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BTCâs Future in Focus: 4 Key Factors That Could Drive or Stall Its 2024 Rally
At press time, the crypto economy is cruising at $2.14 trillion, following a modest uptick Friday morning. There are 88 days left in the year, 32 days until the 2024 U.S. Election Day, and 34 days until the Federal Reserveâs next meeting. With numerous developments, including rising tensions in the Middle East, a variety of factors could either fuel or stall bitcoinâs bull run. Hereâs a breakdown of the four key issu
The Top 5 Crypto Sectors Driving the Market in October 2024
As October 2024 kicked off, the crypto market has remained steady despite a widespread dip on Tuesday. Since January, thereâs been an interesting uptick in specific crypto themes, with artificial intelligence (AI) tokens, bridge cryptocurrencies, and meme coins outshining sectors like exchange tokens and store of value coins. The following editorial explores the top five powerhouse sectors fueling the momentum of todayâs crypto econom
It might sound like a conspiracy, but central banks are almost certainly already buying Bitcoin. Hereâs why:
Hedging Against Their Own Policies
Nearly all countries are up to their ears in debt. Since austerity measures are not politically acceptable, they must find other ways to manage that debt â and the easiest path is just to inflate it away! If you make the value of each dollar of debt worth less and less each year, it naturally becomes easier to find the money to pay it off.
Hereâs where central banks come in, and the game plan is simple: flood the economy with money to purposely cause inflation. In the United States, the Fed supposedly targets a 2% inflation rate, but in reality, they want the inflation rate to be as high as possible without causing political turmoil.
Of course, central banks know all about inflation, which is why they try to minimize the amount of currency they hold in reserve. Instead, they opt for hard assets â ie. assets that donât get devalued year after year. Gold is one such asset, and so are stocks, and even some kinds of bonds. Bitcoin is also an inflation-resistant asset, which is why central banks are probably scooping it up right now.
Bitcoin as a Hedge Against Uncertainty
The global economy is shaky, and as many investors turn to Bitcoin to hedge against financial instability, central banks are likely doing the same. Publicly, bankers may criticize Bitcoin, but privately they could be buying it to protect their reserves, particularly in countries seeking sanction-resistant assets. Bitcoinâs decentralized nature provides an escape from financial sanctions and offers a hedge against rising debts and inflation as trust in fiat currencies erodes. For central banks in geopolitically sensitive regions, accumulating Bitcoin could serve both as a safeguard against weakening traditional monetary systems and as a means to sidestep external pressures.
This Weekâs Crypto Gainers and Losers: Meme Tokens Outshine Bitcoin and Ethereum
In the midst of a more optimistic crypto market, both bitcoin and ethereum have enjoyed steady growth, climbing by 3.13% and 3.61%, respectively, over the past week. Additionally, several other digital currencies experienced even more significant increases, with spx6900 (SPX) stealing the spotlight by skyrocketing 107.2%, making it the standout performer of the week.
Crypto Market Climbs to $2.25 Trillion, SPX and Meme Tokens Shine With Triple to Double-Digit Gains
On Monday, the total global market capitalization for all crypto assets hit $2.25 trillion, marking a 3.01% boost in the past 24 hours. Over the last week, many cryptocurrencies have rallied against the U.S. dollar, recovering from the previous weekâs losses. Leading the charge this week was spx6900 (SPX), which shot up by a staggering 107.2%. Additionally, around two dozen coins posted impressive double-digit gains.
Trailing SPX is the artificial intelligence (AI) powered meme token goatseus maximus (GOAT), which jumped 70.2% this week. The token reef (REEF) gained 50%, while baby doge coin (BABYDOGE) saw a rise of 45.31%. Also making waves, the book of meme (BOME) leaped by 39.71%, and dog go to the moon (DOG) followed closely with a 38.86% increase. Other notable performers include MOG, AXL, ZEC, BDX, and WLD.
Outside of BTC, ETH, and stablecoins, the highest trading volumes of the week belonged to SOL, BNB, SUI, PEPE, XRP, DOGE, WIF, NEIRO, and APT. On the downside, only a handful of coins posted double-digit losses. The newly launched scroll (SCR) took the hardest hit, plummeting over 50%, while ftx token (FTT) dropped by 23.37%. Hamster kombat is still struggling, down 13.33% this week, followed by RLB, which fell 11.44%, and HNT, down 11.11%.
The cryptocurrency marketâs recent performance highlights renewed optimism, with top assets and standout tokens making impressive gains.
Nice move from green box to red box. I didnt close this setup but for me its OK, lets see what Asian play and then will make decision what we gonna do guys! GG WP
LIVE
Alesta Aka Mertcan
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-$ONDO LONG SETUP
I dont like the share chart a lot but this setup will pretty good. I dunno how you guys be bearish when Ondo fly with Blackrock
*Ondo's $USDY has surpassed @FTI_DA's FOBXX to become the second-largest tokenized US Treasury asset by TVL, now exceeding $439M.
Certik: Malicious Actors Stole $753 Million in Q3, Phishing Top Attack Vector
Malicious actors stole $753 million in the third quarter, with phishing being the most costly attack vector. The report emphasizes the need for stronger security measures and warns users to be cautious of phishing scams. Ethereum and Bitcoin networks were the hardest hit chains, with combined losses exceeding $600 million.
Users Urged to Be Wary of Unsolicited Messages
Certikâs latest report reveals that malicious actors stole digital assets worth $753 million in 155 security incidents during the third quarter. Although the security incidents were 27 fewer, the value of stolen digital assets increased by 9.5%. The Q3 losses bring the total value of digital assets stolen by cybercriminals in 2024 to approximately $2 billion.
While Web3 players continue to strengthen their security systems, the Certik report asserts that the rising loss level indicates hackers are becoming more sophisticated. Phishing was identified as the most costly attack vector in the quarter, with $343,099,650 stolen in 65 incidents.
Commenting on this attack vector and prevention measures that Web3 platforms can take, the Certik report said: ''These attacks typically involve bad actors posing as legitimate entities to trick users into revealing sensitive information, such as login credentials. To prevent falling victim to these attacks, users should be wary of unsolicited messages asking for private information, double-check website URLs and email addresses, and enable two-factor authentication (2FA).''
Private key compromises were the next most costly vector, with $324.4 million lost in just 10 incidents. Across the remaining top ten attacks, losses ranged from $39.6 million due to code vulnerability exploits to approximately $175,000 lost after hackers breached access controls. When assessing losses by chain, the report data indicates the Ethereum network accounted for just over half of the total losses, with $387.8 million siphoned in 86 incidents.
JPMorgan: Gold and Bitcoin Surge as Debasement Trade Gains Momentum
Global investment bank JPMorganâs analysts have highlighted the growing impact of the âdebasement tradeâ in boosting gold and bitcoin prices. Goldâs rise is linked to inflation, geopolitical instability, and waning trust in fiat currencies. Both institutional and retail investors are viewing gold and bitcoin as safe havens amid global economic uncertainty, with future trends depending on geopolitical events and fiscal policies.
JPMorgan Discusses How the âDebasement Tradeâ Is Fueling Gold and Bitcoin Gains
JPMorganâs analysts have highlighted how the âdebasement tradeâ is driving gains in both gold and bitcoin. Led by global strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the analysts noted that gold has surged beyond what could be explained by dollar and real bond yield movements alone. Instead, they attribute the increase to a range of factors, including geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and declining confidence in fiat currencies.
They explained: âThe âdebasement tradeâ is a term that reflects a combination of gold demand factors which in our client conversations range from structurally higher geopolitical uncertainty since 2022, to persistent high uncertainty about the longer-term inflation backdrop, to concerns about âdebt debasementâ due to persistently high government deficits across major economies, to waning confidence in fiat currencies in certain emerging markets, and to a broader diversification away from the dollar.â
The analysts also emphasized that goldâs price, around $2,700 per ounce, and bitcoin, near $60,000, have given them new currency, so to speak. They pointed to the falling share of the U.S. dollar in global currency reserves, noting that the dollar now accounts for just 57% of reserves, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF) data. Despite China pausing its gold purchases since April, JPMorgan said: ''There is little doubt that the pace of central bank purchases is key to gauging the future trajectory for gold prices.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Suffer $91.76M Loss as Ethereum ETFs Rebound
U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced another day in the red, with $91.76 million flowing out of the funds. However, spot ethereum ETFs showed some resilience, pulling in $14.45 million in fresh inflows on Wednesday.
Bitcoin ETFs Experience Outflows as Ethereum ETFs Rise Above
On Oct. 2, 2024, the 12 U.S.-based spot bitcoin ETFs faced a collective outflow of $91.76 million. The dayâs trade volume hit $1.66 billion, with Ark Invest and 21sharesâ ARKB leading the downturn, losing $60.28 million. Grayscaleâs GBTC followed with a $27.31 million dip, while Blackrockâs IBIT saw a $13.74 million decline, and Bitwiseâs BITB lost $11.51 million.
Offering a silver lining, Fidelityâs FBTC managed to bring in $21.08 million in positive inflows. The remaining bitcoin ETFs ended the day mostly flat, without notable gains or losses. Meanwhile, ethereum ETFs saw brighter results, with $14.45 million in inflows from $197.82 million in trade volume.
Blackrockâs ETHA stood out as the biggest winner, adding $18.04 million. Franklin Templetonâs EZET also saw a modest gain of $1.81 million. On the flip side, Grayscaleâs ETHE lost $5.4 million, while the rest of the ethereum ETFs wrapped up the day with no significant changes. The $14.45 million gain reduces the cumulative net outflows since July 23 to $557.86 million.
All nine ethereum funds hold $6.51 billion worth of ETH, representing 2.27% of the total market cap of ethereum. In comparison, the $91.76 million loss brings the 12 spot bitcoin ETFsâ cumulative net inflows to $18.53 billion since Jan. 11. According to sosovalue.xyz data, these funds now collectively hold $55.85 billion in BTC, which accounts for 4.64% of bitcoinâs total market value.
Bank of Russia Claims Digital Ruble Issuance Won't Cause Inflation
The Bank of Russia has explained that the launch of the digital ruble, the Russian CBDC, will not affect the stateâs mechanisms to control inflation or the amount of money issued. The institution clarified that the new currency does not pose risks to the countryâs financial stability, and will not change the functions of the banking system.
Bank of Russia: Digital Ruble Not a Risk for the Countryâs Financial Stability
The Bank of Russia recently explained that the digital ruble, Russiaâs central bank digital currency (CBDC), will not change how the state manages its monetary policy. In a draft outlining the direction of the central bankâs policies for 2025-2027, the bank indicated that it would continue to target inflation with the same tools even after the digital ruble launch.
In the document, the bank stated:
''The emergence of a digital form of the national currency will not affect the mechanisms for implementing monetary policy. The Bank of Russia will continue to manage money market rates by conducting operations for providing liquidity to banks and absorbing it.''
Russiaâs CBDC is a retail currency, meaning that users can make payments using it directly, like with the Chinese digital yuan. This is different from the CBDCs that some countries are researching, which focus on easing the transactions between financial institutions of the money network.
Analysts are worried about the digital ruble and its possible effects on the Russian economy. Nonetheless, the bank assessed that it would not have an inflationary effect and would only increase the demand for cash and funds in bank accounts, but not money issuance.
The bank also declared that the current system with its two-tier structure will be preserved, and credit institutions will remain functioning lenders, offering custody for the peopleâs savings. These will have to support the digital ruble, giving customers tools to open accounts and make transactions using it.
Middle East Tensions Trigger Equities Sell-Off, Bitcoin Drops to $60,128
On Tuesday, major U.S. stock indices, including the Nasdaq Composite, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000, and S&P 500, all closed in negative territory, driven by growing concerns over potential conflict escalation in the Middle East. According to the U.S. State Department, Iran launched nearly 200 ballistic missiles toward Israel. Following the announcement, bitcoin dipped to $60,246, while gold prices experienced a modest 1% rise.
Conflict Fears Rattle Markets: U.S. Stocks Slide, Bitcoin and Ethereum See Sharp Declines
On Oct. 1, 2024, reports flooded in stating that Iran had launched missiles at Israel, with most of the attacks successfully intercepted. However, Israeli military spokesperson Daniel Hagari noted that âa few hitsâ did occur. As the news broke, the markets reacted swiftly, and U.S. equities took a nosedive. The Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped 1.48%, the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) fell 1.53%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) slid 0.41%, and the S&P 500 (GSPC) lost 0.93%.
Globally, markets tightened as concerns mounted over the potential escalation into a world war. Social media is filled with discussions about World War III, and news outlets across the globe are delivering constant updates. Just like traditional stocks, the crypto market is feeling the pressure, shaken by news that has unsettled equity investors. The crypto marketâs overall value has dropped to $2.12 trillion, down 5.59% over the past 24 hours.
5 Reasons Why Bitcoin (BTC) Can Rally in 'Uptober'
As October, or Uptober as it is known in the crypto community, has arrived, Bitcoin has a good chance of rising. October has always been a good month for Bitcoin. In the past, it has seen the start of five significant bull markets. With current technical and market conditions, a repeat may occur this year. The following five factors could lead to a Bitcoin rally in October. Robust technical position: For the past few months, resistance has been formed by the upper edge of a descending channel, which Bitcoin is currently trading close to. Right now, the price is $64,040. Bitcoin might move closer to the much-anticipated $70,000 target if there is a clear breakout above this resistance and a fresh upward trend begins.
Supporting moving averages: The price of Bitcoin is holding above significant exponential moving averages, which are the 26 EMA 100 EMA and 200 EMA. This indicates bullish momentum. Around $61,000, a solid support zone is formed by the convergence of these moving averages. The upward path of least resistance will persist as long as Bitcoin maintains its position above these levels.
Market attitude: Risk-on attitude is evident in the larger financial markets, where equities are doing well and hedge funds are becoming more exposed to tech stocks. This general bullish atmosphere is probably going to spread to the cryptocurrency space, increasing the likelihood that Bitcoin will see a significant price shift this month. Because investors are seeking greater returns, risk assets like Bitcoin have historically benefited from this monetary environment. The allure of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation is still strong - as long as inflation concerns persist. Historical pattern: Historically, October has been a favorable month for Bitcoin. This month has seen the beginning of five bull runs in the past, and many market observers think this year will be no different. As Bitcoin has already posted one of its best Septembers on record, the momentum could carry forward into October.
Binance Confirms Access Restrictions on Sanctioned Russian Users
Crypto exchange Binance says it is complying with international sanctions by denying sanctioned Russian individuals and entities access to its platform. âCompliance remains our top priority. We are deeply committed to our users and maintaining their trust in our platform. We constantly invest in our teams and systems to protect our users,â Binance claimed.
Binance Says It Complies With International Laws on Sanctions
Cryptocurrency exchange Binance says it is restricting access to its platform for Russian individuals and organizations that are under international sanctions. The companyâs press office told Tass last week:
''Binance sticks to global rules on sanctions and fully observes restrictions against individuals and legal entities and countries, against which international sanctions have been imposed, thus denying access to the Binance platform to such parties. ''
This aligns with Binanceâs policy of adhering to global sanctions against Russia and other sanctioned nations, affecting a range of restricted users. While the platform continues to provide limited services to existing Russian users to ensure the security of their digital assets, Binance explained that it is reassessing its operations in the region. The company stressed:
''Compliance remains our top priority. We are deeply committed to our users and maintaining their trust in our platform. We constantly invest in our teams and systems to protect our users.''
The exchange also underlined its dedication to developing compliance frameworks, noting: âOur goal is to create industry-leading compliance programs that effectively cooperate with legislative bodies across the world.â