How many of these three stories have you heard of in the cryptocurrency circle?

01: I am Satoshi Nakamoto

In August 2017, a new user with the ID "Bitcoin Pizza" quietly joined Twitter and reported the value of 10,000 bitcoins in real time every day based on the currency price of the day, rain or shine. The account information shows that he is from Australia.

Among the 25 million Australians, the Bitcoin celebrity is Craig Steven Wright. Since 2015, he has been appearing in major media, claiming to be the founder of Bitcoin, Staoshi Nakamoto, but he has not been able to produce the private key of the Bitcoin Genesis Block. No one believes that he is the real Satoshi Nakamoto. The more he talks, the more people think he is a liar. In China, he also has a nickname called "Australian Satoshi Nakamoto", which means Australian Satoshi Nakamoto.

02 Pizza incident

In this profit-seeking industry, stories about wealth growth are always more attractive. At 12:35 p.m. on May 18, 2010, Laszlo Hanyecz, a programmer from Florida, USA, posted a message on the Bitcoin Forum, hoping to buy two pizzas with 10,000 bitcoins.

Whether 10,000 bitcoins could be exchanged for two pizzas was not clearly priced at that time, but some people did think he was crazy and reminded him that it was more convenient to buy pizza online with a credit card in the United States.

03 V God's Road to Deification

The year when Jercos sold 10,000 bitcoins for $400, in Toronto, Canada, Vitalik Buterin, a 17-year-old boy, heard about Bitcoin for the first time from his father.

However, Shen Bo, who had just established Distributed Capital and was ready to make a big splash in the blockchain field, chose to believe him and invested $500,000 in him.

Later, Ethereum became the forerunner of blockchain 2.0, and Vitalik became V God. In 2017, Ethereum's token ETH exceeded $1,000 for the first time, and Distributed Capital received nearly 1,000 times the return. This investment made Shen Bo a legend in the blockchain VC circle.

$ETH

⚡️Just now⚡️

⚡️Brother Sun’s big move was exposed!

⚡️Making money again

After the 8/5 crash, he accurately bought 16,000 ETH with 37 million US dollars, with an average price of only $2,279! 👀Just now, this batch of "treasure" ETH quickly moved to HTX, and the total value soared to $43.41 million! Then, 4,500 ETH mysteriously appeared on Binance again, the speed was astonishing!

💰In just 4 days, the value of this batch of ETH soared by $6.41 million, an increase of 17.3%! Is Brother Sun going to stop while he is ahead and prepare to withdraw at a profit?

Bitcoin and SOL rebounded strongly, leaving little chance for Ethereum.

Everyone is saying that this round of bull market is a bull market for Bitcoin and SOL, but institutions and Justin Sun are buying a lot of ETH!

Why is Ethereum still weaker than Bitcoin!

In the final analysis, there are too many retail investors who are optimistic about Ethereum, and the car is too heavy, which is not conducive to the operation of the market's big project parties. The more they wash, the higher they pull. It's just that the time has not come. Another reason is that the funds are diverted too seriously. Ethereum has no new narrative hype, so it is naturally weaker than Bitcoin and SOL.

Then, as the second pillar of the market, should Ethereum be held?

Will BTC continue to plummet? What will happen next?

Let’s not waste time, let’s talk about the conclusion first, and then the logic.

The conclusion is

(1) There is a 40% probability of a pullback to $50,000.

(2) But after this big pullback, BTC may return to a high level, and many altcoins will be able to achieve a big rebound.

Why may it fall in the short term (within 1-2 weeks)?

(1) Geopolitical conflicts have not yet expanded to the highest point

Iran may pull the trigger at any time, and Hezbollah in Lebanon is still looking for opportunities to attack Israel.

The day before yesterday, Hamas appointed hardliner Sinwar, who will fight Israel to the end.

Therefore, as a risky asset, BTC will not rebound quickly, and may fall again when encountering a major conflict.

(2) Japan’s interest rate hike has reduced BTC buying power

Previously, borrowing at a low interest rate in Japan and then buying high-yield assets elsewhere,

including BTC and cryptocurrencies, was an effective transaction.

Now it doesn’t work, resulting in a decrease in BTC buying power.

(3) Mentougou has not taken further action yet.

Two weeks ago, Mentougou began to transfer small amounts of BTC for testing.

It has not moved since this week, but it will definitely move. When BTC is moved on a large scale, BTC will fall again.

Why do you lose money every time you make a contract? ? ?
After reading this, you will understand that most people open contracts to use leverage to make profits when they don’t have much money, but at the same time, the difference in the contract also increases the risk of liquidation, and if the liquidation occurs, a handling fee of 1.5% of the nominal amount of the contract will be deducted. If you open a 10x leverage, the proportion of this part of the handling fee is 15% of the principal. If the contract fluctuates greatly,

You will also face unfair plug-ins. This is caused by the dealer. They buy a large amount of spot in the spot market, and then close their already opened long contracts in the contract, and then sell the spot, so that the dealer can get excess profits on the contract.

In addition, one is the execution rate and funding rate, which refers to the rate that the long side gives to the short side. Generally speaking, retail investors open long contracts, which means that they have to pay a large amount of fees to the short side continuously. This part is enough to crush a retail investor.

Is it impossible to make money by doing contracts? There is a contract strategy called spot contract hedging strategy, which means buying spot in the spot market and then opening short contracts in the contract market, so as not to continuously consume funding rates.

This round of dealers predicted the predictions of retail investors. In the last bull market, everyone invested in value and held for a long time. After 3 years, they all made millions or tens of millions.
As a result, this round of market trends every year has cleaned up the cottage industry, and value investment has been killed. The big wash at the end of 2023 is very similar to the bear market in 2022. There was another big wash in the second half of 2024, which was even more severe than the big bear market. How to play in 2025?
My friend said: Have you done projects before? I said no.
He said: Then you are very experienced. This is how you did projects before.
When the first project was opened, the people who entered in the first round made a lot of money, and those who entered later lost a lot.
When the second project was opened, everyone who entered in the first round lost money, but those who entered later made money.
When the third project was opened, everyone who entered early and late lost money.
I observed that many people are still waiting for the second exploration. I don’t know if there will be a second exploration.
But in this round of market, dealers can always predict our predictions.
The trend is always moving in the direction where most people lose money.
If you were a banker, how would you mess with retail investors?
Someone told me today that it was a bottom rebound, but a rebound is not a bottom

$BTC brothers, today's strong pressure level is 58098
The current price can be shorted at highs. The second retracement will start in the next two or three days. Please prepare your bullets. There is another chance to buy at the bottom. Will you get on board? The specific retracement position has actually been shared this morning. Let me share it again. Bitcoin is around 58,000. Whether it is Bitcoin or altcoins, short-term swing trading, if you want to sell, sell, if you don't want to sell, hold it.

Bitcoin retracement three target prices!

1. 54288 three-layer warehouse

2. 52388 three-layer warehouse

3. 51388 full warehouse

Estimated time is within this week! The third target is the stud price! Bitcoin retracement to 51388 again, all altcoins can stud price, unless Iran and Israel go to war in the near future. Unexpected events will break the new low, 46888 to 42888, the probability of this is too small, don't count on it.

Binance net inflows reached $2.2 billion in the past 24 hours!!!

What does this mean? ? ?

In simple terms, it is the continued confidence of major market players, especially investors, in the global bulls.

In other words, after a sharp correction, we saw a strong buyback. This shows that people are confident that growth will continue. Many people wisely took advantage of the "discount".

The lower fear and greed indicators confirm this trend. The knowledgeable people will use this time to pack up, while others will panic and throw away their assets.

This pattern has been applied to all markets. This is why the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer.

I say it again - think like a rich person.

Reviewing History - Remembering 312 in the Cryptocurrency Circle

Today, let's review the 312 event in the cryptocurrencies circle and experience how terrible the crash in the cryptocurrencies circle was in the past.

312 in the cryptocurrencies circle refers to the crash on March 12, 2020, and the process of the crash.

1. March 8: BTC plummeted from $9,200 to $8,300, a drop of 9.8%, and ETH plummeted from $250 to $210, a drop of 16%.
Bitcoin fell by 10%, and most of the cottages were cut in half. Everyone thought that the decline was almost enough and would start to rebound, and most people entered the market to buy at the bottom.

2. March 9: BTC plummeted from $8,300 to $7,700, a drop of 7.2%, and ETH plummeted from $210 to $190, a drop of 9.5%.
I didn't expect it to fall sharply the next day. It has been falling for two days. Everyone thinks that it has fallen out of cost-effectiveness and there is no big risk, so continue to enter the market to buy at the bottom.

3. March 10 and March 11: As everyone wished, the price did not continue to plummet. It has been fluctuating for the past two days. Many people have been bullish and bought heavily.

4. March 12: BTC plummeted from $8,000 to $5,500, a drop of 31%, and ETH plummeted from $200 to $120, a drop of 40%.
You can imagine that Bitcoin fell 31% in one day, Ethereum fell 40% in one day, and how much the various copycats fell. There are coins that fell several times, and all virtual currencies were not spared. Thus, the 312 incident was born. On this day, a small number of people in the currency circle were still fantasizing about the bottom. Some people began to borrow money and take out loans to make a profit, but most people did not want to buy the bottom, and were even completely desperate. Everyone shouted that the currency circle was over and Bitcoin was going to return to zero.

5. March 13: Bitcoin rebounded to 6200 and then fell to 3800, a drop of 38.7%. ETH rebounded to 145 and then fell to 89, a drop of 38.6%.
More than 90% of the people in the currency circle have basically collapsed on this day. It may be a relief for those who do contracts. Whether you are long or short, all positions are blown up. Losing everything is relieved. Everyone is much more relaxed. It is finally over, everything is over.

In the battle of 312, I was fortunate to participate in the battle and took all the spot goods. In the end, I survived. If you play contracts in a certain year, and you still have high leverage, I believe that there is no place for you on the rooftop, because during the 312 period, both long and short positions were blown up, and hundreds of thousands of people were blown up every day. I emphasize again that you should not add leverage, even high leverage. If you operate 100 times and make 98 times, if you blow up twice, you may have nothing.

The big one is coming, and Jewish capital will not stop until it achieves its goal! !

Let's do a simple review of why the Fed is reluctant to cut interest rates. The reason for not cutting interest rates is nothing more than that the goal has not been achieved. The Jews are a group of egoists. How could they stop before achieving the goal after spending such a huge price and such a long time to launch the dollar tide? In the eyes of the Jews, the US economy can decline, but the dominance of the US dollar is much more important than the US economy, so even if the Fed knows that the current economy has entered a recession, it still refuses to cut interest rates!

If this round of dollar tide does not achieve its goal, then the complete de-dollarization may really become a reality in the future. The reason why American imperialism can be so domineering in the world is that the dollar hegemony is the core! Other countries need to develop, so they can only work hard, develop the economy, develop high-tech industries, improve their own industrial chains, etc., but the United States is different. With the dollar hegemony, it can print money unlimitedly, increase the upper limit of US debt again and again, and launch the dollar tide. And afterwards, it can perfectly transfer the risk to the whole world. Therefore, the dollar hegemony is the most important thing for Jewish capital and the Federal Reserve. Compared with the economy, they know which is more important!

😂😂😂 Therefore, before the economic recession turns into a financial crisis, the recession is acceptable. It is just a few bankruptcies, an increase in unemployment, and more people can't find jobs. In the eyes of Jewish capital, these are small problems. So for the issue of interest rate cuts, Lao Li is not particularly optimistic. There will be a rate cut, but the intensity and time of the rate cut will not be particularly optimistic. Of course, as time goes by, the bad news will be digested one day. When high interest rates become the norm, the market will habitually accept it. 😀

6 precious experiences of cryptocurrency trading. Although the content is not much, every word is as valuable as gold! ! !

1. Speculate in strong currencies. If you don't know how to judge the strength of a currency, use the 60-day line as the dividing line between strength and weakness. When the currency price stands on the 60-day line, you can enter the market or increase your position if it stabilizes. If it falls below the 60-day line, you will be out. Under strict implementation, it is applicable to most targets!
2. Avoid continuous gains of more than 50%. If you can't hold it when it rises a little, you will be worried. In comparison, the low position has greater advantages and higher cost performance. First of all, the risk can be controlled, the upward momentum is greater, and the chances of winning are higher.
3. There will be obvious characteristics before the main rising wave is formed. Usually, there will be a wave of small negative and positive fluctuations with a rise and fall of -10%~20%. When the currency price is relatively low, you can actively participate in batches, and there will be a round of market in nine out of ten cases.
4. When a new concept track opportunity comes out in the market, there is a high probability that there will be 3-5 days of room for growth. If you grasp this rule, you can easily catch up with the main force!
5. When the bear market comes, at least half a year of short position. When the market is not good, do less operations. Those who know how to buy are apprentices, those who know how to sell are masters, and those who know how to take a short position and rest are the ancestors!

I didn't expect it to drop to the beginning of 4 now. It seems that a whale has stabilized it. We have to see the performance of the US stock market tonight. Whether it rises or falls, the cryptocurrency circle has to follow $BTC $ETH
I really don't want to say anything about it. Except when it just passed Ethereum, it rushed to 4000. The rest, including the passing, seemed mediocre.
This wave of the cryptocurrency circle is purely due to the stock market. After the interest rate cut is over, I personally think that Bitcoin can still return to the beginning of 6. As for BNB, you can boldly enter at the beginning of 2, and you can open a position at the beginning of 3. The next bull market will see 1000+#加密货币立场 #加密🚀

Brothers, when Bitcoin was around 69,000, I issued a high-risk warning to remind everyone that most altcoins would return to the previous low, or even break the low. Now they have basically reached a low close to the previous low. Now I remind you that all altcoins will break the low, and the current price will go down by 30~50%, including Bitcoin, which will return to the previous low, or even break the low by accident, starting with 4. Brothers, you can't buy the bottom now. For spot trading in the band, you must master the rhythm of buying high and selling low. Every time Bitcoin reaches around 70,000, we have perfectly escaped the top. If you haven't read what I shared, you can read every content I shared from beginning to end. When it's time to sell, you don't know that escaping the top is equivalent to earning a string of numbers. More importantly, blindly chasing highs and being trapped at the top of the mountain is uncomfortable. You must understand how to play in the currency circle, buy the bottom and escape the top

The currency market plummeted, the non-agricultural data was not good, and the market was no longer speculating on interest rate cuts and rising, because interest rate cuts are equivalent to landing.
In the short term, we mainly observe whether Bitcoin 58,000 and Ethereum 28,000 can hold, which is also the previous low of most currencies. Of course, there will definitely be weak new lows.
This time, the global stock market also plummeted. Japan slightly exceeded its historical high and continued to plummet. The German stock market has broken through the recent head. The British and French stock markets fell sharply from a small double top on the weekly line. The US Dow Jones was the weakest, with two weekly top divergences. The S&P and Nasdaq fell sharply to the monthly rising trend line. This time it is estimated that the rebound will continue to fall.
The interest rate cut is not enough to offset the market's concerns about the risk of a US recession. The Wall Street panic index VIX soared 50%, breaking through the bottom of a year. Intel and Amazon's financial reports were not as expected. The quarterly financial reports of Google and Tesla released earlier were also disappointing.
Last time, the panic caused a rebound of half a month. This time, the big break of 60,000 was a technical break. The last break did not last, and the next week, the big sun recovered the lost ground. Ether 2800 repeatedly did not break, forming several supports, so the position is very critical. This time, we must be cautious. The strong support of SOL is around 135.
If there is no panic plunge, we must observe more and wait until the short-term technical side stabilizes and wants to rise before buying the bottom. Prevent extreme market conditions.

There are only two bull market waves in life that you must catch!

Imagine that you have 30,000 U (almost 200,000 RMB) on hand, and you can catch up with the bull market and make 5 to 10 times more money. It's so cool! If you can accurately catch the next big wave, you can easily become a millionaire from a millionaire! Sounds like a fairy tale? In fact, the opportunity is there, it depends on whether you can catch it.

Why do most people miss it? Because when the bull market comes, greed comes to the top, and they always want to make more money. As a result, they buy and sell frequently, but they are cut off. In the bear market, they are as anxious as ants on a hot pot, wanting to get back their money, but the busier they are, the more chaotic they are. In this way, wealth becomes a mirage.

How to make money steadily in the bull market? Simply put, don't be overwhelmed by greed, choose a good project, hold on tightly and don't let go, and wait for it to fly higher. In the bear market, just wait and don't mess around. In this way, you can eat meat in the bull market and protect your capital in the bear market, and your wealth will naturally rise.

Also, don't always think about reaching the sky in one step. Set a small goal first, such as making a million, and take it step by step. Only when the foundation is laid can the building stand firmly.

Attitude is more important than anything else. Stay calm, learn more, and be less impulsive.

How to make one million with three thousand in the currency circle?

I will tell you a feasible plan. If you can execute it, it is possible to make one million.
1. Go and move bricks for two months, and increase the principal to about ten thousand.
2. Buy coins when the weekly line of Bitcoin is above MA20, buy two or three, and they must be new coins, hot coins in the bear market, such as apt before it rises. It came out of the bear market. As long as Bitcoin rises a little, it will take off immediately, such as OP. Anyway, remember that there must be heat and stories to tell.
3. Stop loss when Bitcoin falls below MA20, buy or continue to make money during the waiting period, and give yourself two or three opportunities to fail. You deposit 20,000, invest 10,000, and you can fail three times.
4. If you buy a coin like apt, get about 4-5 times out. Keep executing strategies, remember that you are a small fund, and you must buy new coins instead of ETH and BTC. Their increase cannot support your dream.
5. If you get 5 times three times from the bear market to the bull market, it is almost 125 times. This time may be as short as one year or as long as 3 years.
You have three chances to fail. If you fail three times, it means that you don’t have the ability. Stay away from this circle, stay away from investment, and don’t get involved in contracts.
Put your energy into work, cultivate your hobbies, improve your abilities, make money at work and live a good life. When you are more mature and stable, about 30 years old, encounter a bear market like 22 years, take out 20,000 and try again according to the above method. If it still doesn’t work, then work steadily and stay away from the currency circle.
The most important thing about the above method is patience. If you are impatient and confused, you should also withdraw as soon as possible and don’t engage in contracts.
In short, remember to enter the market when you should enter, stop loss when you should stop loss, and be patient.

Make a prediction:

The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates in mid-September. There will generally be a golden pit before or within one month after the rate cut.

From today to the end of September. Within 2 months, the probability of a black swan event may increase.

Because when there may be a greater economic risk in the United States, the Federal Reserve will choose to cut interest rates. Then after the rate cut, US dollar assets will flow out of the United States and go to all parts of the world to buy high-quality assets at the bottom. At this time, financial products denominated in US dollars will naturally fall, and some local companies may even burst into thunder and black swan events.

So in these two months, if the market has a black swan explosion, please don’t panic. Calculate how long it will take to one month after the rate cut. Choose the opportunity to buy the bottom.

For example. If the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates in mid-September, then mid-October is the time when the bull market starts. If the interest rate is cut in November, then December is the time when the bull market starts!

The market will definitely not be peaceful tonight, especially in the second half of the night! !

Once the Fed makes a move and Powell speaks, those cunning big money bosses will definitely not be able to hold back and will make trouble.

The short orders we hold are stable, and we continue to be optimistic about the decline, don't waver!

For Bitcoin, we have been opening shorts near 69,000 since Monday, and now we have added positions at 66,300. These short orders are all in place, and the targets are 65,000 and 64,000 first, and then 63,000, and then retreat in batches.

For friends who haven't boarded yet, if the price rebounds to around 66,300, continue to short it, and the defense strategy remains unchanged, safety first!

Let's talk about Ethereum. The short order on Monday suffered a small loss, but we adjusted quickly, and the next few shorts were okay.

Now the short orders on hand are looking at the targets of 3250 and 3200. If there is a chance, we will add some shorts near 3340. The defense line is still the same as in the morning, don't change! In short, just keep an eye on it, take action when the opportunity comes, and respond flexibly!

Remember, in this era of involution, there is never a shortage of hard-working people. Opportunities are fleeting. Only by choosing the right direction and working hard can you be effective. If you are in the right circle, success is not far away!

August will usher in a big market

1. The August non-agricultural data and the interest rate cut meeting were on the same day. The United States has roughly prepared to release money and cut interest rates. After all, Japan was forced to raise interest rates, and other currencies in the world are also falling.
2. The cycle from the Fed's previous interest rate hike to now is too long. Recently, technology stocks have been on a downward trend, mainly because the dominance of the US dollar has declined. If it continues to carry on, it is easy to have excessive inflation and economic collapse.
3. The current trend of the currency circle has changed from the original decentralization to the US stock market with the inflow of ETFs. AI, RWA, MEME and other sectors have been re-accelerating. Therefore, the upward selling pressure of Ethereum after the ETF was passed has been eased last night. At the end of the month tonight, there will be a net inflow of funds, and the amount of outflow of coins in the past few days will not be as large.

One side will be slaughtered tonight...

The market has been speculating and adjusting prices according to the expectation of a 100% interest rate cut in September

The important premise for maintaining the current price is the consensus on the September interest rate cut

This positive news has been released for a long time

If it is confirmed tonight, it will be a positive news of certainty

After taking the reassurance pill, there will be a short-term pull-up

Japan's interest rate hike has brought some uncertainties to this matter

Just at this juncture... it's really messing things up...

If tonight, the SEC denies the expectation of a September interest rate cut

or gives information such as we need more time

more data to support the adjustment of interest rates.

That would be bad...