At this stage, the basic cleaning of the copycat is very good. Many of the price peaks have returned to the prices in January. It is a very good choice to suppress the copycat and welcome the vitality cycle. I don’t know if you still remember that I wrote a post before. Although the content is relatively brief, it summarizes a lot. Whether it is betting on the copycat later or this wave of callback, it may be boring for a while, but it is better than not daring to increase the position and regret it when it rises later.

Then what are the opportunities in each track in the second half of the next half?

1: Top sports events such as the European Cup on June 15 and the Olympics in July usually start to hype about one or two months in advance. SANTOS is the son of a certain An, Por is endorsed by Ronaldo, and AGK is endorsed by Messi. Small market value can be several times.

2: Ethereum Prague upgrade is coming! Ambush in advance OP (2), IMX (1.8), ETHFI (3.5), SSV (35), PENDLE (5) should all be good choices

3: Sol's annual conference will be held in September this year, jup (0.85), pyth (0.55), jto (2.3), ray (1.2), and meme-based bome are all worth considering.

4: There will be news of GPT5 being released in the middle of the year. On May 2, ocen, fet, and agix will announce the details of the merger. RNDR (8), WLD (4.5), arkm (1.3) will follow the trend and narrative hotspots and start a new wave.

5: ETC will reduce production in June, and there is hype. In the past, ETC (24) can double its production every time it reduces production.

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETHFI🔥🔥🔥 #ETH🔥🔥🔥

Stop, forget, and follow the wind; walk, watch, and be calm.

Patience is more important than gold. I have been busy recently, so I have plenty of time to wait!

When I ask you to pick up steamed buns, you will experience how happy it is to pick up corpses in the mountain village!

If you hesitate, you will fall or not. This month will be over soon.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Some main characteristics:

Volume-driven self-inflation: The main feature is that the price first rises with high volume, or opens sharply higher and then fluctuates with huge volume. The essence of the picture is that it does not rise much!

Volume-driven or sharply higher opening will definitely attract some chips to take over. We all know that the main force is not like us retail investors who only have a small amount of chips to sell with one click. Then this will appear a kind of scene, the market jumps up and down to give us a false impression that the main force is absorbing chips and preparing to re-accumulate power to rush up!

This is like the wolf is coming. After a few more highs and falls, retail investors will relax their vigilance. If they feel that they can't fall, they will boldly increase their positions. For example, every time the main force rises and falls, it sells a part of the chips, and then the market falls sharply the next day and then touches the bottom and violently withdraws the feeling that it can't fall! After many times, everyone will ignore this. Isn't it possible to ship slowly?

It's a bit far-fetched. Let's talk about the second feature later!

The stronger it is at the top: If the main force ships, how can it become stronger and stronger? This involves a previous point. The main force has a lot of chips and can't sell them all at once like retail investors.

The main force is an actor who has to drag the price of the currency to give retail investors confidence, and at the same time think about how to sell. If the trick is not performed well, retail investors may be aware that they have run away first, and then they can't sell at a high position.

So he has to repeatedly smash it down and pull it up, and even constantly set new highs to stimulate the highest desire of retail investors. Therefore, the more the top of the shipping area, the harder the main force has to perform.

Then the trend is reflected in the trend feeling is still very strong, so the technical indicators will produce divergence after shock or divergence after continuous adjustment and setting new highs. This is the logical principle of divergence and back words.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Regarding the issue of selling at a loss, selling at a loss is common and difficult to avoid in trading.

The disadvantage of entering the market too early on the left side and holding positions without cost advantages is that traders will be particularly sensitive to price fluctuations before prices reverse or reach expectations, especially when the positions are large, it is easier to change the original trading plan.

Originally, the intention was to gain a high profit-loss ratio at the extreme position, but in the end, it became a hasty exit to avoid further losses.

Therefore, selling at a loss cannot be completely avoided, but it can be optimized through some details. Although you can't eat "big meat", you can at least drink some "soup".

Regarding a long market, in the initial stage, your question is not what targets you have, but whether the market at that time is suitable for long positions? To what extent should you go long?

In order to answer these questions, you need to understand not only the overall trend of the market (up or down), but also the possibility of the trend continuing to develop at that time. If you judge that it will continue to develop, you also need to measure in some way how much it may develop before the trend reverses at that time.

In other words, when doing it, you must understand the potential risks and potential returns.

In addition, what do you think of the following? #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 $BTC $ETH $BNB

The following important events:

September 23: Cryptocurrency hearing, the U.S. House of Representatives will discuss in depth a number of cryptocurrency-related issues including DeFi.

September 27: U.S. core PCE data released, this data is one of the important bases for the Fed's decision-making, and may affect the market's expectations for the Fed's subsequent policies.

September 29: CZ released, as the founder of Binance, his return may have a certain impact on the cryptocurrency market. $BTC $ETH $BNB

The rules after the historical interest rate cuts are as follows:

1. US Treasury bonds: interest rates are trending downward, but in the case of a "soft landing", they may rebound within 1-2 months after the first interest rate cut.

2. US dollar index: there is no absolute correlation between the trend and interest rate cuts, and whether there is a "soft landing".

3. US stocks: the rally may "stalled" before and after the first interest rate cut, but it usually resumes rising 2-3 months after the interest rate cut.

4. Gold: the probability of rising before the interest rate cut is high, but the trend after the interest rate cut is unclear. $BTC $ETH $BNB

Many newbies who have just entered the circle, without even understanding the basic logic of investment, go all in with huge amounts of money, and end up starting over with scars, especially since the meme craze has become popular again recently. It is recommended that newbies observe more and do less FOM

If you want to make money in the cryptocurrency circle, you must at least have a certain investment logic.

Whether it is based on the continuous expectation of trends and themes, or trading behavior based on technical fundamentals, buying and selling must have a basis, and you cannot blindly chase highs or buy at the bottom based on your feelings.

In this way, the probability of halving is much greater than profit.

Only newbies who have experienced it can understand this pain.

For newbies who don’t know anything, it is sincerely recommended not to enter the market blindly.

Even if you enter, don’t invest too much money.

First use a small amount of money to feel the changes in the cryptocurrency circle, do what you can, and figure out a set of your own trading rules before increasing investment.

$BTC $ETH $BNB

The market is about to start diving, and this is the last chance to pick up a bloody profit before the dawn. Then everyone here will have a comfortable time in the fourth quarter. $BTC $ETH $BNB

There are red buns to pick up, why do we have to rush to pick up white buns.

The next step is to fall directly. October is the beginning of the fourth quarter and the beginning of the market.

I said this a month ago and I still say this now. I feel that there will be a wave of decline before the real market comes, but I can't say when it will happen.

This is why I don't fomo recently. A knife always has edges on both sides. In the end, everyone has to find something that can make stable compound interest, otherwise they have to accept the long time period of adding positions on dips and the relatively inefficient method!

It's quite stressful to express opinions at this time. The whole market is booming, and the whole market is shouting about the surge. I jumped out at this time and said that there might be blood buns to pick up, which is completely against the public. $BTC $ETH $BNB

$STX The pie goes wherever it goes.

Using copper as a mirror, we can dress properly; using people as a mirror, we can know gains and losses; using history as a mirror, we can know rise and fall.

"Sun Tzu's Art of War says that victorious troops win first and then fight, while defeated troops fight first and then win.

"If the Fed cuts interest rates in September, it is taking a military risk, a typical example of fighting first and then winning, and it will bring serious consequences of strategic failure to the US dollar.

If the Fed does not cut interest rates, it will only accelerate the penetration of RMB. If the Fed cuts interest rates, it will make a strategic mistake. The flooded US dollar will definitely suffer a major depreciation under the condition of winning without harvesting and recovering, thereby damaging the foundation of the US dollar's credit.

Obviously, the willpower of Fed Chairman Powell and other directors can no longer support the current high interest rates.

I want to ask everyone to wake me up, forget it, and get ready for a good time to pick up chips! It is also unwise to play leverage during this period. $BTC
#美联储宣布降息50个基点

Here is the interpretation of the interest rate decision I promised you this morning:

First of all, a direct 50 basis point rate cut is a big deal. I would have preferred 25 basis points, but unfortunately it did not go as planned. After all, 25 basis points can more directly reflect that there is no risk in the economy and everything is under control.

The 50 basis point rate cut may be because the Fed saw something that the market did not see. However, the Fed emphasized during the meeting that our 50 basis point cut does not represent what we have seen, but represents our confidence in controlling inflation and the importance of supporting the economy. From past historical experience, the Fed's support effect is still good.

Then there is my future economic situation. Market expectations and sentiments have been jumping back and forth between soft landing and hard landing, and market volatility has also increased. Whether there is a recession or not is the new anchor of the future market, but my personal opinion is the same as before. The probability of a recession this year is not high, especially when no greater risks are seen at present. Timely support can further increase the resilience of the economy.

From a medium- to long-term perspective, the US monetary policy has begun to shift from tightening to easing. It can also be said that the "turning point" of the big cycle has begun. Of course, the road to easing is still bumpy and bumpy, but the general direction needs to be grasped.

In the end, there is enough information in the general direction, but in the short term, we cannot be blindly optimistic, and we must further judge in combination with new data!

The turning point may appear when the next economic data is released. Whether there is a recession or a soft landing is clear at a glance, but according to the Fed's expectation management, the data will definitely not slap in the face. Powell's speech last night was simply impeccable. No one or any investment institution can catch any complaints. From Powell's speech, we can see that the Fed is very confident in future expectation management and economic direction!
#美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC

According to past practice, you only need to read the first sentence of the Federal Reserve meeting. If it is "good afternoon", it is basically a failure, but if it is "hello everynoe", it is stable.
#美联储利率决议公布在即

Is Binance afraid that its users will get rich? Binance $CKB ckb is now quoted at 0.013, BG and 🔥b are twice as much as BN, and Korea Exchange is three times as much as BN, but BN stopped offering B. Is it really afraid that its users will get rich? [laugh cry] ​​​

There is a saying that those who buy are apprentices and those who sell are masters. Although BNX did not tell you to run at the highest point last night, the exit position is still perfect today. Eat the fish but not the last bite! ​​​$BNX

Bnx, I'm leaving first, you guys can eat the rest. It's up 50% in a week, few Bs can catch up. I'm serious about choosing B, but you have any objections! ​​​$BNX

Let's get excited again!

The last time the output was halved in 2016, it took 217 days of shock consolidation after the halving before the vigorous bull market process began.

The last time the output was halved in 2020, it took 182 days of shock repair after the halving before the violent rise was officially confirmed.

This time the output will be halved in 2024, and it has been more than 160 days of shock digestion since the halving. If we look at the experience of 180-220 days, there may be another 20-50 days.

Position determines success or failure!

Wait quietly, miracles will come. The fourth quarter sets sail and blows the horn. $BTC

There is a gap between $BTC 53000 and 54000, which is the red area I circled. Although it may not be filled, the gap filling rate in history is over 90%, and the approximate position is between 53k and 54k. If it is expected to be filled within a week, it is a buying opportunity to return to the gap filling range. Whether it stops falling or rebounds to this range, it is considered a buying opportunity.

Of course, I emphasize that the gap filling is based on history, not the market, so please be rational!

Some big guys just say that something big is coming, and the rest is up to the fans to guess. If it goes up, I'll see. If it goes down, I'll see.

The extreme tug-of-war between the blogger and the fans makes my back teeth crooked with laughter.

We just go long when we should and go short when we should. Although we were wrong two or three times, you still can't ignore that the winning rate is at least above 80%.
Any rebuttal? ​​​
$BTC $ETH $BNB