🔥Take it slow, the benefits of interest rate cuts will be released slowly, before a bull market can take off!

100X Community News:
CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in February is 96.9%

On January 28, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping the interest rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range unchanged in February is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 3.1%.

#CME #美联储是否加息？ #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH $SOL

There isn’t much to say. The focus is still on the content of Powell’s meeting. The market predicts that Powell will be hawkish. This involves an interpretation issue. If the market wants to interpret his remarks as hawkish, he will be hawkish anyway! More often than not, Powell is willing to practice Tai Chi.
There is one key point in the content of this meeting that requires attention: whether it will be discussed and hinted at the imminent slowdown of QT. After all, only by slowing down QT can we move towards QE!
Powell's hawkish words are expected to prompt market approval for fewer rate cuts.
The problem with interest rates is to maintain them at a high level and not cause a big shock. If they blow up, then I will blow up too!
Oh, and GBTC is sold on a grayscale basis. If they don’t sell it, it seems that they can’t beat their friends. When this ETF was approved, there seemed to be questions about what GBTC would be replaced by. I forgot about it, so this is within expectations. To put it bluntly, it’s visual risk! #美联储利率 #美联储利率决议

★The interest rate decision will be announced in 90 minutes★
⚠️Investors, please fasten your seat belts!
It's an opportunity and a risk!
😎Please treat it rationally!
Friends of @【RONIJiepan Elite Group】:
💰Continue to implement the "money picking strategy"!
Good luck to everyone! Wish you big profits! 💸
【Follow Ronnie! Don’t get lost in trading! 】
#美联储利率决议 #加息 #热门话题 #罗尼解盘

At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and at 3:30 AM, Powell's speech will likely lead to fluctuations in the market. It is advised to observe.

#BTC four-hour level, currently near the testing of the second ascending trend line. If future closes are below approximately $96,800 (not an absolute point, approximate location, allowing for error), it can be seen as a breakdown. Breaking below the trend line indicates a bearish trend in the medium to short term. Short-term support is around $94,150/$90,500, while medium-term support is still looking at the trend line starting point near $85,000. Before the four-hour closing price breaks below the trend line, there may still be a chance for a rebound (similar to the last time, where it dipped twice and then rebounded).
In fact, it mainly depends on the U.S. stock market. As I mentioned before, if the U.S. stock market is at a stage top, then BTC will also follow with a significant correction.
Currently, many people like to attribute the reasons for the decline entirely to Powell's remarks on #比特币战略储备 . This actually reflects a lack of understanding of macroeconomics and #美联储利率决议 , and the hawkish logic of this statement, merely staying within the narrative of the crypto industry. In fact, from the end of the bull market in 2020-2021 to the peak, the crypto market has almost completely aligned with macro policies and the peak of the U.S. stock market. Especially in the past three years, the mining industry has shifted to North America, and Bitcoin spot ETFs were listed for trading in the U.S. at the beginning of this year. The pricing power of BTC is now almost entirely controlled by the U.S. market. The U.S. stock market continued to decline overnight, which will naturally also impact the crypto market led by BTC. This is also why I often mention the macro logic of the movements of #美股 , #美元指数 , gold, and their impact on the crypto market during my analysis.

One-week review [Like][Like][Like]:

From Monday to Friday, the big cake won a total of 12,300 points.
Except for not taking into account the long-term, and the comprehensive statistics of 8 layers, it actually ate 9,225 points of space!
This is the best reply to the irons, speaking with the most real data, I am Zhou Tong, who only uses data to prove my strength!

It is said that the most beautiful April is the day of the world, and the revival of all things implies "beauty" and "hope". The interest rate cut and halving are in urgent need of big cake. It is not 🉐 up to the sky, the stars and the sea are coming. The operation is not ideal. Cangwei is shrinking 💧 iron, 🉑 and Zhou Tong will create brilliant achievements again. #大盘走势 #新币挖矿 #Meme #APT #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH $BNB

🔥100x community news:
Probability of Fed rate cut in March drops to 15%

On February 6, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 85%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 15%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 37.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 54%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 8.3%.
#CME #美联储利率决议 #美联储 $BTC #美联储降息

Today's BTC market is the same as what Lao Deng expected in his article. Since yesterday, when the long and short positions were killed, it has entered a one-day oscillation period without any fluctuations.

Now let's look at the explosive information. The meaning of the article is in Figure 3. Interested friends can go and have a look. Lao Deng got a signal from this article. The US non-farm data should be bearish. But for some special reasons, it has become bullish. We will not talk about sensitive topics. Please read the article yourself.

Then let's take a look at Lao Deng's strategy in the morning. Lao Deng said in the morning that he was still bearish. In addition to various bearish news, we should just short the long-term trend. The important point is that please bring the stop loss when opening an order. Lao Deng's orders may not make money, but risk control must be done well. The stop profit position on the morning order is 66450. Yes, we should not be greedy this time, and only take a thousand points of profit first. Lao Deng was too greedy for placing two orders and did not analyze the positive news of CPI. Otherwise, according to the negative news of the Federal Reserve, our short order should be able to take a big trend!
#热门话题 #美国5月CPI超预期回落 #美联储利率决议 $BTC

🌈Fed Powell: We are not far away from having confidence to cut interest rates

100X Community: Be wary of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts! The market has been rising for too long, and now a rate cut is a good thing, and a correction may come!

On March 8, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said, “We are not far away from having the confidence to lower interest rates.”

#美联储降息 #热门话题 #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH

The time nodes of the Fed's interest rate cut in 2024:

1st time: 3 am on February 1st
Interest rate decision

2nd time: 2 am on March 21st
Lissin decision + economic outlook
Dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference

3rd time: 2 am on May 2nd
Interest rate decision

4th time: 2 am on June 13th
Interest rate decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference

5th time: 2 votes at 2 am on August 1st
Interest rate decision

6th time: 2 am on September 19th
Lissin decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference

7th time: 3 am on November 8th
Interest rate decision

8th time: 3 am on December 19th
Interest rate decision + economic outlook
+ dot plot + Fed Chairman's press conference
#美联储利率决议 $BTC

🤔Then it’s almost time to cut interest rates!

100X community news:
Powell hints FOMC still predicts three rate cuts this year

On February 5, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s interview with “60 Minutes” was broadcast. During the interview, host Pelley asked Powell: In the Federal Reserve’s forecast last December, this year’s interest rate cut would bring interest rates to about 4.6%. Is it still possible? "These forecasts were made in December, these are the individual forecasts of the participants, this was not the committee's plan and we will update them at the March meeting," Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said. I will say, though, that there's nothing in the interim that would make me think the committee would change their forecasts significantly.
#美联储利率决议 #美联储会议 #美联储降息 $BTC

Greeks.live macro researcher Adam published the important events and market trend outlook for this week (4/15-4/21) on the X platform. The most eye-catching event this week is the Bitcoin halving, which is expected to be completed on Saturday, which will cause the mining output to be halved from 6.25 BTC per block to 3.125 BTC per block. As an important moment for Bitcoin, the Bitcoin halving is of historical significance and may trigger market fluctuations, which deserves close attention.

Another focus this week is the conflict in the Middle East, and a large number of related events and statements are expected this week, which may cause significant fluctuations in the speculative market.

Important events this week include:

Monday, April 15: The United States releases March retail sales data, and the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announces the first list of spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Thursday, April 18: The Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditions, announces the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and TOKEN2049 will be held in Dubai.

Friday, April 19: Coinbase files an interlocutory appeal in the US SEC lawsuit.

Saturday, April 20: Bitcoin is expected to complete the halving.

Cryptocurrency market outlook: Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market have experienced a sharp correction in the past week. Most altcoins are close to the "halving" state, but cryptocurrencies led by Bitcoin have ushered in an overall rebound today, and Dvol (volatility) has also rebounded to 71%.
#热门话题 #BTC大饼减半， #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #美联储利率决议 $BTC

#美联储利率决议 #鲍威尔讲话

Tomorrow at 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, Powell will speak at 2:30, and the number of unemployment benefits will be announced at 8:30 p.m. tomorrow.

Especially the decision at 2 a.m. and Powell's speech, you should pay special attention to it, and Heyue players should pay special attention to avoid being stuck in the ups and downs.

🏛️ As the FOMC meeting approaches, market speculation on different expectations for interest rate cuts has increased. How should investors respond?

As the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on September 18 approaches, the market is holding its breath waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. A recent report from 10X Research warned that if the Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, it could herald some worrying economic data, resulting in significant short-term volatility in the market.

Currently, according to CME data, the market predicts that the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut next week is as high as 73%, while the probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut is 27%. This means that there is nearly a 1/3 chance that the Fed will adopt a more aggressive 50 basis point interest rate cut, while more than 2/3 of the possibility will be a more moderate 25 basis point interest rate cut.

Interest rate cuts have always been an event that the market is looking forward to. Some people believe that only after an interest rate cut, and then with the increase in liquidity, will altcoins have the opportunity to see significant price increases.

However, the specific reaction of the market is random. So whether it's going up or down, and whether any potential surge will happen before a rate cut, with a rate cut, or after a rate cut, is all unknown and all possibilities exist. We will wait and see and make active responses and countermeasures.

At the same time, historical data shows that the Fed's decision to cut interest rates usually leads to a small correction in the market before and after the announcement. At the same time, if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points at one time, they must have seen some very worrying data behind the scenes, which may cause great turmoil to the market in the short term!

I personally agree with the research report of 10X Research. The view is that unless a major financial market crisis occurs within the next week, the probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut is unlikely.

Therefore, if the Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, this may be more positive news for the investment market, because it shows that the economic situation is within control, the overall state is relatively stable, and the extent of the interest rate cut is also within expectations. .

💬How much do you think the Fed will cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting? 25 basis points or 50 basis points? Will you adjust your investment portfolio in the face of possible market fluctuations? Leave your opinions in the comment section!

#美联储利率决议 #FOMC会议 #市场预测 #降息影响

🔥The size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has dropped to around US$7.5 trillion, with a total balance sheet reduction of US$1.2 trillion in the past year.

100X Community: The balance sheet has been reduced a lot, and interest rates should be cut.

On March 11, according to data from the Federal Reserve’s official website, as of March 5, the size of the Fed’s balance sheet had dropped to US$7.538 trillion, and the cumulative balance sheet reduction over the past year was US$1.2 trillion. On March 10 last year, the U.S. financial regulator announced the closure of Silicon Valley Bank, and a crisis broke out in the U.S. banking industry. The Federal Reserve's balance sheet expanded for three consecutive weeks to rescue the market, and on March 21, 2023, it hit the highest balance sheet scale in the past year. $8.733 trillion.

#美联储降息 #美联储利率决议 $BTC $ETH

😈No need to cut interest rates, BTC can’t rise, wait until next time to cut interest rates

100X community news:
Former Fed "big hawk" Bullard: Cutting interest rates in March is wise

On February 19, former St. Louis Fed President Bullard recently said that he believes the Fed should cut interest rates at its next meeting (March) to pre-emptively prevent its policy stance from overly suppressing economic activity later this year. Two years ago, Bullard was a leading advocate of rapid interest rate hikes, and as recently as last summer he warned that further hikes were necessary. But now he says a rate cut makes sense now that inflation has fallen below 3% and is heading toward its 2% target, based on the Fed's preferred metric. "I think they should act," he said after speaking at a conference of the National Association for Business Economics in Washington. "It may be wiser to act earlier but slower."
#美联储利率 #美联储降息 #美联储利率决议 $BTC

Next month, which is November, there are two main things to focus on:

The first is the US presidential election, which will be held on November 5th. It is likely that it will be Comrade Trump

The second is the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on November 7th (China time is 3 am on the 8th). If nothing unexpected happens, the interest rate will be cut by 25 basis points
So the price of the big cake will rise from the second half of the month to the beginning of next month

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