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The United States announced its GDP for the fourth quarter of last year, and the growth rate was slightly lower than expected. However, the difference was not much different and basically in line with expectations. The key point is that personal consumption expenditures remained strong in the quarter. The 3% growth rate of consumer spending was much higher than the expected 2.7%. This data means that the economic growth of the United States is still very strong. In the fourth quarter, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price growth rate was 1.8%, which was also higher than the initial value of 1.7%. Taken together, these data are still not conducive to future interest rate cuts. Therefore, after the data was released, CME once again lowered its June interest rate cut expectations. Currently, it is only over 60%, not to mention March and May, which are basically out of the question. Yesterday, 8 ETFs increased their holdings by 14,934 BTC (approximately $940 million), while Grayscale only reduced its holdings by 2,223 BTC (approximately $139.8 million). Among them: BlackRock increased its holdings by 10,140 BTC (approximately $638 million); Fidelity increased its holdings by 4,066 BTC (approximately $255.9 million). Wall Street is FOMO on one side and FUD on the other. Those who hold chips will go crazy. For example, consortiums such as Fidelity estimate that Bitcoin will reach US$100 million per coin in 2035. Recently, analysts at Morgan believe that Bitcoin may fall to around $42,000 after the halving. No matter which way it goes, one thing is certain. The macro trend of BTC in the future is to keep rising until it exceeds the market value of gold and becomes the world's number one rare value asset. Then there will be many speeches by the Federal Reserve Voting Committee in the past two days, focusing on the speeches of 2024 Voting Committee Mester and tonight's speech by FOMC Permanent Voting Committee Fed Williams, which will have a certain impact on the market. Then there is no doubt that the main force in this wave of pullbacks is institutions. Just the night before yesterday, the single-day trading volume of ETFs was close to 7.7 billion US dollars, significantly setting a new single-day trading volume record. The previous highest single-day trading volume was US$4.66 billion. I remember that was when the ETF had just been listed, and most of the transactions came from Grayscale GBTC's crash. Of the 29 days this month, the Bitcoin ETF had only 7 days with negative inflows, and the remaining 22 days were all positive. This wave of US$7.7 billion transactions is dominated by buying, so it is full of gold. With the crazy rise in the pie, more institutions are beginning to covet the spot ETF pie. Among them, top investment bank Morgan Stanley has released news that it is studying adding spot ETFs to its brokerage platform for customers to trade.#热门话题

The United States announced its GDP for the fourth quarter of last year, and the growth rate was slightly lower than expected. However, the difference was not much different and basically in line with expectations. The key point is that personal consumption expenditures remained strong in the quarter.

The 3% growth rate of consumer spending was much higher than the expected 2.7%. This data means that the economic growth of the United States is still very strong.

In the fourth quarter, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price growth rate was 1.8%, which was also higher than the initial value of 1.7%. Taken together, these data are still not conducive to future interest rate cuts.

Therefore, after the data was released, CME once again lowered its June interest rate cut expectations. Currently, it is only over 60%, not to mention March and May, which are basically out of the question.

Yesterday, 8 ETFs increased their holdings by 14,934 BTC (approximately $940 million), while Grayscale only reduced its holdings by 2,223 BTC (approximately $139.8 million).

Among them: BlackRock increased its holdings by 10,140 BTC (approximately $638 million); Fidelity increased its holdings by 4,066 BTC (approximately $255.9 million).

Wall Street is FOMO on one side and FUD on the other. Those who hold chips will go crazy. For example, consortiums such as Fidelity estimate that Bitcoin will reach US$100 million per coin in 2035.

Recently, analysts at Morgan believe that Bitcoin may fall to around $42,000 after the halving.

No matter which way it goes, one thing is certain. The macro trend of BTC in the future is to keep rising until it exceeds the market value of gold and becomes the world's number one rare value asset.

Then there will be many speeches by the Federal Reserve Voting Committee in the past two days, focusing on the speeches of 2024 Voting Committee Mester and tonight's speech by FOMC Permanent Voting Committee Fed Williams, which will have a certain impact on the market.

Then there is no doubt that the main force in this wave of pullbacks is institutions. Just the night before yesterday, the single-day trading volume of ETFs was close to 7.7 billion US dollars, significantly setting a new single-day trading volume record.

The previous highest single-day trading volume was US$4.66 billion. I remember that was when the ETF had just been listed, and most of the transactions came from Grayscale GBTC's crash. Of the 29 days this month, the Bitcoin ETF had only 7 days with negative inflows, and the remaining 22 days were all positive.

This wave of US$7.7 billion transactions is dominated by buying, so it is full of gold. With the crazy rise in the pie, more institutions are beginning to covet the spot ETF pie. Among them, top investment bank Morgan Stanley has released news that it is studying adding spot ETFs to its brokerage platform for customers to trade.#热门话题

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首先回顾一下ETF在休市三天后重新开盘就迎来的开门黑,灰度GBTC狂砸3.03亿。 而贝莱德、富达都没反应过来,资金流入分别只有1.65亿和4400万,其他几家ETF机构的资金流入都是百万级别的根本帮不上忙。 这也导致了ETF整体再次出现资金外流现象,净流出8570万美元。 虽然资金量不多,但对市场情绪的破坏效果是非常显著的。 这个可能也是对昨天的市场出现暴跌的导火索,主力觉得ETF的资金外流可能还会持续,提前选择了避险。 另外宏观方面也对市场不利,美国3月ISM制造业指数意外出现扩张,结束16个月连续收缩,物价、新订单、生产齐涨。 这也导致了美联储6月降息的概率大幅降低,数据公布后CME预测的概率一度跌破了50%。 目前年内累计降息幅度也由之前的75基点降到了65基点以下,受到降息悲观预期的影响。 另外富达的FBTC与IBIT的走势也并不算健康,作为目前市场上最大的入水口。 ETF每日的流入流出情况对于大盘的涨跌起到的是决定因素,比特币的ETF是美股二级市场上追踪大饼涨跌的指数。 大盘的涨跌,也直接影响了ETF价格的涨跌。其次ETF涨跌跟市场供求关系也有一定的关系,那么作为散户都是喜涨不喜跌的。 很多人宁愿高位接盘,也不太喜欢在行情跌下来的时候去进行抄底。 所以就能够解释,为什么这段时间的BTC流入一直都是负数的原因。#Meme #WIF #大盘走势
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