诗魂

$BTC
Reduce positions near 80000 for the pancake, final target looks at 82000
Resonated with the ideas from last night's live stream
I didn't deceive you, right, brothers?

$BTC
Only discussing the high probability trend of Bitcoin next week and the positions where orders can be placed and operated

Abandon all indicators, and intuitively seek buy and sell points from the purest wave theory

The following chart is a four-hour level chart of Bitcoin
This entire wave pattern has been in place since Trump finished his cryptocurrency speech at the White House on 3.7. The favorable expectations that hung in the air have all been expressed in formalities. Of course, as long as he remains president, there will be many favorable expectations. Here we will only discuss the short-term points we can operate within the four-hour level

Currently, Bitcoin's overall trend in the four-hour chart is still in a downtrend. The two circles in the chart represent the bulls wanting to exert force to test the resistance level of Bitcoin's EMA 200-day four-hour moving average, but they have been severely suppressed. Therefore, the entire bullish wave pattern has completely turned bearish into an eight-wave pattern, which is a classic five-to-five bullish-to-bearish trend in wave theory

From the chart, after the abc wave is finished, the expectation of the downward eight-wave movement of waves 1.2.3.4.5 has been established. Therefore, we need to find opportunities within the wave pattern. Currently, Bitcoin is undergoing the longest downward wave of the three waves, and this downward wave is also an extended shape

So it only tells us one point: do not go long on contracts now
When should we go long on contracts? At least we need to wait until it breaks below 81200, which is the position of wave 1 in the chart, also the upper edge of the purple rectangle in the chart

The entire purple rectangle in the chart represents the opportunity for us to wait for a bullish pattern to operate long positions, specifically in the range of 81200-78200. However, in any case, the long position layout must wait for Bitcoin to break below 81200

Since Bitcoin is currently undergoing the longest downward wave of the three waves, we can place orders on the left side to speculate on the bottom of the three-wave decline, which is the lowest point of the three waves, indicated by the purple horizontal line in the chart

Operation: Place long orders at the purple horizontal line 76800-76900, with a stop loss at 75000 and a take profit in the range of 80000-81000

The area around 81200 will also serve as the retracement point for wave four, which is the upper edge of the rectangle. Therefore, we wait for the drop to 76800-76900, rebound to around 81000, and if a bearish pattern appears, we can follow the trend to execute the downward five-wave movement, which is the lowest point of the entire downward eight-wave

Of course, if there is a bullish pattern within the rectangular area in the chart, we can gamble on the long position, but we must break below 81200 before we can go long

Just place the order at 76800

$BTC

$BTC
Bitcoin

At the four-hour level, we first look at the relationship between volume and price. The two are narrowing, and the price is rising, which is a typical volume-price divergence. Therefore, at four o'clock this afternoon, a shooting star candlestick was formed, and we shorted between 91200-91300, with the take-profit level given by the Fibonacci extension at 89500, which happened to be reached at ten-thirty in the evening.

Now, looking at the candlestick chart, it's highly likely that Bitcoin will form a hammer candlestick at twelve o'clock. This hammer candlestick has completely recovered the four-hour decline in a very short time, indicating strong bullish momentum in the short term.

According to wave theory, we analyze the entire four-hour level of Bitcoin, starting from 78200 as the first wave. The peak of the first wave is around 95000, the second wave retracement is around 81000, and the third wave starts from around 81000 and rises to the current level. The blue line in the chart indicates the trajectory of the entire five-wave movement, and the third wave is in an extended wave situation, indicated by the white broken line in the chart.

Bitcoin is facing divergence at the top and the EMA 200-day moving average pressure, yet it still formed this hammer candlestick, which itself is an unusual signal as bulls gradually strengthen in the face of bearish indicators. Therefore, we can look for opportunities to go long during the third wave extended wave, represented by the white broken line.

The condition for the establishment of this entire wave structure, the third wave extended wave, is that Bitcoin does not fall below 86270. If it does not break below this level, it will move according to the trajectory of the white broken line in the chart. If a pattern appears when the line closes tomorrow morning, we will have the opportunity to bet on a long position for Bitcoin, expecting the highest point of this third wave to rise above 95000.

If Bitcoin shows a downward spike tonight, we just need to place long orders at 85650-85700. This pending order is the strongest support after breaking below 86270; we will place the order here with a stop-loss at 85000, aiming to catch the spike.

Since the divergence at the top and the moving average pressure did not push Bitcoin's price down, we will change our mindset to view Bitcoin dialectically. If it does not fall below 86270 tomorrow, we should find positions and patterns to go long, aiming for 95000. If we wake up tomorrow and find that the bears are strengthening, we will just place our pending long orders at 85650-85700 to catch the spike.

$BTC

bnb548-547 Such spot replenishment positions are considered to be at the lowest point, so if you should hold onto the spot, do so.
Now let's look at the contract level.
bnb's volume-price relationship shows a very standard volume-price divergence at the top. In the short term, the probability of closing below 592 at twelve o'clock on a four-hour level is still quite sufficient for a bearish trend. In other words, if the close at twelve o'clock is below 592, one can open a short position with a stop loss at 606.
Actually, we have better options and more manageable cryptocurrencies, xrp.
xrp's volume-price also shows a bearish divergence at the top, and the K-line is densely suppressed by the EMA200 daily moving average on the four-hour level. The best operating method is to open a short position if the close at twelve o'clock falls below 2.44, with a stop loss at 2.55.
Choose only one of these two tokens to speculate.
When xrp sees 2.3, bnb will see around 575.

$BTC
The computer has a blue screen, let me fix it, I will call back later.

$BTC

That man called out sol xrp sol
A rebound is imminent, don't place a short order on big coin 88850 due to this sudden news.

Did you bottom out? That man called out! The article on February 26th gave you the idea to bottom out sol at 135-140, did you buy?
I personally bought half a position at 140, so I made a profit.

$BTC
The effect of shorting the pancake is far from that of Ethereum; the top divergence combined with the naked K bearish pattern cannot push it down. Now it's near the break-even point, so I won't hold it.

Still placing a sell order high at 88900-88850, stop loss at 91000.

$BTC
Today, I placed two orders, issued a big order in the square, and the big order that has no issues is dropping slowly. Currently, I still have logic to hold on. I really don't understand what you're afraid of with a few hundred points. If you can't hold it, I will say something. I really am impressed with you, this 2025 profit fan. How long have you been following me? Every time you can't hold it, could you please be a little patient?
Ethereum is completely short at the top, coming back full-loaded.

$BTC
The pattern has come out at four points

The large pancake closes at around 84800 at four points, you can short at market price, stop loss at 86500, take profit at 83000-82500

$BTC
Today you can see the spot that was previously laid out for Solana around 140-135. Surprisingly, it has turned a profit despite the unlocking pressure at the beginning of March.

My view on spot trading has not changed; you should buy the dip, especially with BNB and Solana. For those who entered a position previously, just place a buy order for Solana at 118 for averaging down, and for BNB, set buy orders at 547-548 for averaging down. If it doesn't reach those prices, just hold on to your positions.

Now let's talk about Bitcoin.

Looking at the third chart, the daily chart for Bitcoin, if it can stabilize around 85000 today, with the daily naked K hammer line plus a bullish engulfing line, it’s very likely that the daily chart will establish a bottom and move upwards.

I’ll just mention the daily chart briefly, now let’s discuss the second chart, the four-hour level chart. Yesterday, at the 80500 mark on the chart, we successfully tested the long position with the purple line and managed to buy the dip, gaining 3000-4000 points in profit. A significant pullback often represents a large upward movement; the greater the volatility, the more money to be made. Now, returning to today’s four-hour level chart, it may be more difficult to achieve a similar increase as yesterday. To see a significant rise, we must break through the upper purple line at 87100. Looking at the indicators, there is a divergence in volume-price relations, indicating that bulls may be a bit exhausted in the short term. Therefore, today’s main strategy (for intraday trading at the four-hour level) should be to look for a short-term pullback. Don’t short just yet; either place a limit order to short at 88900-88850 with a stop loss at 91000 and a take profit target around 86000-85500, or wait for my signal, awaiting confirmation from the naked K indicator, and then we can short at market price looking for a pullback opportunity.

$BTC
Tonight's live broadcast shared a lot of valuable insights; with logical trading, it is possible to break through and find profits even in such market conditions.

BNB continues to hold a replenishment position at 548-547, and SOL continues to hold a replenishment position at 118; I have almost fully invested in these two coins.

You can check the replay of tonight's thoughts and insights; it might give you some inspiration.