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After the US CPI was lower than expected, BTC pulled a small column. Next, the market will pay more attention to Bao's next speech. Due to the unexpectedly low inflation, futures prices rose, and the 10-year US Treasury yield fell sharply. Perhaps this is what the Fed is happy to see. Bao's next speech should not be too hawkish. An optimistic expectation in the market is that there are more likely to be two rate cuts in 2024 rather than one, and by mid-2026, the rate will be cut by 25 basis points each quarter. If this script is really followed, risk assets will rise sharply in the next two years. You can look forward to the future~

After the US CPI was lower than expected, BTC pulled a small column. Next, the market will pay more attention to Bao's next speech.

Due to the unexpectedly low inflation, futures prices rose, and the 10-year US Treasury yield fell sharply. Perhaps this is what the Fed is happy to see. Bao's next speech should not be too hawkish.

An optimistic expectation in the market is that there are more likely to be two rate cuts in 2024 rather than one, and by mid-2026, the rate will be cut by 25 basis points each quarter.

If this script is really followed, risk assets will rise sharply in the next two years. You can look forward to the future~

Disclaimer: Includes thrid-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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币圈合约为什么爆仓了还有那么多人玩? 因为要回本啊,因为要财富自由啊,暴富啊!不玩怎么回本。还是看看现在的市场吧!跌麻了。看看当前的美元净流动性,关于这部分因为涉及到了太多宏观内容。 对于加密货币行业的从业者或交易者来说,似乎BTC是这两年来全球关注的重心,但事实上,至少从数据层面上来说,结果很令人失望。 最近5年来油管上所有从事BTC相关频道的视频浏览量,你能清晰的看到,属于BTC的高光时刻是2021年的牛市,而当下这轮牛市,不论是关注度还是话题热度都不如从前了。 一个令人难过的事实:当BTC突破69000的历史新高时,在油管上的热度还不如当初FTX暴雷时的高。。。 但是如果我们还是按照先前价格突破历史新高时的方式来对比的话,数据上还是要比过去好很多的。 这说明,如果未来BTC的价格若能继续走出强势的行情,一度突破10万美元大关时,这些沉寂已久的韭菜们还是会回来的。 结论:从社交媒体的角度来看,本轮牛市与过往牛市没有太大的区别,BTC已经实现了社交媒体常态化,尤其是在当下这个逐渐美股化的市场中,广大韭菜的关注已经远没有过去牛市那么重要了。 最后总结一下这轮牛市: 1. 涨的慢,没有展现出过往牛市那样的赚钱效应。 2. 流动性差,除BTC以外的大部分高市值山寨均没有走出新高。 3. 缺乏流量,社交媒体关注度远低于过往牛市。 想了解更多币圈的相关知识和一手的前沿资讯,点击头像关注海绵,每日发布行情分析,优质潜力币种推荐。
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这几天完成一次很重要的深度思考 就是我们可以会处于一个长线趋势向上的“猴市” 这个市场不是那种btc 一路上涨到15万美金的市场 而是Btc疯狂宽幅震荡同时带来其他币种的去伪存真 垃圾叙事破产 新叙事类似于去年的铭文会以小热点不断出现 有用的东西则是落地并且做大 最终整个行业会呈现这样的情况: 1、头部效应会越来越明显,无论交易所、机构头部对抗波动的能力都会更强,但是中腰部可能会被迫出局; 2、这个行情赚钱会比以前难,但是依然会比大多数行业要赚钱,但是这里会是卷王们的战场,对因入场的韭菜会特别不友好,但是基于财富效应依然会有人进来,长线从业者其实会很舒服,因为能赚到持续的钱; 3、99%的项目方会丧失发币攒局的能力,而头部的发币集团们会垄断整个圈子的发币权,菜鸡项目方不仅赚不到钱,还可能会被反割一刀; 很多人觉得,Btc一波到15万以上会最舒服,事实上对整合行业来说,最舒服的状态就是慢慢涨,这样整合行业的从业者才能“创作”出更多的垃圾,但是这些垃圾里面如果出现1%的金子,那么价值依然是巨大的。 所以,作为一名韭菜最好的策略是: 对待垃圾,60%不要上车,40%撸一波跑 对于可能是金子的垃圾,低市值拿货,人声鼎沸时出90%,剩下10%格局 对于金子,拿死了 而目前整个行业明确的金子只有btc 如果你不会筛选强势币,那么建议你关注我。无论是现货还是合约,略微出手可能就是你们的极限,机会很短,一定要把握!成功不是靠运气,选择大于努力,圈子决定命运,在币圈除了有审时度势的火眼金睛,还得跟上一个好的团队,好的领路人,关注我你在币圈就已经成功了一半!
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