The future of WLD is AI computing power stocks, and it will continue to share the dividends of AI wealth creation, and it will be as scarce as BTC! The expected increase in WLD unlocked supply will have a short-term impact on prices, but it also means user growth. The future value of the world chain is proportional to the number of users. The project has been developing continuously. At this stage, the market sentiment panic is further killed by the selling pressure of Bitcoin in the market and the expectation of increased WLD unlocked supply. If 10 billion is fully released, then one person will receive 100 airdrops, and the number of users will be at least 100 million. If WLD is positioned as universal basic income, then there will be only 1 per capita for the world's 8 billion population. The future distribution of universal basic income must not be based on WLD as a one-time currency unit, but on WLD as a share to distribute AI computing power monthly dividends, which can sustainably share the wealth created by AI. This is a long-term vision, so it is more suitable for long-term spot holding. If WorldCoin can realize its vision in the future, WLD will be as scarce as BTC. BTC is gold, and WLD is an AI computing power stock. Judging from the strength and pattern of the project party and the progress of the project, the probability of the project's success is very high. Buy more WLD spot on dips! #WLD $WLD
Review of major cryptocurrency events in May and market forecasts for the future!
There are four themes in May: Bitcoin halving and big correction bottoming out; MEME season; AI big event month; Ethereum spot ETF approved. On May 1, after the Federal Reserve's third interest rate meeting in 2024, all the bad news was exhausted, and the Bitcoin halving correction was officially declared over. On May 3, the US non-farm data in April showed weak employment, which increased expectations of interest rate cuts, and Bitcoin started a strong rebound. On May 15, the positive US CPI data in April further increased expectations of interest rate cuts, and Bitcoin continued to rise. On May 20, the approval of Ethereum spot ETF was reversed for political reasons, ETH rose strongly, and BTC rushed above $70,000. On May 13, the big brother of US retail investors, "Roaring Kitten", returned, and the US stock market restarted the retail investors' battle against Wall Street to hype MEME stocks, while also bringing the hype of MEME in the currency circle. May is a month of major AI events. On May 14, OpenAI launched the upgraded version of ChatGPT, GPT-4o. WLD surged and then started to fall. The whole network was shorting WLD and pessimistic about all low-circulation project coins. It also coincided with the hype of US MEME stocks, and retail investors fully embraced MEME coins. On May 24, the approval of Ethereum spot ETF was completed. The US SEC approved the 19B-4 form of 8 spot Ethereum ETFs, but it still needs time to approve the S-1 form. It is expected that it will take several weeks to months before it is officially listed for trading. On May 23, Nvidia released its first quarter financial report that exceeded expectations, but the AI sector performed mediocrely. At present, all funds are pouring into ETH for gambling, and ETH is seriously sucking blood. On May 22, the Federal Reserve released the hawkish minutes of the monetary policy meeting, which suppressed the market's expectations of interest rates. At the same time, the Federal Reserve officials have been singing hawkishly, and the macro market environment is bearish. As of May 24, the good news has been exhausted, the bad news has emerged, and the market profit-taking has entered a correction period. It is expected that BTC will return to below 65,000 and ETH will return to below 3,500. The market is weak and waiting for new hot spots. In June, the Federal Reserve officially began to reduce the balance sheet reduction quota by 30 billion US dollars, which is an increase of 30 billion US dollars in liquidity to the market. It is currently in the mid-term stage of this bull market. The main rising stage of the bull market is expected to wait until August. Long-term spot continues to be held, and it is better to rest in the short-term market weakness. It will take time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Focus on the US dollar against the Japanese yen exchange rate. The large increase in the US dollar-Japanese yen currency swap quota is equivalent to a disguised injection of US dollar liquidity, which is a major macro force driving this bull market. This bull market began in June 2023, and BlackRock began to apply for Bitcoin spot ETF as a landmark event.Because of the large participation of institutions, this round of bull market is moving faster, breaking the historical high before the halving. Therefore, this round of bull market is likely to peak in December 2024 or January 2025. The landmark event is the end of the US election and the inauguration of a new round of presidents. On January 20, 2025, the new president of the United States will be inaugurated. 2024 is a big election year, and political factors have become a major variable in this bull market. Whether it is Bitcoin ETF or Ethereum ETF, they are serving political elections. Many policies of the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury are also to cooperate with Biden's election. The prosperity of the development of the crypto ecosystem itself, the advancement of AI technology, and the weakening of the dollar in the macro environment have jointly promoted the development of this bull market.
The crypto market has stabilized and reversed, and a new round of comprehensive rebound has begun. Judging from the current performance, the MEME sector is leading the way, and the artificial intelligence sector is temporarily lagging behind. As the AI event month in May continues to be hot, the artificial intelligence sector is expected to have a lasting and outstanding performance. The trend of speculation in junk stocks in the US stock market has begun, and the hype sentiment has returned. The MEME sector and the AI sector will once again become the two heroes of the rebound. #WLD🔥🔥🔥 #WIF王者归来
Optimistic about the performance of the artificial intelligence sector next week, focus on WLD! Hot events in artificial intelligence, the market is low, the April CPI data is expected to be optimistic, US officials are expected to be dovish and provide fiscal support because of the need to support the economy in the political election, and China may also reduce the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates and speed up the issuance of bonds because of the negative social financing in April. Personal opinion: optimistic. #WLD🔥🔥🔥
Currently, we are in the consolidation stage in the middle of the bull market. The market sentiment is low, the market lacks major hot spots, and is in a range of fluctuations. The overall market is weak, there will be a small amount of structured market conditions, and hot money will speculate on some individual hot and strong coins. The downward space of the overall market is relatively limited, but the upward space in the future is still large. At this time, it is the best policy to hold the spot and wait patiently. Participate less in the volatile market, and even if you participate, only participate in the band of hot and strong coins with a small position. It is more important to keep the chips at this stage. Many people have repeatedly stopped losses during the volatile period and lost their chips. As more institutions announce their risk exposure to Bitcoin spot ETFs, it means that Bitcoin spot ETFs will continue to bring in huge amounts of incremental funds in the future, and Bitcoin will inevitably rise. We are optimistic about the performance of WLD and ENA in the volatile market. WLD continues to be popular under the influence of OpenAI, and ENA meets people's demand for stable returns on pledges. #WLD🔥🔥🔥 #ENA
Various indicators and fundamental changes have confirmed that the Bitcoin halving correction ended at $56,000 after the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in the early morning of May 2, China time. The depth of this correction is 23.3%, which is less than the depth of the previous halving cycle. This is because the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF and the establishment of Bitcoin's legal status have led to a decrease in volatility. The halving correction is a feature of the mid-term bull market. The halving bottom is basically the bottom of the second half of the bull market. It is expected that after 3 months of small upward fluctuations (in the range of $60,000 to $80,000), the main bull market will begin in August and continue until the end of the year. Sit in the car and wait for the wind to come. $BTC
The big correction in April, more than 30% deep, is the last chance to get on board this year's bull market. V-shaped reversal at the end of April, a big bull market will start in May. $BTC
Tonight, the Federal Reserve may announce an interest rate cut earlier than market expectations. The Fed's primary mission shifted from controlling inflation to preventing recessions. However, the market actually digested the expectation of interest rate cut prematurely. Once the time of interest rate cut is confirmed, it will be the confirmation of economic recession. The optimism in U.S. stocks is mainly based on the expectation of a soft landing for the U.S. economy. Once recession concerns resurface, it will actually be negative for U.S. stocks. A soft landing of the U.S. economy is the foundation, and interest rate cuts are just the icing on the cake. Once the foundation is loosened, interest rate cuts cannot support the decline of U.S. stocks. Bitcoin has been deeply tied to U.S. stocks, and Bitcoin will be dragged down when U.S. stocks fall. The market may surge higher in the short term, but the trend of downward correction remains unchanged.
The financial giant BlackRock entered the crypto circle to be a banker. Its first task is to grab chips. It first pulls the market and grabs it. After accumulating a certain amount of chips, it then smashes the market and grabs it. Most people are reluctant to sell when the price goes up and ship when the price goes down. They have no source of currency when the price goes up and no need for the price when the price goes down. They buy up but not down. Once the Fed's interest rate cut expectations are completely reversed and enter a major correction period, those who shout bull market at high levels will definitely be the first to run. Most people just follow the trend and speculate, not many people really believe in Bitcoin. Bitcoin spot ETF will definitely become a double-edged sword. It will be bad when it rises, but it will also be bad when it falls.
Look for a short-selling entry opportunity before March 12, and patiently wait for high consolidation. When the high funding rates for longs are under pressure and the rise is weak, a bad news will trigger a chain reaction of flat longs. #BTC
The market sentiment has reached a consensus of bullish expectations, things must turn to the extreme, and a major correction is getting closer. Crowded long positions have resulted in extremely high funding rates for long positions. Once the rally stops, high funding rates will put pressure on bulls and trigger a chain reaction of deleveraging and flattening of long positions.
The return of funds from altcoins to Bitcoin, I personally think, is a risk aversion rather than the beginning of a new wave of comprehensive rise. The current market is dominated by FOMO sentiment, which is a bit overheated, but the market is always right. On January 3, Bitcoin plunged 10% from a high, and altcoins were basically cut in half.
This year’s crypto bull market is 100% certain, and the probability of a major correction (a drop of 30-50%) in March is 80%. Focus on tracking three points in time: the US January PCE data will be released on February 29, the Bank Term Financing Plan (BTFP) will expire on March 12, and the Federal Reserve’s second interest rate meeting in 2024 will be held on March 20. The higher-than-expected PCE represents a rebound in inflation that further suppresses the market's expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve; the expiration of BTFP will not be renewed, and the collapse of small and medium-sized banks in the United States has restarted the liquidity crisis. The Federal Reserve is forced to rescue the market and re-inject liquidity, whether it is to renew the BTFP, cut interest rates in advance, or slow down Whether to shrink the balance sheet or activate new liquidity tools, Bitcoin will rebound in a V-shaped manner and start a bull market, because Bitcoin is a high-risk asset that is highly sensitive to liquidity. #BTC
WLD has four narratives of AI + WEB3 wallet + personality certificate + MEME. This round of bull market is a super dark horse, especially the Ultraman MEME narrative, which makes the price ceiling extremely high. The only factor limiting it now is funds, which will be released when the Fed cuts interest rates. It’s time to really blow the big bubbles. Don’t get out of the car after the March callback to pick up the goods. In cryptocurrencies, it’s not fundamentals that drive prices the most, but narrative and speculation, and meme coins take this to the extreme. When the Bitcoin market breaks through the historical high of 69,000, it will be the crazy time for altcoins. Dozens or hundreds of times of legendary coins will be staged one after another. However, the AI sector has the highest probability of speculating on the new rather than the old. Cherish the golden pit in March, the last opportunity to get on board this year’s bull market.
Contract lessons worth millions, true knowledge comes from practice! The certainty of the contract takes precedence over the price. You cannot go short when it is high and go long when it is low. If the trend does not reverse, it will be higher or lower than the price. Only when the trend is confirmed can leverage be added. A contract can be opened only when a major reversal signal appears on the fundamentals and a more ideal opening position appears on the price. Bottom buying on the left side is only applicable to spot prices, because spot orders can hold orders, but it is difficult to hold orders with combined orders. The bull market is dominated by long positions. There is room for the long position to double several times or dozens of times, but there is never room for the short position to more than double. Buying the bottom and guessing the top of a contract often results in losses. You must go with the trend and not buck the trend. Be careful not to be impatient. Both long and short markets need to wait for the trend to decline before taking advantage of it to suppress it. A big wave of market often has a certain degree of inertia, and a braking signal appears. Sometimes it will slide forward for a certain distance before it can stop. Especially when retail investors participate in groups, the market often goes up irrationally and reaches an extreme point. Find the direction based on the fundamental signals, find the turning point on the graphics and emotions, it is more reliable to intervene in the late period, and let your predictions be verified on the graphics before adding a position. The mid- to long-term trend direction is determined by fundamentals, and short-term fluctuations are determined by market sentiment. A combination of rationality and irrationality is required to make a good contract. Contracts require higher accuracy than spot prices. The higher the leverage, the higher the accuracy requirements and the more difficult it is to control. You need to follow Act according to your own circumstances, leave room for leeway, and do not take risks that exceed your risk tolerance and driving skills. Investment is a rational risk-reward calculation. Positions are directly proportional to risk-return rates. It is not about gambling on luck. The so-called good luck means going with the trend, bad luck or going against the trend. Only by following the trend can good luck follow.
Is Sora undervalued or overvalued? For now, just generating video content for general creative assistance is a good tool, but for the long-term goal of building a universal physical world simulator, the method has deviated from the right track and taken a quick but wrong path. shortcut. A layman looks at the excitement, and an expert looks at the door. For most non-professionals, it is enough to use it for their own use. I have always believed that AI in the future will have two sides, good and bad. The good side is the open source model represented by Musk, and the bad side is the closed source model of OpenAI’s Ultraman. Both of them have ambitions to change the world, but Musk is more friendly to human beings and more public-spirited, while Altman is an investor and has the selfish nature of capital behind him. While I'm betting on both sides, I prefer Musk to win in the end.