#ETH Analysis: ETH fell from the highest point of this round, $4108. Also due to the negative impact of the Fed's hawkish statement last week and the reduction in the number of future interest rate cuts, it fell to around $3100. On the evening of December 20, the PCE index announced by the United States fell to a five-month low. The reduction in the price index, which measures the inflation level, will affect the Fed's future interest rate policy. It may be loose, which is bearish for the US dollar and bullish for dollar-denominated assets such as gold, US stocks and the crypto market #BTC . The market also had an immediate reaction and rose. After ETH rebounded to around $3554.4, it fell back and rebounded for the second time, and was in a short-term oscillation. The upper short-term resistance reference is $3555 and $3720. If it is blocked and pulled back, the lower support reference is around $3217 and $3100. These technical positions are also roughly near the main pending orders.


#山寨币热点 Analysis: In the past week, the overall decline of altcoins around December 20 was relatively large, but the performance was more differentiated. Weak altcoins have fallen to the level of the day of the US presidential election in November, while strong altcoins are normal corrections and have ushered in a large rebound in the near future. The Virtuals Protocol ecosystem, Pump.fun ecosystem and AI Agent Launchpad have relatively high growth rates. Many related concept tokens have increased significantly, and there are also currencies that have doubled.

#期权 Market: After the market experienced a wash last week, the spot price maintained horizontal fluctuations. This Friday, nearly $20 billion of Bitcoin and Ethereum options will expire, accounting for nearly half of Deribit's total holdings. The expiration of options may trigger a volatility sell-off at the end of the quarter, especially when the spot price is sideways and sellers continue to roll short positions. If BTC breaks through $100,000, volatility may remain stable, otherwise altcoins may have a chance to catch up. Although the European and American markets are closed for the Christmas holidays, the crypto market has seen a significant rise driven by Bitcoin. Due to the poor market liquidity from the Christmas holidays to the end of the year, the power required for price fluctuations is relatively small. In terms of options, the short-term implied volatility (IV) has dropped compared to the previous day, and the market maker's position transfer is nearing the end. It is expected that IV will remain stable before the end of the year. Currently, the biggest option pain point for Bitcoin is $84,000, and that for Ethereum is $3,000. These annual biggest pain points may become invalid as in previous years.

Three major events on options Friday (29th) will affect the BTC market trend:

The first big event: Huge BTC options delivery
Tomorrow is the options quarterly delivery day. 41% of BTC options and 46% of ETH options will expire for delivery, with a value of over $15 billion, which may have an impact on the market.

The second major event: PCE data release
PCE data will be released at 8:30 tomorrow night. If it is higher than expected, it will be negative.
PCE stands for Personal Consumption Expenditure. The Federal Reserve attaches great importance to this data. It uses PCE data to understand people's consumption habits and whether there is tightening. More importantly, PCE also contains the PCE price index, which can show whether people's costs of food, clothing, housing and transportation are rising or falling. This has a very big effect on the Fed's control of inflation or employment.

The third major event: Powell’s speech
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech at 11:30 tomorrow night. It will be good if we continue to insist on the view that interest rates will be cut three times this year. Attitude changes, negative, good position control.

Investment must be flexible, and you must learn to judge the direction of the wind and follow the trend. The only constant is change itself.
#降息 #期权 $BTC $ETH

Yesterday, 37,000 Bitcoin options expired, and on December 29, 150,000 Bitcoin options will expire, most of which are call options, indicating that everyone is optimistic about the market outlook #比特币 #期权

One of the strategies with the greatest chance of success at the moment might be to increase volatility. Since the ETF was introduced, Bitcoin's volatility has almost halved:

The Bitcoin Volatility Index (DVOL) dropped from a high of 73.59 on January 8 to a weekend low of 41.46, a cumulative drop of 43.7%.

Bitcoin's halving is coming up in April, and volatility is likely to pick up after the Spring Festival.
#期权

#期权 #期权市场 Brothers, a certain easy option total position near 24H fell by 29.42%, and the option trading market activity declined

On March 29, ETH and BTC will usher in the largest option expiry and delivery in history, with 41% of BTC options and 46% of ETH options expiring and delivered.

The total delivery amount exceeded US$15 billion, which is almost the largest quarterly delivery in history in terms of proportion and value.
Such a large-scale delivery will undoubtedly lead to the release of huge amounts of margin, which will have an impact on the current market institutions.

I like spot goods and want to make money together. Click on the avatar for the spot goods in the Tunniu Market. Follow me. Facing fans, I share my bull market strategy layout for free. I am a free blogger, just to increase my fans.
#BTC #ETH #期权

#期权

We are happy to announce that Greeks.live has reached an agreement with the main investors of the first round (Pre-Series A)!

Our team is committed to providing our users with the best cryptocurrency options trading experience possible, and this funding will help us achieve that goal.

We are excited to continue exploring new opportunities and partnerships in the coming years and look forward to sharing our progress with you. Thank you for your continued support and we can’t wait to reveal the future of Greeks.live to you! 😀

As the Christmas holiday gradually passes and the annual delivery approaches, the Bitcoin Volatility Index Dvol has returned to above 60% after a month.
The implied volatility IV of the main term rebounded yesterday, but the realized volatility RV of the corresponding term fell instead, causing the current volatility risk premium VRP to rise to the highest level since April.
Greeks.live Gezhi pointed out that option premiums are rising as the expected arrival of ETFs gets closer.

$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #sol #期权

Today, the trading volume of bulk call options has increased significantly. ETH bulk call options traded 67,000 contracts, accounting for nearly 30% of the total trading volume on the day, and BTC bulk call options traded 3,400 contracts, accounting for 20% of the total trading volume on the day. From the distribution of transactions, the largest ETH contract was 4000Call, which expired in September, and the largest BTC contract was 90000Call, which expired in December. Both are forward out-of-the-money call options.

#期权 #BTC #ETH

It is once again confirmed that the funding rate is one of the best funding observation tools.

Starting at noon on March 13, BTC has been fluctuating in a wide range of 70,000 USDT-73,000 USDT for more than 32 hours. During this period, the funding rate has been higher than 30% (the highest is even above 80%), which means that the bulls have been losing blood. Just as a friend said in the comment area of ​​the original post: "It can't keep rising. I pay dozens of U in capital fees a day. I can't sustain it if the currency price doesn't rise." With a profit of 1,000u, the rate was charged me 480u.”

What's the meaning? If the rising momentum continues to fail, no one can stand such a high fee rate. Therefore, on March 14, although BTC broke through the upper edge of the shock range (73,000 USDT), it briefly surged to 73700 USDT, but then fell back again, which was a clear exit signal:

The bulls are gradually showing signs of fatigue in this tug-of-war and have been unable to break through. However, they have to continue to pay the shorts an annualized long cost of more than 30%. In this kind of stalemate war of attrition, time is the friend of short sellers. Once some bulls start to take the lead in closing their positions and running away, it will trigger a domino stampede, with a drop of at least 5%-10%.

Therefore, in terms of investment performance-price ratio, the performance-price ratio of perp is not as good as that of put here, especially the doomsday virtual value put. A few lots per day, using limited losses to earn excess returns - once there is a 5%-10% drop, the returns will be double rise.

The funding rate is bearish + the doomsday put is self-defense, and it has been tried and true.
友情提示下风险：BTC 和 ETH 的资金费率，已连续 32 小时处于 30% 以上水平（最高甚至在 80% 以上），多头是一直在失血。
#BTC #期权

The settlement of these contracts will be the focus of market attention, with the key price point (i.e. the biggest pain point) of BTC options locked at $60,000, while ETH options focus on the important psychological price of $3,000.

Friday (August 9) will usher in the expiration date of a large number of options contracts, involving Bitcoin (BTC) options with a notional value of approximately $1.534 billion and Ethereum (ETH) options with a notional value of $464 million.

As the expiration date approaches, market participants will closely monitor the trading dynamics near these key price levels to assess their possible impact on the overall cryptocurrency market.
#期权

Beware of the risk of "pinning" in the market! The option delivery date is coming. Is it a harvest or an opportunity? How to choose?

Today's market may be very turbulent, so beware of the risk of pinning. We have to make two preparations: First, manage your money well and don't take too much risk. If the short-term contract has made money, sell it quickly to lock in profits. Second, be prepared to buy at a low price when the market reverses, so that there is a chance to make more money.

Today is a special day because there are many Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring. Now everyone thinks that the market will rise, but if the actual situation is different from what we think, the market may suddenly rise and fall. So, we have to be prepared at all times and don't be scared by sudden fluctuations.

The market has been swaying recently, but it has generally remained at the price of 70,000. However, if the market continues to rise, more people need to invest. It is still a bit far from this goal now, so we have to be patient and wait for more people to join in.

There are also some rumors that Ethereum may be regarded as a security and that there has been no news about ETFs. These are actually noises in the market, and we don't need to pay attention to them. Regardless of the outcome, Ethereum is a hot topic that everyone is paying attention to, and it is as important as Bitcoin. We just need to hold our own coins and wait for the market to get better.

In addition, the SEC's lawsuit against Coinbase may also have some impact on the market. Sometimes when the market is rising, some big investors will use bad news to suppress the market. But no matter how they toss, we must firmly hold good assets, because the overall market is still good now, and our long-term investment plan cannot be shaken.
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH（二饼）
#期权

How to understand options? for example
Iphone15 is about to be launched, with an official price of 10,000 yuan per unit.
Xiao Ming is so strapped for money that he cannot afford an iPhone 15 until his salary is paid on the 25th of next month. However, iPhone 15 is in short supply, and the price of buying it keeps changing.
So he found the mobile phone seller Lao Zhang, gave him a 500 yuan deposit, and signed an agreement to sell it to him on September 25 at a price of 10,500 yuan/unit.
In the blink of an eye, on September 25, the market price of the mobile phone was 12,000 yuan/unit, but Xiao Ming bought an iPhone 15 from Lao Zhang for 10,500 yuan/unit as agreed.
If the price drops to 9,000 yuan/unit, Xiao Ming can give up the 500 yuan deposit and not buy the mobile phone from Lao Zhang.
Theoretical explanation:
The agreement signed by Xiao Ming and Lao Zhang is the option
500 yuan is the option fee
10,500 yuan/unit is the exercise price
September 25th is the exercise time
The rights may or may not be exercised upon expiration.
#期权

Brothers, please help, has anyone used deribit options exchange?

Please give me a way to register an account. I live in mainland China. There is a Chinese option in the nationality, but when I register, it says banned. How can I crack it?

The options on this exchange are relatively professional and are used to hedge risks.

If you have any other options exchanges, you are welcome to recommend them.

Thank you.
#期权 #options

🔔Nearly $8 billion in cryptocurrency options are about to expire, and the Bitcoin and Ethereum markets may see huge fluctuations!

The cryptocurrency market is about to enter a busy period, as more than $5.8 billion worth of Bitcoin and more than $1.8 billion worth of Ethereum options contracts are about to expire on September 27 (this Friday).

According to the Deribit exchange report, there are currently $5.836 billion worth of BTC options and $1.883 billion worth of ETH options to be settled, of which about 20% are in-the-money options.

Now there are a large number of Bitcoin and Ethereum options about to expire, of which 20% of these Bitcoin options are "in-the-money" options, and the same is true for Ethereum options. This means that there may be more option references who will choose to close their positions at this critical time node, causing a wave of market fluctuations.

Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers mentioned that market volatility may increase as traders prepare to close or roll over their positions. Rollover is a strategy in which traders extend the holding period by closing expiring contracts and opening new ones.

On the other hand, the positive attitude of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) towards options linked to the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) may attract more institutional investors to the market.

Pricing and market sentiment for options in the coming months show that investors are bullish on Bitcoin and Ethereum, with a negative bearish-call skew, indicating that call options are more popular than put options.

🧐 What do you think about the impact of the upcoming options expiration this Friday on the market? What strategy will you adopt under the current market sentiment?

#期权到期 #加密货币市场 #期权

#BTC #ETH #期权 Brothers, a large number of big cake and ether options will expire tomorrow, pay attention. $BTC $ETH

There will definitely be big fluctuations in the market next week. How to go long on volatility and capture the short term?

Options can be taken advantage of.

By buying at-the-money options twice, you can make considerable profits no matter which direction the market goes up or down.

Specifically, it means buying call options and put options with the strike price closest to the spot price at the same time.

Once there is a sharp rise or fall on one side, the volatility will inevitably increase significantly.

Option pricing will increase, and combined with the price movement, options will skyrocket many times over.

The profit minus the option premiums for buying calls and puts will still have a surplus, which is profit.

To make a profit from double buying options, you need a huge increase of at least 10%.

Therefore, timing is very important, and it is best to fluctuate immediately after buying.

Therefore, the 24 hours before the ETF is announced is a good time point.

What if it doesn’t fluctuate? Then I'm willing to admit defeat.

After all, options are cheaper than spot money, and you will lose much less money if you lose the bet. It is a model of limited losses and unlimited profits.

If you understand options, you might as well bet on "Volatility Roulette" together! #期权 #Options