Is the decline over? No, from a technical point of view, this is just a rebound that should have come out during the day. Spot doesn’t matter, but contract brothers really need to pay attention. #BTC

12.20 Has the beating ended? The rebound is highly likely but US stocks continue to be beaten
US stocks continued to be beaten last night, and today it temporarily looks like the beating has ended, with a rebound expected during the day. Remember, this is just a rebound; a true reversal has not yet occurred. A reversal requires time and the right opportunity to wait for.
As we approach Christmas and Friday, the chances and timing for a reversal are coming. We can wait; at the bottom, one can gamble on rebound positions, but one must firmly avoid opening long positions against the trend. A qualified trader waits for US stocks to continue their wash tonight.
BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's large-scale technical pullback has already started the complete liquidation process, with key positions around 94,000. I can't say the bull market has ended, but the liquidation is definitely not over. The current large-scale rebound position is around 99,500, and it might go up to around 100,800. The temporary bottom support is simply the previous low; note that this is just a rebound position, not a reversal, and a reversal requires waiting.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
ETH has officially broken below this point, and the logic of large-scale gains has ended with a complete oscillation. Therefore, there will still be gains, but now it seems that the key position has broken down, making the area around 3,550-3,570 a resistance. Once the resistance rebound ends, one can go short without much thought.
It is important to note that Ethereum's chips are slowly entering the market; trend shorts definitely won't work. A small rebound can be shorted, and an additional rebound is also possible. The upper resistance is around 3,550-3,570, and the bottom support position is around 3,350.
As the year comes to an end, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they leave enough funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities. #Federal Reserve Hawkish $BTC

12.19 Daytime bottom can be temporarily bought, wait for US stocks to wake up at midnight for digestion
Being beaten in the evening, Powell's manufactured black swan, expected interest rate cuts next year to go from 125 basis points to 25 basis points, resulting in the market being actively deleveraged, while BTC also faced large-scale liquidations. This round is close to bottoming out, and the chips have been cleared to a large extent, but those more stable can wait for midnight when US stocks wake up to digest emotions again.

Leverage is uncomfortable, but the contracts won't be too difficult, no need to rush. From the 20th to the 25th may not be particularly easy, but the risk lies in leverage, and the decline still provides opportunities. In the afternoon, Japan may hype the interest rate hike news, first observe if the market can withstand a second wave of major declines, waiting.

BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's large-scale technical retracement exceeded expectations, with the expected level around 100800 being breached. The leverage liquidation has been quite thorough, and at this position, the big players and market makers have entered the market again.
Bitcoin faces resistance near 102500, if it can't rise, it will continue to liquidate downwards. Even if the liquidation ends, there will be a short-term bottom-fishing trend to escape. Support at the bottom is around 100200 and 99600.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 ETH has officially broken this point. The large scale still follows the upward logic, with effective daily support around 3550, but the overall technical situation still needs to stabilize and digest. If it doesn't stabilize in the morning, we will look for stabilization possibilities in the afternoon.

 Support is around 3600-3630, with large scale support at around 3550. The overall market's daily large scale still looks bullish, so there's no need to panic for now. Resistance above at 3750 and 3830, and a pullback can still be a short-term buy. Specifics depend on Japan's interest rate hike and US stocks' reaction in the evening.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risk and ensure they have funds saved for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage must pay attention to risk control capabilities. #BTC

12.18 Ethereum Foundation selling, severe bearish sentiment in the short term, key positions for bulls and bears are at odds

On the 17th, the logic of Ethereum and Bitcoin's up and down movements was completed, and the subsequent market outlook remains positive. The important position for the market is the interest rate decision tonight, which is likely to continue according to the dot plot's 100 basis points. A 25 basis point change seems unlikely, but will the market rebound because of this?

In the short term, the Ethereum Foundation continues to sell at high points, which can be seen as an exit indicator. The possibility of a market reversal has increased, as the large-scale divergence has lasted too long. Attention is now on whether the dual support positions of Ethereum and Bitcoin can hold, as Bitcoin has not yet reached its target. The positions around 103000 for Bitcoin and around 3770 for Ethereum are close to being reached.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
The large-scale technical level for Bitcoin has support around 104500 and 103500 as the bottom support. From a large-scale perspective, this is seen as a corrective trend. However, if these positions break down, then this round of pullback will turn into a downward correction trend. If a downward correction trend starts, it is likely to drop to around 100800 by Friday. However, Ethereum is a bit different; if Bitcoin holds, Ethereum may have one last surge.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 ETH has a crucial point; it has reached the important support level of this round of price increase. If it does not break down, the market can directly start reversing from a large-scale position. The areas around 3820 and 3770 are both important support levels for the price increase logic. If they do not break down, it can continue to push higher. Therefore, this critical time point is very important.

 The panic from the Ethereum Foundation's sell orders has been looming overhead. My short-term suggestion at this position is to gamble on a long position for Ethereum with a low stop loss and to go long around 3780. If it breaks down, then the logic of this round of price increase will end.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they set aside funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage should pay attention to risk control capabilities. #BTC $BTC

It's good that the mindset changed quickly yesterday; this crypto world is really hard to play with. #ETH再度冲击4K

Whether to be bullish or bearish, now is the time for both bulls and bears to be foolish. At this point, $BTC is definitely going to hit a new high, but other altcoins are facing risks. What will happen if Bitcoin can't break through?
So tonight is very important for Bitcoin; breaking through is crucial, and failing to do so is dangerous.#

There are a lot of bearish sentiments, let's change our thinking.

12.15 The weekend truce is about to end, the calm before the storm

The weekend is approaching, and the positions of multiple armies are officially returning, but some major cryptocurrencies have temporarily increased enough during the adjustment period, mainly focusing on smaller coins while maintaining control over risks.

The total open interest in the $BTC contracts across the network is 617,600 $BTC, equivalent to approximately 6.3144 billion USD, indicating a certain demand for liquidation overall; there’s no rush, it’s still early in the month, so just wait patiently.

Since November 31, World Liberty Financial has spent 44.41 million USD to purchase five cryptocurrencies, including ETH, cbBTC, LINK, AAVE, and ENA, and is expected to buy more tokens in the future.

BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has opened up overall space; it has just encountered a key resistance position. There’s no need to panic for now; wait for the opportunity to see if it continues to test downward. If it doesn’t break on a larger scale, then the following trend will be a consolidation trend. What happens if it breaks? Who knows.
The four-hour level is starting to shift again; there’s still demand for a large-scale upward movement, but above is the previous high, and every time it tries a short position at around a thousand points. If it breaks through, it might go to 110,000; going long is definitely not appropriate.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 There’s one point about ETH that’s quite important; the bottom around 3890-3910 is a key position. If it can’t go up, then focus on shorts. Today’s market will temporarily wait for the evening session’s response. If the evening session isn’t good, then a small correction on Monday is likely.

 The upper pressure, as mentioned in yesterday's live broadcast, can’t go above 3940. Just short at 3920 directly; if it goes up, we’ll see how it performs. The support position at the bottom is around 3850; waiting for the market to play out before going higher is also fine.
 There’s still an opportunity to try the bottom support; I don’t believe there’s much room for it to go up from this position.

As the year comes to a close, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they keep some funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities.

12.14 Weekend Truce Period, Shanzhai Recklessly Growing, Major Cryptocurrencies Lack Strength

The weekend is approaching, and the positions of many armies are officially returning. However, some major cryptocurrencies have temporarily risen enough to adjust during the turbulent period, focusing mainly on small cryptocurrencies while maintaining risk control.

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 5.3%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 4.1%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 73.7%, and a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points having a probability of 22.3%.

The technical rebound has appeared as expected, and now it has reached a critical pressure position. There is no need to panic for the time being; wait for opportunities to see if it will continue to test downward. If the larger level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be a consolidation trend. What if it breaks down? Who knows.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's technical aspect has overall opened up space, and it has just encountered a critical pressure position. There is no need to panic for now; wait for opportunities to see if it will continue to test downward. If the large level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be one of consolidation. If it breaks down, then who knows.

The four-hour level has begun to change again, with a stable upward logic. For the time being, it seems there is no end to the rise. The pressure point of the previous high above, with bottom support positions around 99500 and 101000.

ETH Shanzhai Small Level Analysis
· ETH has a particularly important point; the bottom around 3890 is a key support position. One could take a long position here, targeting a profit around 3945. However, the logic for this long position comes from Bitcoin needing to rise further, hitting a previous high, and then Ethereum continuing to push forward. The key position is approaching, so there's no need to rush.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they have funds set aside for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities.

12.13 Friday, will altcoins continue to fluctuate? Will the market reverse after a decline?

The weekend is approaching, will the positions of many troops return? Overall, there are still many opportunities in the market, but it still warns of risks that may occur at any time; risk aversion is the most important thing right now.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate until December is 5.3%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 4.1%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 73.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 22.3%.

The technical rebound has occurred as expected, and the current position is quite good. Both bulls and bears are debating foolishly; the major resistance level for Bitcoin is around 100,200, and the risk is extremely high if it cannot break through.

BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has overall opened up space, with major support around 98,500 and resistance above around 10,200. The overall market is primarily bullish on a larger scale, but the risk of not being able to continue rising is brewing, and paying attention to key major support and resistance levels is the most important thing right now.

The 4-hour level has started to turn bearish, with resistance now coming in around 101,000. The overall market is about to become clear, but the weekend is approaching, and it is expected that altcoins will have more space than Bitcoin.

ETH Altcoin Minor Level Analysis
 Last night's short position profit-taking did not occur, and the overall market is still a minor level Ethereum with another short opportunity, targeting support around 3,880 and the strongest support at 3,780, with resistance above around 3,940, leaning bearish on a minor level.

 Bitcoin does not want to look at it for now; it is following the market trend of ETH, both encountering significant downward pressure with enough space. However, the sentiment in altcoins is currently very rich, quite abundant, and the weekend may provide a good short-term opportunity.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they reserve funds for the New Year. Careful attention should be paid to risk control capabilities with contracts and leverage. #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #加密市场反弹

12.10 As expected, there was a significant drop, everything went according to the script, and the rebound was quick.
As anticipated, after a significant drop, a rebound is bound to occur, which is very reasonable. Meanwhile, the market is developing according to its trends. Microsoft will release favorable news tonight regarding a vote on a Bitcoin purchasing plan, which is a stimulus from the news front.

In the short term, a desired rebound will occur, including the upcoming CPI data, and there will be gradual stimulation from news in the overall market within two days.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has opened up overall space, after which it started to push down. Approximately around 94,000 and 90,000 is a significant threshold; if there are no issues, a small bull market may continue. If it breaks, a dangerous pullback is expected around 85,000.

From a larger perspective, the pressure is temporarily around 98,500 and 99,000. When nearing high positions, one can choose to enter short positions. The bottom support is approximately around 94,000.

BTC + ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
Ethereum has reached the target near 4,000, and after two days of continuous short position alerts, profits are now being realized. There may be favorable news emerging, so this round of market may have a considerable rebound strength; we are temporarily waiting for capital and news stimulation.

 The current drop in short-term levels has reached its target, with Ethereum's support position around 3,700 and resistance around 3,750. The strong downward trend continues, and the space is limited. The support position around 3,650 can be a try for long positions, but be cautious with stop-losses; any rise should still prioritize high short positions after a pullback.

 Bitcoin is similar, prioritizing high short positions after a pullback. The goal is to test previous resistance soon, but if favorable news appears tonight, there’s no need to bet on short positions, as a rebound up to around 99,500 is also reasonable.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they have sufficient funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require careful risk control capabilities.

12.08 The weekend is about to end, will MEME continue to rotate funds?

Positive news for crypto is coming out frequently, and funds may soon flow into MEME.
Whales used 2.262 million USDC on-chain to buy 9.136 billion PEPE at a price of 0.00002476 USD. Funds may reappear in the secondary market, and the heat may start to rotate again?

Currently, the market risk is relatively high, but MEME funds have not diminished, nor have they decreased, so the market may not be as bad as imagined. Of course, it’s not that good either. Overall, altcoins are showing capital outflows, but MEME's funds are surging again. My advice is to control risks and play for profits.

BTC Daily - 4-hour Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has opened up space overall, and for the time being, funds are still choosing Bitcoin's support for upward growth. The major resistance is around 102,000, with support at around 97,500. It’s a back-and-forth tussle over the weekend. The overall weekly increase has not yet stopped, but the space has opened up. Focus on the two major levels of support and resistance, while the bulls should look at the smaller levels of MEME, and Ethereum has reached expectations.

ETH Altcoin Small-Level Analysis
Ethereum has reached the target near 4,000, even exceeding the expected 4,000 and reaching around 4,100. Now the market needs to repair the level of increase. This round of weekly pressure has reached, with a pullback target near the support of 3,890, and upward pressure around 4,025.

 The short-level increase has been achieved, with subsequent pressure being relatively large. Overall, look at the support around 3,900 and 3,950, with upward pressure around 4,030-4,010 where you can continue to attempt to stop-loss short.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and be mindful of leaving funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage should consider risk control capabilities. #Meme齐涨 #美财政部称BTC“数字黄金” #加密沙皇 $BTC

It's still early for the end of the month

12.07 Pigs will be slaughtered for the Chinese New Year, wishing you all good fortune
As the year draws to a close, Bitcoin is in a normal state of pinning, and there is also a great demand for shipments. The bull market is still expected to begin. Risk + risk VS return + higher returns in the future, to prevent the sickle from breaking its head.

Musk's companies hold Bitcoin worth $2 billion, of which Tesla holds 11,509 Bitcoins ($1.17 billion) and SpaceX holds 8,285 Bitcoins ($842 million). The average purchase cost of these Bitcoins is $34,980 per Bitcoin, which means that they have now made a profit of $1.3 billion (186%).

BTC daily-4-hour market analysis
Too many Bitcoin dealers are in an overly profitable state, and the overall market funds have not been sustained, but the volatility is likely to be insufficient on weekends, and the market is mainly sideways.

After the pinning, the risk of Bitcoin begins, with the upper pressure around 101,500, the bottom support around 97,500, and the bottom support around 95,000.

ETH Shanzhai Small Level Analysis
Ether's position is not far from 4,000. The fish tail is too big. Is it the madness of the bull market or is the fish tail so delicious?

Ether has reached the target of 4,000, even exceeding the expected 4,000 to 4,100. Now the market needs to repair the level of growth. The weekly level pressure of this round has arrived. The support near the target of 3,890 is retraced, and the upper pressure is near 4,025.

The short-term level of this round of growth is in place, and the subsequent pressure is relatively large. Overall, the support is near 3,900 and 3,850. The upper pressure is near 4,030-4,010. You can try to stop loss.

At the end of the year, everyone should pay attention to risks and pay attention to the funds reserved for the New Year. Contracts and leverage should pay attention to risk control capabilities. #山寨季怎么布局？ #加密沙皇