At 3 AM, I believe everyone will be focused on the news of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. However, the market has already firmly priced in a 25 basis point cut, so the market will likely follow the script for the rate cut. In fact, the risks during the meeting still revolve around the dot plot and the tone of Powell's speech.
If Powell mentions a slowdown in rate cuts for next year during his speech, the market will react with a certain decline, so we still need to see what old Powell has to say.
#降息预期 #BTC再创新高

Brothers who have received many orders are currently in a state of floating profit and can close half of them. If you want to have a pattern, slowly move the stop loss up. The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at 3 a.m. The fluctuations may be relatively large. Pay attention to the risks. Brothers, $BTC
#降息预期

Morning market highlights to focus on:

1. Bitcoin adjusted downward after a false breakout last night; in the short term, watch for support levels at 3834-3790. If it encounters support, there may be a bounce, but if it breaks below, it will likely drop significantly, so be cautious!!!
2. Altcoins are expected to have another surge; the current Bitcoin dominance does not indicate the end of the market.
3. New coins launching are just a means to profit; poor market sentiment!
4. KOS announced token economics: total supply of 1 billion tokens, over 50% allocated for ecological and community activities.
5. January 20th, before Trump's inauguration, could be a peak in short-term market sentiment.
6. Fuel launched an airdrop eligibility check portal, planning to airdrop 10% of FUEL tokens.
7. Bloomberg analysts expect multiple cryptocurrency ETFs to launch next year, with LTC being the third cryptocurrency likely to see a rise.
8. The Federal Reserve will discuss interest rate cuts at 3 AM tonight; watch for market volatility.

#降息预期

The Fed's September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, President Powell has spoken!!!

As the comments of Fed officials have solidified expectations of a September rate cut in the United States, investors have flocked to gold as a safe-haven asset, and spot gold has hit a record high. Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said: "Now the probability of a September rate cut by the Fed has reached 100%, and Fed Chairman Powell's comments yesterday are driving the gold market up." Phillip Streible, chief investment strategist at Blue Line Futures, also said, "We will see two rate cuts (this year), one in September and one in December, because expectations for a September rate cut have risen to 100%.#美联储何时降息？ #降息预期 #降息9月至11月 #山寨季何时到来？ #以太坊ETF批准预期

It's over, it's over

A friend saw my bottom-fishing in the square and went all-in for 6u, and asked me if I would get liquidated😂, and said that if I saw the liquidation tomorrow, I would be responsible😅 Don't do this, I don't dare to post predictions if you do this😭

My suggestions are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Please stay rational😅
#降息预期 #美国CPI

#杰克逊霍尔年会
Fed: If inflation continues to fall, it will support rate cuts !!!

Fed Governor Bowman said she remains cautious about the policy shift because there are still upside risks to inflation, but if price growth continues to slow, it would be appropriate for the central bank to begin to gradually lower interest rates.

Under the current policy stance, inflation should continue to fall, and if future data continue to show that inflation is continuing to move toward our 2% target, it would be appropriate to gradually lower the federal funds rate to prevent monetary policy from becoming too restrictive.

Bowman believes that "further progress has been made in reducing inflation" in recent months, but upside risks remain due to "increased geopolitical tensions, additional fiscal stimulus measures, and increased housing demand caused by immigration."

It is worth noting that on Wednesday, Eastern Time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the preliminary report on the non-farm employment and wage census for the first quarter of 2024. Economists at JPMorgan Chase expect that the non-farm downward revision for this year will be about 360,000, but Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect at least 600,000 downward revisions.

If the downward revision of employment exceeds 501,000, it will be the largest in 15 years, indicating that the cooling of the labor market will take longer and may be more severe than previously thought. The data may also affect the tone of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. #美联储何时降息？ #降息预期 #新币挖矿DOGS

No interest rate adjustment in November, no increase or decrease#非农人数大幅升温 #降息预期
The Fed's interest rate decision has an important impact on global markets, including cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Interest rate cuts usually increase market liquidity, encourage more people to invest in high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, and drive their prices up. For example, after the Fed cut interest rates in 2020, the price of Bitcoin rose by 1,600%. Conversely, interest rate hikes reduce liquidity, making high-risk assets such as Bitcoin less attractive. For example, during the Fed's interest rate hike in 2022, the price of Bitcoin fell by about 65%.

Bitcoin is often seen as a tool to fight inflation because its fixed supply makes it less susceptible to currency depreciation. As institutional investors gradually include it in their portfolios, the price of Bitcoin is expected to continue to rise. Although it will be affected by interest rate changes in the short term, in the long run, analysts predict that Bitcoin may reach new highs by the end of 2024, and may even break through $100,000.

Interest rate cuts are good for Bitcoin, while interest rate hikes are not. However, Bitcoin's long-term potential remains strong, especially in the current inflationary and macroeconomic environment, where many people regard it as a safe-haven asset.
$BTC

Day7 90.49→94.1 3.98% 2024-09-14 (1/2)
Missed the rally…Tangled heart
Next target 103.51
…
This growth was actually done after closing the order last night. I placed four or five long orders with retracements before going to bed, but none of them were opened. When I woke up, $BTC stood above 60k, and $ETH also reached a maximum of 2460, as if the sky had fallen.
I woke up at 11 o'clock in the morning, and I was very entangled: In fact, I said the point of entanglement a few days ago: I made the right direction, but the pace of profit-taking was too short, especially in recent days, after being tossed by the retracement that day, my mentality became even more timid.
…
But for now, I still don't plan to adjust the strategy, and slightly increase the profit-taking amplitude to 0.6%. Do not increase the leverage. Slightly increase the opening position.
As a veteran in the cryptocurrency industry, I deeply understand these commonplace issues:
1. Profits and risks coexist
2. K-line summarizes the past but does not predict the future
Take a classic example:
A certain target rises from 5,000 to 8,000, and you take profit. At the same time, you think it will pull back to 6,500 next. Then you have two choices at this time
1. Open a short at 8,000, wait until 6,500 to take profit and then open a long at 6,500
2. Clear the position and wait for the market, wait until 6,500 and then open a long at 6,500
In fact, 6,500 is just your guess. The former may earn more, but it also bears the risk of continued market rise. Any news may break your guess.
…
The market will reach a peak and then retreat on a large scale on the 19th, because the expectation of interest rate cut will be realized.
I may close the position in those days, because I just want stable growth, not ups and downs, or even liquidation.
#50u挑战2000wRMB
#降息预期

❤️昨日5月28日，纳斯达克指数首次收于17000点以上。英伟达股价突破1110亿美元，总市值达2.8万亿，较苹果仅差1000亿美元。高盛数据显示，所谓的美股七姊妹，目前约占对冲基金对单一股票净敞口总额的20.7%。
欧洲央行管委诺特称表示：根据3月份的预测，最理想的是今年降息3-4次；霍尔茨曼称：最多三次。
#降息预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Overview of the key points of the Fed's September interest rate decision
Policy shifts to easing: The Fed announced a 50 basis point rate cut and adjusted the dot plot, indicating that there is still room for rate cuts in the future, marking the beginning of the monetary policy cycle turning to easing.

Adjustment of economic expectations: Although the GDP growth forecast for this year was slightly lowered and the unemployment rate forecast was raised, the Fed remained confident that inflation would return to the 2% target and the economy would softly land.

Employment market focus: Powell emphasized at the press conference that the labor market was stable, but attention should be paid to downside risks, which shows the Fed's attention to employment issues.

Future rate cut rhythm: The Fed said it would gradually determine the rate cut rhythm based on economic conditions, and the market needs to pay attention to changes in economic data.

Asset allocation strategy: In a limited easing environment, investors need to re-evaluate asset allocation and consider interest rate normalization and possible QE scale restrictions.

$BTC $ETH $SOL #token2049 #降息预期 #降息 #点滴财经

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points beyond expectations
$BTC
$ETH
The Fed's interest rate decision exceeded expectations by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. This rate cut may lead to risk aversion among investors.
For the bull market, the subsequent momentum is guaranteed. The current price has fallen after reaching 62,500. If the price cannot stabilize above 60,000, there may be a large wash down to 50,000.
Intraday operation:
At the current price of 62,000-625,000, you can try to enter a short order, with a target of 60,500. Stop loss 62,800
#新币挖矿HMSTR #token2049 #降息预期

$BTC US stocks plummeted, and the probability of a 50bp rate cut in September dropped to 30%.

#美股指数 #降息预期

#山寨季何时到来？ #BTC☀ #降息预期
The EU has announced a rate cut, which is in line with market expectations. So is the US rate cut far away?

The initial unemployment benefits in the US are also a small positive. Let's see if it can stand above 72,000 tonight. At the current position, every step is under great pressure.
$BTC

Fed's Kugler: If unemployment continues to rise, it would be appropriate for the Fed to cut interest rates in advance

On July 17, Fed Governor Kugler said that the rebalancing of the job market means that inflation will fall to 2%. If the unemployment rate continues to rise, it would be appropriate for the Fed to cut interest rates in advance, and reiterated the position that "it would be appropriate to cut interest rates later in 2024."

"The risks facing inflation and employment are now more balanced. Inflation has continued to decline, but it is still above the target. Data released by non-government departments provide another perspective for the overall economy." In addition, Kugler said that he is cautiously optimistic that US inflation will make progress toward 2%, and the Fed does not want the labor market to cool too much.

#降息预期 #美联储何时降息？

On July 25, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 93.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.7%.
The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 89.6%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 10.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 0.3%
#降息预期 #降息预测

$MOLI has been washing for more than a month, and the price is ready to go.

It just so happens that the interest rate cut in September is coming, the market trend is strong, and the copycat season is coming.

$MOLI will be listed on several exchanges soon. It has also passed the meme election qualification of Binance.

Brothers who don’t know can learn about it and ambush it. The market value is low now and there are many positive factors. Maybe buying now is the beginning of the turning of your destiny.

#降息预期 #BTC☀

Fed mouthpiece: If the non-farm payrolls tonight are "explosive", a substantial rate cut will be imminent

Fed mouthpiece Nick Timiraos published an article as the August non-farm payrolls are about to be released, saying that tonight's employment report will affect the extent of the Fed's rate cuts. If the August non-farm payrolls are another bad employment report, it may lead to a sharp 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but if the employment situation is good, it will keep the Fed on track to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. At the Fed's September 17-18 meeting, the focus of the debate was whether to start with a more traditional 25 basis point rate cut or a larger 50 basis point rate cut to prevent an undesirable weakness in the job market.
The August recruitment and employment report, which will be released tonight, will be key to making a decision on rate cuts. A decent employment report could prompt officials to start a possible series of rate cuts with a 25 basis point rate cut. Friday also happens to be the last day that Fed officials can communicate publicly before the start of the self-imposed pre-meeting blackout period. New York Fed President Williams and Fed Governor Waller are scheduled to speak after the jobs report, the last chance to set expectations for the upcoming meeting.

KPMG Chief Economist Diane Swonk said there is a very strong case for a 50 basis point rate cut. The labor market is not in recession, but it is on thin ice. Even with good data on Friday, labor market weakness is increasing.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #降息预期