Keep calm and integrate knowledge and action.

2024.09.12:

The original @Kingfisher account could not be logged in due to Binance security restrictions (mandatory face recognition login). After communicating with Binance to no avail, it was decided to change the account. In the future, positions and transaction data will be released by this account.

We have already released real-time data on Coincoin. Because it is not convenient to publish positions in real time, only subscription codes are available for subscription at this stage. Friends who need subscription codes can send private messages or leave messages. PS: There are other small accounts under this account, which can be viewed directly.

Account status: Balance: $278,807, Position: $184,626. Dividends of 130,000 U, total yield close to 280%. The market risk will be relatively large before and after the interest rate cut cycle. It is not recommended to exceed 1 times the leverage, and wait for large fluctuations to come before adding positions.

Risk warning: Leverage is not a devil, but a tool to improve the utilization rate of funds. Leverage itself has no risk, and the real risk comes from human nature.
#DOGSONBINANCE #CPI_BTC_Watch #TelegramCEO #PowellAtJacksonHole #TopCoinsJune2024

2024.9.13:

On Thursday, the US dollar index began to fall in the European session and accelerated its decline during the US session, but it still stood above the 101 mark and finally closed down 0.49% at 101.24. US Treasury yields rebounded slightly, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 3.678%; the two-year US Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, finally closed at 3.650%.
Although the latest PPI data was mixed, the initial jobless claims data showed that the job market had cooled down. Spot gold rose sharply before the US session, rising nearly $50 during the day and once rushed to $2,560, setting a new record high again, and finally closed up 1.88% at $2,558.55/ounce. Spot silver closed up 4.17% at $29.85/ounce.
Due to the hurricane disrupting US oil production, international oil prices continued to rebound. WTI crude oil continued to rise during the day, and once rose to an intraday high of $69.02, and finally closed up 2.48% at $68.42 per barrel; Brent crude oil stood firmly above the $70 mark, and finally closed up 1.93% at $71.81 per barrel.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.58%, the S&P 500 rose 0.75%, and the Nasdaq rose 1%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose nearly 2%, Micron Technology (MU.O) fell nearly 4%, and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) fell 4%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.8%, Alibaba (BABA.N) rose 0.8%, Douyu (DOYU.O) fell 13%, and Xiaopeng Motors (XPEV.N) and Weilai Automobile (NIO.N) fell more than 5%.

Account situation: total capital of 410,000, including dividends of 130,000. The rate of return is 280%, and the position situation is shown in the figure. You can search for my real account on Coin, and Binance also has single accounts.

Risk warning: Leverage is not a devil, it is just a tool to improve the utilization rate of funds. Leverage itself has no risk, the real risk comes from human nature.

$btc $eth $bnb #新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

According to the latest data from the federal funds rate futures chart, market expectations for future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have changed significantly. The current probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut is 45%, and the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is 55%.

Expectations for a significant rate cut have risen sharply compared with a day ago, jumping from 14% to 45%. The change reflects likely heightened concerns about the economic outlook. However, looking at data from a month ago, market expectations for a rate cut have actually declined. A month ago, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut was as high as 53%, but now it has dropped to 45%.

Such fluctuations indicate that market sentiment remains unstable and there are divergent judgments on the direction of the economy and policy. Investors need to pay close attention to future economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials to better grasp the trend of interest rates. Markets currently appear to be swinging between mild and more aggressive rate cuts, reflecting varying expectations of a soft landing and a possible recession.

For the $eth ecosystem, especially DeFi projects, changes in the interest rate environment may affect its lending rates and overall attractiveness, which in turn affects the demand for $btc, $eth, and $defiusdt.

#新币挖矿HMSTR #美降息25个基点预期升温 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高

Share a wave of $BTC options distribution:

Price expectations: Call options holdings are concentrated around 70,000 and 65,000, while put options are concentrated around 60,000 and 55,000. Market participants expect that future prices may fluctuate in the range of 65,000-70,000, and are also cautious about prices below 60,000.

Market sentiment: Overall, the distribution of call options holdings seems to be more concentrated and obvious than put options, especially in higher price ranges. The overall market sentiment is optimistic, and more investors expect prices to rise.

Key price levels: The options holdings at the integer levels of 70,000, 65,000 and 60,000 are large, which may become important psychological levels and technical resistance/support levels. Risk prevention: In the range of 55,000-60,000, put options holdings are also obvious, reflecting the prevention of downside risks by some investors.

Recent changes: From the daily increase/decrease (light blue part), there is a significant increase in call options near 70,000 and 65,000 and put options near 60,000. The market has recently increased its attention to these price levels.

Implied volatility: Due to the concentration of option positions in certain price ranges (such as 70,000 and 65,000), these areas will become key points of price fluctuations in the future, such as triggering large liquidations.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #新币挖矿HMSTR #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国经济软着陆？ #FTX赎回Solana $eth $sol