币圈老烧
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以前是什么价位，现在是什么价位？
History is always remarkably similar! #BTC
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Did V God abandon Ethereum when it dropped to 300? Or is it because Trump said to withdraw ETH from the ETF? Or is it a permanent technical paralysis? All tokens on the chain become invalid?? Or is BTC dropping to 10000? Analyzing the technical structure of coins cannot be separated from reality and must not be assumed. Moreover, your drawing shows no rebound at all until it directly hits 300? Then you could completely take out a loan to short Ethereum. Why analyze it here?
Market Supplement:
Opening the logarithmic view, it looks quite terrifying here at 2030, the long positions must have strict shallow stop-loss.
Opening the logarithmic view, it looks quite terrifying here at 2030, the long positions must have strict shallow stop-loss.
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赵长鹏都给你指明方向了，跌到40000
Callback ended, rebounding and rising, it won't go a second time, if it falls below the oversold area,
Remember that the currency price must go bearish; Ethereum breaking below 2000 is a signal, otherwise it's primarily for selling
During the day, Bitcoin is around 82500, Ethereum around 2040 can be bought long #比特币走势分析
Remember that the currency price must go bearish; Ethereum breaking below 2000 is a signal, otherwise it's primarily for selling
During the day, Bitcoin is around 82500, Ethereum around 2040 can be bought long #比特币走势分析
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多军感谢老哥的指示
Cutting the flesh in front, taking off in the back
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你雀食是人才，71000开空到现在…
Am I finally going to break free? The heavens did not give birth to me, the king of holding positions; the eternal spring breeze is like a long night!! It seems that in this bull market, I am still the winner. A small speculator, how laughable, how laughable $BTC big pie, charge for me！！！！
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1900真不好说
I am adding 3000u in margin, if you have the ability, blow me up,
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Bro, where does the money come from? Shouldn't ETH's 3x rise consider BTC's reputation first? If ETH rises 3x, shouldn't BTC be over 200,000+?
ETH may repeat the miracle of the 2020 surge
Amazing discovery! The current trend perfectly replicates the surge pattern from four years ago
Do you remember what happened after the breakthrough in 2020? 📈320% insane surge myth #美国加征关税 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Amazing discovery! The current trend perfectly replicates the surge pattern from four years ago
Do you remember what happened after the breakthrough in 2020? 📈320% insane surge myth #美国加征关税 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Trading cryptocurrencies is inherently a self-risk, whether or not there is regulation is not the core factor in price fluctuations. The A-shares have always been regulated, but their performance in the last 10 years has been poor, while the U.S. stock market has been in a bull market. The key is to look at capital and policy; complaining about regulation seems more like a baseless grievance.
88670 is the moving pressure point of Bitcoin!!! If you can't break through, you will retreat!! It is still in a downward channel!! The dealer will continue to smash the market. There is no fig leaf in this industry because it is not needed. Just ask Trump and you will know!! (Unsupervised Zone)
92017 is the key pressure point above!! If you can't break through, just keep shorting at highs here!!
$BTC
92017 is the key pressure point above!! If you can't break through, just keep shorting at highs here!!
$BTC
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Brother, without saying anything else, you should first practice your writing skills well. There is too much filler and you should be more concise; there's no need to repeat a point several times. Also, even if it drops to 66000, it doesn't mean it's imminent. Without a black swan event, there will still be rebounds along the way.
$BTC Bitcoin continues to plummet, and is about to plummet to 66,000
Brothers, don’t you understand? My judgment is accurate again. I have said that for this kind of market, experts like me can grasp it accurately, but in fact, we can also find it from the market. You see, I told you before that it fell a little at that time
It is to prepare for the big drop in the future. It has already started. It has started to plummet directly and is ready to plummet to 66,000. In fact, for this kind of situation, for me, it is also very accurate, because I have been trained by the market, constantly persisting, constantly working hard, and finally persevering
So I said that my choice and my judgment are very strong, but it is Many brothers don't believe it, but I have proved myself again. I will always stick to it. You can rest assured about this. Then let's continue to analyze the market. I just said that there is already a trend that can't be supported in the front. You may think that the decline to 66,000 is too outrageous, but in fact it is normal, because after the continuous shocks during this period, it has been unable to rise, and it must have a wave of plunges. So this situation is very normal. You think it is a sudden, but it is actually premeditated. So for this kind of market, we must be prepared and not be caught off guard, so we also open shorts directly, and prepare for a plunge directly. It is also plunging now and is about to reach 66,000.
Brothers, don’t you understand? My judgment is accurate again. I have said that for this kind of market, experts like me can grasp it accurately, but in fact, we can also find it from the market. You see, I told you before that it fell a little at that time
It is to prepare for the big drop in the future. It has already started. It has started to plummet directly and is ready to plummet to 66,000. In fact, for this kind of situation, for me, it is also very accurate, because I have been trained by the market, constantly persisting, constantly working hard, and finally persevering
So I said that my choice and my judgment are very strong, but it is Many brothers don't believe it, but I have proved myself again. I will always stick to it. You can rest assured about this. Then let's continue to analyze the market. I just said that there is already a trend that can't be supported in the front. You may think that the decline to 66,000 is too outrageous, but in fact it is normal, because after the continuous shocks during this period, it has been unable to rise, and it must have a wave of plunges. So this situation is very normal. You think it is a sudden, but it is actually premeditated. So for this kind of market, we must be prepared and not be caught off guard, so we also open shorts directly, and prepare for a plunge directly. It is also plunging now and is about to reach 66,000.
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Dude, this photo of yours is almost worn out from being saved; do you have to pull it out for endorsement when posting a market prediction?
交易员赵财神
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2025.2.21.BTC.ETH.SOL.BNB.DOGE.Intraday Market Analysis
BTC
Good afternoon, brothers. The Bitcoin price has broken through 98,000 for the second time and reached the second pressure level. The market has started to fall back for the second time. Last night, the first wave of the price reached 98,000 and then fell back by more than 1,000 points. In last night’s market analysis, I specifically reminded brothers not to panic. The market is always up and down. As long as the support is not broken, the rebound trend is still there. Today, the daily level pressure has been confirmed to break through, which means that the market will continue to rebound at the daily level. The second retracement below Support 97300. Defense support 96500. You can try long orders if it falls back to these two positions. Stop loss can be manually exited if the four-hour closing line falls below 97000. The upper target pressure is 99000-100000. Short orders can be tried in this range with a stop loss. If the short position is hit, the short position will continue to wait in the range of 101366-102564.
ETH
It has been sideways for too long. From the daily line pattern, it will explode. Just pay attention to the support of 2730 and defense of 2700. You can try long orders near these two positions. Just 2700 is enough. , if it falls below, the market will fluctuate again. As long as it does not fall below these two positions today, it will be a matter of a needle to pull it up. The target pressure is 2800.2850.2917. Short orders can pay attention to the second and third pressure levels.
SOL
SOL rebound is still weak, do not follow the rise, step back to support 172.5, do not fall below this support, and continue to see a rebound. The rebound pressure is 179.183.187. If the four-hour closing line falls below 172.5, this wave of rebound will end, and the second support below is 167.163.160.
BNB
BNB enters a volatile rebound pressure at the four-hour level 664. Only by breaking through this pressure can the rebound be strong. The upper pressure is 683.705.731. If it fails to break through 664, the market will fluctuate. The lower defense support is 645.636. If it breaks through, it will be around 615.
DOGE
Dog fluctuates at the four-hour level, and the daily level is still short. The upper important pressure is 0.261. Only by breaking through this pressure can the market reverse. Steady long orders will be considered after the daily line breaks through the 0.261 pressure. If it fails to break through, the market will continue to fluctuate. The lower defense support is 0.242. If it breaks through, it will be 0.22.0.2#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #solana
BTC
Good afternoon, brothers. The Bitcoin price has broken through 98,000 for the second time and reached the second pressure level. The market has started to fall back for the second time. Last night, the first wave of the price reached 98,000 and then fell back by more than 1,000 points. In last night’s market analysis, I specifically reminded brothers not to panic. The market is always up and down. As long as the support is not broken, the rebound trend is still there. Today, the daily level pressure has been confirmed to break through, which means that the market will continue to rebound at the daily level. The second retracement below Support 97300. Defense support 96500. You can try long orders if it falls back to these two positions. Stop loss can be manually exited if the four-hour closing line falls below 97000. The upper target pressure is 99000-100000. Short orders can be tried in this range with a stop loss. If the short position is hit, the short position will continue to wait in the range of 101366-102564.
ETH
It has been sideways for too long. From the daily line pattern, it will explode. Just pay attention to the support of 2730 and defense of 2700. You can try long orders near these two positions. Just 2700 is enough. , if it falls below, the market will fluctuate again. As long as it does not fall below these two positions today, it will be a matter of a needle to pull it up. The target pressure is 2800.2850.2917. Short orders can pay attention to the second and third pressure levels.
SOL
SOL rebound is still weak, do not follow the rise, step back to support 172.5, do not fall below this support, and continue to see a rebound. The rebound pressure is 179.183.187. If the four-hour closing line falls below 172.5, this wave of rebound will end, and the second support below is 167.163.160.
BNB
BNB enters a volatile rebound pressure at the four-hour level 664. Only by breaking through this pressure can the rebound be strong. The upper pressure is 683.705.731. If it fails to break through 664, the market will fluctuate. The lower defense support is 645.636. If it breaks through, it will be around 615.
DOGE
Dog fluctuates at the four-hour level, and the daily level is still short. The upper important pressure is 0.261. Only by breaking through this pressure can the market reverse. Steady long orders will be considered after the daily line breaks through the 0.261 pressure. If it fails to break through, the market will continue to fluctuate. The lower defense support is 0.242. If it breaks through, it will be 0.22.0.2#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #solana
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When making contracts, especially with high leverage, whether to hold a position depends on your view of the market. This can be dangerous, and it is advised not to use high leverage; otherwise, even a slight fluctuation can disturb your misjudgment of the market due to emotions. The trends of long and short positions are cyclical and should be judged from larger time frames such as long hours and daily charts. Do not get obsessed with temporary fluctuations in short time frames. I also noticed that the December line did not close well, but the current daily trend has not deteriorated after breaking out, so we should be cautious about shorting. Moreover, trends gradually transmit to longer time frames, so even if a divergence appears in the short term, it will not immediately change the trend.
Deviation and double top, let's see how you charge forward
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I haven't shared my views in a long time. I've noticed that there are many people in the square who are bearish. I'll briefly share my judgment on the upcoming market trends.
First, the conclusion: short-term rebound. Given that the December line closed poorly, there will be significant fluctuations in mid to late January. We may enter a monthly level adjustment. 108,000 should not be the peak of this bull market. As for when it will happen, we need to take it step by step.
From a technical perspective, two points of analysis:
1. Multiple technical indicators for BTC have entered the oversold zone and are beginning to show hourly divergences. Currently, it has tested the bottom range around 93,000 three to four times without effectively breaking down, forming a box bottom, and the K-line patterns show considerable support. There is no urgent need for a surge, which is a good thing: one, it builds momentum; two, it straightens out the moving averages across various time frames during the horizontal fluctuations, weakening the pressure formed, before breaking out with volume.
2. Assuming 108,000 is the peak, the daily patterns of historical bull tops are often M-shaped, which aligns with the methods and cycles of the main players' distribution; there are rarely one-sided declines. Based on this, I predict another rebound. The longer it lingers at the current position, the greater the probability of breaking above 100,000.
There is too much noise in the square right now. It's crucial to maintain your own thinking and judgment. When making money in the crypto space, don't get caught up in temporary fluctuations. If your overall direction is correct, you can make money in cyclical markets. Many who trade contracts are overly obsessed with short-term profits and technical indicators. Once caught in a position, they easily disturb their mindset, which backfires.
Above all, if anyone has differing opinions, feel free to communicate. Those who maliciously insult are welcome to be blocked.
First, the conclusion: short-term rebound. Given that the December line closed poorly, there will be significant fluctuations in mid to late January. We may enter a monthly level adjustment. 108,000 should not be the peak of this bull market. As for when it will happen, we need to take it step by step.
From a technical perspective, two points of analysis:
1. Multiple technical indicators for BTC have entered the oversold zone and are beginning to show hourly divergences. Currently, it has tested the bottom range around 93,000 three to four times without effectively breaking down, forming a box bottom, and the K-line patterns show considerable support. There is no urgent need for a surge, which is a good thing: one, it builds momentum; two, it straightens out the moving averages across various time frames during the horizontal fluctuations, weakening the pressure formed, before breaking out with volume.
2. Assuming 108,000 is the peak, the daily patterns of historical bull tops are often M-shaped, which aligns with the methods and cycles of the main players' distribution; there are rarely one-sided declines. Based on this, I predict another rebound. The longer it lingers at the current position, the greater the probability of breaking above 100,000.
There is too much noise in the square right now. It's crucial to maintain your own thinking and judgment. When making money in the crypto space, don't get caught up in temporary fluctuations. If your overall direction is correct, you can make money in cyclical markets. Many who trade contracts are overly obsessed with short-term profits and technical indicators. Once caught in a position, they easily disturb their mindset, which backfires.
Above all, if anyone has differing opinions, feel free to communicate. Those who maliciously insult are welcome to be blocked.
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After careful study, the indicators for the recent bull market peaks have been increasingly lower, which may be due to dynamic changes in the sample. If adjusted according to the proportion, the next one may be between 4-5.
BTC Top Escape Indicator: AHR999 Index Update
Currently still in a bull market balance period, it is recommended to continue holding.
Index < 0.45 Buy the Dip
Index > 6 Escape the Top
1/ In historical data backtesting, when the AHR999 index < 0.45, this buy signal accurately captured the bottom price area of BTC.
Reviewing the previous two bull markets, there were four instances where the index fell below 0.45, specifically including: the 112-day buy window at the end of 2019, the 27-day opportunity at the beginning of 2020, the 206-day low-level wandering phase in the second half of 2022, and the 55-day bottom buying point before the beginning of 2023.
Historical data fully validates the accuracy and reliability of the AHR999 index in determining Bitcoin's bottom.
2/ When the AHR999 index breaks through the key threshold of 6, the market often enters the peak phase of the bull market. Analysis of data from the previous two bull markets shows that during the periods when the index exceeded 6, both bull markets exhibited a top cycle characteristic of about 90 days.
Note: Practically verified, the 9 God Indicator has over 90% reliability when used for buying the dip, which can be fully trusted; while its reliability as an escape top indicator can also reach over 83%. However, due to the importance and complexity of escape decisions, it is recommended to use this indicator for escape judgments in conjunction with other relevant indicators for cross-validation.
#BTC
Currently still in a bull market balance period, it is recommended to continue holding.
Index < 0.45 Buy the Dip
Index > 6 Escape the Top
1/ In historical data backtesting, when the AHR999 index < 0.45, this buy signal accurately captured the bottom price area of BTC.
Reviewing the previous two bull markets, there were four instances where the index fell below 0.45, specifically including: the 112-day buy window at the end of 2019, the 27-day opportunity at the beginning of 2020, the 206-day low-level wandering phase in the second half of 2022, and the 55-day bottom buying point before the beginning of 2023.
Historical data fully validates the accuracy and reliability of the AHR999 index in determining Bitcoin's bottom.
2/ When the AHR999 index breaks through the key threshold of 6, the market often enters the peak phase of the bull market. Analysis of data from the previous two bull markets shows that during the periods when the index exceeded 6, both bull markets exhibited a top cycle characteristic of about 90 days.
Note: Practically verified, the 9 God Indicator has over 90% reliability when used for buying the dip, which can be fully trusted; while its reliability as an escape top indicator can also reach over 83%. However, due to the importance and complexity of escape decisions, it is recommended to use this indicator for escape judgments in conjunction with other relevant indicators for cross-validation.
#BTC
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Change your mindset, the current technology has already started to show a divergence from the bottom. What if the hourly cycle is forming a triple bottom? If it is a major top, it should also refer to 108,000 from the daily level, before rebounding to above 100,000 to form an M-top, like the 69,000 in 2020 and the 73,000 earlier this year. If you don't consider 108,000 as a major top, then why care about this small fluctuation? At the current position, if a range-bound fluctuation forms, the longer it lasts, the more it will help to repair the indicators, which in turn is beneficial for a rise.
On Saturday, Bitcoin continues to see a downward breakout!!
Happy weekend everyone! Dear fans and friends, I am Xu Bin. Yesterday, I provided an open position for everyone, watching the weak adjustment give a space of 2100 points. Each position is an open layout, rejecting flashy tactics; whether the direction is accurate, everyone knows it very well!!
Currently, from the 4-hour chart, the volatility in the Bitcoin market has significantly narrowed. From a technical perspective, the short-term trend will continue to oscillate. The 4-hour retracement cycle remains unchanged. From the morning until now, Bitcoin's rise has clearly lacked strength, and it's difficult to recover 95000. The bulls lack confidence, and I still expect a decline.
BTC Short-term: 95000 short, target 92000–90000
ETH Short-term: 3355 short, target 3300
A king is not born, Xu Bin is not talented. If you can't do it well, you can consult Xu Bin. #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #“圣诞老人行情”再现 #2025加密趋势预测 #BTC上攻11万？ #2025有哪些关键叙事？ $ETH $BTC $XRP
Happy weekend everyone! Dear fans and friends, I am Xu Bin. Yesterday, I provided an open position for everyone, watching the weak adjustment give a space of 2100 points. Each position is an open layout, rejecting flashy tactics; whether the direction is accurate, everyone knows it very well!!
Currently, from the 4-hour chart, the volatility in the Bitcoin market has significantly narrowed. From a technical perspective, the short-term trend will continue to oscillate. The 4-hour retracement cycle remains unchanged. From the morning until now, Bitcoin's rise has clearly lacked strength, and it's difficult to recover 95000. The bulls lack confidence, and I still expect a decline.
BTC Short-term: 95000 short, target 92000–90000
ETH Short-term: 3355 short, target 3300
A king is not born, Xu Bin is not talented. If you can't do it well, you can consult Xu Bin. #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #“圣诞老人行情”再现 #2025加密趋势预测 #BTC上攻11万？ #2025有哪些关键叙事？ $ETH $BTC $XRP
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There is no need to elaborate on the negative news such as the rate cut and the situation in the Middle East.
Another observation is that the 7-week line has never formed a dead cross since the golden cross in September last year, but according to the current engulfing K-line, it will form a dead cross in the next 2 weeks. It is foreseeable that the news does not support too much off-market funds to go long here. The main force has been fluctuating at a high level for 5-6 months and has changed hands and is also waiting for the shoe to drop. Therefore, the rebound is becoming increasingly weak. Everyone should control their positions well. Going short at highs is also considered a "bull market"... Don't be too stubborn.
Another observation is that the 7-week line has never formed a dead cross since the golden cross in September last year, but according to the current engulfing K-line, it will form a dead cross in the next 2 weeks. It is foreseeable that the news does not support too much off-market funds to go long here. The main force has been fluctuating at a high level for 5-6 months and has changed hands and is also waiting for the shoe to drop. Therefore, the rebound is becoming increasingly weak. Everyone should control their positions well. Going short at highs is also considered a "bull market"... Don't be too stubborn.
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Let me talk about my judgment on the future trend. First, I will say the conclusion: "There is no bottom in the fall relay." And the main rising wave that breaks the new high may be delayed for a longer time, and even 73,000 is the high point of this year.
Analyze from the following two aspects:
1. The box oscillation of 60,000-73,000 for 4 consecutive months, I think it constitutes the main distribution area, because from a historical point of view, if it is a high-level shock and then pull up, the time span is unlikely to be so long, and the monthly line closes in the negative and is mostly a huge entity. The shock may close with a long lower shadow, indicating that the main box oscillates gradually. If the assumption is established, the current market has just broken through the box, which is also regarded as just breaking through the profit range of the main force. At this time, there are no cheaper chips in hand, and it is impossible to give up the previous cheap chips and build a position here. This will undoubtedly increase their costs and risks, which is not in line with their cost-benefit logic.
2. Regarding the saying that interest rate cuts mean an increase, you can refer to the performance of the previous bull market in the period of interest rate cuts, which was mainly a decline. In fact, the previous market has already overdrawn the expectation of interest rate cuts in advance, so even if the recent economic data indicates a rate cut in September, the market is not shocked. Perhaps it is a good thing not to cut interest rates and not to disrupt the balance of the market. After all, a rate cut means economic recession and capital outflow. Therefore, if the interest rate is really cut in September, it will accelerate the bottoming of the market. It is better to be cautious at that time.
In summary, from the perspective of policy, technology, and emotions, my personal opinion is that the bottom has not yet been reached. Perhaps the bottom is in the 40,000 range.
Regarding the current market view:
The current trend of the convergent triangle is a repair of the weekly level deviation rate. If it can stand at around 58,200, it can be long. Next week, it will be inserted above 60,000, to the neckline of the box. After consolidation, there will be a shrinkage of volume, which will start a downward trend.
The above is only my personal opinion. Different opinions can be discussed in a friendly manner. If you are emotional, you are welcome to block me.
Analyze from the following two aspects:
1. The box oscillation of 60,000-73,000 for 4 consecutive months, I think it constitutes the main distribution area, because from a historical point of view, if it is a high-level shock and then pull up, the time span is unlikely to be so long, and the monthly line closes in the negative and is mostly a huge entity. The shock may close with a long lower shadow, indicating that the main box oscillates gradually. If the assumption is established, the current market has just broken through the box, which is also regarded as just breaking through the profit range of the main force. At this time, there are no cheaper chips in hand, and it is impossible to give up the previous cheap chips and build a position here. This will undoubtedly increase their costs and risks, which is not in line with their cost-benefit logic.
2. Regarding the saying that interest rate cuts mean an increase, you can refer to the performance of the previous bull market in the period of interest rate cuts, which was mainly a decline. In fact, the previous market has already overdrawn the expectation of interest rate cuts in advance, so even if the recent economic data indicates a rate cut in September, the market is not shocked. Perhaps it is a good thing not to cut interest rates and not to disrupt the balance of the market. After all, a rate cut means economic recession and capital outflow. Therefore, if the interest rate is really cut in September, it will accelerate the bottoming of the market. It is better to be cautious at that time.
In summary, from the perspective of policy, technology, and emotions, my personal opinion is that the bottom has not yet been reached. Perhaps the bottom is in the 40,000 range.
Regarding the current market view:
The current trend of the convergent triangle is a repair of the weekly level deviation rate. If it can stand at around 58,200, it can be long. Next week, it will be inserted above 60,000, to the neckline of the box. After consolidation, there will be a shrinkage of volume, which will start a downward trend.
The above is only my personal opinion. Different opinions can be discussed in a friendly manner. If you are emotional, you are welcome to block me.
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$BTC
I have been shorting since mid-March. I also expressed some bearish views at that time. Although the market was a bit slow, it actually came out. I wonder how those who sneered at the bullish outlook a few months ago feel now?
Two opinions
One good news, there may be a rebound after falling to 53,000. The target I see is around 58,000 at most.
One bad news, a few months ago I thought that falling to around 53,000 was the bottom, but now the market has come out, it seems that the bottom pattern is still not visible. It is estimated that it will enter the 4-digit range, and it is best to build a bottom at 43,000.
At present, in terms of operation, spot can be opened at low prices, and the more it falls, the more it buys. Or it is shorting at high prices. The general trend is still downward. I wish you all good luck.
I have been shorting since mid-March. I also expressed some bearish views at that time. Although the market was a bit slow, it actually came out. I wonder how those who sneered at the bullish outlook a few months ago feel now?
Two opinions
One good news, there may be a rebound after falling to 53,000. The target I see is around 58,000 at most.
One bad news, a few months ago I thought that falling to around 53,000 was the bottom, but now the market has come out, it seems that the bottom pattern is still not visible. It is estimated that it will enter the 4-digit range, and it is best to build a bottom at 43,000.
At present, in terms of operation, spot can be opened at low prices, and the more it falls, the more it buys. Or it is shorting at high prices. The general trend is still downward. I wish you all good luck.
See original
$BTC
The most misleading argument on the square is that "the altcoin can no longer fall".
Little do people know that there is a strongest consensus in the currency circle, that is, "the currency circle is the currency circle of Bitcoin", and the rise and fall of more than 95% of the altcoins are all based on BTC's face. Therefore, to analyze the market, especially for retail investors, there is no need to read too much lengthy information about tokens, just figure out the sector to which they belong and follow the hot spots of the main hot money speculation. The most important thing is to analyze the macro aspect and the technical aspect of BTC.
In summary, it is not important whether the altcoin is still falling. What is important is whether Btc will continue to pull back? If it is to pull back, the altcoin is unlikely to go out of the independent market, and it may even follow Btc's negative decline. You must know that there is a "basement" under the floor price.
Why am I still bearish? It is because Btc's April positive line engulfed, and the weekly Macd dead cross, and it is still at a high level. Some people replied that technical indicators are not important and have lags. But we need to analyze the logic behind the problem. If the Macd dead cross wants to reverse and cross again, there must be continuous positive news, and large funds must enter the market to hedge the previous profit/lock-in. The recent trend is that the rise is small and the fall is large, so it is difficult to build a bottom above 60,000. First, see if 56,000 can form a double bottom. If not, look at around 53,000. As for whether it will fall into 40,000, we will analyze it according to the market.
Friendly discussion is welcome. If you reply with emotion, you will be blocked directly.
The most misleading argument on the square is that "the altcoin can no longer fall".
Little do people know that there is a strongest consensus in the currency circle, that is, "the currency circle is the currency circle of Bitcoin", and the rise and fall of more than 95% of the altcoins are all based on BTC's face. Therefore, to analyze the market, especially for retail investors, there is no need to read too much lengthy information about tokens, just figure out the sector to which they belong and follow the hot spots of the main hot money speculation. The most important thing is to analyze the macro aspect and the technical aspect of BTC.
In summary, it is not important whether the altcoin is still falling. What is important is whether Btc will continue to pull back? If it is to pull back, the altcoin is unlikely to go out of the independent market, and it may even follow Btc's negative decline. You must know that there is a "basement" under the floor price.
Why am I still bearish? It is because Btc's April positive line engulfed, and the weekly Macd dead cross, and it is still at a high level. Some people replied that technical indicators are not important and have lags. But we need to analyze the logic behind the problem. If the Macd dead cross wants to reverse and cross again, there must be continuous positive news, and large funds must enter the market to hedge the previous profit/lock-in. The recent trend is that the rise is small and the fall is large, so it is difficult to build a bottom above 60,000. First, see if 56,000 can form a double bottom. If not, look at around 53,000. As for whether it will fall into 40,000, we will analyze it according to the market.
Friendly discussion is welcome. If you reply with emotion, you will be blocked directly.
See original
$BTC
Although it is still bearish, I hope that today will not fall, and the weekly line will form a positive line. After all, it has closed 4 negative lines in a row. Correcting a downward trend is better for a quick bottoming out later.
Although it is currently a cross star that seems to have strong support, it is actually driven by the expectation of non-agricultural interest rate cuts, and there is no incremental capital entering the market. I think to understand the main force's thinking, we have to look at the engulfing positive line in April. If it is really a wash, it should be taken over at the end of April, at least with part of the lower shadow line, rather than closing a whole positive line entity, indicating that the main force has changed hands at a high level, and more funds that can drive the market up have flowed out, and they understand that closing such a negative line will make it more difficult to control the market in the later stage.
Of course, there are also some people in the market who think it is a reversal and will rise to 80,000, but the current weekly MACD indicator is still in the overbought area and has a dead cross. If the indicator is not corrected, it is nonsense to want to break through 100,000 later.
There are also many people who say that the possibility of a rate cut is a positive. In fact, those who have studied the trends of the previous rate cut cycles know that the first few months were first down and then up. There are many opportunities for retail investors to enter the market.
Finally, those who left sarcastic comments, I emphasize again that I don’t do contracts, I only buy spot, and now I am only staking mining, and I only catch 2-3 major trends a year. If you think you are right, just go long.
Although it is still bearish, I hope that today will not fall, and the weekly line will form a positive line. After all, it has closed 4 negative lines in a row. Correcting a downward trend is better for a quick bottoming out later.
Although it is currently a cross star that seems to have strong support, it is actually driven by the expectation of non-agricultural interest rate cuts, and there is no incremental capital entering the market. I think to understand the main force's thinking, we have to look at the engulfing positive line in April. If it is really a wash, it should be taken over at the end of April, at least with part of the lower shadow line, rather than closing a whole positive line entity, indicating that the main force has changed hands at a high level, and more funds that can drive the market up have flowed out, and they understand that closing such a negative line will make it more difficult to control the market in the later stage.
Of course, there are also some people in the market who think it is a reversal and will rise to 80,000, but the current weekly MACD indicator is still in the overbought area and has a dead cross. If the indicator is not corrected, it is nonsense to want to break through 100,000 later.
There are also many people who say that the possibility of a rate cut is a positive. In fact, those who have studied the trends of the previous rate cut cycles know that the first few months were first down and then up. There are many opportunities for retail investors to enter the market.
Finally, those who left sarcastic comments, I emphasize again that I don’t do contracts, I only buy spot, and now I am only staking mining, and I only catch 2-3 major trends a year. If you think you are right, just go long.
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$BTC
From the market, it seems that the market is brewing again, but it is going down. For those who are still bullish, you only need to figure out two questions:
1: Is the third month of BTC 60,000-73,000 range fluctuation the main force distribution range? If so, will the main force just change hands and then pull up at 56,500 to rescue the locked-in positions?
2: The non-agricultural data the day before yesterday was good, and there is an expectation of interest rate cuts. Is there really incremental funds entering the market? If not, is it all the existing funds that are playing now? Can it break through the new high?
If your answer to the above two questions is no, then continue to hold bullish. After all, a mature market is a zero-sum game. If someone loses, someone will make money. This is healthy.
From the market, it seems that the market is brewing again, but it is going down. For those who are still bullish, you only need to figure out two questions:
1: Is the third month of BTC 60,000-73,000 range fluctuation the main force distribution range? If so, will the main force just change hands and then pull up at 56,500 to rescue the locked-in positions?
2: The non-agricultural data the day before yesterday was good, and there is an expectation of interest rate cuts. Is there really incremental funds entering the market? If not, is it all the existing funds that are playing now? Can it break through the new high?
If your answer to the above two questions is no, then continue to hold bullish. After all, a mature market is a zero-sum game. If someone loses, someone will make money. This is healthy.
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