希曼Heman

$ETH Today bullish, 3720, 3750 take profit, if there is divergence, can short.

$ETH eth bullish today, open long at 3500, take profit at 3580, 3610

WLFI Must Go 1U+
Recently, WLFI has been very popular. I see many KOLs online talking about a lot of incomprehensible things without substance. I have organized a simple mathematical data to formulate the price of WLFI:

Step 1: $WLFI Public Offering Data

Known Information:
$WLFI raised $550 million through public offering, selling 25 billion tokens.
October 2024: 20 billion tokens sold at $0.015, raising $300 million.
January 2025: 5 billion tokens sold at $0.05, raising $250 million.
In July 2025, a governance proposal passed with a 99.94% support rate, allowing $WLFI to become a tradable token within 6-8 weeks (i.e., from the end of August 2025 to mid-September).
The remaining tokens (including those held by founders, teams, and advisors, such as 15.75 billion to 22.5 billion tokens of DT Marks DEFI LLC) are subject to a longer lock-up period and will not enter circulation in the short term.

Step 2: $WLFI Unlocking Data
Unlocking Ratio: There is a high probability of unlocking 20% (5 billion tokens) to 50% (12.5 billion tokens) at the time of listing.
In fact, the less is unlocked, the greater the benefit to us. Since the market value after listing is not significantly affected by the unlocking ratio, the less is unlocked, the higher the unit price will be; the more is unlocked, the lower the unit price will be. The total earnings from the first unlocking are the same. However, subsequent results will differ because the remaining holding amount of tokens in your hand will be different.

Step 3: Benchmarking $TRUMP Data
We benchmark against Trump's meme coin. Circulation of 200 million, highest unit price of $75.
Trump's highest circulating market value:
· Using the highest price of $75.35 and a circulating supply of 200 million:
\text{Highest Circulating Market Value} = 75.35 X 200,000,000 = 15,070,000,000 USD
· That is $15 billion.

Step 3: Calculate $WLFI Listing Price
$TRUMP historical highest circulating market value = $15 billion ($15,000,000,000).
$WLFI initial total supply = 25 billion tokens.
Unlocking ratio at listing = 20% (5 billion tokens) to 50% (12.5 billion tokens).

Calculation Formula:
WLFI Price = Target Circulating Market Value / WLFI Circulating Supply
1. Unlocking 20% (5 billion tokens):
WLFI Price = 15,000,000,000 / 5,000,000,000 = 3 U
2. That is **$3.00/token**.
3. Unlocking 50% (12.5 billion tokens):
WLFI Price = 15,000,000,000 / 12,500,000,000 = 1.2 U
4. That is **$1.20/token**.
Intermediate Scenario (Unlocking 35%, 8.75 billion tokens):
Taking the midpoint of the 20%-50% unlocking range at 35%:
WLFI Price = 15,000,000,000 / 8,750,000,000 = 1.7143 U
That is **$1.71/token**.

The current price of Bitcoin is around 107,000. The bullish trend remains unchanged. The high-level consolidation has been testing the resistance level near 107,000 for three consecutive days. The EMA15 trend fast line support has reached 104,000. It is clear that the bottom is rising rapidly. The top resistance level to focus on is the upper Bollinger Band, which has similarly moved up to 109,500, while the middle band has come down to 101,500. The MACD's top divergence has formed a death cross trend, indicating that the main force is now prepared for two scenarios, with one purpose: liquidation. However, I personally believe that the current price is at a historical high, which is a very sensitive area. The market has a large amount of positions betting on new highs for Bitcoin. The crisis caused by the price movement the day before yesterday has been temporarily resolved, and there is still a considerable probability that it will break through the historical high in the near future, possibly even in the next couple of days. I predict that after the breakout, there will be a larger supply coming in.

Short-term aspect: The four-hour K-line shows two long lower shadow lines, with a downward probe. The EMA30 trend near 104,200 has strongly pulled up, and the MACD has increased in volume, enhancing bullish momentum.

The current price of Ethereum is around 2,550. The daily line shows a contraction pattern at a high level, blocked at 2,600. The EMA15 trend fast line support has come down to 2,385. The overall trend indicator is still in an upward alternating expansion trend, and it will take a few more days to end this alternating expansion trend. The MACD top divergence has reduced in volume, and the DIF and DEA are showing a trend towards forming a death cross. At this time, there is a high probability that the main force will quickly raise prices to sell off. Be cautious. The upper Bollinger Band is at 2,800, and the middle band is at 2,265.

Short-term aspect: The four-hour K-line has faced resistance at 2,600 and has retreated to consolidate within the trend indicator. It is currently located near the intersection point of EMA15 and 30 at around 2,550, with the second support below focusing on 2,450. The MACD has continuously reduced in volume, and the DIF and DEA have not broken the 0 axis to move to a high position. Additionally, the Bollinger Band has not opened upwards in the short term, with the upper band at 2,580 and the lower band focusing on 2,380. This is just my personal opinion! No investment advice is given! #BTC挑战11万大关

No need to know this, when meme coins play with their user importance and coverage, surpassing Pepe is a piece of cake.

Are you talking about the total amount or the maximum supply? The total amount has already been released and may increase, and it is also possible that the revenue equals or exceeds the issuance amount, in which case buyback and destruction will maintain or reduce the total amount.

How many hundreds of millions of dollars have they bought in government bonds?

In reality, only 10% of people can receive benefits.

The official announcement for $USUAL is here, in short: 1. New rewards require a stake of at least 1 month, starting from the 1st of each month; you must complete the staking by the 1st of the next month to receive dividends. 2. There is already a $20 million dividend. 3. New flywheel growth plan. Positive news, take off.

They might just be hedging, on the other side they bought a short

Too many people are using AI to rewrite articles.

Compared to goat, ai16z, and some meme coins, the usual traffic and reputation are definitely not lacking, especially since there is already a TVL of 1.8 billion dollars, and the treasury already has national bonds that can be profitable. The market value is severely underestimated.

$USUAL $ENA $BIO Daily shout, usual strongly recommended, the only potential coin among new currencies. The reasons are as follows:
1. Support from the profit model, usual's profit model is very simple. Unlike bio and pengu, you don’t know if they will be profitable in the future, but usual starts generating profit as soon as it goes live. The greater the demand for usd0, the stronger the profit for usual.
2. Support from scaled demand, usual aims to increase the usage demand for usd0. There are only two ways: one is through marketization, real demand, such as exchanges listing usd0 trading pairs, defi lending, and liquidity provision, etc. The other is that the higher usual's market value, the higher the coin price, and the higher the return rate for staking usd0, which will increase the demand for usd0. Marketization is relatively lengthy, while directly acting as a market maker to boost market value is the fastest. To achieve a scaled brand effect, usual needs to have a market value of at least 5 billion USD, and usd0 must have a circulation of 10 billion USD to transition from the children's table to the adult's table.
3. Demand from the team, many tokens launch with a market value of several billion USD, and the team only needs to sell all their tokens to achieve financial freedom. However, usual launched with a market value of just under 50 million USD, and the team’s tokens are locked for a year. They need to make usual reach the adult's table within a year to sustain operations and realize profits.
4. Demand from market makers and investors, they are backed by BlackRock, Binance, OK, Coinbase, and they will provide full support, offering assistance in both traditional finance and the web3 domain.

$USUAL suggests to heavily invest, as the safety margin of the stablecoin is very high, with a TVL of 18B, making it the fifth largest stablecoin TVL globally, and it has already achieved profitability, with a clear business model comparable to USDT and USDC, one with a market cap of 200 billion and the other with a market cap of 45 billion, showing a clear value benchmark. There are several secure and trusted exchanges investing, indicating it will certainly be listed on the USD0 trading pair, and the founding team has a very good reputation.
Currently, the circulating market cap is less than 500 million USD, with a TVL of 18B, making it currently undervalued.

If I go to trade on uni, will the earnings from mining staking also be received? For example, if I staked 20,000 and the earnings in 10 days is 2,000, will there be 22,000 usual when he sells?

Ran a little early

usd0++ direct holding also has returns, putting usd0 directly into crv to form lp also has returns

The recent decline of $USUAL is mainly due to three reasons:
1. USD0 briefly decoupled; a large trader dumped over ten million USD, causing USD0 to briefly fall to around 0.98, but it quickly recovered, which can be seen as a stress test.
2. Usual withdrawals from staking were originally subject to a 10% fee, but someone formed a LP of usual and usualy on Uniswap, allowing many people to withdraw usual without a fee. This caused many large traders to worry that others would sell off, leading to a rush to withdraw and sell coins.
3. The annualized interest rate has decreased; due to the cost of unstaking, it now takes about ten days to recover this cost, and many people are reluctant to stake.
4. The buying power of spot market hoarders has diminished because staking generates income; many people feel that holding spot assets is not worthwhile. Although the secondary market sees daily trading volumes of over one hundred million USD, it has failed to retain user funds, with quick in-and-out trades.
Future expectations: First, we will look at the profit distribution on the 7th; if it rises above 1.5, confidence will be reestablished, and large traders will again enter the staking market. Additionally, we will observe the upcoming developments in DeFi to see if it can collaborate with major swap and lending markets to enhance the use cases and demand for USD0. When the interest rate drops below 100% in six months, the secondary market may see hoarders entering, as dilution will be reduced.

$USUAL The biggest problem is that the tokens of early investors will be released in one year, and there has been a breach of contract. It was previously said that the tokens would be unlocked in half a year, which led to dissatisfied investors selling the tokens. This is the selling pressure that everyone worries about every month; in addition, 10% of the additional issuance is given to the team, and another part is given to the usd0 pledgers. This means that the longer the pledge is made, the more diluted the stake will be by 10%. Unless the income of the project itself can cover these two parts of the cost, it will lead to a lack of confidence and enter a downward cycle. Originally, if 100% of the additional issuance was given to the pledgers, it would not matter. It's like four people playing mahjong. No matter how much each person's chips increase in proportion, the total amount is still the same. But if you play mahjong in a mahjong hall and charge 10% for each game, the total amount will continue to decrease.