06/25【Several positive signals in the market】

- Bitcoin is oversold on the daily chart, the last time was in August last year when it was 29,000 (as shown in Figure 1);
- The market value of the cottage market accounts for others.d and has touched the bottom trend line again, temporarily providing effective support; (as shown in Figure 2);
- Bitcoin fell, but most cottage markets did not follow, and the overall market value of cottage markets rebounded.

Although we cannot say that the current market will not fall again, it at least shows that the price-performance ratio is good;

On the basis of controlling the position, it is no problem to enter (Bitcoin and cottage markets) in batches;
Buying well is not as good as selling well, and selling well is not as good as managing the position well. #btc #eth

Next, whether I change positions or start to hit the ball, I ask myself four questions

- Which targets are more certain from the track narrative?

- Which targets have reached the bottom range from the chip structure (space)?

- Which targets have reached the range that can be deployed in terms of time?

- If you only choose 3 targets, which 3 targets will you choose?

The first question is more of a probability, which tests each of us's perception of the market;

The second question is which targets have a higher profit and loss ratio from the perspective of space;

The third question is which targets have been washed out for a long time from the perspective of time, but the fundamentals are still OK;

The fourth question is to eliminate the useless targets and choose the best from the best, first choose 10 from 15, then choose 5 from 10, and then choose 3. This does not mean that only 3 targets will be held in the end, but this kind of thinking is used to prioritize, and finally the investment portfolio must be used to defeat the small probability.

The most difficult one above is actually the first question;

Welcome to like and read again, and discuss together in the comment area. #btc

I haven't posted on the square for a long time. I found many new faces #ordi#btc

In the second half of the year, Bitcoin was driven by two forces:

One is the force of continued outflow of funds (bad macro environment caused by high interest rates)

The other is that the possible adoption of Bitcoin ETFs will be beneficial to the market, so now these two forces are competing.

Tried the ecology on base

In the afternoon, I experienced the ecology on linea again. The overall feeling is that it is all forks and copies.

There is nothing particularly new, especially the ecology on linea is mediocre. Most of the bases that have been transferred from other chains are currently popular. I bought one of them a few days ago and the increase is not bad. I heard that the Friends agreement is quite good. But I haven’t started to register for more experiences and feel more about the market.

Recently, there has been a lot of discussion about the alleged tens of billions of capital case of the European and Italian U business "Spicy Crayfish"

In this market, try to make deposits and withdrawals infrequently. If you want to deposit and withdraw money, be sure to find friends around you or in the community to make regular deposits and withdrawals. This will increase the safety factor a lot. In addition, you can apply for a card in Hong Kong and then use foreign exchange. Return to domestic account

If the amount of funds is large, the second method is recommended. Although it is more troublesome, it is a legal way.
#荣耀时刻

1. Airdrop is gambling.

2. When choosing a project, you should mainly look at probability and odds. Don’t be biased. If you don’t use a test network or a small financing scale, you can do it. If it fits the investment model, you can do it. If it doesn’t fit the model, no matter how awesome it is, you can’t do it.

3. The difference between a minimum guarantee account and a premium account is that one sacrifices the probability to increase the odds, and the other increases the probability and sacrifices the odds. It depends on personal choice, and the one that suits you is the best.

4. Don’t be afraid of counterattacks. The underlying logic of fear of counterattacks is that your own risk resistance is not enough. Be prepared to be counterattacked every time. Don’t be fooled in a gambling game. You should allocate funds well and manage your bets well. The amount ensures that you can bet for a long time.

——The point of view from Ice Frog, I agree with it👍

The core of "Sun Tzu's Art of War" consists of three sentences:

The art of war is first not a method of fighting, but a method of not fighting;

Not the way to victory, but the way to invincibility;

It is not a method of fighting and winning, but a method of winning first and then fighting.

The common saying is that you will fight only when you can guarantee that you have a high probability of winning, otherwise you will not fight.

This is the same as how we invest and trade.

There have been discussions about unibot in the past few days, and I have been following it, but I have not bought it.

In fact, it depends on which angle you look at this kind of project? I think if you look at it from the perspective of fear of missing out, you can indeed get on the bus during a pullback;

But from a cost-effective perspective, it is indeed very useless; on the one hand, the short-term market value has reached around 150 million, which must be too high in the short term; secondly, you clearly know that 80% of the current fee capture comes from the unibot token. , and you also know that this kind of fee capture is not sustainable, because no token will always have a large transaction volume;

So, you see, even if the price has nearly doubled in 3 days, it doesn't matter even if you don't get on the bus. If it is a really good project, there will definitely be a chance to get on board. $ETH #unibot #荣耀时刻

The emotional psychology of conformity is everywhere

In the market, when a currency that has soared suddenly emerges as a dark horse, everyone pays more attention to it, looking at its economic model, its protocol type, its founder, etc. They may even buy directly.

The essence behind this is the pursuit of a sense of security, because during the discussion, it proves that this agreement has been seen by more people, recognized by more people, and used by more people. For ordinary investors, the price of the currency has increased. This is the most intuitive factor that makes this agreement good.

And often this time is the time when it is easiest to become a leek. In other words, the feeling of security conveyed to you by the emotions in the currency circle is precisely the most unsafe time. $BTC $FDUSD $

Yesterday I tried the unibot robot, in telegram,

The official said that the transaction speed is 6 times faster than usual on uniswap. I said give it a try, and the results really surprised me. The speed is indeed very fast and silky smooth.

The current thinking about the unibot project is that it is innovative and worthy of attention, but I think the fee capture capability has been exaggerated. Currently, we currently see the top 6 fee capture rankings because there is a transaction tax, which means that when you trade The currency unibot will generate a 1% transaction tax. This transaction tax contributes about 80% of its total costs;

Then, when the popularity of this token is over, whether there will be more fees captured is the focus of this agreement.

Yesterday I tried to trade with unibot and bought two currencies for testing. One of them was Harry Potter. As a result, Harry Potter rose by 70% this morning. Of course, it was sold after it was so high. It was really bad luck.