美联储利率决议
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December 24, 12🈷️ News:
1. Crypto.com launches a sports prediction market in the United States;
2. Today's Fear and Greed Index rises to 73, still rated as Greed;
3. Grayscale submits 8-K form for Grayscale Horizen Trust (ZEN) to the SEC;
4. Yesterday, GBTC saw a net outflow of $38.4 million, and ETH a net outflow of $6.1 million;
5. Robinhood CEO: The company has discussed establishing a Bitcoin reserve internally;
6. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%;
7. MoonPay is in talks to acquire crypto payment platform Helio for $150 million;
8. Coinbase reports: Total market capitalization of stablecoins has grown by 48% since the beginning of 2024;
9. Microsoft is working to add non-OpenAI models to 365 Copilot;
10. Chainalysis: The amount of crypto thefts in 2024 exceeds $2.2 billion;
11. Analysis: Previous bull markets have seen at least three instances of a 20% drop, and this pullback has not yet reached that point;
12. USDC Treasury burns 50 million USDC;
13. Bio Protocol founder: AI agents in DeSci are not yet priced;
14. Binance releases a report on its 2024 anti-fraud refund plan, recovering a total of $9.1 million;
15. Real estate agency La Rosa Holdings accepts Bitcoin as a payment method;
16. Coinbase Wallet will support stablecoin USDC on-chain payments on the Base chain;
17. On December 23, the US Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of 5,353 BTC, and the Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of 43,129 ETH;
18. Arkham: Mt. Gox currently holds Bitcoin worth approximately $3.45 billion;
19. MicroStrategy acquires 5,262 BTC for approximately $561 million;
20. x platform raises Premium+ subscription price to $22 per month;
21. U.S. stock Matador Technologies plans to allocate the first $4.5 million to Bitcoin in December;
22. Bio Protocol announces its 2025 roadmap, launching a new BIO Launchpad, among other things;
23. Telegram founder: This year's total revenue exceeds $1 billion.
1. Crypto.com launches a sports prediction market in the United States;
2. Today's Fear and Greed Index rises to 73, still rated as Greed;
3. Grayscale submits 8-K form for Grayscale Horizen Trust (ZEN) to the SEC;
4. Yesterday, GBTC saw a net outflow of $38.4 million, and ETH a net outflow of $6.1 million;
5. Robinhood CEO: The company has discussed establishing a Bitcoin reserve internally;
6. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%;
7. MoonPay is in talks to acquire crypto payment platform Helio for $150 million;
8. Coinbase reports: Total market capitalization of stablecoins has grown by 48% since the beginning of 2024;
9. Microsoft is working to add non-OpenAI models to 365 Copilot;
10. Chainalysis: The amount of crypto thefts in 2024 exceeds $2.2 billion;
11. Analysis: Previous bull markets have seen at least three instances of a 20% drop, and this pullback has not yet reached that point;
12. USDC Treasury burns 50 million USDC;
13. Bio Protocol founder: AI agents in DeSci are not yet priced;
14. Binance releases a report on its 2024 anti-fraud refund plan, recovering a total of $9.1 million;
15. Real estate agency La Rosa Holdings accepts Bitcoin as a payment method;
16. Coinbase Wallet will support stablecoin USDC on-chain payments on the Base chain;
17. On December 23, the US Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of 5,353 BTC, and the Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of 43,129 ETH;
18. Arkham: Mt. Gox currently holds Bitcoin worth approximately $3.45 billion;
19. MicroStrategy acquires 5,262 BTC for approximately $561 million;
20. x platform raises Premium+ subscription price to $22 per month;
21. U.S. stock Matador Technologies plans to allocate the first $4.5 million to Bitcoin in December;
22. Bio Protocol announces its 2025 roadmap, launching a new BIO Launchpad, among other things;
23. Telegram founder: This year's total revenue exceeds $1 billion.
Kit Roldan GY9Y:
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#BTC four-hour level, currently near the testing of the second ascending trend line. If future closes are below approximately $96,800 (not an absolute point, approximate location, allowing for error), it can be seen as a breakdown. Breaking below the trend line indicates a bearish trend in the medium to short term. Short-term support is around $94,150/$90,500, while medium-term support is still looking at the trend line starting point near $85,000. Before the four-hour closing price breaks below the trend line, there may still be a chance for a rebound (similar to the last time, where it dipped twice and then rebounded).
In fact, it mainly depends on the U.S. stock market. As I mentioned before, if the U.S. stock market is at a stage top, then BTC will also follow with a significant correction.
Currently, many people like to attribute the reasons for the decline entirely to Powell's remarks on #比特币战略储备 . This actually reflects a lack of understanding of macroeconomics and #美联储利率决议 , and the hawkish logic of this statement, merely staying within the narrative of the crypto industry. In fact, from the end of the bull market in 2020-2021 to the peak, the crypto market has almost completely aligned with macro policies and the peak of the U.S. stock market. Especially in the past three years, the mining industry has shifted to North America, and Bitcoin spot ETFs were listed for trading in the U.S. at the beginning of this year. The pricing power of BTC is now almost entirely controlled by the U.S. market. The U.S. stock market continued to decline overnight, which will naturally also impact the crypto market led by BTC. This is also why I often mention the macro logic of the movements of #美股 , #美元指数 , gold, and their impact on the crypto market during my analysis.
In fact, it mainly depends on the U.S. stock market. As I mentioned before, if the U.S. stock market is at a stage top, then BTC will also follow with a significant correction.
Currently, many people like to attribute the reasons for the decline entirely to Powell's remarks on #比特币战略储备 . This actually reflects a lack of understanding of macroeconomics and #美联储利率决议 , and the hawkish logic of this statement, merely staying within the narrative of the crypto industry. In fact, from the end of the bull market in 2020-2021 to the peak, the crypto market has almost completely aligned with macro policies and the peak of the U.S. stock market. Especially in the past three years, the mining industry has shifted to North America, and Bitcoin spot ETFs were listed for trading in the U.S. at the beginning of this year. The pricing power of BTC is now almost entirely controlled by the U.S. market. The U.S. stock market continued to decline overnight, which will naturally also impact the crypto market led by BTC. This is also why I often mention the macro logic of the movements of #美股 , #美元指数 , gold, and their impact on the crypto market during my analysis.
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United States as of December 18, #美联储利率决议 (upper limit) Previous value 4.75%, Forecast value 4.5%, Published value 4.5%
Meets market expectations
Meets market expectations
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🔥Take it slow, the benefits of interest rate cuts will be released slowly, before a bull market can take off!
100X Community News:
CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in February is 96.9%
On January 28, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping the interest rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range unchanged in February is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 3.1%.
#CME #美联储是否加息？ #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH $SOL
100X Community News:
CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in February is 96.9%
On January 28, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping the interest rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range unchanged in February is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 3.1%.
#CME #美联储是否加息？ #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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There isn’t much to say. The focus is still on the content of Powell’s meeting. The market predicts that Powell will be hawkish. This involves an interpretation issue. If the market wants to interpret his remarks as hawkish, he will be hawkish anyway! More often than not, Powell is willing to practice Tai Chi.
There is one key point in the content of this meeting that requires attention: whether it will be discussed and hinted at the imminent slowdown of QT. After all, only by slowing down QT can we move towards QE!
Powell's hawkish words are expected to prompt market approval for fewer rate cuts.
The problem with interest rates is to maintain them at a high level and not cause a big shock. If they blow up, then I will blow up too!
Oh, and GBTC is sold on a grayscale basis. If they don’t sell it, it seems that they can’t beat their friends. When this ETF was approved, there seemed to be questions about what GBTC would be replaced by. I forgot about it, so this is within expectations. To put it bluntly, it’s visual risk! #美联储利率 #美联储利率决议
There is one key point in the content of this meeting that requires attention: whether it will be discussed and hinted at the imminent slowdown of QT. After all, only by slowing down QT can we move towards QE!
Powell's hawkish words are expected to prompt market approval for fewer rate cuts.
The problem with interest rates is to maintain them at a high level and not cause a big shock. If they blow up, then I will blow up too!
Oh, and GBTC is sold on a grayscale basis. If they don’t sell it, it seems that they can’t beat their friends. When this ETF was approved, there seemed to be questions about what GBTC would be replaced by. I forgot about it, so this is within expectations. To put it bluntly, it’s visual risk! #美联储利率 #美联储利率决议
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The Federal Reserve released its interest rate decision and economic forecast summary and dot plot
June 13 Macroeconomic data interpretation: The Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision and economic forecast summary and dot plot. Recommended reading ★★★★
At 02:00 in the morning, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations. At the same time, the U.S. second quarter dot plot was released. The result was that the expectation of interest rate cuts was greatly weakened, and the positive sentiment of unemployment and CPI was weakened.
data:
1. The interest rate decision currently continues to maintain 5.25%-5.5%, which is in line with market expectations.
2. GDP growth: 2.1% in 20204, 2.0% in 2025 and 2026, and 1.8% in the long term. The actual GDP forecast is declining. The Federal Reserve believes that the US economy will decline slowly in the future (this is a pre-adjustment for a soft landing)
At 02:00 in the morning, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations. At the same time, the U.S. second quarter dot plot was released. The result was that the expectation of interest rate cuts was greatly weakened, and the positive sentiment of unemployment and CPI was weakened.
data:
1. The interest rate decision currently continues to maintain 5.25%-5.5%, which is in line with market expectations.
2. GDP growth: 2.1% in 20204, 2.0% in 2025 and 2026, and 1.8% in the long term. The actual GDP forecast is declining. The Federal Reserve believes that the US economy will decline slowly in the future (this is a pre-adjustment for a soft landing)
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At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and at 3:30 AM, Powell's speech will likely lead to fluctuations in the market. It is advised to observe.
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★The interest rate decision will be announced in 90 minutes★
⚠️Investors, please fasten your seat belts!
It's an opportunity and a risk!
😎Please treat it rationally!
Friends of @【RONIJiepan Elite Group】:
💰Continue to implement the "money picking strategy"!
Good luck to everyone! Wish you big profits! 💸
【Follow Ronnie! Don’t get lost in trading! 】
#美联储利率决议 #加息 #热门话题 #罗尼解盘
⚠️Investors, please fasten your seat belts!
It's an opportunity and a risk!
😎Please treat it rationally!
Friends of @【RONIJiepan Elite Group】:
💰Continue to implement the "money picking strategy"!
Good luck to everyone! Wish you big profits! 💸
【Follow Ronnie! Don’t get lost in trading! 】
#美联储利率决议 #加息 #热门话题 #罗尼解盘
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One-week review [Like][Like][Like]:
From Monday to Friday, the big cake won a total of 12,300 points.
Except for not taking into account the long-term, and the comprehensive statistics of 8 layers, it actually ate 9,225 points of space!
This is the best reply to the irons, speaking with the most real data, I am Zhou Tong, who only uses data to prove my strength!
It is said that the most beautiful April is the day of the world, and the revival of all things implies "beauty" and "hope". The interest rate cut and halving are in urgent need of big cake. It is not 🉐 up to the sky, the stars and the sea are coming. The operation is not ideal. Cangwei is shrinking 💧 iron, 🉑 and Zhou Tong will create brilliant achievements again. #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #Meme #APT #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH $BNB
From Monday to Friday, the big cake won a total of 12,300 points.
Except for not taking into account the long-term, and the comprehensive statistics of 8 layers, it actually ate 9,225 points of space!
This is the best reply to the irons, speaking with the most real data, I am Zhou Tong, who only uses data to prove my strength!
It is said that the most beautiful April is the day of the world, and the revival of all things implies "beauty" and "hope". The interest rate cut and halving are in urgent need of big cake. It is not 🉐 up to the sky, the stars and the sea are coming. The operation is not ideal. Cangwei is shrinking 💧 iron, 🉑 and Zhou Tong will create brilliant achievements again. #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #Meme #APT #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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🔷We are now entering the World Central Bank Week, and central banks of various countries have announced a new round of monetary policies, which are generally based on interest rate cuts. The interest rate decision announced by the Federal Reserve late tonight will have a huge impact on the crypto market.
🔶The previous value and the forecast value are both 5.50%. My personal analysis is that it is slightly lower than the forecast value or remains unchanged, which is bearish. Bitcoin is likely to fall back to around 63,400. [For reference only, not for investment]
♦️Note: If the index is higher than expected, it is bullish/bullish,
and if the index is lower than expected, it is bearish/bearish
#合约养家
#美联储利率决议
🔶The previous value and the forecast value are both 5.50%. My personal analysis is that it is slightly lower than the forecast value or remains unchanged, which is bearish. Bitcoin is likely to fall back to around 63,400. [For reference only, not for investment]
♦️Note: If the index is higher than expected, it is bullish/bullish,
and if the index is lower than expected, it is bearish/bearish
#合约养家
#美联储利率决议
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🔥100x community news:
Probability of Fed rate cut in March drops to 15%
On February 6, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 85%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 15%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 37.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 54%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 8.3%.
#CME #美联储利率决议 #美联储 $BTC #美联储降息
Probability of Fed rate cut in March drops to 15%
On February 6, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 85%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 15%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 37.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 54%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 8.3%.
#CME #美联储利率决议 #美联储 $BTC #美联储降息
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🤔Then it’s almost time to cut interest rates!
100X community news:
Powell hints FOMC still predicts three rate cuts this year
On February 5, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s interview with “60 Minutes” was broadcast. During the interview, host Pelley asked Powell: In the Federal Reserve’s forecast last December, this year’s interest rate cut would bring interest rates to about 4.6%. Is it still possible? "These forecasts were made in December, these are the individual forecasts of the participants, this was not the committee's plan and we will update them at the March meeting," Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said. I will say, though, that there's nothing in the interim that would make me think the committee would change their forecasts significantly.
#美联储利率决议 #美联储会议 #美联储降息 $BTC
100X community news:
Powell hints FOMC still predicts three rate cuts this year
On February 5, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s interview with “60 Minutes” was broadcast. During the interview, host Pelley asked Powell: In the Federal Reserve’s forecast last December, this year’s interest rate cut would bring interest rates to about 4.6%. Is it still possible? "These forecasts were made in December, these are the individual forecasts of the participants, this was not the committee's plan and we will update them at the March meeting," Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said. I will say, though, that there's nothing in the interim that would make me think the committee would change their forecasts significantly.
#美联储利率决议 #美联储会议 #美联储降息 $BTC
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Today's BTC market is the same as what Lao Deng expected in his article. Since yesterday, when the long and short positions were killed, it has entered a one-day oscillation period without any fluctuations.
Now let's look at the explosive information. The meaning of the article is in Figure 3. Interested friends can go and have a look. Lao Deng got a signal from this article. The US non-farm data should be bearish. But for some special reasons, it has become bullish. We will not talk about sensitive topics. Please read the article yourself.
Then let's take a look at Lao Deng's strategy in the morning. Lao Deng said in the morning that he was still bearish. In addition to various bearish news, we should just short the long-term trend. The important point is that please bring the stop loss when opening an order. Lao Deng's orders may not make money, but risk control must be done well. The stop profit position on the morning order is 66450. Yes, we should not be greedy this time, and only take a thousand points of profit first. Lao Deng was too greedy for placing two orders and did not analyze the positive news of CPI. Otherwise, according to the negative news of the Federal Reserve, our short order should be able to take a big trend!
#热门话题 #美国5月CPI超预期回落 #美联储利率决议 $BTC
Now let's look at the explosive information. The meaning of the article is in Figure 3. Interested friends can go and have a look. Lao Deng got a signal from this article. The US non-farm data should be bearish. But for some special reasons, it has become bullish. We will not talk about sensitive topics. Please read the article yourself.
Then let's take a look at Lao Deng's strategy in the morning. Lao Deng said in the morning that he was still bearish. In addition to various bearish news, we should just short the long-term trend. The important point is that please bring the stop loss when opening an order. Lao Deng's orders may not make money, but risk control must be done well. The stop profit position on the morning order is 66450. Yes, we should not be greedy this time, and only take a thousand points of profit first. Lao Deng was too greedy for placing two orders and did not analyze the positive news of CPI. Otherwise, according to the negative news of the Federal Reserve, our short order should be able to take a big trend!
#热门话题 #美国5月CPI超预期回落 #美联储利率决议 $BTC
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🌈Fed Powell: We are not far away from having confidence to cut interest rates
100X Community: Be wary of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts! The market has been rising for too long, and now a rate cut is a good thing, and a correction may come!
On March 8, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said, “We are not far away from having the confidence to lower interest rates.”
#美联储降息 #热门话题 #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH
100X Community: Be wary of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts! The market has been rising for too long, and now a rate cut is a good thing, and a correction may come!
On March 8, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said, “We are not far away from having the confidence to lower interest rates.”
#美联储降息 #热门话题 #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH
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The time nodes of the Fed's interest rate cut in 2024:
1st time: 3 am on February 1st
Interest rate decision
2nd time: 2 am on March 21st
Lissin decision + economic outlook
Dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
3rd time: 2 am on May 2nd
Interest rate decision
4th time: 2 am on June 13th
Interest rate decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
5th time: 2 votes at 2 am on August 1st
Interest rate decision
6th time: 2 am on September 19th
Lissin decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
7th time: 3 am on November 8th
Interest rate decision
8th time: 3 am on December 19th
Interest rate decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
#美联储利率决议 $BTC
1st time: 3 am on February 1st
Interest rate decision
2nd time: 2 am on March 21st
Lissin decision + economic outlook
Dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
3rd time: 2 am on May 2nd
Interest rate decision
4th time: 2 am on June 13th
Interest rate decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
5th time: 2 votes at 2 am on August 1st
Interest rate decision
6th time: 2 am on September 19th
Lissin decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
7th time: 3 am on November 8th
Interest rate decision
8th time: 3 am on December 19th
Interest rate decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
#美联储利率决议 $BTC
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Will the Fed cut interest rates this week? Trump reiterates BTC strategic reserves to push coin prices to new highs!
Macro Interpretation: This time we will talk about the analysis of #美联储利率决议 . This week, the Federal Reserve will have its last interest rate decision this year. The market is paying close attention and generally expects that the Federal Reserve will continue to #降息 25 basis points. This expectation coincides with the general view of Wall Street, indicating that the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy.
Economists at Goldman Sachs Group hold similar views and point out that the Fed may hint at a slower pace of easing in the future at this week's meeting. They predict that although the Fed will still cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, the pace of subsequent rate cuts will slow significantly, and may even be suspended in January next year. Goldman Sachs economists believe that the reason for this shift is that the unemployment rate is lower than expected, while inflation is still above the target level. Therefore, the Fed needs to strike a balance between maintaining economic growth and controlling inflation.
Economists at Goldman Sachs Group hold similar views and point out that the Fed may hint at a slower pace of easing in the future at this week's meeting. They predict that although the Fed will still cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, the pace of subsequent rate cuts will slow significantly, and may even be suspended in January next year. Goldman Sachs economists believe that the reason for this shift is that the unemployment rate is lower than expected, while inflation is still above the target level. Therefore, the Fed needs to strike a balance between maintaining economic growth and controlling inflation.
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Greeks.live macro researcher Adam published the important events and market trend outlook for this week (4/15-4/21) on the X platform. The most eye-catching event this week is the Bitcoin halving, which is expected to be completed on Saturday, which will cause the mining output to be halved from 6.25 BTC per block to 3.125 BTC per block. As an important moment for Bitcoin, the Bitcoin halving is of historical significance and may trigger market fluctuations, which deserves close attention.
Another focus this week is the conflict in the Middle East, and a large number of related events and statements are expected this week, which may cause significant fluctuations in the speculative market.
Important events this week include:
Monday, April 15: The United States releases March retail sales data, and the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announces the first list of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Thursday, April 18: The Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditions, announces the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and TOKEN2049 will be held in Dubai.
Friday, April 19: Coinbase files an interlocutory appeal in the US SEC lawsuit.
Saturday, April 20: Bitcoin is expected to complete the halving.
Cryptocurrency market outlook: Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market have experienced a sharp correction in the past week. Most altcoins are close to the "halving" state, but cryptocurrencies led by Bitcoin have ushered in an overall rebound today, and Dvol (volatility) has also rebounded to 71%.
#热门话题 #BTC大饼减半， #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #美联储利率决议 $BTC
Another focus this week is the conflict in the Middle East, and a large number of related events and statements are expected this week, which may cause significant fluctuations in the speculative market.
Important events this week include:
Monday, April 15: The United States releases March retail sales data, and the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announces the first list of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Thursday, April 18: The Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditions, announces the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and TOKEN2049 will be held in Dubai.
Friday, April 19: Coinbase files an interlocutory appeal in the US SEC lawsuit.
Saturday, April 20: Bitcoin is expected to complete the halving.
Cryptocurrency market outlook: Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market have experienced a sharp correction in the past week. Most altcoins are close to the "halving" state, but cryptocurrencies led by Bitcoin have ushered in an overall rebound today, and Dvol (volatility) has also rebounded to 71%.
#热门话题 #BTC大饼减半， #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #美联储利率决议 $BTC
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#美联储利率决议 #鲍威尔讲话
Tomorrow at 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, Powell will speak at 2:30, and the number of unemployment benefits will be announced at 8:30 p.m. tomorrow.
Especially the decision at 2 a.m. and Powell's speech, you should pay special attention to it, and Heyue players should pay special attention to avoid being stuck in the ups and downs.
Tomorrow at 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, Powell will speak at 2:30, and the number of unemployment benefits will be announced at 8:30 p.m. tomorrow.
Especially the decision at 2 a.m. and Powell's speech, you should pay special attention to it, and Heyue players should pay special attention to avoid being stuck in the ups and downs.