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Currently, the 1H level rebound of BTC has reached a maximum of 95826, nearing the target range. However, structurally, it still lacks strength, so it can wait a bit longer. There might still be short-term opportunities to move higher.
After this 1H level rebound finishes, there should still be a 1H level pullback to around 90000. Only then could a new 4H level rebound to new highs potentially start.
Currently, market sentiment is still leaning toward panic, especially among spot traders, who are feeling very desperate. After all, many people have not made money for almost a month, and many are still in a losing state. However, a good mindset is crucial. From May to September 2024, many cryptocurrencies also experienced significant declines, but in just a few weeks in November, there was a sharp upward movement. Therefore, while the bull market trend is still in place, it's essential to give the market some confidence and not be overly pessimistic.

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After the big cake hit 91203 last night, it rebounded again. Here we expect to see a 1h level rebound, which focuses on the 97000~96000 range. After that, it is expected that there will be another 1h level decline, and the bottom will focus on around 89900.
Ethereum fell back to 3158 again in the early morning. Overall, Ethereum’s 4h level correction structure starting from 4100 has almost come out. If the next 1h level decline can break 3100 again and reach the 3100~3000 range, it will be perfect.
 
BTC mid- to long-term
Weekly:

Weekly, we still look at the third weekly level increase, which is expected to last until the second half of 2025 or the end of the year. At present, we still focus on the 150,000 to 200,000 range.

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According to our expectations, Bitcoin's 1-hour level pullback has retraced to above 92000 as scheduled. The overall 4-hour level pullback has not finished yet, but in the short term, we are about to see a 1-hour level rebound. After the 1-hour level rebound is finished, there will still be a 1-hour level decline, focusing on the range of 90000~91000. Regarding the current pullback, it is still within the range of the 4-hour level central oscillation, belonging to the adjustment of upward continuation, not a trend-based crash. Waiting for the pullback to end and starting a new wave of increase.

BTC
Due to the fast changes in the market in the short term, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, which should only be used as a reference.

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The market is indeed not that simple. A few days ago, when Bitcoin broke 98,000, I personally indicated that there might be a 4-hour level central oscillation movement.

In the article within the member group, on the 6th, I made a reminder that if Bitcoin breaks 100,000 again, it will subsequently pull back in a 4-hour central oscillation manner. Many friends saw Bitcoin break 100,000 again and thought a new rise was coming, so I specifically reminded them in the article.
Overall, the movement of Bitcoin here is still quite complex, but it can be confirmed that the overall upward trend has not ended, and after a short-term adjustment, it will continue to rise to around 116,000 to 120,000.

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Bitcoin has successfully completed a 4-hour level rebound, which has formed three structures of up, down, and up, and can end at any time before continuing with a 4-hour level correction. Regarding the current market, I personally do not believe it will immediately break through 108,353, and there is still the possibility of a correction down to around 90,000, meaning it currently falls within the category of a 4-hour level fluctuation.
Although Bitcoin has surged to 100,000 again, most altcoins have not fully gained strength temporarily, and it seems to still be in a process of adjustment. It will take some time before it can break through the previous high point in December.

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Bitcoin did not break below 97,000 last night, it dropped to around 97,276 and could not go lower, then began to rebound, reaching a high of 99,892. The trend is still relatively strong. From the current structure, the short-term trend has become more complex and variable.
There is a possibility that a new 4-hour level rise is currently underway, if it breaks 100,000 again. However, this 4-hour level rise is likely not to break 108,000, but rather to transition into a 4-hour level central area oscillation, followed by a 4-hour central area departure segment to end the daily level rise.
If this is the case, the market is more complex than expected, taking a 4-hour retracement, followed by a 4-hour level rise to 120,000, and the time period for the daily rise will also be greatly delayed.

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Yesterday we mentioned that Bitcoin needs to undergo a 1h level correction. The basic structure of the correction has emerged, now we just need to see if it continues to extend downward. Overall, Bitcoin's rebound in recent days has not broken through 100,000, so the probability of forming a 1h center that continues to decline is still greater. Therefore, in the short term, we can continue to wait and see if it will test near 90,000 again.

BTC
Due to the rapid changes in the market, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term traders should pay attention to the latest market changes, which should only serve as a reference.

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In recent analyses, we mentioned that the upward structure of the major coin at the 1-hour level was not complete and should reach around 98,000; it has successfully emerged now. The major coin has not yet broken above 100,000, so according to our expectations, it should still need to undergo a downward movement to around 90,000 as part of a central exit section.
However, some may say that Ethereum has broken 3,570 and reached a high of 3,644; has the 4-hour correction ended? Here, we still take the major coin as the standard. If the major coin's 4-hour correction has not ended, Ethereum will still likely undergo another correction.

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The current market trend of Bitcoin is still short of a 1h decline. Let's see if it can go smoothly tomorrow. The short-term trend is slow. Today, it is still running a 15-minute correction. Under normal circumstances, it should need another 15-minute rebound to hit around 98,000, and then another 1h decline. It depends on whether it can go up again.
Unconsciously, Bitcoin's correction starting from around 108,000 has lasted for about 17 days, and the adjustment here should be approaching the end of its structure. Waiting for the structure to be completed, perhaps we can usher in a new wave of increases in mid-to-late January.

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In yesterday's market analysis, we mentioned that Bitcoin normally needs to make another rebound to above 96,000, which has now been successfully achieved. The structure of the 1h level rebound has been completed, and we will see if it will retrace and create a 1h level central area exit decline. According to our expectations, there is still one more decline needed, mainly because Ethereum's pullback structure has not been established. So let's observe for now.

BTC
Due to the rapid changes in the market, this article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, and this is merely for reference.

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New year, new atmosphere. On the first day of 2025, I wish everyone prosperity, wealth, and good fortune in the new year. May you all seize the new wave of opportunities in the cryptocurrency market!
In yesterday's article, we mentioned that the 4-hour level correction of Bitcoin may not be over yet. From the current trend, the expectation is that it will continue to drop again. Personally, I believe that Bitcoin is likely to bottom within the next week, ending the 4-hour level correction, and after January 7, it may start to move in a new 4-hour level increase, at which point we will focus on whether the next wave of increase can break above 120,000.

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As Bitcoin fell below 92000 last night, the overall 4-hour level correction structure has successfully unfolded, with three movements down, up, and down. However, the current 4-hour structure of Ethereum has not yet unfolded, so it is speculated that Bitcoin may not have completed its 4-hour correction and is still leaning towards consolidating a central area before another downward spike.
So in the short term, there is an opportunity for Bitcoin to have a 1-hour level rebound here, followed by a 1-hour level pullback. Overall, it should be about done, so we should be prepared for related market expectations.

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The market has been a bit boring in the past two days. There has been no rebound and no strength in the continued decline, but everyone is in a depressed mood, with a feeling of dark clouds pressing down on the city. In fact, even if the big cake falls, it is difficult to fall too much at once, so there is no need to panic.
The current 4h level correction is expected to be over in a few days. There should be another wave of market before spring, so please wait patiently.
 
BTC
Due to the rapid changes in the short-term market, the article can only predict the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest changes in the market and use it as a reference only.

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The big pie is currently still undergoing a 1-hour level rebound. This rebound continues to focus on around 98000, and the expectation is that after the 1-hour level rebound is completed, it will move downwards for a 1-hour level decrease that must finish the overall 4-hour level decline.
In the past few days, most cryptocurrencies are still weak, many groups have already quieted down, and the market sentiment is gradually cooling down. However, the overall market situation has not become very bad; this is just a normal pullback phase in a bull market. After the pullback, it will continue to rise, and I hope everyone can feel at ease. There are only 2 days left in 2024, and I hope everyone can continue to seize the great trend of 2025. Here’s a reassurance: the altcoin season's main wave will appear this year!

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The BTC 4h level correction that started from 108353 has been running for 10 days; many altcoins have dropped over 40% from their peak, and some may have halved directly, which can be considered a phase of washing out. The current 4h level correction structure of BTC has not yet been completed. If it breaks down below 92232, there is an opportunity to end the correction.
During the correction phase of BTC and ETH, the overall market is cooling down, but overall, the issue is not significant. After this wave of correction, it tends to indicate that BTC will again move for a 4h level rise to create a new high, and altcoins may have the opportunity to bring a good harvest before the New Year.

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Bitcoin is actually still in a 4h level correction, and the correction has not ended yet. Yesterday we mentioned that Bitcoin would have a 1h level decline, and it has already come out, but the actual correction strength is not very large, the lowest is only around 94646 before rebounding again. There is a probability of a 1h level rebound here. If it falls below 95000 at night, it can be confirmed that the 1h level decline has been extended.
The current market will fluctuate, which I personally think is normal. The 4h level callback does not necessarily keep falling. It can fluctuate up and down repeatedly, and finally return to the low point to complete a 4h level callback. The current volatile market is the easiest to lose money. I hope everyone can grasp the rhythm and do not operate randomly or frequently.

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The rebound of Bitcoin in the past two days has been somewhat weak, failing to surge above our expected level of around 102000, and is currently falling back below 96000. Here we actually need to look at a 1-hour level pullback; it is not yet clear whether this pullback will break below 92000. However, it is clear that we are still in the process of a 4-hour level pullback.
The short-term market can be simple or complex; personally, I expect a higher probability of a fluctuating structure building a central range. By the end of the month, there should be an opportunity to end the 4-hour level pullback.
Overall, we still look at the completion of this 4-hour level pullback; there is hope for a rebound to reach around 120000 again before the New Year, specifically in mid to late January. In the short-term fluctuations, we should choose segments in Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts that we have confidence in. Alternatively, we can wait until the 4-hour pullback is nearly complete and directly set up long positions for the next wave of rise.

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Bitcoin tested the 100,000 mark again today, the trend aligns with our expectations from yesterday's article, where we also expected another rebound. Currently, it has surged to around 100,000, and I personally expect it to break below 100,000, reaching around 102,000, and then undergo a 1-hour level pullback. The current 1-hour level rebound should still need a 15-minute level rise, so let's wait and see.
The next 1-hour level pullback, simply put, should be able to retrace to around 91,000; if it's more complicated, it will build a 1-hour level center, then depart towards around 91,000. How it plays out still needs further observation.

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Bitcoin was still unable to rebound last night, and this morning it continued to test around 92500. From a structural perspective, the 1-hour level rebound did not successfully emerge. Although the previous rebound reached the first target, the required structure is incomplete, so it should be viewed as an extension of the 1-hour level decline. Therefore, it is expected that a 1-hour level rebound will emerge in the next couple of days, and continue to focus on around 102000 for the rebound.
Many people are worried that Bitcoin will plummet to 80,000 next, and then altcoins will continue to plummet to the weekly lows. Personally, I believe the probability of this is low for now. Currently, I still lean towards the view that this pullback is merely a 4-hour level pullback, rather than a daily level pullback. After the 4-hour level pullback is completed, there should normally be a 4-hour level rebound to a new high. A genuinely larger pullback should be a daily level pullback, and before that, altcoins still have room to rise.

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In yesterday's correction, Bitcoin failed to continue to rise, but continued to fluctuate downward, stepping back to 93700. Currently, it has not continued to fall back to 91000. Therefore, the initial estimate of the market here is that it is mainly volatile, and it has not gone up, nor has it continued to hit a new low. But overall, from a structural point of view, the probability of Bitcoin rushing above 100,000 will be greater.
After another surge, it may fluctuate downward and fall back to around 90,000.
I am not too pessimistic about the current market situation. I tend to think that it is actually a 4h level correction, rather than a daily correction as some people worry. The level is different, the amplitude of the correction, and the time period of the correction are definitely different.