The results of the US election on November 4 are coming soon, let's briefly discuss the impact of two possible outcomes on the cryptocurrency market.
Outcome 1: Trump is elected.
1. The new Republican Party platform will become more important: ending the US government's crackdown on cryptocurrencies, defending the rights of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency mining, self-custody, and trading freedom.
2. Trump will appoint a new SEC chairman, with three candidates who are favorable to the crypto space: Dan Gallagher (Chief Legal Officer of Robinhood, which fully embraces the crypto space), Chris Giancarlo (former CFTC chairman, nicknamed the father of crypto), and Hester Peirce (one of the current five SEC commissioners, nicknamed the mother of crypto).
3. The DOGE division will be officially established, and cutting the budget department will surely generate news, bringing Dogecoin's exposure to another level.
4. Short-term benefits of Trump-themed coins will be fully realized.
Outcome 2: Harris is elected.
1. The steps towards regulatory openness for the crypto space will not be as significant. Gary Gensler may become Treasury Secretary, and among the new SEC chairman candidates, only Chris Brummer is crypto-friendly, but being a law professor may lead him to be similar to Gary after taking office.
2. Trump may go to jail, Musk may be targeted, and companies in the crypto space that support Trump may face scrutiny, especially those that align with the knowledgeable king out of fear of SEC action, such as Kraken and Gemini. The aforementioned related concept coins may face a deep pitfall.
3. Harris's climate policy will negatively impact high-energy-consuming POW mining.
4. Overall, it should present another bottom-fishing opportunity similar to '94. After all, the Democratic Party and Harris's major backer BlackRock still want to expand Bitcoin ETFs and tokenization.
The last round was indeed the last month, and ETH/BTC only started to explode, after which the main upward wave of the bull market ended. The current trend is indeed very similar, and we can only continue to observe. However, don't think that it will definitely go this way. If a significant trend break occurs for Bitcoin, or if the ETH trend breaks, and there is no ETH season, it is better to clear out if necessary.
“Even coins that couldn't rise in the past are rising, which indicates this is the last frenzy.” Is this statement true or false?
Let Sponge explain the logic behind this to you. Look at old coins like XRP and ADA, with such large market caps, over hundreds of billions. If they double, do you think this is the last frenzy?
Right now, retail investors completely want the market to drop because they still want to pick up chips at lower prices, but they are also afraid the market will drop, creating a contradictory mindset.
Take a look at ORDI, which has risen dozens of times; what is its current market cap? Look at the meme series coins, how many times have they risen? What is their market cap?
With a few tens of millions in market cap, rising dozens of times only gets you a few billion; rising hundreds of times only gets you a few tens of billions. Yet retail investors think that because inscriptions and memes have risen, seeing such large increases, they believe the big market has already ended.
However, they are just confused by the surface; coins like inscriptions and memes, which were highly controlled before their rise, don't need much capital to push the market up.
Everyone says there’s no money in the crypto world and that there’s no bull market, but no one ever thinks about why old coins like XRP, DOGE, and ADA can quickly double.
Do you think that market cap is just a number? Changing 100 billion to 200 billion is just changing 1 to 2?
The crypto world is a financial market, and it is currently the most brutal global financial market. Do not take your inherent thinking and your own understanding for granted.
So those who say the crypto market is bad, that it doesn’t provide opportunities to make money, that the global economy is bad, and that there’s no money flowing into the crypto market, and that a short-term bull market will not come; those who say these things should first clarify why old coins have been rising recently.
It is recommended for those who play with memes to really take good care of their smart wallets. In the past, I often felt that my information was too closed off, wondering how some coins just skyrocketed while I had never even seen them. Was it because I joined too few groups, scrolled Twitter too little, or was too lazy to scan the chains? But in reality, if you have a well-maintained list of smart wallets, you won't miss out on most opportunities in this market.
Points to note: 1. The core is to invest your heart and mind into your smart wallet. Don't just randomly add wallets, and it's not advisable to directly use others' without adding your own logic, choices, and judgments. Only then will your smart wallet truly be effective.
2. Be sure to check each wallet's specific holdings, profit situation, operating style, etc., and make good notes.
3. Try to add players with a style that matches your own. For example, if you are focused on internal trading, add more experts in that area.
4. Regularly maintain and update your wallets. To be honest, gmgn does this quite well, with many small functional details, such as tracking recent trading activities. The only downside is the limit of 100 wallets.
5. Make good backups; otherwise, after all that hard work in maintenance, if the platform goes down, everything will be lost.
The altcoin sector is consolidating along with BTC, generally experiencing a slight decline. SATS continues to be held, rising to around 50 for liquidation. For medium-term holding, it can be looked at reaching around 80. PEOPLE has seen a slight increase and can be exchanged out. Those still confident can continue to hold. The PEOPLE election phase has not yet started, and many people have already exited. There is still an expectation for future increases. CKB, after reducing holdings, continues to be held while waiting for ecological explosion. FTM remains held, and FB is temporarily untouched, waiting for ecological recovery. New altcoins suggested to pay attention to ACT, which has very good community building, a new track, and a new sector. The AIMEME series currently has GOAT not yet listed in the major market with a market cap of 1 billion. ACT is expected to become a new leader, potentially reaching a market cap of over 1 billion. Keep up with the accumulation strategy. Fundamental news: None at the moment. Primary market information: RGB++ continues to be monitored, recent popularity is not very good. The rune market has somewhat recovered, and friends who previously bought DOG are advised to hold long-term. The on-chain MEME sector remains hot, and continuous attention is needed. Today's intraday altcoin accumulation coins can be seen above, and more altcoin strategy updates can be found in the community's latest news.
BTC: 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, daily level is above a healthy range, expected to consolidate during the day, long-term expectations have not weakened, intraday support is at 90000-91000, and resistance is at 92500-93000.
ETH: 1-hour and 4-hour levels have returned to a healthy range, daily level is above a healthy range, expected to consolidate during the day, intraday support is at 3000-3050, and resistance is at 3200-3250.
This round of the bull market, along with the continuous buying of ETFs, may mean that the adjustments of several dozen points like before may not happen again, but rather small-scale sideways movements instead of declines. As the bull market progresses, the trend is becoming clearer, which is BTC + meme + SOL. SOL, due to the prosperity on its chain, is akin to the existence of ETH in the last bull market, and even stronger!
BN launches Meme coins, and there are certainly well-considered reasons behind it, though we won’t delve into the matters beneath the table. Firstly, the popularity of Meme coins stems from the genuine demand in the market, supported by interesting concepts and the enthusiasm of the community, making it a focal point of attention. Meme coins are not just a concept; their high trading volume and activity, boosted by social media, have triggered FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) in the market. BN's launch is in accordance with this market demand, capable of attracting various investors, especially those seeking quick returns. Moreover, the launch of popular coins further solidifies BN's relevance and leading position in the market. Of course, the hype surrounding Meme coins brings not only an influx of funds but also the attention of countless investors. Although opportunities and risks coexist, in this volatile market, the ultimate profit and loss must be borne by the investors themselves. In summary, the emergence of Meme coins brings new vitality to BN and injects a dose of adrenaline into the entire market.
In the current bull market, the most obvious main line is undoubtedly the MEME ecology, and its core is based on SOL. In comparison, other market main lines appear disorganized and have no obvious benefits for ETH. Therefore, we can clearly see that as long as the MEME ecology does not stall, SOL's strong situation will continue. As more and more people join the "dog rush" bandwagon, the demand for SOL will become stronger, and the market will naturally rise. Of course, we also need to remain vigilant in the short term. MEME may undergo adjustments at any time and is already approaching a short-term climax. Therefore, if you are optimistic about SOL, you may wish to wait patiently for a correction opportunity, and you may be able to obtain more cost-effective investment opportunities. BTC and SOL are undoubtedly the leaders in the current market, and the popularity of MEME culture cannot be ignored. Grasping these main threads of ideas will help you take advantage of the upcoming copycat season. Whether it is a flexible grasp of short-term operations or a keen insight into market dynamics, only by understanding and following these trends can we remain invincible in the ever-changing market! #比特币ETF期权上线 #市场围绕90K #AVAX、ROSE、ADA大额解锁 #PNUT再次走高
Don’t compare the current on-chain meme with the inscription at the end of last year. The market situation is completely different.
Macro: It was at the end of the tightening period, and now it is at the beginning of the easing period; Result: There are no more than 3 inscriptions with a value of over 100 million, and now there are more than 5 in the ai meme track with a value of over 100 million. Crowd: Inscription is mainly a Chinese community, and the on-chain meme is already a global casino, with a 50m+ speed pass per day.
The current trend in the cryptocurrency space is quietly shifting towards the primary market, rather than the traditional secondary market. The appeal of the primary market lies in its diversity: it can be a virtual zoo, AIMEME, or even various pieces of art, all sharing a common characteristic - full circulation and mass production. However, newcomers to the primary market, the "novices", should not blindly follow the crowd. After all, the experts in the primary market often have unique tools and strategies, and we newcomers often find ourselves at a disadvantage in PVP (player versus player) confrontations. Therefore, staying informed is key; although there are many differences between the primary and secondary markets, opportunities in the primary market often get amplified in the secondary market, turning into more substantial returns. It can be said that the secondary market is our home ground. Only by understanding the potential and characteristics of the primary market can we better seize opportunities in the secondary market. To stand firm in this rapidly changing cryptocurrency space, remember not to blindly follow the crowd, but rather learn to build strength in the shadows, preparing for the next big opportunity!
Currently, the trend in the cryptocurrency market is in the primary market rather than the secondary market. It can be a zoo, it can be AIMEME, it can be artwork, or it can be something else; There is a characteristic that it is fully circulated and produced in batches. It is not encouraged for secondary players to rashly rush into the primary market to attack, as many professional players in the primary market have their own tools and methods; we are novices in the primary market, with a PVP disadvantage. However, it is essential to pay attention, as although there are many differences from the secondary market, many opportunities in the primary market will eventually overflow to the secondary market. When it reaches the secondary market, it will turn into a significant opportunity, and the secondary market is our home ground.
The left-side buying point is equivalent to an airplane; it needs to taxi for a while, which is the consolidation phase, before taking off. The right-side buying point is like an airplane at the moment of takeoff, where you board the plane and it takes off directly. Currently, altcoins are suitable for building positions on the left side because the left-side decline has no bottom, so position management and how many points to add to the position in a decline is an important knowledge! Here’s some analysis before sleeping:
BTC is still fluctuating back and forth; there are too many people looking bearish in the big square, which means the decline won't be very smooth.
The small cycle shows no price action signals indicating a top; I don’t know what the short logic is for those friends who are shorting.
SOL has a double top divergence on the 1-hour chart; be careful‼️ Risk of a pullback.
The Sui coin has a Td13 indicator on the daily chart; if you have profits, reduce some positions and continue to buy on dips.
Neiro had its first washout for 10 days, increasing by 184%; the second washout lasted 24 days, increasing by 157%; currently, it's the third washout for 8 days, and I suggest buying spot without thinking below 0.002.
All hot altcoins should build positions on the left side every 10 points, divided into three positions: 2, 3, 5, and build positions every 30 points.
There are several predictions Please verify everyone. The dollar, U.S. stocks, and Bitcoin have all reached their peak, and will all plummet. After Trump's icon victory, the surge, was merely a brief flash, just the last struggle before decline, after which it will be a continuous drop. Gold has already taken the lead, with the dollar, U.S. stocks, and Bitcoin set to follow closely behind. The reason is simple, the short-selling main force has basically been wiped out by the super main force, there's no momentum left, next will be the strangulation of the bulls. For example, Bitcoin, right now it seems to be rising, it seems like it can't possibly drop, right? In fact, this is deliberately allowing long positions to concentrate, in groups. When long positions concentrate to a certain extent, at some point in time, there will suddenly be an explosion, resulting in a huge bearish candle forming a decapitation, catching all retail long positions in one net. The same logic applies to the dollar and U.S. stocks. This time point is getting closer, and we will soon see a good show.
Summary of some personal experience details of short-term and joyful trading:
1. The daily total position does not exceed 25%.
2. Conduct a position inspection before going to bed every day. During the position inspection, a comprehensive assessment of the order and the existing position should be made.
3. Stay away from forced liquidation as much as possible. Only when the position is safe can we make steady progress and continuously achieve stable accumulation.
4. Strictly abide by trading discipline. Take profit near the pressure point in advance, instead of deliberately pursuing the highest point to take profit. That is easy to be passive and take back floating profits.
Punt The market value of 2.5 billion in two days is not a height that retail investors can pull up. It reminds me that when wif was listed on Binance, it was too high at 2u, and then it was pulled up to 4.8u, you didn’t dare to get on the bus. The captain repeatedly emphasized that meme should not look at the market value. It is nonsense to look at the market value of meme. Meme must look at the market maker and the mood. Just like last year, you thought Pepe’s market value of 600 million was too high, who would have thought that it could be raised 10 times to 6 billion market value