User-3dcdf鱼鹰
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From this round, Bitcoin belongs to Bitcoin and altcoins belong to altcoins. They will no longer share the Bitcoin cycle. In the future, Bitcoin will continue to follow the halving cycle. However, all altcoins will follow a four-year cycle with a 180-degree phase difference. That is, the 2026-2027 Bitcoin bear market low tide window will become the altcoin bull market high tide window.
CryptoChan
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[BTC core chain data update]
The proportion of long-term Bitcoin holders (excluding those holding more than 7 years) on the Bitcoin chain may fall between 57% and 62% at the peak of this round of bull market, and is currently 69.2% (Figure 2 is an observation of the three Bitcoin halving days in the past decade)
As time goes by, the approximate height of this round of bull market peak is becoming clearer and clearer🧘
The proportion of long-term Bitcoin holders (excluding those holding more than 7 years) on the Bitcoin chain may fall between 57% and 62% at the peak of this round of bull market, and is currently 69.2% (Figure 2 is an observation of the three Bitcoin halving days in the past decade)
As time goes by, the approximate height of this round of bull market peak is becoming clearer and clearer🧘
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Facing the loess with your face and turning your back to the sky, generations will never change. After being a slave to the Federal Reserve for too long, one might forget how to be a person. Instead, one consciously maintains the hegemony of the dollar and opposes Bitcoin.
机灵的杰尼君
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Two of the world's three major powers are supporting BTC.
When will Rabbit support it?
When will Rabbit support it?
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Btc is performing too poorly
Meitu's Boss Cai cleared out the BTC and ETH accumulated from the previous cycle in November and December of 2021.
In the last round, he bought 31,000 E and 940 B, with costs of E1629 and B52610, costing 1E.
In the spot bear market, it dropped to a low of 880 and 15600. E was halved at its lowest, and B remained at less than 30%, valued at 31000×880+940×15600=0.42E, and any leverage even by a factor of two would have resulted in a liquidation. For more than half of these four years, the prices were underwater.
This time, he sold them at 1E and 0.8E, with an average selling price of E3225 and B8W5. He gained about double on E and around half on B.
The total profit was 7963W, with a dividend payout of 0.109 HKD per share.
What are your thoughts after reading this?
In the last round, he bought 31,000 E and 940 B, with costs of E1629 and B52610, costing 1E.
In the spot bear market, it dropped to a low of 880 and 15600. E was halved at its lowest, and B remained at less than 30%, valued at 31000×880+940×15600=0.42E, and any leverage even by a factor of two would have resulted in a liquidation. For more than half of these four years, the prices were underwater.
This time, he sold them at 1E and 0.8E, with an average selling price of E3225 and B8W5. He gained about double on E and around half on B.
The total profit was 7963W, with a dividend payout of 0.109 HKD per share.
What are your thoughts after reading this?
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For the next small step, Bitcoin going to 120,000 and Ethereum going to 2,500 is quite surprising, but in fact, it is very realistic.
1. In the last two cycles, the total market value of cryptocurrencies broke through the historical high in the 8th month after the halving, and the altcoins ran wild. The total market value of this round is already the 8th month and the cycle corresponds to January 25.
2. In the next six months, BTC will rise to 150,000-200,000 US dollars at most, ETH will rise to 12,000-15,000 US dollars, and the altcoins will generally rise 5-10 times, welcoming the bubble era
3. ETH officially ushered in a strong return. ETH will be much better than BTC. The leading altcoins will rise to your unbelievable #btc
2. In the next six months, BTC will rise to 150,000-200,000 US dollars at most, ETH will rise to 12,000-15,000 US dollars, and the altcoins will generally rise 5-10 times, welcoming the bubble era
3. ETH officially ushered in a strong return. ETH will be much better than BTC. The leading altcoins will rise to your unbelievable #btc
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The supply and demand relationship of specific varieties is different from before.
1. In the last two cycles, the total market value of cryptocurrencies broke through the historical high in the 8th month after the halving, and the altcoins ran wild. The total market value of this round is already the 8th month and the cycle corresponds to January 25.
2. In the next six months, BTC will rise to 150,000-200,000 US dollars at most, ETH will rise to 12,000-15,000 US dollars, and the altcoins will generally rise 5-10 times, welcoming the bubble era
3. ETH officially ushered in a strong return. ETH will be much better than BTC. The leading altcoins will rise to your unbelievable #btc
2. In the next six months, BTC will rise to 150,000-200,000 US dollars at most, ETH will rise to 12,000-15,000 US dollars, and the altcoins will generally rise 5-10 times, welcoming the bubble era
3. ETH officially ushered in a strong return. ETH will be much better than BTC. The leading altcoins will rise to your unbelievable #btc
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In fact, the marathon will become a cold climate agricultural company that continuously accumulates Bitcoin in the future. Stock prices will experience a rise in revaluation.
CoinVoice
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CoinVoice has recently learned that, according to CryptoSlate, the American cryptocurrency mining company Mara Holdings (formerly Marathon Digital) announced that it has utilized the waste heat generated from Bitcoin mining to provide heating for 80,000 households in the SataKunta region of Finland. [Original link]
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Really inexperienced!
$BTC Some say 98000 is the bottom! I just want to say don't be fooled! Even the Federal Reserve doesn't believe it! Moreover, 98000 US dollars is equivalent to over 700,000 each! In reality, it can't even compare to one gram of gold! Additionally, the total supply is 21 million coins! Remember, it's 21 million coins, not 2,100 coins! Where does the claim of scarcity come from? Those who say it's scarce are just ready to harvest you like wheat! #美联储放鹰
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In the future, retail investors will enter the market through large institutional ETFs. Large ETFs only have Bitcoin and Ethereum. Unless hybrid ETFs like 50, 100, and 500 are created, altcoins will have no ETF buyers.
Have you listened to it 100 times? The era of copycat coins in the crypto market is over, BTC players have changed, ETFs have entered the market, so in the future, there will only be BTC, no other crypto assets or similar talk;
Ridiculous;
Return to common sense, common sense, still damn common sense;
Seeing players change is good, being bullish on BTC is right;
But being bearish on the altcoin season is 100% lacking in common sense;
In the long run, Bitcoin spot ETFs will guide hundreds of millions of people into the crypto market, but how could it be that these people only buy Bitcoin and completely avoid investing in any other assets?
This has never happened in any asset class market, so why would it happen in the crypto market?
This kind of rhetoric is simply lacking in common sense;
What consensus exists only in BTC, that only BTC goes up while other assets must fend for themselves, is purely a violation of common sense + a denial of human nature;
Asset rotation is the most widespread phenomenon in behavioral economics; since the professional speculation market of stocks has existed, this has been the most conventional and reasonable model guided by professional players and market makers;
The emergence of positive news + the parabolic rise in asset prices will inevitably lead to some funds immediately selling to realize profits, seeking other similar companies, guessing who the next target is, and reinvesting the profits into these companies;
This is the basic logic of high beta; if the crypto market only has BTC, then the US stock market wouldn’t need IWM, and there would be no GME or AMC;
Consensus only exists in BTC… blablabla… a bunch of arguments and analyses, but unfortunately, the market is irrational, the market is full of speculation and expectations;
After a token rises, funds will quickly flow into similar tokens, hoping to catch the next wave of increases; this is the natural behavioral law of the market, present in both ancient traditional speculative markets and emerging crypto speculative markets;
This is common sense; all professional speculative market cycles are controlled and characterized by this simple logic;
It is this kind of rule that leads to the so-called altcoin season; behind it is human nature. No matter how powerful your ETF is, how can it stop human nature from chasing up and selling down?
In one sentence: The accelerated influx of government, enterprises, and institutional investors into BTC will bring more capital overflow and will lead to a clearer altcoin season;
Hold your PEPE tight, hold your ETH high beta tight;
Ridiculous;
Return to common sense, common sense, still damn common sense;
Seeing players change is good, being bullish on BTC is right;
But being bearish on the altcoin season is 100% lacking in common sense;
In the long run, Bitcoin spot ETFs will guide hundreds of millions of people into the crypto market, but how could it be that these people only buy Bitcoin and completely avoid investing in any other assets?
This has never happened in any asset class market, so why would it happen in the crypto market?
This kind of rhetoric is simply lacking in common sense;
What consensus exists only in BTC, that only BTC goes up while other assets must fend for themselves, is purely a violation of common sense + a denial of human nature;
Asset rotation is the most widespread phenomenon in behavioral economics; since the professional speculation market of stocks has existed, this has been the most conventional and reasonable model guided by professional players and market makers;
The emergence of positive news + the parabolic rise in asset prices will inevitably lead to some funds immediately selling to realize profits, seeking other similar companies, guessing who the next target is, and reinvesting the profits into these companies;
This is the basic logic of high beta; if the crypto market only has BTC, then the US stock market wouldn’t need IWM, and there would be no GME or AMC;
Consensus only exists in BTC… blablabla… a bunch of arguments and analyses, but unfortunately, the market is irrational, the market is full of speculation and expectations;
After a token rises, funds will quickly flow into similar tokens, hoping to catch the next wave of increases; this is the natural behavioral law of the market, present in both ancient traditional speculative markets and emerging crypto speculative markets;
This is common sense; all professional speculative market cycles are controlled and characterized by this simple logic;
It is this kind of rule that leads to the so-called altcoin season; behind it is human nature. No matter how powerful your ETF is, how can it stop human nature from chasing up and selling down?
In one sentence: The accelerated influx of government, enterprises, and institutional investors into BTC will bring more capital overflow and will lead to a clearer altcoin season;
Hold your PEPE tight, hold your ETH high beta tight;
See original
Seeing clearly this world and oneself is a fundamental skill and a required course for a person. In life, do not seek outward. Otherwise, it will ultimately be a reversal of dreams.
There is one thing in common between spiritual practice and investment - inaction.
People are active, always unable to control their hands, always want to trade, and feel uncomfortable if they don't trade for a day or make money for a day, their hands itch, and their hearts feel like ants crawling. This is human nature, and everyone is inevitable, but if you want to make money, you must go against human nature, that is, control your hands and don't over-trade, because trading itself has costs, including handling fees, slippage, and impermanent losses. The Buddhist Zen is also wrong as soon as you do it, and as soon as you say it.
But we always want to do something, otherwise we will feel uncomfortable, so what should we do? We should do the preaching of Bitcoin. In other words, use preaching instead of trading, because the trail is a positive return expectation, while trading is a negative return expectation, so using preaching instead of trading can make us get a positive mathematical expected return.
So my trading method is very simple. The passive level is to constantly buy and hoard Bitcoin, and the active level is to preach Bitcoin to investors and promote the correct Bitcoin investment method, so that more people can participate and achieve wealth freedom through Bitcoin investment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
People are active, always unable to control their hands, always want to trade, and feel uncomfortable if they don't trade for a day or make money for a day, their hands itch, and their hearts feel like ants crawling. This is human nature, and everyone is inevitable, but if you want to make money, you must go against human nature, that is, control your hands and don't over-trade, because trading itself has costs, including handling fees, slippage, and impermanent losses. The Buddhist Zen is also wrong as soon as you do it, and as soon as you say it.
But we always want to do something, otherwise we will feel uncomfortable, so what should we do? We should do the preaching of Bitcoin. In other words, use preaching instead of trading, because the trail is a positive return expectation, while trading is a negative return expectation, so using preaching instead of trading can make us get a positive mathematical expected return.
So my trading method is very simple. The passive level is to constantly buy and hoard Bitcoin, and the active level is to preach Bitcoin to investors and promote the correct Bitcoin investment method, so that more people can participate and achieve wealth freedom through Bitcoin investment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
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Humans, as a species, are unable to see the world clearly, let alone understand themselves. This species has desires and ambitions, but in the face of the vastness of the universe, the unified answer to human desires and ambitions is 'unattainable'.
There is one thing in common between spiritual practice and investment - inaction.
People are active, always unable to control their hands, always want to trade, and feel uncomfortable if they don't trade for a day or make money for a day, their hands itch, and their hearts feel like ants crawling. This is human nature, and everyone is inevitable, but if you want to make money, you must go against human nature, that is, control your hands and don't over-trade, because trading itself has costs, including handling fees, slippage, and impermanent losses. The Buddhist Zen is also wrong as soon as you do it, and as soon as you say it.
But we always want to do something, otherwise we will feel uncomfortable, so what should we do? We should do the preaching of Bitcoin. In other words, use preaching instead of trading, because the trail is a positive return expectation, while trading is a negative return expectation, so using preaching instead of trading can make us get a positive mathematical expected return.
So my trading method is very simple. The passive level is to constantly buy and hoard Bitcoin, and the active level is to preach Bitcoin to investors and promote the correct Bitcoin investment method, so that more people can participate and achieve wealth freedom through Bitcoin investment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
People are active, always unable to control their hands, always want to trade, and feel uncomfortable if they don't trade for a day or make money for a day, their hands itch, and their hearts feel like ants crawling. This is human nature, and everyone is inevitable, but if you want to make money, you must go against human nature, that is, control your hands and don't over-trade, because trading itself has costs, including handling fees, slippage, and impermanent losses. The Buddhist Zen is also wrong as soon as you do it, and as soon as you say it.
But we always want to do something, otherwise we will feel uncomfortable, so what should we do? We should do the preaching of Bitcoin. In other words, use preaching instead of trading, because the trail is a positive return expectation, while trading is a negative return expectation, so using preaching instead of trading can make us get a positive mathematical expected return.
So my trading method is very simple. The passive level is to constantly buy and hoard Bitcoin, and the active level is to preach Bitcoin to investors and promote the correct Bitcoin investment method, so that more people can participate and achieve wealth freedom through Bitcoin investment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
See original
Only when a person clearly sees and sincerely agrees that they are a pure fool can they escape the fate of becoming a pure fool. This requires both knowledge and non-action.
There is one thing in common between spiritual practice and investment - inaction.
People are active, always unable to control their hands, always want to trade, and feel uncomfortable if they don't trade for a day or make money for a day, their hands itch, and their hearts feel like ants crawling. This is human nature, and everyone is inevitable, but if you want to make money, you must go against human nature, that is, control your hands and don't over-trade, because trading itself has costs, including handling fees, slippage, and impermanent losses. The Buddhist Zen is also wrong as soon as you do it, and as soon as you say it.
But we always want to do something, otherwise we will feel uncomfortable, so what should we do? We should do the preaching of Bitcoin. In other words, use preaching instead of trading, because the trail is a positive return expectation, while trading is a negative return expectation, so using preaching instead of trading can make us get a positive mathematical expected return.
So my trading method is very simple. The passive level is to constantly buy and hoard Bitcoin, and the active level is to preach Bitcoin to investors and promote the correct Bitcoin investment method, so that more people can participate and achieve wealth freedom through Bitcoin investment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
People are active, always unable to control their hands, always want to trade, and feel uncomfortable if they don't trade for a day or make money for a day, their hands itch, and their hearts feel like ants crawling. This is human nature, and everyone is inevitable, but if you want to make money, you must go against human nature, that is, control your hands and don't over-trade, because trading itself has costs, including handling fees, slippage, and impermanent losses. The Buddhist Zen is also wrong as soon as you do it, and as soon as you say it.
But we always want to do something, otherwise we will feel uncomfortable, so what should we do? We should do the preaching of Bitcoin. In other words, use preaching instead of trading, because the trail is a positive return expectation, while trading is a negative return expectation, so using preaching instead of trading can make us get a positive mathematical expected return.
So my trading method is very simple. The passive level is to constantly buy and hoard Bitcoin, and the active level is to preach Bitcoin to investors and promote the correct Bitcoin investment method, so that more people can participate and achieve wealth freedom through Bitcoin investment.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
See original
My prediction is 257
Binance News
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Deutsche Bank predicts yen could fall to 157 against the dollar
According to Jinshi Data, Deutsche Bank said that if the Federal Reserve makes hawkish remarks and the Bank of Japan keeps interest rates unchanged this week, the yen may fall to 157 against the US dollar.
Tim Baker, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank, noted that accelerating inflation but slow central bank action could push USD/JPY higher. However, the Bank of Japan has the ability to unexpectedly raise rates this week, which would boost the yen at least initially.
Tim Baker, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank, noted that accelerating inflation but slow central bank action could push USD/JPY higher. However, the Bank of Japan has the ability to unexpectedly raise rates this week, which would boost the yen at least initially.
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Can you uphold such principles now?
A little tip: Bitcoin Standardism
It is recommended that all patrons set the units here to BTC like a monk, meaning we should measure all our wealth in the crypto world using BTC. We should use a Bitcoin standard to assess all wealth and value, both within and outside the crypto world, including virtual currencies and real-world assets, all of it.
We should also cultivate an awareness of Satoshis, which means that the smallest unit of Bitcoin is one hundred millionth of a Bitcoin, called a Satoshi, named in honor of the great Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto. The monk believes that in the future, one Satoshi will be equivalent to one US dollar.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
It is recommended that all patrons set the units here to BTC like a monk, meaning we should measure all our wealth in the crypto world using BTC. We should use a Bitcoin standard to assess all wealth and value, both within and outside the crypto world, including virtual currencies and real-world assets, all of it.
We should also cultivate an awareness of Satoshis, which means that the smallest unit of Bitcoin is one hundred millionth of a Bitcoin, called a Satoshi, named in honor of the great Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto. The monk believes that in the future, one Satoshi will be equivalent to one US dollar.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
See original
Just need to sell once in 2014, buy once in 2016 and 2017. Then sell once in 2018 and 2019. Then buy once in 2020 and 2021. Then sell once in 2022 and 2023, then sell once in 2024 and 2025. Then buy once in 2026 and 2027. Then sell once in 2028 and 2029.
A little tip: Bitcoin Standardism
It is recommended that all patrons set the units here to BTC like a monk, meaning we should measure all our wealth in the crypto world using BTC. We should use a Bitcoin standard to assess all wealth and value, both within and outside the crypto world, including virtual currencies and real-world assets, all of it.
We should also cultivate an awareness of Satoshis, which means that the smallest unit of Bitcoin is one hundred millionth of a Bitcoin, called a Satoshi, named in honor of the great Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto. The monk believes that in the future, one Satoshi will be equivalent to one US dollar.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
It is recommended that all patrons set the units here to BTC like a monk, meaning we should measure all our wealth in the crypto world using BTC. We should use a Bitcoin standard to assess all wealth and value, both within and outside the crypto world, including virtual currencies and real-world assets, all of it.
We should also cultivate an awareness of Satoshis, which means that the smallest unit of Bitcoin is one hundred millionth of a Bitcoin, called a Satoshi, named in honor of the great Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto. The monk believes that in the future, one Satoshi will be equivalent to one US dollar.
#加密市场回调 $BTC
See original
Bitcoin is an iterative system of the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Reserve has always been Bitcoin's mortal enemy.
Powell's statement: Super bearish news, the hell of the crypto world is coming
No allowance to hold Bitcoin, nor wish to change the law
#加密市场盘整
No allowance to hold Bitcoin, nor wish to change the law
#加密市场盘整
See original
What he said makes sense. But there is something wrong, it may not necessarily be ETH, it could be a new public chain.
Binance News
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Bankless co-founder says ETH needs to reach a market value of 10 trillion to realize the Internet sovereign currency system
According to Odaily Planet Daily, Ryan Sean Adams, co-founder of Bankless, wrote on the X platform that ETH as a currency is the key, otherwise the whole thing is meaningless.
He noted that if L1 chain DeFi can be shut down by the Treasury via email, then it’s just fintech with an extra step.
Adams believes that to realize a true Internet sovereign currency system, a huge economic asset is needed as the base currency to compete with the G7, and the market value of ETH needs to reach 10 trillion.
He noted that if L1 chain DeFi can be shut down by the Treasury via email, then it’s just fintech with an extra step.
Adams believes that to realize a true Internet sovereign currency system, a huge economic asset is needed as the base currency to compete with the G7, and the market value of ETH needs to reach 10 trillion.
See original
From a regulatory perspective, this is a good thing. It is a necessary measure for information transparency. However, from the perspective of the company itself, under the new system, it can still completely conceal the amount of Bitcoin it holds. For example, when purchasing mining machines, this part of the electricity cost is included in the total electricity consumption, and the mining machines are accounted for in equipment investment and depreciation, showing no Bitcoin on the books at all. When it's time to reveal it, they can simply disclose how much Bitcoin they hold in the report.
The U.S. Incorporates Bitcoin into Public Company Financial Reports, 'Fair Value' Included for Board and Investor Valuation
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) of the United States has announced that the fair value accounting rules for cryptocurrencies are officially in effect, starting December 15. Bitcoin will be included on publicly traded companies' balance sheets, providing the board and investors with a comprehensive assessment. This update aims to address the gap in accounting and disclosure practices for cryptocurrencies while enhancing the transparency of financial reporting. According to the new regulations, companies must measure their cryptocurrency holdings at 'Fair Value' and update these valuations for each reporting period. This change allows businesses to reflect the gains and losses arising from market price fluctuations in their financial statements.
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In a word, your own money is not your own money. It is theirs. This is where the greatness of Bitcoin is evident. With Bitcoin, may all banks disappear!
I once withdrew 20,000 from Alipay to Agricultural Bank, and then Agricultural Bank immediately transferred 20,000 to Industrial and Commercial Bank, which then got frozen. They asked me to go to the bank to unfreeze it, and I went through a long process. I was very angry, and they said I was suspected of fraud. The main reason was that my other Industrial and Commercial Bank card was activated for foreign-related services, and I had experience withdrawing cash from Industrial and Commercial Bank in Thailand. They also said I had multiple exit records to Southeast Asian countries. Damn, that was just a free trip; even going out to have fun is suspicious of fraud. There really is no privacy for Chinese people.
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Handsome men are loved by women, average intelligence, low cultural level, celebrities earn money quickly, ability does not match position, a series of jokes.
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