This wave is going to fall back ⚠️❗️❗️
This morning, BTC surged again, reaching a high of $64,700, but the momentum seems to have not kept up. At present, the opening of the US stock market is also a slight rise, without much fluctuation, so this wave is going to fall back.
Why do you think this wave will fall back to $61,500?
Now it has been a few days since the interest rate cut, and it takes a certain amount of time for large funds to enter the market, and large funds are not stupid, and it is impossible to take over at a high position. Although it is said that this round is to see BTC rise to 100,000, it will take time to verify whether it can reach it. So now the lower the chips you get, the more beneficial it is for you, and the ability to resist risks will be further improved. In addition, there may not be any news to stimulate the rise recently, so this week should still be dominated by fluctuations.
So for now, you have to control your hands first, and there will be room for imagination in the future. Ethereum has been very strong recently, but the price is close to $2,700, and there will definitely be a correction. After all, the Ethereum Foundation has been selling Ethereum.
There is a clear difference between the current trend and the expected trend, that is, the current trend has slowed down a lot. The current trend is relatively stable, and there will be no sudden big spikes.
The bull market has always been there, but the rising market is definitely not smooth sailing. There must be twists and turns. Only by persisting to the end can you enjoy the taste of success.
#加密市场反弹 #哈里斯支持数字资产 #BTC☀ #ETH #热门话题 $BTC $ETH

The market should change tonight. The BTC market has been fluctuating around $62,600, and various indicators have also shown that tonight, it will definitely go down and need to step back to the support around $61,650. The trend of Ethereum is also similar. It has been making up for the rise. When it reaches around $2,650, the callback should be coming soon. It needs to adjust a wave and continue to accumulate strength on Monday.
Now the trend of the big cake is a bit obvious. This wave is definitely different from the trend of $65,000. This is very certain. Now the trend of the big cake should be regarded as sideways at a high level, but it may not fall much. Now there must be many people who have started to go short and think that this wave of big drops is coming, but we need to pay attention to the recent copycat methods of the dealers, and the results are often unexpected.
In terms of intraday trends, from the perspective of the liquidation map, the strength of the long and short is basically the same, and there is no difference. The 30-day liquidation map clearly shows that the long army has the upper hand and forms the dominant force of the price.
At present, there is basically no news that affects the price trend, so the recent market will move very slowly until the closing of the monthly line. #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #特朗普首次使用BTC #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 #热门话题 $BTC $ETH

At present, Bitcoin is still fluctuating around $63,000 and Ethereum is also around $2,550. This Sunday, the index should fluctuate and adjust.
Now, it is adjusting the index sideways at a high level. It should not fall so easily. After the adjustment, it will still rise in the future.
Many people think that this wave of pull-up has ended by more than 10,000 points. Judging from the current trend, the pull-up has not ended.
In fact, through my recent trend, we can see that Bitcoin has always been in a fluctuating upward pattern. As long as the trend line is not broken, it is still a bullish pattern. Therefore, at present, it is mainly long and short. At present, the risk factor is too high. $61,500 is the key support level of Bitcoin. If it is not broken here, the space below cannot be opened.
The small-level indicator is now in a bearish pattern. Wait for a normal retracement, so in the subsequent trend, it may fall down and test the support near 61,500 in waves, and then come to a standard inducement trend.
#币安上线CATI #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #热门话题 #BTC $BTC $ETH

The current round of Bitcoin's rise target is $66,500. Don't consider going short until it reaches $66,500⚠️❗️❗️
The trend in the past two weeks has been good, and BTC has also risen by nearly 12,000 points. Is this wave going to replicate the trend of $65,000? It will fall when it reaches that point. Now the bulls are full of momentum and should not be stuck at $64,000.
After hitting $64,100 in the morning, the price began to fall back. Now it has fallen below $63,000. After all, it has been rising for so long, and this wave of decline is normal. It is expected that there will be another wave of decline, falling to around $61,500. Here is an opportunity to take more points. After the consolidation ends, it will continue to advance to $66,500. Now it seems that $66,500 is a hurdle. It can't be praised here. No matter how many news there are, it will fall. At present, it is still mainly based on rebound. This wave of rebound will undoubtedly reach above $66,000. So now the main trend is low and long.
Yesterday, I said that Ethereum was like taking a laxative, and it didn't pull up at all. Who knew that it would be slapped in the face today. Today, Ethereum has made a strong rebound and rushed all the way to around 2550, which also restored the confidence of many people in Ethereum. Now, for Ethereum, just pay attention to the position of 2450. At this position, there is a chance to buy more. It is not easy to make everyone confident in the follow-up of Ethereum. The market maker's pattern will not be so small. It will fall down as soon as it is pulled up, so the recent Ethereum will be very resistant to falling.
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50 basis point rate cut, where will BTC go next⚠️❗️❗️
No rate cut, no subsequent bull market. This time, the Fed directly took a strong medicine, breaking the 25 basis point rate cut expectations of all parties. Rate cuts are a good thing, and they are also an opportunity to start the chaos of altcoins. This year's altcoins are really miserable, and there is no such thing as low. However, now that the rate cut has come, it is an important sign of the start of the altcoin season.
Now the price of BTC has reached above $62,000, which is still in line with expectations. If the rate cut of 50 basis points can't pull it up, then the currency circle will really be over. On the other hand, Ethereum is really weak. It may be that other ecosystems have taken away market share. The current trend is really hard to see. It is still around $2,400, without any reaction. I am afraid that it will be difficult to hear the voice of Ethereum in this round of bull market.
Judging from the current trend, it is not suitable to short sell. The interest rate cut should be viewed in a bullish form. At present, the short-term air force has been almost liquidated. Seeing the news of the interest rate cut, the air force above has basically run almost, and the strength of the long army has gradually formed. Flowers do not last forever. The air force has always been suppressing the long army. Now it is time to reverse the situation. At present, from $52,500 to $62,500, it has just risen by 10,000 points.
Judging from the current hourly trend, there is no sign of weakening. MACD is even more of an aerial relay. OBV will also rise a lot, indicating that many big whales have not sold yet, and are waiting for the arrival of a big bull market. Now we look at the trend line. The support position below is around $59,500. If it does not fall below this, the bullish trend will continue. The upper pressure is around $63,500. If it breaks through here, it will come to around $66,500. Now the space above has been opened, so it is mainly low and long.
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It is difficult to see a big rise without a breakthrough here⚠️❗️❗️
Currently, the price of Bitcoin has been continuously resisted near $58,000 and it is difficult to rise. $58,800 is a key position. Only by breaking through here can the price break the downward rhythm since $65,000 and further rise to break through $60,000. Although there has been a good rebound this week, it has not broken $58,000 for a long time. It will change later.
Harris practiced for a few days before the debate. The strategy he implemented successfully angered Trump, causing Trump to talk nonsense in the debate. According to the latest survey, Harris's winning rate is as high as 63%, and only 37% of people think Trump will win. Judging from the current market, the US stock market has successfully risen sharply. The US stock market has risen sharply. From this point of view, if Harris wins the election, it may not be a bad thing for the crypto market. Bitcoin is deeply related to Nasdaq. If Nasdaq rises sharply, then Bitcoin should also rise.
This wave of Bitcoin successfully obtained support at $555,000, but the price has not broken through 58,700 for a long time. Judging from the current situation, it is still dominated by fluctuations. If it rises sharply, it needs to break through 58,700 US dollars to end this period of decline. Now Bitcoin is rising, while Ethereum has not been able to break through for a long time. At present, it has been fluctuating around $2,300.
Now, from the 4-hour trend of Bitcoin, MACD still maintains an upward pattern. There is no large-scale selling at present, but the dealer has been quietly shipping, and OBV has declined seriously. From this point of view, the dealer is playing a strategy of fighting and retreating, which we need to pay attention to.
At present, BTC focuses on observing the upper pressure level of Bitcoin near $58,700. If it breaks through here, the main force will have confidence in the subsequent trend. If it does not break through here, the price will further adjust.
For Ethereum, observe around $2,350. The 4-hour indicator of Ethereum has fallen below the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the trend is already seriously weak.
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The second bottom is coming ⚠️❗️❗️
Affected by Trump's poor debate in the morning, Bitcoin also began to fall straight down. It failed to break through $58,000 for two consecutive waves. This wave of decline is normal. Ethereum is really not worth watching recently. It can't rise at all, and it falls more violently than anyone else.
The positive news of this wave of CPI data has failed to effectively save this decline. It seems that the results of the US election have a great impact on the cryptocurrency market. The big guys have begun to hedge urgently. The opening of the US stock market is also mixed, which is difficult to understand. The probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is also rising straight up. It has now reached 85%. This is a good thing. There is no desperate 50 basis point cut due to concerns about the US economic recession, otherwise it will trigger a series of butterfly effects. Fortunately, the US dollar index has begun to rebound. This is good news, indicating that the US market economy is taking measures to repair it.
Now it is really like a friend dies but I live, really don't care about the life and death of the bulls, any news comes, then it is the rhetoric of the dealer to follow the trend of falling, now, Bitcoin should have a rebound near $55,000, this wave of decline has cleared the longs who paid $555,000, if it falls again, then it will reach $52,500, stepping back to test the strength of the bulls, it has to be said that the liquidation strength of the air force above 60,000 is really very tempting.
At present, there is no need to be too pessimistic, the daily level is still looking at the rebound trend, before $55,000 is not broken, it will not fall far, after a simple sideways adjustment, this week is still bullish.
At present, the MACD of Bitcoin in 1 hour has touched the low, there should be a good rebound in the second half, KDJ also has the form of aerial relay OBV is repairing, this is a good thing, indicating that the whales who bought the bottom near 52,500 are still retreating, this week, look at BTC, Ethereum rebound is too weak, I don't know when there will be a rebound.
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It is still rebounding now, and the reversal has not started yet⚠️❗️❗️
Bitcoin has risen nearly 5,000 points from $52,500 to now, while Ethereum has not moved. The price has been stable around 2,300, and there is no sign of rising. From the current trend, it is still good. It started well on Monday and the trading volume has also increased.
At present, we mainly look at the daily line. Bitcoin's daily line has begun to reverse, and MACD is also preparing to form a golden cross at the bottom. If this wave is formed, then this week will definitely be a big rhythm. From the overall trend, it will still rise. From a small level, BTC has been under pressure near 57,780, and it is a bit difficult to break through, so we have to focus on the support below.
As for Ethereum, the trend is really very weak. It is really fierce when it falls, and it really doesn't rise at all when it rises. It may not even reach $2,400 because Grayscale has been selling Ethereum. In the future, it is optimistic about the rebound. After all, as the second leading company, the subsequent outbreak should not be too weak.
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is now 75%, which is in line with market expectations. There should not be too much selling pressure. The rate cut should be slow, so as not to cause a recession in the US economy, so that the main force has sufficient confidence in the follow-up. Now the spot Bitcoin ETF has also broken the outflow for several consecutive days and has begun to inflow assets.
Today, the price should be stable around 56,000-57,000. When the CPI data is released tomorrow night, there should be a pin action. According to the liquidation map, many people have started to buy the bottom of Bitcoin at 55,600, and the liquidation intensity is about 800 million, while the air force liquidation intensity of 58,100 is about 1.1 billion. If the pin goes down tomorrow night, you can take more at around 55,000 US dollars and continue to look at the target.
As for Ethereum, the trend is relatively weak. In the 4-hour view, it has been under pressure on the upper track of the Bollinger Bands and has not broken through for a long time. If the price falls back, you can take a light position near 2,270 and look at around 2,430 US dollars.
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #以太坊基金会 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

The opening of the US stock market tonight may lead the trend ⚠️❗️❗️
It has reached around 52,500 US dollars and has rebounded well, but it still needs to cross two hurdles to truly reach 60,000. Although it has always been a bullish, it has indeed reached a critical crossroads. Bitcoin is now leading the rise, far ahead of Ethereum. Ethereum has bottomed out so low, but according to the current trend, it is far less strong than Bitcoin.
When the price reached around 55,500, people from all walks of life began to show their magical powers, buying and selling. At present, there are a lot of funds betting on CPI on Wednesday. Whether it is a rebound or a continuous march, it will definitely be guided by Wednesday.
The interest rate cut is coming soon. Although from the historical trend, the interest rate cut often means that all the good news has been released. After the good news is over, it may be a big blow to the long side, and the price may usher in a correction, but there is no bull market without an interest rate cut. If there is a correction, it is also for a better rise in the future.
The best joke in the cryptocurrency world this year is undoubtedly that the altcoins have gone to the bottom. However, the altcoins often fall unexpectedly. However, the good news is that the interest rate cut has come. This wave of altcoins is still good. They have all stabilized and have not hit a new low. So after the interest rate cut, the altcoins will definitely have a wave of explosions.
Just after rising a little, Grayscale is not honest again. Grayscale has started to transfer Bitcoin and Ethereum again, with a total price of 70 million US dollars. This year's cryptocurrency world is really difficult. There is Mentougou in front and Germany and the United States in the back. The selling is endless. Fortunately, there is still the thigh BlackRock to hold.
At present, from the trend of BTC, all indicators and technical indicators have been repaired. This week, we will see a rebound. At present, we will focus on two positions, 56600 and 57780. If the price stands above 56600, we should consider going short again, but we should focus on low longs. If the price breaks through 57800, then the price has broken through the downward trend line, so we can't look at it as a rebound, but we should look at it as a trend reversal.
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The second bottom is coming ⚠️❗️❗️
After the trend of the past two days, we can see that Bitcoin has touched around $52,500 and started to rebound. It has failed to effectively cross around $54,670 twice in a row. It seems that it is preparing to test the 52,500 position for the second time to see if it can be the bottom.
The recent trend of ETH is worth observing. On August 5, the lowest point of the last round was around $2,110, and this wave of second bottoming has reached around $2,150. When the price runs to the critical moment, many big whales can't bear it and start to buy the bottom of ETH. Now the trend is around 2,310, and the price has been hit down several times in a row. The small level has already had an M-top signal. The support position around $2,223 below is very important. If it does not fall below here, the follow-up will be a bullish pattern. So when the price comes to this place, you can bet on a big rise with a small loss.
Whether it will continue to bottom out or explode, the answer should be revealed on Monday night. At present, the price of BTC has touched the lower track of the Bollinger Band for one hour. If it breaks here, the price will continue to look for support near $52,500.
ETH doesn't seem to want to fall anymore, but it can't withstand the increase in issuance. Ethereum has closed a long hammer line in 4 hours, and accompanied by a very large trading volume. BTC doesn't look so obvious, so now we still have to focus on low-long. Although the current monthly line is very scary, the trend is mainly from small to large, and slowly repaired.
From the liquidation map, there are already many people buying the bottom near 53,100, but compared with the huge amount of shorts, it is still not worth mentioning. Even near 54,670, there are many people chasing shorts. Don't blindly chase shorts. Low-long is the main theme. If 51,000 is not broken, the space below is not so easy to open.
BTC support below: light long position around 52500
ETH support below: light long position around 2223
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There are already bottom signals📶.
Yesterday there was a wave of good news, but the trend of BTC was not satisfactory. It should have been a wave of good news, but the dealer relied on a wave. The rate cut was too fast, which may cause concerns about the US economic recession, causing big whales and retail investors to not have much hope for the future market. Now, BTC has rebounded near 52550 today, and Ethereum has completed the second bottoming out, reaching 2150. The rebound is close to 150 points, but due to V God’s speech and his views on L2, Ethereum’s trend has not been strong recently.
In this wave of decline, many big whales have started to buy the bottom. The big whales can’t hold back. Although the price may continue to fall, it is worth mentioning that if this wave holds here, it may win a big rebound.
These two days are Sundays, and the US stock market is closed. There should not be too much fluctuation. If the price remains above 54,500, there should be an increase on Monday. Since August, the price has been rising two times and retreating three times. It should be almost over. After all, the line
Currently, from the 4-hour indicator, MACD has signs of rebound, and KDJ is also being repaired. At present, this wave should have a good rebound.
Currently Bitcoin's upper pressure: around 56,500
Currently Ethereum's upper pressure: around 2,480
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$ETH

The dealer is not giving the bulls a way out⚠️❗️❗️
Today's non-agricultural data is positive, but it caused a chain reaction, triggering concerns about the US economic recession, causing BTC to spike upward to around $57,000, and then began to fall sharply. Now the price has reached around $54,500. This is the last hope of the bulls. If it falls below this, then the price will definitely be around $51,600.
I thought this time would be an exception, but every time the non-agricultural data is released, it spikes up and down, making it difficult for you to find the main motivation and direction. It's too cruel. At present, the 4-hour MACD has been in a state of divergence, but the price just can't get any feedback. The indicators have been played out. There should be a decent rebound before falling. The dealer is now completely out of the routine. Even if the indicators diverge, they must smash the market first.
At present, the long army has basically been liquidated. Even if the price of Bitcoin reaches around 49,000 US dollars, the liquidation strength is only 1 billion, while the short army has been adding positions, and there is a momentum not to close positions until it breaks 50,000. The long army has basically been beaten and it is difficult to make a difference in a short period of time. In the short term, the price is likely to continue to fall.
At present, 54,500 has been broken, so the price will definitely continue to fall, at least it must fall below 52,800 to support the price rebound. The United States has also issued a series of interest rate cuts to maintain economic stability. Now it is a phenomenal short trend. It is difficult to rebound in a short time. This wave is nothing more than a second bottoming out. Let's see where it goes. If 49,000 is not broken, there is still a chance to continue to attack.
Current BTC support below: around 51,633
Current Ethereum support is around: around 2,150
The probability of a direct breakthrough is not high, and the subsequent rise is still optimistic. Every decline is for a better rise. I firmly believe that the bull market is still there.
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Can 55550 be the bottom ⚠️❗️❗️
There is a lot of debate here. Most people believe that this wave of Bitcoin will directly break through 55550 US dollars and reach 50,000 or lower, starting with 4? Although unfavorable news has been released now, this may be the dealer's action to absorb chips. Now it is relatively at the bottom, but it has been releasing bad news. There must be something wrong when things are abnormal.
Now this position is the time for dealers and big whales to start collecting chips, so they have been releasing bad news, creating anxiety, making retail investors panic, selling chips, and grabbing cheap chips.
Yesterday, BTC touched 58,500 US dollars, and then the price fell further. The current price has returned to yesterday's position, around 56,500. Several consecutive bottom divergences have failed to further increase the price, indicating that the dealer is further grabbing chips and preparing for subsequent pull-ups.
Ethereum also rose to 2,490 US dollars yesterday, and then the price fell further. The current funding rate has also returned to normal, without much change.
Today, the number of employed people in the United States is far from the expected number, only 99,000, and the number of unemployment benefits is still normal, without too much deviation. As long as tomorrow's non-agricultural data does not make a big mistake, the big cake can still be stabilized above 55,100. Then, the next pull will still be bullish, and the horn of counterattack will also be sounded.
According to the current BTC 4-hour indicator, MACD turned downward again, my KDJ also opened downward, and OBV also dropped a lot, which is a bearish pattern. There should be another wave of decline, but I don’t mind chasing the short. There is not much room below. Even if it falls to the 50,000 mark, the long army that is liquidated is only 2 billion, while at 59,300, there is a 3 billion air force liquidation strength. And if it falls to 54,500, the long army is basically liquidated. Many of those who bought the bottom near 50,000 have already closed their positions and run away at around 63,000. Therefore, it is still mainly low-long at present, and the probability of a big crash is not high. Back to 55,400 to do long, fall below 54,467 and stop loss, still look at around 59,300. #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #以太坊基金会 #热门话题 $BTC $ETH

The bottom signal has appeared ⚠️❗️❗️
In the morning, Bitcoin touched around 55550. At present, Bitcoin has rebounded to around 57500. Basically, it rebounded as it fell. Many people think that this wave is just a small rebound and it will continue to fall after the rebound. However, according to the current situation, 55500 is the bottom. I don’t think it can fall any lower. The liquidation of the long military reform has been almost completed, so now it is also beginning to turn bullish.
Now many people are not optimistic about this position as the bottom. It is nothing more than the announcement of the number of unemployment benefits tomorrow and the announcement of the non-agricultural data the day after tomorrow. There is a big deviation, which will further lead to a further decline in Bitcoin prices. The probability of an upset is very small, and it is almost once a year. It is unlikely to continue the kind of upset situation last month. As long as the expected data and the published data do not have a big deviation, then Bitcoin will definitely continue to rise. If you don’t buy the bottom this time, you will definitely be beaten in the next wave. The dealer is often anti-human. Now most people think that it has not reached the bottom yet, and there is still a lot of room below, so it may have reached the bottom here.
Today, ETH hit a new low again, but it has successfully recovered. The price of Ethereum has also come to around 2440 again. Although this wave is very weak, it also shows a bottom signal. The current indicators have seriously diverged, and this wave is a bullish pattern.
Looking at Bitcoin's 1-hour, MACD has formed a golden cross at the bottom, KDJ is also upward, OBV is also upward, and the three major indicators are collectively upward. The momentum of this wave of rise will not be too small, and this wave of linked 4-hour MACD indicators is about to form a bottom divergence. If the 4-hour bottom divergence is formed, it will be enough to change the short trend of this daily line. The horn of counterattack has been sounded, and now it is bullish.
Now as long as BTC does not fall below $55,158, then the retracement is a long opportunity.
As long as ETH does not fall below $2,300, then the retracement is an opportunity to get on board.
#加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #热门话题 #ETH $BTC $ETH

This wave is almost at the bottom, and the short sellers can withdraw.
The price of Bitcoin has already fallen back to around 55,600, which is in line with expectations. The short sellers from 61,000 have also made a profit of more than 5,000 points. After five days, this wave is almost over here. It is time to change the thinking in the future. I start to be bullish and don’t think it can fall any lower.
I think it is not very likely to fall to around 51,000-53,000. Although ETH has created a new bottom of around 2,300, it has now pulled back and the indicators are gradually repairing.
As long as BTC does not fall below 64,500 this week, it will definitely rise next week. At present, the probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in the United States is much higher than that of a 25 basis point interest rate cut. If it is reduced by 50 basis points, it will undoubtedly be a big surprise. Although many people say that interest rate cuts are not necessarily good, there will be no big bull market without interest rate cuts. This process may be very long and may not rise smoothly, but the goal will eventually be reached.
#加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #热门话题 $BTC $ETH

I woke up and the price of the big cake was 59000. It seems that it can't wait for the opening of the US stock market, and it will start to pull up. This wave will observe whether the pull-up can be strong. If it is strong, it will not continue to fall back to around 58500, but will go straight up. If it can fluctuate and adjust around 59000 during the day, it is actually a good thing, which means that it is waiting for the signal of the opening of the US stock market in the evening📶This wave of 4-hour rebound has gone a short distance, but it is still a little short of changing the result of the daily short position. It needs to stand firm at 59300 to be sure. Now the bulls are in high spirits and the capital rate has also been pulled back, indicating that the confidence of the bulls has gradually been raised. Although the panic in the market is still relatively heavy, this is a rebound, not a lure to buy more, the difference is different. According to the current liquidation map, the liquidation intensity of Bitcoin above 61500 is as high as 1.6 billion, while the liquidation intensity near 57100 is only more than 700 million. The liquidation intensity of the air force is twice that of the long army. If you are a dealer, what would you choose? It must be up first and then down, making it difficult for both sides, continuing to oscillate slowly, grinding away the confidence of the bulls, and then opening a bull market.
ETH has performed well recently, but it has also been suppressed near 2560. If it touches the rebound, it should not be this performance and should continue to rise. Now it is waiting for an opportunity like BTC.
At present, BTC daily line has formed a positive swallowing negative. This trend is still very good, and it has also opened a good start for September. Now let's see if it can be maintained in the future.
From the BTC four-hour trend chart, MACD formed a golden cross at the bottom, and OBV also began to gradually warm up. This is undoubtedly a bullish pattern, so now is not a good time to short. Let's first see where the 4-hour rebound high point can go. It is expected to be in the range of US$60,500-61,500. This is the key defensive position of the air force.
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There is a taste of the bottom ⚠️❗️❗️
Every Monday there will be a big market, and tonight may be the key factor to break this oscillation range. This wave is led by ETH. The bottom was not broken in the morning, and it successfully got support at 2400. BTC was also forcibly pulled back to the key pressure position of 58,500 US dollars. If this oscillation range is broken, the price will continue to rise to around 60,800, and ETH will come to around 2630. However, at present, the volume and price are still not enough to support BTC to continue to rise. There is a suspicion of inducing more, and 58,500 cannot be broken.
BTC was bound to break 57,000 in this wave, but was forcibly pulled back by Ethereum and stuck near 57,100 and could not go down. However, the bullish pattern needs further confirmation. The current price has been around 58,500. Before a large amount of volume is released, it is all a behavior of inducing more. If this wave is to determine the rising pattern, it needs to break through 59,300 first, and then step back and not break through 58,200 to determine the rising pattern to 60,000, otherwise it will still go up and down.
Now 58,500 has a certain pressure. If it can't even break through here, but keeps sideways near it, then the dealer's mind is very clear, that is, to induce more, and the trend of ETH is even simpler. Although this wave has a signal of bottoming out and rebounding, it has not yet broken through the pressure position of 2560-2580. If there is no breakthrough here, the price will continue to go down. At present, we can't be too optimistic, otherwise it is easy to be trapped.
So combined with the current trend, this wave is expected to rebound. This wave is a four-hour rebound. Let's see where it can go. If Bitcoin can reach above 60,500 and ETH can stand above 2,630, then we can determine that this wave is a bullish trend. Only in this way can we change the trend of the daily big bears. Now let's look at the rebound first. It is still an opportunity to short when it reaches the upper side. There are a lot of news this week, and the dealer will definitely take the opportunity to make things happen. So now whether you are long or short, you must bring a stop loss. The principal is the biggest capital.
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This is not the bottom signal📶
It has been supported near 57770 for 4 consecutive times, but the rebound height is getting lower and lower. If this wave of rebound cannot break 59200, then falling below 57000 is a foregone conclusion. On the other hand, the trend of Ethereum is very strong, and the lows are higher and higher.
ETH may have been under the selling pressure of V God and the foundation recently. The market is generally not optimistic about the future of ETH, and even thinks that the SOL chain will replace ETH. But if the ETH chain is really replaced, other chains will definitely do better than the ETH chain. Not necessarily. The old public chain has a solid foundation. ETH still has the hope of an explosion in the future. Judging from the current trend, there is already a signal of the bottom. Don’t forget that the Ethereum ETF has been falling since its listing, which is similar to the listing of the Bitcoin ETF, so don’t be too pessimistic. The subsequent trend of Ethereum is still worth paying attention to. It may not be weaker than BTC.
BTC's recent trend is very similar to the previous ones. I don't know if you have observed it carefully. The high point of the rebound is getting lower and lower. The support near 57770 has also been supported for 4 consecutive times. So the support level here has been worn down and is getting weaker and weaker, and it may be broken at any time. If this wave of rebound cannot break 59200, then this wave will definitely fall below 57770. It is normal to reach around 56500 or even 55000. Therefore, it is still necessary to focus on high altitude, unless it effectively breaks through 59500 before considering long. Otherwise, try not to do more first, otherwise you will definitely be trapped. Now it depends on where the second bottom will go.
At present, BTC's daily MACD has formed a dead cross near the zero axis and has opened downward, KDJ is also downward, and the OBV volume has even reached around 51000. This volume is not right. The dealer has been shipping, and the big whales have not copied. Now the bottom is basically small retail at this position.
Bitcoin's small-level indicators are also strong and bearish, and there is no sign of rebound.
ETH is also being led astray by Bitcoin. This wave is bound to bottom out near 2390 again. If it can't hold here, it will continue to look down near 2216.
The general trend is now empty, and there is no explosive news, so it is still necessary to focus on high altitudes. It is not recommended to go long.
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Tonight is the highlight again⚠️❗️❗️
BTC has been fluctuating in the range for almost a week. Tonight is the time to close the monthly line, so there will definitely be fluctuations. The support near 57,800 below is very strong. There is a good rebound when it falls here. There is also a lot of pressure at the 60,000 mark above, and it has not been able to break through here.
Last night, it touched the 60,000 mark but did not break it. The price was hit by the air force again, and the lowest price came to around 57,750. The current price has come to around 59,300 and fluctuated. At present, the market is still based on fluctuations and adjustments. The pattern is not clear at all. The wind of change may appear tonight to tomorrow morning. The dealer will definitely take advantage of the US stock market's holiday time to make things happen. This weekend should not be so simple.
On the other hand, the trend of ETH, after going all the way down to around 2390, has been piercing downwards, and has not effectively fallen below the previous low. The price has been stable above 2400. From this trend, it is still relatively strong, with the taste of the bottom, but since Ethereum has always followed the big cake, there should be another wave of downward trend. The bottom of the big cake has not yet formed, so it is still necessary to focus on the high altitude.
From the current liquidation map, the long and short positions are basically the same, and the funding rate has also appeared a rare 0.0%, which is a rare situation. The liquidation strength near 57,000 US dollars is about 2 billion and the liquidation strength at 61,000 is about 1.2 billion, indicating that many retail investors have begun to see positions near 58,000, but the main force has not yet appeared.
From the perspective of Bitcoin's 1-hour trend, MACD is still opening upward, while KDJ still forms a dead cross, and OBV volume does not show much. However, looking at the BTC four-hour chart, the three major indicators are all opening upward, indicating that there will be another rebound here. If it cannot break 61,500, it will still not change the short trend of the daily line. The overall trend is still bearish.
Looking at the ETH 4-hour chart, there is a little bit of a W-low pattern, but the pressure level of 2560-2580 can never be crossed.
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Today is Friday, and the monthly line will be closed tomorrow⚠️❗️❗️
The big market will be in these two days. At present, the price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating, that is, in the range of 58,000-61,000. So tonight and tomorrow will be the time for a change. The difficult August will finally pass. Next, will it continue to pull back or continue to move forward to start a bull market.
Yesterday, Bitcoin touched the 61,000 line. After clearing almost 10 shorts, the price began to fall, and fell to around 58,700 to wait for support. The overall trend is still relatively volatile. The general direction may wait for the closing of the monthly line. Whether to pull up directly or to test the bottom around 55,000 before pulling up, remains to be investigated, but it is still relatively optimistic. First test the bottom and then pull up, so that it can go further, otherwise, it will not be much, and it will continue to pull back.
There should also be a lot of fluctuations tonight, because 62,000 Bitcoin options and 530,000 Ethereum options are about to expire, involving a nominal value of US$3.66 billion and US$1.34 billion, respectively. The Put Call Ratio of Bitcoin options is 0.59, and the maximum pain point is $61,000. The Put Call Ratio of Ethereum options is 0.49, and the maximum pain point is $2,800.
So far this week, the EFT of spot Bitcoin has been flowing out, and it has been like this for a week. Why is there so much capital fleeing after the interest rate cut? This is a bit strange. The Bitcoin funding rate is about to become negative.
From the one-hour trend of BTC, the indicators continue to be repaired, and there is also a wave of rebound. MACD has formed a golden cross at the bottom, and the three major indicators are all upward. Then this wave of rebound should reach around 60721. If it does not break 61500, it is still an opportunity for shorts to bottom out. The general trend is still the short trend and has not changed.
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