• Short-term: The price is in a weak rebound stage. The bearish force is still dominant due to the suppression of MA25 (94,380) and MA99 (about 94,423).
• Medium-term: It has continued to pull back from the high point (108,366.8). It has not effectively broken through the resistance of 96,000 and is still in a downward channel overall.
• Long-term: On the daily chart, the price has tested the support of 92,272.6 many times. If it falls below this position, it may move closer to 90,000.
2. Technical indicators
• MACD: Short-term (15 minutes, 1 hour) golden cross, but the energy column is weak and the rebound strength is limited; medium-term (4 hours, daily) is still in the bearish area, indicating that the rebound pressure is large.
• Moving average system: MA7 and MA25 are close to adhesion, and MA99 is suppressed downward, and the short-term trend is still bearish. • Trading volume: The volume did not increase significantly during the rebound, indicating that the funds were in a wait-and-see mood.
3. Support and resistance
• Support level: • Short-term: 93,000 (psychological support), 92,272.6 (key support of the previous low point). • Medium-term: 90,000 (important integer level). • Resistance level: • Short-term: 94,500 (MA25 and MA99 positions). • Medium-term: 96,000 (previous high resistance).
4. Operation suggestions
• Short order strategy: • Pending order position: 94,500 (short-term resistance) to 96,000 (medium-term resistance). • Stop loss position: break through 96,500. • Target position: 93,000, 92,000, 90,000. • Long order strategy: • Order position: 92,000 (previous low support), 90,000 (strong support at the integer level). • Stop loss position: below 89,500. • Target: 94,000, 96,000.
5. Key focus
• If the price stabilizes at 94,500 and breaks through 96,000 with large volume, the trend may turn strong and the bullish power will recover. • If it falls below the support of 92,272.6, it may further fall to 90,000 or lower.
Adjust the order strategy according to the real-time market, and confirm the entry time in combination with the trading volume and technical indicator signals. $BTC
1. Short-term Trend: K-line has broken multiple moving averages (MA7, MA25, MA99), short-term bears dominate. Pay attention to the support levels of 92,000~93,000. 2. MACD Indicator: Death cross downwards, DIF and DEA below the zero axis, strong bearish momentum. 3. Trading Volume: Volume increases on the decline, gradually decreasing near support levels, potential short-term fluctuations. 4. MSTR Correlation: • If MSTR stock price rebounds and BTC holds 92,000~93,000, a light position can be tested for a long position. • If MSTR weakens and BTC rebounds weakly, consider opening a short position if it rebounds to 94,500.
Strategy:
• Long Position: Enter at 92,000~93,000, stop loss if it breaks below 92,000. • Short Position: Short on rebounds below 94,500, target 92,000, stop loss if it breaks above 94,500.
Operations need to closely monitor support and resistance ranges.
According to chart analysis, BTC's current resistance and support levels are as follows:
Resistance Levels:
1. Short-term Resistance Level: 94,500 (close to the MA25 moving average), may encounter resistance if it rebounds to this level. 2. Medium-term Resistance Level: 96,000 (24-hour high point). 3. Strong Resistance Level: 97,500 (near MA99, long-term trend line resistance).
Support Levels:
1. Short-term Support Level: 93,000 (psychological support level). 2. Medium-term Support Level: 92,000 (previous low point). 3. Strong Support Level: 90,000 (round number and longer-term support).
Key Area: If it breaks below 92,000, it may further test 90,000; if it rebounds and breaks above 94,500, it may challenge the 96,000 resistance level.
• 15-minute chart: The price has shown signs of a brief pullback, with MA(7) (yellow line) crossing below some longer-term moving averages. The MACD indicator is in a weak area but is beginning to show initial signals of a rebound. • 1-hour chart: The price shows support near 97,900 and has an upward trend. The MACD green bars are shortening, indicating weakened bearish momentum. • In the short term, the market may attempt to rebound, but whether it can effectively break through the previous high (99,540) needs to be observed in terms of volume. 2. Mid-term (4 hours): • After a significant rise recently, the price has entered a correction range, with MA(7) and MA(25) forming short-term resistance. The current price is close to MA(7); if it can successfully break through, it may further approach MA(25).
1. Pressure level: • USD 96,150 – 96,500: short-term pressure zone, which is the high point of the recent rebound and also the key point suppressed by the short-term moving averages of MA7 and MA25. • USD 98,700 - 99,000: Medium-term pressure area, close to the MA99 medium-term moving average, which is also the upper edge of the previous oscillation range. • $103,200 - $103,800: A strong resistance level, representing the previous high area, a break above which could reverse the mid-term trend. 2. Support level: • USD 92,200 – 92,500: Key short-term support. The previous attempts to bottom out failed to break below this area, making it an important support zone.
Analysis of Bitcoin's current trend today, as well as the opening of short and long orders
1. Price Trend: • In the short term (15 minutes and 30 minutes), the price is in a consolidation phase after a decline, and the fluctuation range is narrowing. • The medium term (4 hours and 1 hour) shows a clear downtrend, with lower price highs. • On the daily chart, prices are now entering a correction phase after experiencing a significant increase. 2. Moving average system: • The short-term moving averages (such as MA7 and MA25) have diverged downward and are below the medium- and long-term moving averages (such as MA99), indicating that the overall trend is bearish. • Moving average adhesion areas are often important pressure or support locations.
1. Trend Review: • BTC has recently faced significant pressure around 108,000 USDT, followed by a gradual decline. • The current price hovers around 102,300 USDT, showing signs of stabilization, but a clear rebound trend has not yet emerged. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: • Short-term support level: 98,800 USDT (previous low, if broken may further decline). • Strong support level: 95,200 USDT (long-term moving average support area). • Short-term resistance level: 103,800 USDT (hourly MA25 resistance). • Strong resistance level: 108,000 USDT (recent high and 4-hour MA99 resistance). 3. Technical Indicators: • Moving Averages (MA): Short-term moving averages (MA7, MA25) have formed a death cross, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but the price remains above MA99, suggesting a healthy medium-term trend. • MACD: The 4-hour and 1-hour MACD have slightly narrowed at low levels, indicating a potential for a rebound. • Volume (VOL): Recent pullbacks accompanied by a decrease in trading volume suggest that selling pressure in the market has weakened.
Potential Impact of U.S. Stocks on BTC
If the U.S. stock market rebounds tonight, market risk aversion may ease, and BTC is likely to test 103,800 USDT and above. However, if the U.S. stocks continue to weaken, it could further drag down BTC, and the price may test 98,800 USDT.
Trading Suggestions
1. Bullish Strategy: • Buying points: 98,800-99,000 USDT range, consider building positions in batches. • Stop-loss point: Below 98,500 USDT, strict stop-loss is required. • Target point: Short-term target at 103,800 USDT, further target at 108,000 USDT. 2. Bearish Strategy: • Short points: 103,800 USDT (short-term resistance), consider exploratory short positions. • Stop-loss point: Above 104,500 USDT. • Target point: 100,000 USDT, if broken, look at 98,800 USDT. 3. Intraday Strategy: • High sell and low buy in the range of 102,000-103,000 USDT. • If the U.S. stock market shows a clear direction tonight, strategy can be adjusted accordingly.
Risk Warning
• U.S. stock volatility may exacerbate market uncertainty, making BTC susceptible to overall market sentiment. • Short-term trading requires strict stop-loss to prevent rapid reversal fluctuations.
Please adjust strategies based on actual market conditions and risk tolerance. $BTC #内容挖矿