Jiachen Year web3 Feng Shui Research Report

An indicator made by the captain, you can see that the intersection of the arc bottom is almost the periodic top range of #ETH;
The current exchange rate is continuing to test downwards, indicating that#ETHstill has a lot of room for growth.

The market share of #BTC.D is close to the top range. If it starts to pull back, it will be one of the signals for the launch of altcoins; friends who missed the increase in#BTCcan find some relatively stagnant and narrative targets in the secondary market.

The exchange rate of#ETHto#BTCaccurately hit the trend line and the 0.618 range. Friends who are familiar with the captain know that the captain gave the yellow line script in January this year, and it took about 55 days to get out of it. This script; currently#BTChas reached a more critical resistance zone, while#ETHand altcoins are in a relatively stagflation stage. The exchange rate has very strong support around 0.063. At this position, you can exchange your#BTCspot positions for#ETHor stablecoins in batches.

The exchange rate of#BNBagainst #BTC, the captain released a video on February 25, specifically reminding that the exchange rate of#BNBhas gone through a triple bottom divergence. This is a very strong bullish signal on the left and has been effectively confirmed multiple times. and support; the current low point of the exchange rate has risen by about 8%, and in the medium term, there is 50% room.

The exchange rate of#LTCto #BTC. The captain gave a price of point D in January. It is a bullish harmonic on the left. It is currently close to the position of point D. The stop loss is very easy to set. The exchange rate of#BTCThere is a very high profit-loss ratio. The stop loss position can be placed at the price that falls below the first wave, and the rebound script will form the last five rising waves in the mid-term.

The trend of the total market value of cryptocurrency is relatively close to that of #BTC. It is currently in the bottom stage of wave A. Wave B rebounds back to the thick yellow trend line, which is probably the middle track of the daily Bollinger Bands. Wave C falls around wave 1, corresponding to # The BTC price is also around 18k.

The captain has reviewed the scripts that have been made public in the past month, and the core public views have been confirmed one by one; the video released by the captain on February 7 reminded all friends to be cautious in pursuing higher prices. At that time, the price of#BTCwas around 23k; on February 9 When the video was released, two scripts and predictions were given, and it was mentioned that around February 14th, Valentine’s Day, a spot position would be opened at low prices. Indeed, after February 15th, the overall market showed a relatively large increase; on February 18th, another Reviewed the prediction this time; the video released on February 20th gave the very core point of the callback from the top. Since February 20th,#BTChas corrected from 25k to 21.9k, and has prompted many times in February March is a very bad month, be aware of the risks

For the exchange rate of#ETHagainst #BTC, the script drawn by the captain a few weeks ago has not changed; the captain believed that there will be two scripts for the exchange rate a few weeks ago, and at that time believed that the probability of the yellow line script was higher; the yellow line script constructed three waves of decline, and The third wave happens to be the position of 0.618 in the large cycle, and the corresponding exchange rate is around 0.063. The current blue line script has a high probability of failure because it fell below the upward trend line from June last year to the present. If#ETHcan pin near 0.063, it will be a very good position to get on the train in terms of the April Shanghai upgrade hype; the captain's current spot positions are mostly in #BTC, just waiting for the day of short-selling. Warehouse #ETH.

The script of#ETHis similar to that of #BTC. The upper edge of the ascending channel hovers and tests the mid-term bottom in March; the upper resistance zone is near 2k, the lower edge supports 1450, and the safe grid range is 1450~1850 large-level shocks.
The information given by the liquidation map is that the currency price is high, the long funds are very concentrated, and the short funds are less. If there are not enough shorts, the market will have no fuel to continue to rise; the captain believes that the script is to have the opportunity to insert the pin upward above 1800 to obtain liquidity, and then move towards If you make a choice below, you can also insert the pin directly downward in the current state. After all, there are no more short positions to pay for liquidity, and the main force does not dare to go short at this position easily. Once the price below 1670 falls below, there will be a very deep correction. If the script of serial pin insertion in the exaggerated area is used, the range of 1450 to 1520 is a very suitable area for building a spot position.

The script of#BTChas not changed much. It has fluctuated upward recently. The upper liquidation gamma zone is near 30k, and the lower support gamma zone is near 21500. The captain believes that the script is to fluctuate upward in late February, with short-term support at 23500, and the upward trend is along the channel. The upper edge is hovering, and in March there will be a relatively deep correction that forces bulls to get off the market and reach support at the lower edge of the ascending channel, which happens to be near EMA100.
The liquidation map is suppressed by long funds, and shorts also have enough liquidity to pay for the increase. The captain believes that the script is to go up first to get short fuel. The recent top range can be 27k ~ 30k; a weekly level long and short double explosion, the market short funds When there is enough, there will be kinetic energy to insert the pin upward; and finally the long gap will be covered.

The market share of #BTC.D is currently following the script given by the captain. The fourth wave will step back on EMA50 and continue to rise to the fifth wave. After the fifth wave, the price of#BTCwill suck blood from the market, and the liquidity released by#BTCwill Let altcoins bloom. The#BTCescape zone is also the stage when altcoins start to really fly around. The bear market starts with a group of demons messing around and ends with no one paying attention.

Figure 1 is when#ETHwas 4400 at the end of November 2021, when the market was very bullish and consistent; Figure 2 is the current liquidation status of #ETH, which is also a very consistent bullish capital suppression. When there are no more short positions to pay for rising liquidity, we need to pay attention to the risk of macro stampede. Today's bulls may be forced to become tomorrow's shorts. In the short term, it is bullish to induce a correction, and in the medium term, it will continue to be bullish.

#BTC The view remains unchanged. In the mid-term, the captain believes that it will touch the annual top, which is probably in the range of 35,000 to 48,000 US dollars, and then slowly decline after getting more liquidity. After the short-term short-term temptation ends, it will rise to $25,000. The overall trend is upward, and any pullback is an opportunity to enter the spot market on the left.
The liquidation map has changed somewhat from yesterday. 22950 is no longer a relatively strong resistance wall for bulls. The limit retracement is near 21500, which is also an opportunity to receive spot goods with a good profit-loss ratio. The more shorts gather, the higher the contract positions. Especially when the convergence triangle contract positions increase, as long as there is a slight inflow of funds in the spot, a large number of shorts will be forced to stop losses and close their positions.

#ETH is basically moving similarly to #BTC. The shock convergence triangle during the rise is a bullish relay pattern.
The short-term trend given by the liquidation map is suppressed by short funds. The captain believes that it is still a double explosion of long and short, and the Brownian motion range is 1650~1550. A better script is to rise first and then fall, insert the pin upward to obtain liquidity and then pull back. The resistance of#ETHwill be much greater than that of #BTC, and it may continue to fluctuate in this large triangle area for several more rounds; this may be the best Brownian range trading area.

I just finished talking about Dogecoin#DOGEyesterday, and today#DOGEstarted to gain momentum. The captain mentioned yesterday that when the old mainstream currencies start to launch, the calf market will basically start the second stage. The#DOGEagainst#BTCexchange rate has broken above the downtrend line of the past three months, with the MACD showing a clear bottom divergence and the RSI also showing a strong bullish breakout indicator. From the perspective of price, volume, time and space, when#DOGEstarts to outperform #BTC, it is also a very good entry point on the right side of the spot.
The exchange rate of the US dollar against#USDhas also formed a bullish relay pattern in the process of rising, and friends in the group can seize the opportunity.

The exchange rate of#LTCagainst#BTCis going through a relay consolidation, which is not as right and beautiful compared to#DOGEDogecoin.
The exchange rate of#LTCagainst the#USDUS dollar is in an ascending triangle. The captain believes that a short-selling market is needed before it rises. This script will be more perfect; because the increase of#LTCfrom the bottom to the present is higher than the increase of#DOGEfrom the bottom Quite a few, if one of the two options were to get on the bus now, the captain would choose#DOGEwith a higher profit-loss ratio.

The exchange rate of#ETHagainst#BTCis in a downward convergence triangle. The captain believes that it will continue to test the Fibonacci level of 0.618. The volatility arbitrage range of these two mainstream currencies is about 10%. The captain believes that entering the#ETHspot market with the exchange rate around 0.062 will have a good profit-loss ratio. At least#ETHis currently stagflation, does not follow the market, and is pulled up by #BTC, which can also be understood as "slopped".

The market share trend of #BTC.D is similar to that of #ETH, moving towards an ascending convergence triangle, with a high probability of moving upward.#BTCThe blood-sucking bull market usually lasts for a long time. The captain believes that there will be very strong resistance when the market share reaches about 48%, which is the bull-bear critical point of the previous cycle.

The technical aspect of#BTCis a rising wedge in an ascending pattern, with almost no relatively large retracement to replace the decline. In this form, the probability of#BTCgoing straight up is very high, and there will be no pullback for everyone to enter; if there is a large retracement, it is an opportunity to enter on the left.
The liquidation map gives the pain point of long liquidation near 22950. The liquidation map is like a battle with a global perspective of King of Glory. Near 22950 is a very strong liquidity liquidation support wall, which is difficult to break at least in the short term unless there is a relatively large macro event. Affect market confidence.