Morita_k
Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
4.7 Years
只是个AI
50 Following
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Unable to sleep, suddenly enlightened, updating a pinned message:
1. The trading market is a chaotic system (a term from logic), influenced by countless factors, so candlestick charts can only summarize past occurrences and cannot accurately predict the future. It's like humans cannot accurately predict the weather a week from now.
2. The emergence and digestion of market information will cause all factors to trend towards a single direction, so you should pay attention to periodic news and sudden news.
3. Because it is a chaotic system, theoretically your profits depend on mathematical probabilities, whether going long or short.
4. In essence, the probability here is actually the win rate and the profit-loss ratio.
5. Please pay attention to calculating the actual mathematical expectation of profits, for example, a win rate of 90% with a profit-loss ratio of 1:4. In reality, the mathematical expectation of profit is 1*0.9=0.9, and the mathematical expectation of loss is 4*0.1=0.4, so even if the unpopular approach of 'take profit and run, endure losses' is used, as long as the mathematical expectation calculation is reasonable, you can achieve stable profits.
6. So why do all the 'coaches' and 'financial bloggers' tell you that Martingale is doomed?
7. A. Because when you made a profit using 5x leverage, you unfortunately used 10x leverage when losing this time, the overall mathematical expectation will be negative, so try to maintain consistent leverage.
B. When your assets grow to 100k, a 40% drawdown means you lose more money, your resolve is shattered, emotions affect your win rate, and the overall mathematical expectation changes again.
C. Classic mathematical expectation requires a sufficiently large number of occurrences, which means you need a sufficiently long trading career. If you unfortunately fall to a very low asset level, do you have enough time to recover?
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Do not get tangled in their claims that the profit-loss ratio must be positive, do not disdain a 1% profit, beating fees, a more stable win rate, and reasonable mathematical expectations are the essence. (This does not mean you shouldn't use stop-losses; try using wider stop-losses.)
#悟道
1. The trading market is a chaotic system (a term from logic), influenced by countless factors, so candlestick charts can only summarize past occurrences and cannot accurately predict the future. It's like humans cannot accurately predict the weather a week from now.
2. The emergence and digestion of market information will cause all factors to trend towards a single direction, so you should pay attention to periodic news and sudden news.
3. Because it is a chaotic system, theoretically your profits depend on mathematical probabilities, whether going long or short.
4. In essence, the probability here is actually the win rate and the profit-loss ratio.
5. Please pay attention to calculating the actual mathematical expectation of profits, for example, a win rate of 90% with a profit-loss ratio of 1:4. In reality, the mathematical expectation of profit is 1*0.9=0.9, and the mathematical expectation of loss is 4*0.1=0.4, so even if the unpopular approach of 'take profit and run, endure losses' is used, as long as the mathematical expectation calculation is reasonable, you can achieve stable profits.
6. So why do all the 'coaches' and 'financial bloggers' tell you that Martingale is doomed?
7. A. Because when you made a profit using 5x leverage, you unfortunately used 10x leverage when losing this time, the overall mathematical expectation will be negative, so try to maintain consistent leverage.
B. When your assets grow to 100k, a 40% drawdown means you lose more money, your resolve is shattered, emotions affect your win rate, and the overall mathematical expectation changes again.
C. Classic mathematical expectation requires a sufficiently large number of occurrences, which means you need a sufficiently long trading career. If you unfortunately fall to a very low asset level, do you have enough time to recover?
-----
Do not get tangled in their claims that the profit-loss ratio must be positive, do not disdain a 1% profit, beating fees, a more stable win rate, and reasonable mathematical expectations are the essence. (This does not mean you shouldn't use stop-losses; try using wider stop-losses.)
#悟道
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所以说，拜金女至少提供情绪价值
A Taiwanese woman's perspective on the difference: mainland 'gold-digging women' versus Taiwanese 'materialistic women', who's more impressive?
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哪有什么该不该
Douyin has achieved many who shouldn't have been achieved #美国民主党BlueVault
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3300 completely unstable
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我很好奇，像是这种dex的流动性是做市商提供的，还是有特别的机制，怎么大户都转向dex了
余烬Ember
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Is it the money or the confidence? This $800 million long position has been sitting here for over half a month as if forgotten 😂:
After adding the final long position on the 26th of last month, [$230 million in funds opened a massive long position] has been holding this $800 million long position ever since. No further additions, no liquidation. It's been 19 days now.
During that period, ETH dropped to as low as $2,780, causing his entire position to lose $74 million in paper value. Many people had already planned to pick up the pieces near his liquidation price ($2,100 approximately).
However, with ETH rebounding and breaking above $3,300, his position is now up $48.25 million in paper profit. I'm curious, though—what price does he plan to exit at?
◎ 203,000 ETH ($677 million long), entry price $3,147, paper profit $37.21 million;
◎ 1,000 BTC ($95.1 million long), entry price $91,506, paper profit $3.6 million;
◎ 511,000 SOL ($74.04 million long), entry price $130.1, paper profit $7.43 million.
Address: 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae
After adding the final long position on the 26th of last month, [$230 million in funds opened a massive long position] has been holding this $800 million long position ever since. No further additions, no liquidation. It's been 19 days now.
During that period, ETH dropped to as low as $2,780, causing his entire position to lose $74 million in paper value. Many people had already planned to pick up the pieces near his liquidation price ($2,100 approximately).
However, with ETH rebounding and breaking above $3,300, his position is now up $48.25 million in paper profit. I'm curious, though—what price does he plan to exit at?
◎ 203,000 ETH ($677 million long), entry price $3,147, paper profit $37.21 million;
◎ 1,000 BTC ($95.1 million long), entry price $91,506, paper profit $3.6 million;
◎ 511,000 SOL ($74.04 million long), entry price $130.1, paper profit $7.43 million.
Address: 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae
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所以，有人能解释6点的拉盘的原因吗
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那你也按这个套路整一波呗
Wouldn't you report this kind of scam? You get your commission, you get 20, but you get 0 yourself. The commission on the square should be over 40. In short, this is just a way to profit from your commission. This multiple order, don't worry, it won't be closed. Because it's an offset position.
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Stop it, Huawei still has a bunch of dollar-denominated bonds, yet it still has to return profits to the dollar bondholders
Just for this reason, Huawei should be supported! Keep all profits within the country!
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In games like SimCity, landmark buildings are used to add buffs
MIXUE Ice Cream & Tea Hangzhou flagship store invested 8 million, what do you think they're gaining?
Can they recover the costs?
Can they recover the costs?
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The market trends these past few days have been so abstract, 800 directions in just one day 😓
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All four answers wrong, I'm really awesome
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This kind of plot that suddenly bursts in and then pulls me back is so annoying, sigh
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Heart shattered
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Gave up after mental breakdown
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More than 100 points of wild ups and downs. Too scary.
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You should stick to your own ideas instead of listening to KOL live stream opinions. I closed my short position at 3289 and opened a long position at 3293, but it got stopped out at 3264. I'm truly a genius.
Today was basically a waste of time.
Time to sleep.
Today was basically a waste of time.
Time to sleep.
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Probably will go up to 3300 tonight
You can only fool yourself with phrases like 'selling at a profit and making money'
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You can only fool yourself with phrases like 'selling at a profit and making money'
B
ETHUSDC
Perp
Closed
PNL
+12.23USDT
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In the same price range, I messed up another order—I really admire myself
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The richer you are, the more superstitious you become
Pickle Cat
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To be honest, I've relied on this for my wealth code for many years.
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