-2 trillion dollars; a 10% fluctuation is 10-20 trillion dollars. By understanding this magnitude, you will know why the Federal Reserve is not controlled by the White House!
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#USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 $BTC $ETH $XRP

How much Dogecoin do you need to retire?
How much Dogecoin do you need to hold to retire?

If Dogecoin reaches $4

This article analyzes how much Dogecoin (DOGE) you would need to hold to retire if the price reaches $4, and provides insights into investment strategies and potential returns.
As 2024 comes to a close, Dogecoin has become one of the best-performing crypto assets in the market. With the current price at $0.4000, the year-to-date return is 355%.
Meanwhile, considering Dogecoin's lowest value this year at $0.07497 and the highest value projected for 2024 at $0.4835, the investment return for holders is 545%.
This performance certainly affirms the prospects for Dogecoin holders, and the optimism continues to rise, believing that this meme coin can indeed become a wealth path that changes lives for investors.

For example, widely followed market commentator Altcoin Moe recently boldly asserted that Dogecoin will allow many to retire, proposing a 6x potential return.
Retiring with Dogecoin
The idea of retiring with Dogecoin depends on two factors: the amount invested and the future appreciation of Dogecoin's price. The retirement threshold varies based on geographical location, lifestyle, and economic conditions.

For instance, in low-cost areas, $500,000 to $1,000,000 may be sufficient to retire. Meanwhile, in higher-cost areas like major cities in the U.S., a comfortable retirement may require $2,000,000 or more.
Given these benchmarks, let's take a look at what is needed from Dogecoin to help investors achieve financial independence.
How much Dogecoin do you need to become a millionaire?
Assuming an investor starts with an investment of $10,000 at the current price of Dogecoin at $0.4000, they would acquire 25,000 tokens. If the price of Dogecoin rises to $20, the value of this portfolio would expand to $500,000. Notably, analysts like Ali Martinez believe that Dogecoin will achieve this goal by 2025.

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Shiba Inu Coin SHIB Unveiled: What to Expect for Price Trends in 2025?

#Christmas Market Prediction

Hey, friends, Shiba Inu ($SHIB), this meme coin has recently caught fire again, with reports of 17 million tokens being burned, which has caused quite a stir on Shibburn.com. While everyone is saying this is aimed at creating deflation, looking at the market, it seems like not much is happening. Let's take a closer look at whether SHIB can soar and what its price will look like in 2025.

About the Token: Just Playing with Burns?

The talk about burning SHIB tokens is aimed at making it scarcer and more valuable. But those 17 million tokens are only worth about $500, which is a drop in the bucket compared to its market cap of $165.8 billion. SHIB has a total of 589 trillion tokens, so this burn is just a symbolic gesture with little significant impact.

However, the token burning does demonstrate the community's commitment to SHIB. But will this alone make SHIB rise? It also depends on how hard its ecosystem works.

The Shiba Inu Coin Ecosystem: Quite Lively

Although SHIB started as a meme coin, it has evolved; it now has an ecosystem that includes:

DeFi: Engaging with financial applications, allowing not just speculation but other activities as well. NFT Platform: Engaging with NFTs, making SHIB more relatable. Shibarium: A second-layer blockchain, fast transactions, low costs, attracting developers and users.

Most importantly, the SHIB community is solid; even if the market is down, they can lift the atmosphere.

How's the Market Right Now?

The price is currently $0.00002749, up 0.32%. SHIB has bounced around the 50-day moving average and is now steadily hovering near the 21-day moving average, looking like it might rise.

Let's talk about external factors; if crypto regulations loosen in the U.S., meme coins like SHIB might benefit, and institutions are keeping an eye on it.

Can SHIB Soar?

Analysts have differing opinions on whether SHIB can skyrocket. But if SHIB can break its previous all-time high of $0.000090

As a seasoned cryptocurrency investor, I, Tu Fei, share my experiences and insights. Interested in the crypto space but don’t know where to start? Follow me to see my homepage, subscribe to my public account, and join the group, and I’ll help you achieve freedom in this bull market.

A good project does not mean that any time is a good buying opportunity. It’s important to clarify:
Fundamentals of the product/technology/narrative/sector;
Who the team behind the project is, their plans, and capabilities;
The structure of the chips and the current market cap situation, and whether it has a favorable risk-reward ratio.
If these three points cannot be fully understood, the win rate will be significantly lower. Unless one or two points are particularly outstanding: for example, a very good narrative at a very low price, similar combinations; this will provide a vague but correct judgment of the win rate and betting decision.
Recently, I plan to ambush a potential coin that is ready to explode; doubling is quite simple, and I am also preparing to find some potential coins to hold until the end of the year, expecting a space of more than 10 times is not a problem. If you want to follow me, please pay attention to my WeChat public account and join the group.

Several key things to focus on this week
Apart from paying slight attention to a few token unlocks
The main focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement on Thursday
This is the third rate cut of the year, scheduled for 3 AM on the 19th
It can only be said that the effects of the rate cut are mixed
Positive factors: Increased liquidity, depreciation of the dollar is beneficial for the crypto market, demand for safe-haven assets: as economic uncertainty rises, the crypto market becomes a safe-haven place
Negative factors: Increased market volatility raises risks, policy uncertainty, regulatory measures may strengthen, inflation increases impact on the crypto market

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#加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？ $BTC $ETH $XRP

With Trump's victory in the U.S. election, the enthusiasm for the crypto market continues to rise. The RWA sector is heating up alongside the overall increase in the crypto market, attracting numerous giants to actively invest. Against the backdrop of gradually clearer regulations, the industry's enthusiasm for tokenization is growing. RWA is definitely the leader in this space, and with the ongoing bull market, future prices are worth looking forward to! Recently, RWA has attracted widespread attention from the global financial community, including Wall Street giants like BlackRock, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton, who are gradually channeling funds into the RWA field, driving a strong rise in RWA tokens. RWA represents either fungible or non-fungible tokens of traditional financial assets on the blockchain. RWA can represent tangible assets (such as real estate) as well as intangible assets (such as government bonds and carbon credits). With a large influx of liquidity expected to enter the RWA market, returns of 20 to 100 times are possible.

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#加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？ $BTC $ETH $XRP

Brothers, the analysis of the 14th is very on point. As expected, the direction was set on Monday and it skyrocketed. The breakout long position for BTC provided an opportunity to get on board during the pullback. Although there was a false breakdown, the range is not large, and we have reached our target range (securing a profit space of 5000 points).

Currently for ETH, it has pulled back to the entry point for long positions on the lower right side. Those who have not entered can consider building a position here, with a stop loss of just 100 USD. Looking forward to a wave of catch-up rally for ETH!

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#加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？ $BTC $ETH $XRP

Today's Bitcoin Market Trend [Not So Simple]:
Yesterday, Bitcoin fluctuated around 102500, engaging in narrative, and this morning it successfully began a major breakout, reaching as high as around 106660, which can truly be described as a surge in volume.Blockchain Super Topic

Currently, at the daily and hourly levels, the golden cross has formed, and we continue to be bullish. A slight pullback is expected today, but be sure to seize the opportunity; a comeback is an opportunity to get on board. Pay attention to around 104000, and consider building a small position if there's a pullback nearby. #Finance#

Today's intraday support is set at 102600——103100, with the breakout level above at 107000——108000.

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#加密用户突破1800万 #比特币冲向11万？ $BTC $ETH $XRP

Trends and Opportunities in the Cryptocurrency Market

1. Bull Market Continuation: The current bull market is expected to continue until the second half of 2025, with Bitcoin steadily entering an upward channel.

2. Policy Favorable: In January 2025, Trump may return to politics and introduce policies favorable to cryptocurrency, bringing new opportunities to the crypto space.

3. Macro Favorable: In the first half of 2025, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle will continue, increasing market liquidity and providing a favorable environment for the crypto sector.

4. Bull Market Activation: This bull market has started 6 months after the Bitcoin halving (November 2024), with significant upward potential ahead.

Summary: The future of the crypto market is closely related to U.S. policies and economic conditions. It’s essential to keep up with market trends and plan ahead. There are also good investment opportunities recently, such as Elon Musk's concept coin Puppies, which is worth paying attention to.

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#BTC再创新高 #币安HODLer空投CAT、PENGU $BTC $ETH $XRP

The big cake keeps rising without looking back. Yesterday, I went long directly at 101900, still underestimating the strength of the rise. Today, it's heading straight for 106600, with a 5000-point upward space. How much of that have you captured?

Bull market opportunities, just go long without thinking. Next target is 115000.

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#BTC再创新高 #币安HODLer空投CAT、PENGU $BTC $ETH $XRP

Although the market has seen some corrections in the past few days, the overall trend still belongs to a normal adjustment. The subsequent market outlook is as follows:

1. The first phase of the bull market is nearing its end, and after the adjustment is complete, it will enter the second phase.

2. Currently, outside capital has not yet entered the market on a large scale, and the market is still in a phase where internal investors are overly optimistic. Therefore, it is very necessary to clean up leverage in the short term.

3. The adjustment period will not last too long, and the second phase is expected to begin around Christmas.

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In this current bull market, it can be described as a feast of wealth. In this game, only by seeing through the essence and acting in accordance with the trend can one achieve satisfactory gains.
Recently, I plan to ambush a potential coin that is ready to explode; doubling is quite easy. At the same time, I also plan to find some potential coins to hold until the end of the year, with an expected potential of over 10 times being quite reasonable. If you want to keep up, follow my bamboo leaf and join the group by paying attention to the public account.
#BTC再创新高 #币安HODLer空投CAT、PENGU $BTC $ETH $XRP

The current BTC is truly a love-hate relationship!

We can clearly see a trend, which is that the whales are starting to gather funds, preparing for a full assault on BTC.

We actually analyzed this yesterday, as BTC begins to siphon off from altcoins, accumulating energy for the next wave of the market. So you will notice that BTC hasn't dropped, and even has slightly increased, while those small coins have pulled back quite a bit. This is actually a very normal phenomenon, usually occurring in the early stages of a market explosion. Just like the Wall Street ETF, regardless of how the market pulls back, they are increasing their positions daily, buying up the chips that retail investors have been scared away from.

At the end of a market cycle, the situation is exactly the opposite: BTC can no longer rise, but altcoins and meme coins surge, which is the sign of reverse siphoning from BTC, indicating that the market has ended.

I mentioned yesterday that many small coins haven't even broken their previous highs, so how can we talk about the end of the market?

This bull market in the crypto world has just started to rise for a month, November has just begun, so don’t rush, there is still a long way to go, and I am particularly looking forward to 2025.

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#BTC再创新高 #币安HODLer空投CAT、PENGU $BTC $ETH $XRP