The price of #Bitcoin has fallen below the short-term holder cost line, but the market has not fallen into panic. The short-term holder cost line still plays an important supporting role.
How long will the shadow of the continuous decline last? |WTR 6.24
"Looking ahead to the endless frontier technology; seeing into the future, leading the new era of investment research.
This report is provided by the "WTR" Research Institute: Members’ Twitter IDs: Golden Egg Diary @jindanriji; Elk Will Not Get Lost @crypto_elk_; Forex Brother; Xibei @Asterismone;
The first round of WTR on-chain data subscription (OG) is officially launched! Data provided: WTR self-developed market short-term, medium-term and long-term on-chain data, as well as some small currency data. First round pricing: 399U/year. Payment supports on-chain and off-chain transfers. Other notes: We have prepared a strategy package for OG users. The number of places in the strategy package is limited. The current strategy package is only open to the first round of OG users. Subscriptions can directly add OG user groups. For details, please see Twitter or WeChat official account.
The market panic sentiment (orange line) has increased slightly.
Looking back at the market's historical performance, each time the market approaches the short-term holder cost line, the market panic sentiment increases. At the same time, in the corresponding market upward trend, a staged price bottom area will also be formed.
The current market has touched the short-term holder cost line again, and the market panic sentiment will continue to be observed. #BTC
🔔 The market is full of fog, and spot selling pressure reveals key signals!
Many people are confused about the current market and don’t know what to do next? 🤔💭 The data in the figure shows the relationship between Bitcoin price (black line) and on-chain spot selling pressure (blue line), giving us some answers.
🚨 Historical lessons tell us:
1️⃣ Relatively low selling pressure area (yellow area): This is the low price of Bitcoin, the amount of selling pressure is small, and it is a good time for investors to pick up bargains. Buying or adding to holdings at these moments often leads to great rewards. 💹💰
2️⃣ High selling pressure area (red area): Market selling pressure increases and prices are under pressure. These areas are usually high points in price and are good opportunities for investors to lock in profits. ⚠️📉
🔍 **Current Market Signals:**
- Approaching the yellow zone: The green arrows are all close to the yellow area. The recent selling pressure volume is at one of the relatively low stages this year. Although it is not the lowest compared with the next two years, it is enough to show that market pressure has been significantly reduced and risks have been significantly reduced.
- High selling pressure area: The red area reminds us that selling pressure still exists in the market and we need to operate with caution.
🔥 Summary:
- Timing to buy: When the selling pressure is low, buy decisively! 💸 - Timing to sell: When the selling pressure is high, sell in time! 🔜
🔎 **Follow the data to make your investment more confident! **#Bitcoin#BTC☀ C #链上分析
Entering a rest period, the market enters a new pace|WTR 6.17
"Looking ahead to the endless frontier technology; seeing into the future, leading the new era of investment research. This report is provided by the "WTR" Research Institute:
Members’ Twitter IDs: Golden Egg Diary @jindanriji; Elk Will Not Get Lost @crypto_elk_; Forex Brother; Xibei @Asterismone; The first round of WTR on-chain data subscription (OG) is officially launched! Data provided: WTR self-developed market short-term, medium-term and long-term on-chain data, as well as some small currency data. First round pricing: 399U/year. Payment supports on-chain and off-chain transfers. Other notes: We have prepared strategy packages for OG users. The number of places in the strategy package is limited. The current strategy package is only open to the first round of OG users. Subscriptions can directly add OG user groups. For details, please see Twitter or WeChat official account.
Non-farm data and unemployment rate behave strangely, how will the market rhythm adjust|WTR 6.10
“Looking forward to the endless frontier technology; seeing the future, leading the new era of investment research.”
This report is provided by the "WTR" Research Institute: Member Twitter ID: Golden Egg Diary @jindanriji; Elk will not get lost @crypto_elk_; Forex Brother; Xibei @Asterismone;
The first round of WTR on-chain data subscription (OG) is officially launched! Data provided: WTR’s self-developed market short-term, medium-term and long-term on-chain data, as well as some small currency data. First round pricing: 399U/year. Payment supports on-chain and off-chain transfers. Other notes: We have prepared a strategy package for OG users. The number of places in the strategy package is limited. The current strategy package is only open to the first round of OG users. Subscriptions can be added directly to the OG user group. For details, please see Twitter or WeChat official account.
Key question Why does ETH perform worse than BTC? Even though ETH's ETF is about to be launched, the market has not shown a strong trend.
1. Price fluctuations: - BTC's price increase is large, while ETH's is relatively small, indicating that the market pays more attention to BTC.
2. Risk premium indicator (RPN): - BTC's previous RPN (derivative risk) was mostly in the yellow area, indicating that long liquidation is about to be completed, so a small short squeeze began. - ETH's previous RPN frequently fluctuated in the red area, market sentiment was unstable, and the remaining longs were still being liquidated.
Derivatives problem: - BTC derivatives data shows that the previous long liquidation was almost exhausted, while ETH long liquidation has not yet been completed, and the car is still heavy.
Suggestion Pay attention to ETH's RPN indicator, and make decisions at least when it returns to the yellow or green range, which may be relatively safe.
The tracking of traditional whale addresses has failed. Now, the "whale discrete addresses" that are hidden behind and do not move much are one of the real main forces in the market in the long run. #BTC
Current market conditions: Rebounded from the low point in early 2024, it is currently consolidating at a high level. The inflow of whale addresses increased (blue area upward), showing market support.
Medium-term outlook: Whales accumulate Bitcoin, the market may remain high, and there is no sign of early bear market selling for the time being
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Historical comparison: Red is buying, green is selling.
1. The big rise in early 2021: BTC price: rose from about $20,000 to about $60,000. Whale behavior: A large inflow of whale addresses (blue area upward) pushed the market up
2. The mid-2021 crash: BTC price: fell from about $60,000 to about $30,000. Whale behavior: A large amount of outflow from whale addresses (blue area downwards), leading to increased market selling pressure
3. A sharp rise in September-early October 2021: BTC price: rose from about $45,000 to about $60,000. Whale behavior: A large amount of inflow from whale addresses again formed support. 4. As for the surge performance from the end of 2022 to 2023, I will not elaborate on it here.
#BTC The current short-term holder cost line (orange line) represents the average cost price of the main short-term chips in the market, which has reached 62K.
From historical observations, it can be found that the short-term holder cost line has played a very critical supporting role in all the short-term market adjustments and declines.
The current BTC price is around 67K, with limited adjustment range, and it continues to rise in the medium term. HODL!
WTR short-term market review. Perfectly grasp the overall position building range in May, the starting point of the market rise, and the small peak of the stage. 🥳🥳🥳 Binance Square cannot quote past tweets, you can look through the past tweets. #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准 #BTC
ETH's 196–4 document has been approved, and ETF is about to be approved. What are the capital movements in the market? |WTR 5.27
"Looking ahead to the endless frontier technology; seeing into the future, leading the new era of investment research. This report is provided by the "WTR" Research Institute:
Members’ Twitter IDs: Golden Egg Diary @jindanriji; Elk Will Not Get Lost @crypto_elk_; Forex Brother; Xibei @Asterismone; The first round of WTR on-chain data subscription (OG) is officially launched!
Data provided: WTR’s self-developed market short-term, medium-term and long-term on-chain data, as well as some small currency data. First round pricing: 399U/year. Payment supports on-chain and off-chain transfers. Twitter with contact details.
Other notes: We have prepared a strategy package for OG users. The number of places in the strategy package is limited. The current strategy package is only open to the first round of OG users. Subscriptions can be added directly to the OG user group. For details, please see Twitter or WeChat official account.
#ETH Short-term ETH market review and expectations.
Review: The short-term observation of the risk factor is the short-term high point on the 23rd (the blue line touches the red area as a local high point), as shown by the arrow in the figure.
Expectation: The risk factor (blue line) has returned to the lower part of the neutral area and is waiting to stabilize. The ETH market has little selling pressure, and the short-term price will fluctuate, and the medium-term will continue to be bullish. #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准
🔮 Market frontier expectations, in the short term: continued capital inflow, overall selling pressure is not large, the market is expected to continue to break through. #BTC走势分析 #ETH ----------- The figure shows the ETF spot data, and the analysis reveals the close relationship between the price of Bitcoin (BTC) and the balance of the US Bitcoin spot ETF. When the capital inflow increases, the price rises; when the capital outflows, the price falls. -----------
WTR self-developed database is now open for subscription, welcome to consult.
After ETH's risk factor touched the green zone (representing the short-term price bottom) before, it is still far from the red zone, indicating that the current short-term ETH price still has room to rise. #以太坊ETF批准预期 $ETH
The data came from yesterday and the analysis was completed in the afternoon. The weekly report was released in the evening and the price surged overnight.
The green figure shows the flow of on-chain chips into the exchange. It can be observed that the recent net position performance of ETH is not good, and the ETF approval rate of ETH may be low.
A large number of over 10 million USD exchange buy orders appeared. Has the interest of OTC institutions returned? |WTR 5.20
"Looking ahead to the endless frontier technology; seeing into the future, leading the new era of investment research. This report is provided by the "WTR" Research Institute: Members’ Twitter IDs: Golden Egg Diary @jindanriji; Elk Will Not Get Lost @crypto_elk_; Forex Brother; Xibei @Asterismone;
#以太坊ETF批准预期 #BTC走势分析 The first round of WTR on-chain data subscription (OG) is officially launched! Data provided: WTR’s self-developed market short-term, medium-term and long-term on-chain data, as well as some small currency data. First round pricing: 399U/year. Payment supports both on-chain and off-chain transfers. Other notes: We have prepared a strategy package for OG users. The number of places in the strategy package is limited. The current strategy package is only open to the first round of OG users. Subscriptions can be added directly to the OG user group. For details, please see Twitter or WeChat official account.