美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

At 2.00-2.30 am tomorrow, the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech will be released. Compared with the dot plot released by the Fed in March, the Fed's core view is that three interest rate cuts this year will remain, and there will be three more interest rate cuts in 2025. Since the release, there have been further signs of continued inflation, while the labor market has also performed strongly. Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the May meeting also hinted that interest rates may have to be maintained.
According to a Bloomberg survey, 41% of economists expect the median interest rate forecast to indicate two interest rate cuts in 2024, while 41% expect the median interest rate forecast to indicate only one interest rate cut or no interest rate cut at all. #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储降息周期 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储基准利率 #比特币走势分析

On June 23, will the interest rate cut be imminent, and will the bull market follow? Don't be fooled by those so-called "big Vs"! They often bring out complex concepts to mislead people, just to achieve the purpose of charging fees and cutting leeks.

In fact, the logic of the currency circle is quite simple: when big funds come in, the price goes up; when big funds go out, the price goes down. If you want to make a profit from investing in cryptocurrencies, you must first understand the macro economy.

Why does the US dollar interest rate cut cause the currency circle to rise wildly?

1. There is a seesaw effect between commodity and stock prices;

2. The US dollar interest rate cut will cause commodity prices in the countries that release water to rise, funds to flow into developing countries, and their stock markets to fall. However, many "big Vs" have contradictory analyses, and they don't understand economic principles at all.

The US dollar interest rate hike will put the relevant economies into crisis, the exchange rate will become unstable, the US dollar will appreciate, and global funds will flow into the United States, and then be allocated to giants through treasury bonds to invest in US stocks. The interest rate cut is just the opposite.

The biggest risk of the US dollar interest rate cut is that funds may flow out, and the US's response is to export force to reduce financial risks. Every time the interest rate is cut, there will often be violent actions internationally, as was the case in the past five Middle East wars.

#美联储何时降息？ #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
$UNFI $PEOPLE $1000SATS
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Several key elements of Powell's speech are analyzed. It is impossible to raise interest rates. The market needs to slowly increase liquidity! Powell hinted at a rate cut at this time? Bitcoin and Ethereum ushered in a sharp rebound when Powell announced the suspension of interest rate cuts and spoke, but then continued to fall. However, both US stocks and US bonds ushered in gains and did not continue to fall. What does this mean? It shows that there are still short orders in the currency circle that have not been profited and left. The dealer still has contracts that have not been cleared, so continue to suppress the market. So let's summarize Powell's speech. First of all, in the future, when the unemployment rate rises by 0.2%, the interest rate will be cut. The unemployment rate data released now is the same as last month, 3.8%. So how should the market choose in the future? The unemployment rate data should be focused on. Compromise Second, Powell denied the interest rate hike. Powell will threaten the market with words. If there is any possibility, it will not be very confirmed. However, this time he directly denied the possibility of an interest rate hike, so those who are thinking about raising interest rates should not dream. Dove Third, confirming the slowdown of balance sheet reduction, but it does not mean that the magnitude of the balance sheet reduction will be smaller than expected. This sentence is a bit confusing. In plain words, although I have slowed down the balance sheet reduction, don't be too idealistic. It will not make the market come alive all at once. (Similar to the patient who should drink porridge first instead of big fish and meat) Dove

Fourth, the inflation level this year is very strong. If the labor market remains strong and sustainable, then the interest rate cut will be postponed this year. Hawk

Fifth, given the current situation, I think our policy stance is in a good position. (In plain words, I feel good about myself, our strategy is good, and I am OK again)

Finally, the Fed unanimously agreed that the current round of interest rates will continue to be suspended. The current situation of encryption is that the macro danger has passed and we can wait for the dealer to close the net. #鲍威尔说了什么 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
#BTC回调才会更好的上涨 $BTC $ETH

In fact, it is almost certain that interest rates will remain stable in August, and the focus of market attention has shifted to the speech of Fed Chairman Powell, whether he will tighten the policy hawkishly or turn to dovish easing. If the Fed decides to open the easing gate, then this action will most likely not stop at a single rate cut, but will herald the official start of the rate cut cycle.

Some analysts even boldly predict that there may be three rate cuts this year, each set at 25 basis points. However, all these speculations must be based on the final decision of the Fed meeting tonight, and the market's reaction and future trends will also move accordingly.
#美联储何时降息？
#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

! ! The market is betting like crazy! Is the Fed's rate cut in September a foregone conclusion?

🔥 On July 9, CME Fed Watch caused a stir! Traders placed bets one after another, predicting that the Fed will take a key step in September - the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 71.8%! This figure ignited the enthusiasm of the market like a fireball, and the rate cut storm seems to be ready to go!

🤔 However, in the context of such strong expectations of rate cuts, 24.8% of traders still chose to hold their ground, believing that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged, adding a touch of uncertainty to the market.

😲 What's even more surprising is that there are a few warriors who dare to dream. They believe that the Fed may take more radical measures and cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Although the probability is only 3.4%, it is enough to make the market look sideways!

🔍 What will be the Fed's next move? The heartbeat and breathing of the market are tense. This game about interest rates is about to usher in the moment of revelation!

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Just yesterday, I said it would drop, and today Powell's speech just did this to you. The current price is $99,600, and $BTC has not yet broken the upward trend. For now, we are still bullish, but if it breaks the trend, we need to be cautious.

Next, it is possible that it will still follow the previous analysis of rebounding to reach a new high, or it may still correct with a significant downward trend to 85-87K.

#鲍威尔 #美联储不允许持有比特币 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测

On the first day of the congressional hearing on monetary policy, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated that the labor market is solid, inflation remains above the 2% target, and there is no rush to cut interest rates. The likelihood of a rate cut in June by the Federal Reserve has further diminished, and the cryptocurrency market continues to remain sluggish under its influence.

The supply of stablecoins has been increasing, but BTC has not shown a corresponding rise, still hovering below $100,000.

Historically, most Februarys have ended with gains, especially during bull markets. Now that February is nearly half over, BTC remains in a downtrend. In this cycle, every time BTC experiences a slight pullback, the altcoin market encounters a catastrophic decline. If BTC cannot rebound and surpass $100,000 by the end of the month, the situation in the altcoin market may further deteriorate.

Now everyone is mocking ETH, but I still have confidence in ETH's future trends. The arrival of altcoin season requires ETH; without BTC's rise, there will be no bull market, and similarly, without ETH's rise, there will be no altcoin season. Without the wealth creation myths of altcoin season, it will be impossible to attract a large number of new users. Relying solely on imitating ETH's existing ecosystem without any innovation, SOL's rise is merely a battle among existing users, at most, as seen now, where only a few coins can keep up with BTC, while the majority of other coins languish. I believe in the vitality of the crypto space, I believe 2025 will be a year of explosive bull markets, and I believe there will still be an altcoin season in this cycle, so I also believe that ETH's spring will eventually come. 🥳

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#比特币后市
#ETH走势分析
#山寨季到来

Tonight, the United States will release key interest rate decisions and welcome the policy statement of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, which the market is looking forward to.

Previously, many major events have been settled, including the resolution of the Mt. Gox problem, the proper handling of matters related to the Gemini platform, and the successful conclusion of the German government's confiscation of BTC.

Looking forward, our attention will focus on three core issues: the possible trend of the US interest rate cut policy, the progress of the FTX platform cash repayment plan, and the potential possibility of Bitcoin being included in the US strategic reserve assets, all of which will have a profound impact on the market structure.

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
#美联储何时降息？

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 今晚利多还是利空

Big event!

Big news!

End of the petrodollar agreement: A sea change in the global economy

Last Sunday, a major event occurred in the international economic and financial system of this century. The 50-year-old petrodollar agreement between Saudi Arabia and the United States was announced to end. This event may affect the entire dollar system, threaten the dollar's international reserve currency status, and then push up domestic inflation and borrowing costs in the United States, affecting every ordinary person who holds dollars or dollar-denominated assets.

The dollar's status as a world reserve currency has given the United States superpowers of economic stability and rising asset prices, but all this will change after the end of the petrodollar agreement. Domestic inflation in the United States may rise, borrowing costs will increase, and the economy will face challenges.

The end of the petrodollar is part of a larger trend, and many countries have gradually abandoned the use of the dollar in international settlements and oil transactions. This may lead to the end of the United States' global financial dominance and the transfer of international financial hegemony.

For ordinary people, we need to pay attention to the impact of this event on life and wealth. In terms of investment, we need to be more cautious, diversify risks, and pay attention to other investment opportunities. At the same time, we also need to pay attention to changes in the global economy and adapt to the new economic environment.

This event marks a huge shift in the global economy. We need to pay close attention to future developments and be prepared to respond.
$NOT $PEPE $UNI
#美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储降息周期 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储基准利率

Expectations of rate cuts are rekindled, but the trend of Bitcoin is still unclear

The number of first-time unemployment claims in the United States hit a new high that week, which far exceeded market expectations. In theory, it should trigger market concerns about the slowdown in US economic growth, thereby increasing the possibility of future rate cuts. Judging from the reaction of the financial market, the US dollar index weakened, while the Nasdaq 100 index futures and the S&P 500 index futures both rose slightly, and spot gold also rose in the short term, all of which reflected the market's reassessment of expectations for rate cuts.
However, the Bitcoin market seemed indifferent to this data. There may be two reasons behind this: First, the Federal Reserve's specific April inflation data has not yet been released, and the single data of the number of unemployment benefits recipients is not enough to form a strong expectation of rate cuts; second, the Bitcoin market has recently experienced a halving event and is in a volatile market at the same stage in history. Its price trend is affected by many factors, including market sentiment, technical performance, and the macroeconomic environment.
Therefore, investors do not need to care too much about the short-term rise and fall of Bitcoin. In the case of a complex and changeable macroeconomic environment and unclear policy trends, investors should remain rational, pay attention to market dynamics, and wait for large-scale opportunities before entering the market. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to risk management to avoid losses caused by blindly following the trend or impulsive trading.
#BTC走势分析 #美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Federal Reserve Rate Cut Boosts, US Stocks and Bitcoin Hit New Highs
🚀 The Federal Reserve announced a continued rate cut of 25 basis points, and the market reacted enthusiastically, with US stocks and Bitcoin both breaking new highs, and the upward trend shows no signs of stopping, promising a bright future.
🌐 Ethereum $ETH is rising strongly, having surpassed the 2800 mark, aiming directly for 3500, and after some adjustment, it is expected to challenge 4000. The Ethereum baton is about to be passed, and the short squeeze rally has already begun; investors should not exit easily.
🚀 $SOL is closely following, just 10u away from breaking the previous high, with the second and third positions gearing up for action, and the market potential is limitless.
🕰️ The rest is left to time. Let us look forward to the exciting performance of the market together!
#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

This round of bull market will start in November 2022, and it is said that it will go through five waves.

The first wave is 15,000-30,000, and the retracement is 20-30% to about 25,000.

The second wave is 25,000-50,000 and retracement to about 40,000.

The third wave is 40,000-74,000 and retracement to about 49,000.

The fourth wave is now 49,000-110,000, and it is now fluctuating between 90,000 and 100,000. If the interest rate cut is announced, this wave will basically come to an end and enter a volatile downward trend. At this time, the secondary market will fall back and the primary effect will begin. It will fall back to about 80,000 at the end of January.

The fifth wave will start from February to July 25. The Fed's expectations may not be too suspenseful. Then the fifth wave will start from 7.0~7.5, and may reach about 150,000. This may be the last wave, and the bull market cycle will end.

According to the data of each wave, it can be seen that each wave will double and then go down by 20~30%.
What to do after the bull market ends? We don't know either, so let's wait and see.

At this time, the 4th wave of secondary market began to fall, and the market in the primary market should have almost started.
Musk-themed puppies in the primary market, as one of the strongest concepts on the Ethereum chain, are emerging, and their future development potential is huge. They may have the opportunity to become the next shib. Now you can pay close attention and in-depth research, and look forward to an early ambush.

The above does not constitute investment advice. There are risks in the currency circle, and you must do a good job of risk control.
#加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #puppies这个具备百倍千倍的潜质，马斯克i
#meme季节即将到来 $BTC $BNB $ETH

The thrilling market has lasted for more than a month. The bulls have been "convinced". Basically, if BTC falls slightly, more than 100 million US dollars will be liquidated.

It can be said that this is the most fatal blow since entering 2024. Countless investors began to doubt themselves and the cryptocurrency circle. Is there still a big bull market?

With the voice of the Federal Reserve gradually landing, and the voice of the Hong Kong government publicly supporting blockchain, the market has begun to stand in line

The call for a big bull market has completely leaned towards the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Only when the old Americans let go, the cryptocurrency circle will have the possibility of entering a new round of a big bull market

As long as the Federal Reserve continues to play Tai Chi, the cryptocurrency circle is like being stuck in the neck, hanging on for a breath, and can never go up

Even if it has broken the previous high and reached 73,000 US dollars, the market still cannot take off comprehensively, and the consensus of retail investors cannot be formed

After more than 2 years of baptism, the market seems to have become accustomed to this frequency of ups and downs, and the best strategy has also been widely circulated in the market, that is: band operation

From the current cryptocurrency circle , the mainstream currencies have basically experienced a round of roller coaster market, and those who insist on long-term investment can be said to have gained nothing.

On the other hand, the partners of the band have obviously higher returns than the long-term group, which is not a good thing for the market, but it is not a bad thing either.

At least it shows that there are many opportunities in the currency circle, and it is still relatively active.

Only the continuous battle between long and short can promote the continuous progress of the market and eventually trigger a trend of big market.

Now whether it is: technical aspect, news aspect, policy aspect, fundamental aspect, capital aspect are all favorable. Although it is not completely beneficial to the currency circle, in the long run, the advantages outweigh the disadvantages.

The long-term trend is beyond doubt, and the key turning point is when the Fed will cut interest rates?

The market is expecting a 50% chance of a rate cut in June or September, but from Powell's speech yesterday, no information was revealed

Still maintaining a conventional attitude, people can't imagine deeply, and can only wait and see

However, there are still some clues in history: at 11 pm on March 3, 2020, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut to 1.00-1.25%

At that time, it was because of the epidemic that caused a decline in global brokerage. The United States was one of the countries most affected. Under economic pressure and pressure from the Trump regime, the Federal Reserve also legally and reasonably began to "print money"

However, it has become a negative factor for the cryptocurrency circle in the short term. The 312 cryptocurrency circle crash has occurred, and countless people have lost their fortunes and failed.

The Fed's interest rate cut later made the market think that there would be no big bull market in the cryptocurrency circle, and they were all trembling with fear.

The lessons of history are vivid. The market will always only remember the news that is beneficial to itself and ignore some key nodes.

Just like the current market is paying attention to the Fed's interest rate cut schedule, but the real bull market is not determined by interest rate cuts.

It is determined by the market's long and short forces. There is no eternal bear market, nor will there be an eternal bull market.

No one can change the laws of natural operation. The cryptocurrency circle is a global market, which is determined by global investors. If you think it is only controlled by the Americans,

then why don't all the investment giants and institutions in the United States enter the market, because they know the US government best. It is obvious that there is money to be made, so why don't they want it?

Therefore, the current currency circle is no longer a small fight, but a mature financial market. It has its own rules to mature, otherwise it would have been delisted and collapsed long ago.

Don’t pay too much attention to market analysis, those are just appearances. The only thing that can help us make money is to make ourselves an expert, otherwise we will be eaten by big fish sooner or later.

The market is still going on. The key to winning or losing is definitely not any external factors. Only when you are a strong person in your heart can you stand on the top and overlook everything.

I don’t know what to do in the current market, click the avatar to find me, face the fans, and share the bull market layout for free #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #降息 $BTC

Last night's drop was not the end, but the prelude to new opportunities. Let's find out:
1. The bell of Bitcoin halving has rung: There is only one week left before Bitcoin halving, and the market's enthusiasm has turned from strong to weak, and the good news has been digested.

2. The Fed's rhetoric is like the wind: the three expected interest rate cuts have only one left in a blink of an eye. Although this unexpected change has caused market fluctuations, it is not a loss of confidence.

3. The ups and downs of US stocks: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P 500, the three major indexes have all fallen, and technology giants have led the decline. From Nvidia to Google, all feel the chill of the market.
However, just as the brightest star in the night sky always shines in the darkest moment, the trough of the market is also a good opportunity for wise people to lay out. If you hold spot, you might as well wait for the flowers to bloom. A short-term inconvenience will be exchanged for a long-term bloom. As for those friends who unfortunately lost in the contract game, I hope you will remember this lesson. There are still many days to come, and opportunities will always come again. Patience and persistence are good companions on the road to investment. #比特币减半 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #内容挖矿
#比特币减半

Breaking News: The global economic landscape is about to be reshaped
The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged: the crypto market reacts positively
At the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Fed decided to keep the current federal funds rate target range unchanged. This decision immediately triggered a positive response in the cryptocurrency market.

1. The impact of stable interest rates on the crypto market
The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged has reduced market concerns about the liquidity tightening that may be brought about by interest rate hikes. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, as risky assets, tend to perform better in a low interest rate environment.

2. Market sentiment and price volatility
The Fed's decision boosted market sentiment, and cryptocurrency prices may generally rise. The gains of mainstream cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are particularly obvious, and market trading volume will also increase. Investors and traders welcomed the Fed's policy decision, believing that it provides support for the continued growth of the cryptocurrency market.

In the short term, the Fed's decision has had a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market!
#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #Bitcoin❗ #btc $BTC $ETH $SOL