Today's self-media article "m|e|m|e explosion! a|c|t 4700%, b|a|n|a|n|a 4400%! Ruibo and Star explosion, 180 small goal happy beans achieved!" has been published, everyone take a look!
The short position wave is also good. The short position of Pie earned another 2453 points of spread profit! Part of the 90000 stop profit was taken back at the Y-c-2 wave high point 92453! $BTC
Just recalculated, the decline of Ethereum's c3 is normally not less than 2816 (most c3 declines are larger than c1) everyone must pay attention!
2816!
According to this calculation, the possibility of c5 breaking through 2722 is very high. Once it breaks through 2722, Ethereum will truly be bearish (the 5-wave structure at the weekly level is finished! If there is another surge, it will only be a new rise, not the 5-wave) $ETH
The December 23 article "Is the Mid-term Rise Over, Are We in the Accumulation Phase or Pure Distribution Phase? Bull, Bear, or Bull-Bear? How Do You Define Bull and Bear?" stated that the bear has arrived, and particularly emphasized that SOL and Ethereum are both bearish!
Last week also reminded that the bear is ongoing!
Today's article "Short Bear, Medium Bear, or Long Bear? Resting is Also a Kind of Knowledge! Key Time Nodes, Choose the Right Moment to Act!" again emphasizes that the bear is ongoing!
Why do some people ask every day whether it is a bear market? Currently, the only discussion is when the bear market will end! Short bear, medium bear, or long bear? When will the next bull market come?
At 9 AM, the daily BBI at 3324 is the best time to short Ethereum today! The wave structure is at the peak of the b2 rebound! Currently, it is in the b3 decline! The b3 decline must break below 3100 at least!
You can compare Ethereum to the Shanghai Composite Index! They follow the same pattern!
The article on December 23 mentioned that the bear has come. It specifically emphasized that both Sol and Ethereum are bearish! Last week, it was reminded in the group that the bear is ongoing, and today's article again emphasizes that the bear is ongoing! Why do some people keep saying is the bear here?
The latest article from self-media "Short Bear, Medium Bear, or Long Bear? Rest is also a form of knowledge! Key time nodes, seize the opportunity to act!" has been published, everyone take a look!
Yesterday's prediction: 'The big pie is expected to peak at the 12-hour bbi today (Y-b-a wave) and then decline. It can currently be confirmed that the Y-b-c wave is ongoing, and the probability of exceeding 95293 is relatively higher, near tomorrow's daily bbi and daily ma 5! Around 96000, the specifics are up to everyone's indicators.'
Today, the big pie's daily ma 5 is around 95198, daily bbi is at 95800, and the highest rebound reached 95836, which meets expectations! The position is very accurate!
Today I saw a lot of people discussing the usual depegging. A fan traded against me. I was shorting and he was long. So far I have made a lot of money and he lost money! Who do you think will win in the end? You must not accept the depegging of stablecoins. It is more risky than delisting coins! Luna is still fresh in my mind! You need to think twice before going long! 😅$USUAL $LUNA
Yesterday, the A-share market reminded us to reduce positions because it would fall on Friday. Today, the market fell sharply at the end of trading! As expected, it fell sharply! 😅 Every Friday, the market falls sharply at the end of trading! You can’t avoid it!
$BTC Bitcoin and Ethereum $ETH If there is no short-term new low, the number of waves should be like this, and the rebound will come only when the 1-hour BBI is broken. The small-level C wave will end at any time if it is higher than 95382.
If there is no new low, the rebound should come immediately.
When you find that no matter how hard you try to hold a cryptocurrency for the long term, the more you hold it, the more it drops, the market has entered a bear market.
2. What are the cycles of bulls and bears like?
In my opinion, the bull and bear cycles can be classified by duration into short bull, short bear, medium bull, medium bear, long bull, and long bear:
Short bull and short bear last from 10 days to 2 months. Medium bull and medium bear last from 3 months to 6 months. Long bull and long bear last over 7 months.
3. How to correctly define bulls and bears?
Based on years of experience and the persistence of bulls and bears, I think bulls and bears should be defined as follows:
The time span of wave 1 - wave 2 - wave 3 is collectively referred to as a bull (the body of the bull). Wave 4 is called a bear at a lower level of the cycle (during the decline of the bull demon king or the mistress's wave 4, the decline of fish, shrimp, and crabs can usually reach 40%-70%, which is a significant drop, so it's not an exaggeration to call it a bear). Wave 5 is called a bull (the end of the bull). The waves after wave 5, a wave, b wave, c wave, and their variations are collectively referred to as bears (a bear larger than wave 4).
4. What to do in a bear market?
What to do in a bear market? Timing is more important than position. Reduce the frequency of trades, based on the Fibonacci sequence, at key time nodes, buy during significant drops, take profits on 15-30% rebounds, until the bear market ends!
5. Key time nodes
34 days (January 20, 2025, close to the Spring Festival, it is likely to drop during the Spring Festival, short bear).
55 days (February 10, 2025, the 13th day of the lunar new year, must take a shot here! Approaching the Lantern Festival, short bear).
89 days (March 16, 2025, medium bear).
144 days (May 10, 2025, extreme adjustment challenge time for super cycle 3-3-2, medium bear).
233 days (August 7, 2025, can be identified as super cycle 3-2, long bear).
377 days (December 29, 2025, fully identified as super cycle 3-2, long bear).
6. The next important time node
Confidence is very important. I hope this will be a short bear, and we can get through it soon! Last time I advised to bet on a rebound during New Year's Day, and it indeed rebounded! This time I urge everyone to take a shot on February 10, 2025, no matter what!
The trend of Ethereum (ETH) is quite easy to analyze. The c1 wave has ended, and we are currently in the c2 wave rebound!
Rebound targets: 6-hour BBI 3416, 12-hour BBI 3446, and extreme daily MA 5 at 3471 are all possible. The rebound will not effectively stabilize above 3550.
After the c2 rebound, there will be a stronger c3 decline.
The c3 drop could go below 2973.
Shorting during the rebound may be the best choice!