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美联储的利率决定和鲍威尔的新闻发布会与昨天的分析几乎一致。 全球BTC 10:00 (GMT+8) 数据 (AI小黑) 期货多空比:52%:48%(空头直接放弃) 现货买卖比例:49%:51%(资金流入仍在观察中) 我们来讨论一下货币宽松:国际市场的宽松都是指美元。增加美元的充裕度和流动性就是货币宽松。 美国联邦储备: 在这次新闻发布会上,鲍威尔强调退出量化紧缩(QT)。即使不降息,尽快增加市场流动性也是必要的。根据杠杆率分析,隔夜逆回购大概率会调整,为市场提供至少500-2万亿元的流动性。这相当于货币宽松和降息,而美元指数同时下跌。 日本银行: 作为美日金融联盟的一部分,日本央行再次与美联储合作,发布了7月和9月加息的消息。买入日元并卖出美元会刺激美元疲软,从而减少市场上可用的自由资金。七年的征程,又一轮的收获开始了。 去美元化: 欧洲和美国以及国际社会都在去美元化。特别是金价飙升、日元升值、欧元走强直接推动美元贬值。美元贬值是贸易和金融领域最重要的货币宽松形式。 BTC目标:80,000 ETH目标:4,500 不惧波动,强调现货交易,减半前出现最重大黑天鹅事件的可能性已经减小。 #BTC #ETH #TradeNTell #TradeNTell。 #tradingStrategy

美联储的利率决定和鲍威尔的新闻发布会与昨天的分析几乎一致。

全球BTC 10:00 (GMT+8) 数据

(AI小黑)

期货多空比:52%:48%(空头直接放弃)

现货买卖比例:49%:51%(资金流入仍在观察中)

我们来讨论一下货币宽松:国际市场的宽松都是指美元。增加美元的充裕度和流动性就是货币宽松。

美国联邦储备:

在这次新闻发布会上,鲍威尔强调退出量化紧缩(QT)。即使不降息,尽快增加市场流动性也是必要的。根据杠杆率分析,隔夜逆回购大概率会调整,为市场提供至少500-2万亿元的流动性。这相当于货币宽松和降息,而美元指数同时下跌。

日本银行:

作为美日金融联盟的一部分,日本央行再次与美联储合作,发布了7月和9月加息的消息。买入日元并卖出美元会刺激美元疲软,从而减少市场上可用的自由资金。七年的征程,又一轮的收获开始了。

去美元化:

欧洲和美国以及国际社会都在去美元化。特别是金价飙升、日元升值、欧元走强直接推动美元贬值。美元贬值是贸易和金融领域最重要的货币宽松形式。

BTC目标:80,000

ETH目标:4,500

不惧波动,强调现货交易,减半前出现最重大黑天鹅事件的可能性已经减小。

#BTC #ETH #TradeNTell #TradeNTell。 #tradingStrategy

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【Black Golden (BG) 0426 Daily Report】 (Data timeliness is 18 hours) BTC experienced significant fluctuations between 62,700 and 65,300, leading to the liquidation of both bulls and bears. Currently, BTC is influenced by expectations surrounding the PCE data and settlement prices. The market is expected to see a surge over the next few days due to events in Hong Kong's ETF. Especially driven by Justin Sun's purchase of ETH , which may lead to an upward movement for ETH. Next week's FOMC meeting will be the key moment for BTC to find direction. The U.S. first quarter GDP unexpectedly dropped significantly, and the growth portion mainly came from the contributions of consumer spending and investment. However, the GDP contributed by inflation may lead to economic negative growth under high inflation, which is the primary concern for the FOMC. We still expect to begin the first rate cut in September and to cut rates by a total of 75 basis points throughout the year. Global BTC 10:00 (GMT+8) (AI Little Black) Futures long-short ratio: 43%:57% (Both bulls and bears faced liquidations, but bears still have the upper hand.) Spot buying-selling ratio: 49%:51% (Increased trading volume, mostly selling.) BTC: Same as above the analysis, BTC sought support around 62,000 and rebounded to 65,300. Expect intense struggles around 64,000, with a wide range of fluctuations between 62,000 and 66,000. There's a high probability of a rebound above 65,000 this weekend. The key will be whether the PCE data is off the charts. ETH: Signs of a rebound in ETH are apparent. Pay attention to the resistance around 3,260 and event in Hong Kong. Consider entering around 3,000 and selling above 3,200. Short-term holdings. Stay tuned for my midday and evening reviews for special analyses. $BTC $ETH #大盘走势 #token2049 #BTC #ETH #新币挖矿
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