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$BNB

The recent market at $BTC is basically like picking up q, right? Just like I mentioned, the trend is pretty clear. Every noon, I short until the US market opens—during this midnight period, we tend to see a short-term bottom, and then it rebounds by the morning.

At least this pattern has been consistent for a few days now, and this kind of choppy market is likely to stick around for a bit longer, just like I said, maybe one to two weeks. After this consolidation phase, there's a high probability we'll see a major correction coming.

It's hard to pinpoint exactly when the correction will happen, but trading this choppy market according to the pattern has been basically unbeatable. I've been telling you about this once-a-year pattern of consolidation.

Honestly, I know that a lot of people thought I was talking nonsense a few days ago, so I even emphasized that if you trade according to this pattern and don't make q, I'll eat my own eyeballs. If you think it doesn't look right, you can open the charts yourself to see if it's accurate.

If it were just some random talk, I wouldn't have emphasized it on 小太阳. Analysts love this market because it's so easy to find a pattern and execute trades one after another.

$CHZ This coin seems like a lot of folks are already in the game, riding the World Cup hype. I’m in the mix too, but I just want to throw a little cold water on the situation; it’s unlikely we’ll see much of a pump.

The reason being, in the past, the World Cup hype around fan tokens typically starts heating up one or two months prior. Looking back at this year, the fan token sector had a pump back in April. My first share was at the end of March for 0.37.

I think we’ve already seen the hype play out; at least that's the case for CHZ. For those with low entry costs, you might want to set a cost protection and wait to see if there’s any minor rally. For those who are in at a higher cost, it’s time to cut losses; there’s basically no opportunity left.

Last night we mentioned that as long as $BTC 79 holds, we’re in for some sideways action. And look, the market is doing just that. Right now, we’re bouncing between 82500 and 78500. This kind of market is super friendly for traders who analyze positions; finding the patterns and capitalizing on them is just too easy. Basically, it's a great time to rake in profits.

Earlier this morning, I mentioned that while the market at $BTC is set to dip, it won't be a smooth ride. As long as we hold the line at 79000, we can expect to see some sideways action!

Tonight's markup on the "Structural Bill" seems like the market's been led by the hype train. Right now, you've got a ton of clickbait headlines screaming about "serious rifts between the two parties" and "possible failure," but if you really look at the committee vote breakdown, the chances of it passing are actually pretty high.

First off, let's talk about the outcome: after tonight's markup, it's highly likely it will move directly to the Senate, with the market currently estimating a passing probability of around 95%. The reason is simple—the Republicans have the upper hand in committee votes with a 13:11 structure that pretty much sets the direction. As long as there aren’t any extreme surprises, the bill is unlikely to flop at this stage.

The real variable isn’t whether it passes or not, but rather what the final version will look like. There are over a hundred amendments on the table, and we’re about to enter the phase of pulling them apart one by one. This includes limits on stablecoin yields, increased accountability for DeFi developers, and added ethical and review clauses, all of which will impact the final heft of the bill.

In other words, the positive effects might get toned down, but the direction won’t reverse.

What the market should really focus on is the core of regulatory classification.

This framework has clearly defined BTC and ETH as "commodities," and that’s the crux of it. Once core assets are clearly classified, a lot of regulatory logic, institutional access, ETF expansion, and the legality of on-chain finance will start to be rebuilt around this framework.

To put it in plain terms:

The U.S. is trying to establish a "fundamental law" for the crypto market.

Before, it was all fuzzy regulation, with projects constantly guessing if they were classified as securities; now it might shift to tiered regulation—who's a commodity, who's a security, who falls under the CFTC, and who falls under the SEC will gradually become clearer.

That’s also why Wall Street's attitude towards BTC and ETH has noticeably hardened recently. Because many are betting not just on short-term price action, but on the "legalization dividend."

Some bros are saying you mentioned $ASTER was in the final accumulation phase, right? Why has it been in my bag for so long without any pump, just moving sideways? Usually, the big players on Binance play it like this; their strength speaks for itself. They've got enough capital and patience to accumulate. After all the dips, how much lower can it really go? Personally, I'm holding strong no matter what.

What kind of rod is worth 20,000 u? Any bros want to grab one and share their experience?

At this point, a bunch of folks are probably saying they were right, look, it's dropped.

Honestly, it's a bit like popping champagne halfway through the ride. I've been emphasizing shorting since around $BTC 81000, but I think we need to keep an eye on the 79000 level; if it breaks, we’ve got support at 77.

I really don’t know how some folks are seeing a straight drop to 50000; it could be the butterfly effect, with just one piece of news or event enough to sway the price.

They all say to trade with the trend? What does that even mean? Following the market step by step is what they mean by trading with the trend, not making wild predictions—that's for the prophets.

The Fed finally has a new face. Kevin Warsh barely squeaked through with a 54:45 vote, marking one of the most contentious Fed chair votes in recent years, with only one defector from the Democrats supporting him. Interestingly, after Powell's term ends, he isn't leaving right away but sticking around on the board. The last time we saw this was decades ago.

What does this mean? It means that old Powell, while no longer the chair, is still in the mix. Every move Warsh makes will be compared to the Powell era by the market. To make things trickier, he’s stepping into a tough situation, with the latest PPI shooting back up to 6%, prompting the market to reprice expectations for 'long-term high rates.' Those rate cut hopes that had been building are now slowly getting wiped away.

And here comes the dilemma. Trump has been bashing Powell for years, claiming his rates are too high and stifling the economy and the stock market. Now that he finally has a chair more aligned with his views, Warsh steps in to face rising inflation right off the bat. If he cuts rates too aggressively, inflation could explode again; but if he keeps rates high, the market could realize that changing the chair doesn't mean changing the policy.

Many thought Warsh would be more dovish than Powell, but once you're in the Fed, priorities often shift. There’s a rule of thumb with the Fed chair position: anyone can call for rate cuts from the outside, but once you’re in the seat, the first thing to protect is always the dollar.

When asked how the talks were going, Musk said they were "going very smoothly" and mentioned that "a lot of good things are happening." Cook gave a "Yay" to the camera and then gave a thumbs up. Huang Renxun said, "the talks are going really well" and stated that both heads of state are "awesome." This was reported by Emily Goodin from the New York Post on X this morning. Let's hope the negotiations yield great results!

Just to add my two cents $BTC , my stance hasn't changed, but the market's still going to be volatile; it won't just smoothly take off, so hang tight!

The bears think the bear market is halfway over! Have the bulls really seen the bear market pass halfway? Let's get precise on the charts; if we hold the daily mid-band around 79, we could still see some sideways action!

I've seen some bros saying whether PPI is affecting the market. How do we read the data? Let me break it down for you: anything below three stars or three stars is not significant; four stars are worth a glance, but if you want to trade, only focus on the five-star ratings!

Trump's visit to China this time reveals several clear economic signals.

First, the U.S. is more reliant on the Chinese supply chain than the outside world imagines. After the U.S.-Iran conflict drove up energy prices, America's biggest pressure is not just oil prices, but the entire commodity inflation is starting to rear its head again. Rising business costs and more expensive consumer goods, combined with a high-interest rate environment, will increasingly pressure U.S. stock valuations. If, at this moment, they continue to aggressively push for a trade war and suppress Chinese imports, it's equivalent to leaving all the costs for the U.S. to digest.

So, Trump's visit to China itself indicates one thing: the U.S. fundamentally cannot do without Chinese manufacturing in the short term. They can talk about bringing manufacturing back, but actually completing a rapid industrial chain substitution in a high-inflation environment is extremely challenging. The Republican Party needs to stabilize prices and market sentiment first.

The second signal is actually about AI. Jensen Huang suddenly joining the delegation speaks volumes. Nvidia's biggest pressure right now isn't technology but the market's assumption that it can maintain super high growth in the coming years. Losing the Chinese market long-term would impact both revenue and valuation. The current situation is quite simple: U.S. tech companies lack income, while Chinese firms lack computing power.

Thus, after AI chip restrictions, we are likely to see some degree of loosening. U.S. tech giants need the Chinese market to continue supporting their growth narrative, and China needs high-end chips to drive AI industry development; both sides actually have demands.

Third, China is starting to become more pragmatic. Over the past year, U.S. imports from China have clearly declined, with pressures from external demand, real estate, and local finances all existing simultaneously. In this context, the importance of stabilizing exports, stabilizing business expectations, and stabilizing the RMB exchange rate is clearly higher than continuing to escalate friction.

So the direction we see now is very clear: China is willing to use Boeing orders, agricultural product purchases, and energy imports to exchange for a more relaxed trade environment. These types of orders are substantial, yield quick results, and can directly improve market sentiment. U.S. companies receive orders, while China gains a better export environment and a restoration of risk appetite; essentially, it's a win-win situation.

$BTC Looks like the market is gearing up for some patterned action. I’m thinking of going short every afternoon, then flipping long when the US markets open until the early hours. Around noon to the afternoon is where I’d continue to short. This pattern is hard to pin down, but eventually, we might see a sudden crash—though an upswing is also on the table, but let’s be real, that’s less likely.

Still, the trading in between should be pretty profitable. Just hit those stop losses at the right time and take it easy. Each phase tends to have its own rhythm; I played this game last year, but unfortunately, I ended up losing my gains to the subsequent volatility.

Maybe it’ll take about a week or two.

Trump's in Beijing, those bros who keep shouting about taking him out have their chance now, better move fast.

Trump's visit to China this time was definitely a bit different. Normally, when he travels abroad, he’s surrounded by politicians, diplomats, and security advisors, but this time he brought a lot of folks from the business and investment scene. It feels less like traditional diplomacy and more like negotiating deals, securing orders, and stabilizing the economy.

This aligns pretty well with Trump's style; he’s got that business mindset. In his eyes, a lot of international relations ultimately boil down to interests. Making money, creating jobs, and keeping the capital markets stable are way more important than just shouting slogans.

Plus, there’s a lot of pressure back home in the U.S. — high debt, high interest rates, and manufacturing issues are all on the table. Instead of continuing a hardline approach, capital clearly prefers finding new avenues for collaboration. After all, businesses don’t talk ideology every day; they focus on profits and markets.

So, the most interesting part of this visit isn’t really what he said, but rather who he took with him. In a way, that’s already a signal.

Binance is about to delist a batch of altcoins, scaring those observation tokens into a pump. Among these few coins, three are on the watch list. Honestly, this kind of delisting is good; it helps us weed out the junk and better embrace the altcoin season ahead!

In about two weeks or a bit more, this page will show a sea of red, indicating a significant drop in prices.